• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.181-184
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• 2009

This study aimed at framing alternative urban planning scenarios reflecting urban planning factors, performing urban climate simulation and evaluating eco-friend and low energy characteristics of each scenario on the viewpoint of urban temperature and energy savings on the target of the costal city including Haeundae District in Busan The results are as follows. 1)The fact that urban higher temperature is approximately 2.5 times higher in the building constructed area than whole urban area was represented severe higher temperature phenomenon in the built-up area. Ground greening, water scenario and soil scenario could be expected peek air temperature alleviating effect in order. Especially water scenario had significant effect(maximum $2.5^{\circ}C$) on lowering of air temperature.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.193-202
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• 2015

The greenbelt of South Korea has been under the process of adjustment and removal since its first designated year. This research is aimed at predicting the effect that the removal of the greenbelt has on urban growth. The SLEUTH model was executed via three calibration phases using historical data between 1990 and 2010. The urban growth of Busan Metropolitan City was predicted under its historical trend, as well as two different scenarios including development and compact development up to the year 2030. The accuracy of model, as verified by ROC, was 85.7%. The historical trend scenario showed the smallest increase, with the urban area expanding from 175.96 km² to 214.68 km² in 2030. Scenario 2, the development scenario, showed the most increase, with a 39.9% growth rate from 2010 to 2030. However, according to scenario 3, the compact development scenario, the urban area decreased in comparison to scenario 2. Accordingly, it is necessary to have effective urban growth management to provoke eco-friendly development on the removed areas, and to strengthen the non-removed areas for sustainable development. The results obtained in this study showed that the SLEUTH model can be useful for predicting urban growth, and that it can help policy makers establish proper urban planning as a decision-support tool for sustainable development.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.163-172
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• 2015

This study examined the potential effects of urban growth on streamflow in the Gyungan River watershed, Korea, using urban containment scenarios. First, two scenarios (conservation and development) were established, and SLEUTH model was adapted to predict urban growth into the year 2060 with 20 years interval under two scenarios in the study area. Urban growth was larger under scenario 2, focusing on development, than under scenario 1, focusing on conservation. Most urban growth was predicted to involve the conversion of farmland, forest, and grasslands to urban areas. Streamflow in future periods under these scenarios was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Each scenario showed distinct seasonal variations in streamflow. Although urban growth had a small effect on streamflow, urban growth may heighten the problems of increased seasonal variability in streamflow caused by other factor, such as climate change. This results obtained in this study provide further insight into the availability of future water resource and can aid in urban containment planning to mitigate the negative effects of urban growth in the study area.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.618-634
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• 2018

본 연구는 2020년 장기미집행 도시공원의 자동실효(이하 도시공원 일몰)로 인한 생태네트워크 측면에서의 영향을 부산지역을 대상으로 분석하였다. 분석은 도시공원 일몰과 관련하여 가능한 5개의 시나리오를 구축하고 각 시나리오별 생태네트워크 변화를 FRAGSTATS의 경관지수들을 활용하여 살펴보았다. 일몰 예정 공원에 대해 전체 개발을 가정하는 시나리오 1은 해당 공원들의 전체 보전을 가정한 시나리오 5에 비해 녹지면적이 7,339.75ha가 감소하고, 생태공간의 파편화도 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 내부종 서식지에 영향을 미치는 중심지 비중도 8.06%이상 감소되며, 녹지 간 연결성도 28.23% 이상 감소되는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 공원 내 생태적 가치가 높은 지역을 중심으로 보전하는 것을 가정하는 시나리오 3은 시나리오 5(전체 대상지 보전)의 94% 지역에 대한 보전이 가능하며, 연결성 측면에서는 95.6% 이상 보완이 가능할 뿐 아니라 생태지역 파편화 측면에서도 공원예정지 전체를 조성하는 것과 유사한 효과가 나타나고 있었다. 따라서, 일몰 예정 공원에서도 보전가치가 높은 지역을 중심으로 보전하는 것은 생태네트워크 측면에서 효과가 상당히 높음을 확인할 수 있었다. 현재 지자체에서 이들 보전지역을 중심으로 우선 해제를 시행하고 있는데, 이들 지역은 개발의 수준이 낮다고 해도 산발적 개발가능성이 높으므로 현재 추진 중인 우선 해제에 대한 재고가 필요하다고 판단된다.

• 대한공간정보학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.53-62
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• 2013

토지이용과 피복 변화는 기후변화 영향을 증폭시키거나 완화시킬 뿐만 아니라, 기후변화와 함께 환경 변화에 영향을 주는 대표적인 인자들이다. 따라서 기후변화시나리오와 일관된 토지이용 및 피복 변화 시나리오를 사용하는 것은 신뢰성 있는 기후변화 영향평가를 위해 매우 중요하다. 본 연구의 목적은 IPCC의 5차 평가보고서에 제시된 RCP 시나리오의 사회경제 시나리오를 고려한 미래 도시성장을 예측 및 분석하는 것이다. 이를 위해 RCP 4.5와 8.5 시나리오의 스토리라인을 기반으로 토지이용 및 피복 변화 시나리오를 설정하였다. 시나리오별 도시성장량은 지난 25년 간 1인당 도시면적과 GDP를 이용한 이중로그모델에 의해 도출되었다. 또한, 정부에서 제공된 미래 인구수 및 GDP에 의해 미래 도시 수요량이 추정되었다. 이렇게 추정된 수요량은 로지스틱 회귀분석에 의해 작성된 도시성장확률지도에 의해 공간적으로 배분되었다. 그 결과, 도시성장확률지도의 예측 정확도는 89.3~90.3%로 높게 나타났고, RCP 4.5의 예측 정확도가 RCP 8.5 보다 높게 나타났다. 또한, 2020년부터 2050년까지 도시지역은 꾸준한 증가세를 보였고, RCP 8.5 시나리오의 도시면적 증가율이 RCP 4.5 시나리오보다 더 높게 나타났다. 도시지역의 면적 증가는 주로 농지면적 훼손에 의해 발생되는 것으로 예측되었다. 특히, RCP 4.5 시나리오보다 RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 농지뿐만 아니라 산지면적 훼손이 더욱 증가되는 것으로 예측되었다. 이러한 농지와 산지의 면적 감소는 지방도시에 비하여 광역도시에서 더 높게 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 기후 및 토지이용 및 피복 변화의 복합적인 쌍방향 영향을 정량적으로 밝힐 수 있는 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.45-53
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• 2023

In order to solve the rapidly increasing domestic delivery volume and various problems in the recent metropolitan area, domestic researchers are conducting research on the development of "Urban Logistics System Using Underground Space" using existing urban railway facilities in the city. Safety analysis and scenario analysis should be performed for the safe system design of the new concept logistics system, but the scenario analysis techniques performed in previous studies so far do not have standards and are defined differently depending on the domain, subject, or purpose. In addition, it is necessary to improve the difficulty of clearly defining the control structure and the omission of UCA in the existing STPA safety analysis. In this study, an improved scenario table is proposed for the AGV horizontal transport device, which is a key equipment of an urban logistics system using underground space, and a process model is proposed by linking systematic STPA safety analysis and scenario analysis, and UCA and Control Structure Guidelines are provided to create a safety analysis.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.63-69
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• 2012

넓은 지역에서의 종합감시시스템 구축은 인력을 효율적으로 관리할 수 있으며 자동화된 감시망을 구축하여 비감시 지역을 줄일 수 있는 특징이 있다. 본 논문에서는 넓은 지역에서 적용할 수 있는 지능형 종합감시시스템에서 입력되는 비디오의 특징을 위치와 용도별로 분석하여 적합한 비디오 감시 알고리즘을 선택할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다. 7가지 대표적인 상황으로서 침입, 물건 버림/없어짐, 배회, 혼잡도 측정 등이다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.866-871
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• 2009

In this paper, we introduced design of intelligent surveillance camera system and typical event processing scenario for urban transit. To analyze video, we studied events that frequently occur in surveillance camera system. Scenario is designed for estimation in the case of seven representative situations(designated area invasion, an object left alone, removed object in designated area, object tracking, loitering and congestion measurement) in urban transit. Our system is optimized for low hardware complexity, real time processing and scenario dependent solution.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.122-128
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• 2021

Despite various economic crises, the domestic parcel delivery market handled 3.37 billion parcels in 2020 while maintaining annual growth due to the activation of e-commerce. In particular, in the case of the metropolitan area, which accounts for about 70% of the nation's parcel throughput, the increase in parcel delivery volume is directly related to the increase in freight vehicles in central area of Seoul,. And it leads to an increase of unnecessary social and environmental costs such as traffic congestion, road damage, and environmental pollution in the city. Therefore, in this paper we proposed the underground urban logistics system utilizing the existing urban rail infrastructure, and establish a conceptual design by operational scenario. In order to establish conceptual design of underground urban logistics system, we use order picking system process, which is use in warehouse, produce result combined ISO/IEC 26702. The results of this study can be usefully used before the underground urban logistics system is introduced.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2010

The objective of the research is to analyze changing trend of water discharge in precipitation, according to changing land use, through an environment-friendly urban development method called LID. The study chose S1 basin (Separated Sewer districts) in Cheongju region for survey. Among LID methods, relatively more applicable methods of green rooftop space and parking lot with permeable material were selected to construct plausible scenarios. Curve Number (CN) value was calculated due to land use patterns in each scenario, and SWMM model simulation were conducted during 2008 for comparative analysis. For Case 1, only parking lot with permeable material was applied to the scenario. Green rooftop space I and II were applied to Case 2 and 3 respectively. For Case 4 and 5, green rooftop space I and II were applied, in addition to parking lot with permeable material, Calculation of CN value showed that for S1 basin, the value was 88.1 (prior to scenario application), 86.5 (Case 1), 81.9 (Case 2), 68.5 (Case 3), 80.4 (Case 4) and 67.2 (Case 5). Changing pattern of rain water discharge was analyzed for each scenario. For Case 1, the change was not remarkable before and after application of scenario. In Case 2 and 4, the impact of rain water discharge as source of pollutant fell to 20~30%. The rate dropped to 30~50% in Case 3 and 5 respectively. The result demonstrates that the amount of rain water discharge, amount and frequency of sewer overflow, frequency of rain water discharge, and pollution load decreased in accordance with declining CN value in each scenario. In installing green rooftop space, the effect was twice greater when rain water discharge was directly infiltrated into soil.