• Title/Summary/Keyword: urban flood model

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Development of Urban Flood Risk Index for the Cheonggyecheon Watershed Using SWMM (SWMM을 이용한 청계천 유역의 도시홍수 위험도 지수 개발)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we analyzed th Cheonggyecheon watershed for urban flood risk index. SWMM model configuration based on each watershed data. And it was set as the final index calculated indicators related to the humanities, social and environmental. Each indicator was standardized and weighted using the Delphi method. Finally, select the danger area through urban flood risk index. Determined 12 indices according to the hazard and vulnerability. Vulnerability is selected the index divided by three factors. 21 watersheds were analyzed through urban flood risk index. The top of three areas of index is Jeongneung 1, Majang, Pil-dong, each index is 0.533, 0.494, 0.381. The lowest index is soongin 0.216. Urban flood risk index developed in this study can be applied to other regions in Korea for establishing national water resources management plan.

Development of Decision Support System for Flood Forecasting and Warning in Urban Stream (도시하천의 홍수예·경보를 위한 의사결정지원시스템 개발)

  • Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.743-750
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    • 2008
  • Due to unusual climate change and global warming, drought and flood happen frequently not only in Korea but also in all over the world. It leads to the serious damages and injuries in urban areas as well as rural areas. Since the concentration time is short and the flood flows increase urgently in urban stream basin, the chances of damages become large once heavy storm occurs. A decision support system for flood forecasting and warning in urban stream is developed as an alternative to alleviate the damages from heavy storm. It consists of model base management system based on ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System), database management system with real time data building capability and user friendly dialog generation and management system. Applying the system to the Tanceon river basin, it can forecast and warn the stream flows from the heavy storm in real time and alleviate the damages.

Flood Inundation Analysis using XP-SWMM Model in Urban Area (XP-SWMM 모형을 적용한 도시지역의 침수해석)

  • Lee, Jong-Hyeong;Yeon, Kee-Seuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2008
  • The flood damage shows different types in natural river watershed and in urban drainage watershed. In recent, increasing of the impervious area gives rise to short concentration time and high peak discharge comparing with natural watershed and it is a cause of urban flood damage. In this paper, we use a XP-SWMM model developed based on EPA-SWMM version for analyzing the inundation area, inundation depth and inundation area considering building effect. The two events(2005.06, 2005.07) has been used for the validation of model. HEC-RAS model has been applied for simulation of changing water level, and the results has been used for calculating area of the inundation. The observed inundation area(21.41 ha) in August, 1998 was in good agreement with the simulated value(23.45 ha) of XPSWMM model. An influence of inundation area considering building effects has been analized by the DTM of XP-SWMM model.

Application of the Poisson Cluster Rainfall Generation Model to the Urban Flood Analysis (포아송 클러스터 강우 생성 모형을 이용한 도시 홍수 해석)

  • Park, Hyunjin;Yang, Jungsuk;Han, Jaemoon;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.729-741
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the applicability of MBLRP (Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse) rainfall generation model for an urban flood simulation which is a type of Poisson cluster rainfall generation model. This study constructed XP-SWMM model for Namgajwa area of Hongjecheon basin, which is a two-dimensional pipe network-surface flood simulation program and computed a flood discharge and a flooded area with input data of synthetic rainfall time series of 200 years that were generated by the MBLRP model. This study compared the data of flood with synthetic rainfall and flood with corresponding values which were based on design rainfall. The results showed that the flooded area computed with MBLRP model was somewhat smaller than the corresponding values on the basis of the design. A degree of underestimation was from 8% (5 year) to 34% (200 year) and the degree of underestimation increased as a return period increased. This study is meaningful in that it proposes methodology that enables quantifiability of uncertain variables which are related to a flooding through Monte Carlo analysis of urban flooding simulation and applicability and limitations thereof.

Application and Comparison of Dynamic Artificial Neural Networks for Urban Inundation Analysis (도시침수 해석을 위한 동적 인공신경망의 적용 및 비교)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Keum, Ho Jun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.671-683
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    • 2018
  • The flood damage caused by heavy rains in urban watershed is increasing, and, as evidenced by many previous studies, urban flooding usually exceeds the water capacity of drainage networks. The flood on the area which considerably urbanized and densely populated cause serious social and economic damage. To solve this problem, deterministic and probabilistic studies have been conducted for the prediction flooding in urban areas. However, it is insufficient to obtain lead times and to derive the prediction results for the flood volume in a short period of time. In this study, IDNN, TDNN and NARX were compared for real-time flood prediction based on urban runoff analysis to present the optimal real-time urban flood prediction technique. As a result of the flood prediction with rainfall event of 2010 and 2011 in Gangnam area, the Nash efficiency coefficient of the input delay artificial neural network, the time delay neural network and nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs are 0.86, 0.92, 0.99 and 0.53, 0.41, 0.98 respectively. Comparing with the result of the error analysis on the predicted result, it is revealed that the use of nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs must be appropriate for the establishment of urban flood response system in the future.

Water Balance Estimate of LID Technique for Circulating Urban Design (순환형 도시계획에 따른 LID기술의 물수지 분석)

  • Kang, Sung-Hee;Heo, Woo-Myung;Kang, Sang-Hyeok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1065-1073
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    • 2015
  • Urbanization can be significantly affected the hydrologic cycle by increasing flood discharge and heat flux. In order to mitigate these modifications in urban areas, Low Impact Development (LID) technique has been designed and applied in Korea. In order to estimate runoff reduction rate using SWMM LID model, the characteristics of five LID techniques was firstly analyzed for water balance. Vegetated swale and green roof were not reduce flood discharge nor infiltration amount. On the other hand, porous pavement and infiltration trench were captured by infiltration function. The flood reduction rate with LID is substantially affected by their structures and properties, e.g., the percentage of the area installed with LID components and the percentage of the drainage area of the LID components.

Computation of Criterion Rainfall for Urban Flood by Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀에 의한 도시 침수발생의 한계강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2019
  • Due to the climate change and various rainfall pattern, it is difficult to estimate a rainfall criterion which cause inundation for urban drainage districts. It is necessary to examine the result of inundation analysis by considering the detailed topography of the watershed, drainage system, and various rainfall scenarios. In this study, various rainfall scenarios were considered with the probabilistic rainfall and Huff's time distribution method in order to identify the rainfall characteristics affecting the inundation of the Hyoja drainage basin. Flood analysis was performed with SWMM and two-dimensional inundation analysis model and the parameters of SWMM were optimized with flood trace map and GA (Genetic Algorithm). By linking SWMM and two-dimensional flood analysis model, the fitness ratio between the existing flood trace and simulated inundation map turned out to be 73.6 %. The occurrence of inundation according to each rainfall scenario was identified, and the rainfall criterion could be estimated through the logistic regression method. By reflecting the results of one/two dimensional flood analysis, and AWS/ASOS data during 2010~2018, the rainfall criteria for inundation occurrence were estimated as 72.04 mm, 146.83 mm, 203.06 mm in 1, 2 and 3 hr of rainfall duration repectively. The rainfall criterion could be re-estimated through input of continuously observed rainfall data. The methodology presented in this study is expected to provide a quantitative rainfall criterion for urban drainage area, and the basic data for flood warning and evacuation plan.

The probabilistic estimation of inundation region using a multiple logistic regression analysis (다중 Logistic 회귀분석을 통한 침수지역의 확률적 도출)

  • Jung, Minkyu;Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2020
  • The increase of impervious surface and development along the river due to urbanization not only causes an increase in the number of associated flood risk factors but also exacerbates flood damage, leading to difficulties in flood management. Flood control measures should be prioritized based on various geographical information in urban areas. In this study, a probabilistic flood hazard assessment was applied to flood-prone areas near an urban river. Flood hazard maps were alternatively considered and used to describe the expected inundation areas for a given set of predictors such as elevation, slope, runoff curve number, and distance to river. This study proposes a Bayesian logistic regression-based flood risk model that aims to provide a probabilistic risk metric such as population-at-risk (PAR). Finally, the logistic regression model demonstrates the probabilistic flood hazard maps for the entire area.

Assessing the Effect of Water and Heat Cycle of Green Roof System using Distributed Hydrological Model in Urban Area (분포형 수문모형을 이용한 도시지역 옥상녹화에 따른 물 및 열순환 영향 평가)

  • Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Kim, Yeon Mee;Nam, Mi A
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2013
  • The impervious area on the surface of urban area has been increased as buildings and artificial land cover have continually been increased. Urban development has gradually decreased the green zone in downtown and alienated the city from the natural environment on outskirt area devastating the natural ecosystem. There arise the environmental problems to urban area including urban heat island phenomenon, urban flood, air pollution and urban desertification. As one of urban plans to solve such problems, green roof system is attracting attentions. The purpose of this study was to investigate flood discharge and heat reduction effect according to the green roof system and to quantify effect by analyzing through simulation water and heat cycle before and after green roof system. For the analysis, Distributed hydrologic model, WEP (Water and Energy transfer Processes) and WEP+ model were used. WEP was developed by Dr. Jia, the Public Works Research Institute in Japan (Jia et al., 2005), which can simulate water and heat cycle of an urban area with complex land uses including calculation of spatial and temporal distributions of water and heat cycle components. The WEP+ is a visualization and analysis system for the WEP model developed by Korea Institute of Construction Technology (KICT).

Accuracy evaluation of 2D inundation analysis results of simplified SWMM according to sewer network scale (하수관망 규모에 따른 단순화 SWMM에 대한 2차원 침수분석결과의 정확성 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Hwan;Kang, Seong-gyu;Yuk, Gi-Moon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.531-543
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    • 2019
  • Constructing a reliable runoff model and reducing model runtime are important in research of real-time urban flood forecasting to reduce the repetitive flood damage. Sewer networks in the major urban basin such as Seoul are vast and complex so that it is not suitable for real-time urban flood forecasting. Therefore, the rainfall-runoff model should be simplified. However, the runoff results due to the simplification of sewer networks can vary depending on the subjectivity and simplification method of the researcher and there is a significant difference especially in 2-D inundation analysis. In this study, the sewer networks in various urban basins with different numbers and distributions of sewer networks were simplified to certain criteria. The accuracy of the simplification model according to the sewer network scale is evaluated by 2-D inundation analysis. The runoff models of Gwanak, Sillim, and Dorimcheon, frequently inundated basins were simplified based on four simplification ranges due to the cumulative drainage area set as a criterion for calculating the simplification range. This study will be expected that the inundation result of simplification models estimated through the analysis can contribute to the construction of a reasonable and accurate runoff model suitable for real-time flood forecasting.