• 제목/요약/키워드: vague prior

검색결과 22건 처리시간 0.03초

Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in Multivariate Growth Curve Model.

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Lee, Seung-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 1996
  • This paper suggests a new criterion for testing the general linear hypothesis about coefficients in multivariate growth curve model. It is developed from a Bayesian point of view using the highest posterior density region methodology. Likelihood ratio test criterion(LRTC) by Khatri(1966) results as an approximate special case. It is shown that under the simple case of vague prior distribution for the multivariate normal parameters a LRTC-like criterion results; but the degrees of freedom are lower, so the suggested test criterion yields more conservative test than is warranted by the classical LRTC, a result analogous to that of Berger and Sellke(1987). Moreover, more general(non-vague) prior distributions will generate a richer class of tests than were previously available.

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단순 수명정보를 이용한 IPM의 베이지안 신뢰도 평가 연구 (A Study on Bayesian Reliability Evaluation of IPM using Simple Information)

  • 조동철;구정서
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2021
  • This paper suggests an approach to evaluate the reliability of an intelligent power module with information deficiency of prior distribution and the characteristics of censored data through Bayesian statistics. This approach used a prior distribution of Bayesian statistics using the lifetime information provided by the manufacturer and compared and evaluated diffuse prior (vague prior) distributions. To overcome the computational complexity of Bayesian posterior distribution, it was computed with Gibbs sampling in the Monte Carlo simulation method. As a result, the standard deviation of the prior distribution developed using simple information was smaller than that of the posterior distribution calculated with the diffuse prior. In addition, it showed excellent error characteristics on RMSE compared with the Kaplan-Meier method.

A Bayes Sequential Selection of the Least Probale Event

  • Hwang, Hyung-Tae;Kim, Woo-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 1982
  • A problem of selecting the least probable cell in a multinomial distribution is studied in a Bayesian framework. We consider two loss components the cost of sampling and the difference in cell probabilities between the selected and the least probable cells. A Bayes sequential selection rule is derived with respect to a Dirichlet prior, and it is compared with the best fixed sample size selection rule. The continuation sets with respect to the vague prior are tabulated for certain cases.

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Bayesian Methods for Generalized Linear Models

  • Paul E. Green;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.523-532
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    • 1999
  • Generalized linear models have various applications for data arising from many kinds of statistical studies. Although the response variable is generally assumed to be generated from a wide class of probability distributions we focus on count data that are most often analyzed using binomial models for proportions or poisson models for rates. The methods and results presented here also apply to many other categorical data models in general due to the relationship between multinomial and poisson sampling. The novelty of the approach suggested here is that all conditional distribution s can be specified directly so that staraightforward Gibbs sampling is possible. The prior distribution consists of two stages. We rely on a normal nonconjugate prior at the first stage and a vague prior for hyperparameters at the second stage. The methods are demonstrated with an illustrative example using data collected by Rosenkranz and raftery(1994) concerning the number of hospital admissions due to back pain in Washington state.

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베이지안 실험계획법의 이해와 응용 (Understanding Bayesian Experimental Design with Its Applications)

  • 이군희
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1029-1038
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 베이지안 실험계획법에 대하여 논의하고 간단한 모의실험을 통하여 최적화된 베이지안 실험계획법이 어떠한 특징을 가지고 있는지 설명하였다. 실험을 설계하는 경우 연구자는 관심있는 주제가 모수추정인지 아니면 예측인지를 결정하고 사전확률과 우도함수를 기반으로 이에 맞는 사후확률을 찾아 효용함수와 결합하여 최적의 실험설계를 찾는 것이 베이지안 실험계획법의 기본 원리이다. 만일 사전적 정보가 존재하지 않는다면 무정보적 부적합 사전확률을 이용하여 실험을 설계할 수 있으며, 이는 비 베이지안적 접근방법과 일치하게 된다. 만일 모수나 예측값에 대한 사전적 정보가 존재하는 경우에는 베이지안 실험계획법이 유일한 해결 방법이다. 하지만 모형의 복잡도가 증가하게 되면, 최적해를 찾는 과정이 매우 복잡해져서 극복해야 하는 많은 문제점들이 존재하므로 향후 많은 연구가 필요한 분야이다.

A BAYESIAN METHOD FOR FINDING MINIMUM GENERALIZED VARIANCE AMONG K MULTIVARIATE NORMAL POPULATIONS

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.411-423
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we develop a method for calculating a probability that a particular generalized variance is the smallest of all the K multivariate normal generalized variances. The method gives a way of comparing K multivariate populations in terms of their dispersion or spread, because the generalized variance is a scalar measure of the overall multivariate scatter. Fully parametric frequentist approach for the probability is intractable and thus a Bayesian method is pursued using a variant of weighted Monte Carlo (WMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theory involved in the method and computation is provided.

Incarcerated pericecal hernia: a rare form of the internal hernia

  • Kang, Sung Il
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.236-239
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    • 2018
  • A pericecal hernia is a rare form of an internal hernia, which has been described in several case reports. We present a case of a 32-year-old woman who complained of vague abdominal pain a day prior to admission. Abdominal computed tomography revealed the presence of a pericecal hernia without bowel ischemia. The patient underwent manual hernia reduction and was discharged without complications. We describe this case in detail and provide a review of the pertinent literature.

A Study on Estimators of Parameters and Pr[X < Y] in Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Park, Eun Sik
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.101-116
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    • 1990
  • The objectives of this thesis are : first, to estimate the parameters and Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution ; and secondly, to compare the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] with maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution. Through the Monte Carlo Simulation, we observed that the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] and the Bayes estimator of Pr[X < Y] with gamma prior distribution performs better than with vague prior distribution with respect to bias and mean squared error in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution.

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A Bayesian Comparison of Two Multivariate Normal Genralized Variances

  • 김혜중
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2002년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we develop a method for constructing a Bayesian HPD (highest probability density) interval of a ratio of two multivariate normal generalized variances. The method gives a way of comparing two multivariate populations in terms of their dispersion or spread, because the generalized variance is a scalar measure of the overall multivariate scatter. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for the interval is intractable and thus a Bayesian HPD(highest probability densith) interval is pursued using a variant of weighted Monte Carlo (WMC) sampling based approach introduced by Chen and Shao(1999). Necessary theory involved in the method and computation is provided.

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Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Linear Mixed Regressions

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.625-637
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    • 2015
  • We develop a Bayesian clustering procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with cluster specific random effects. Gibbs sampling of a normal mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process was implemented to calculate posterior probabilities when the number of clusters was unknown. Our approach (unlike its counterparts) provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of the classification probabilities. A Monte Carlo study of curve estimation results showed that the model was useful for function estimation. We find that the proposed Dirichlet process mixture model with cluster specific random effects detects clusters sensitively by combining vague edges into different clusters. Examples are given to show how these models perform on real data.