• 노동경제논집
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.1-25
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• 2000

본 연구는 "경제활동인구조사"(통계청)를 패널화하여, 경제위기를 전후한 실업구조의 변화를 분석하였다. 경제위기 이후 실업을 경유한 노동이동성이 크게 증가하고 있을 뿐만 아니라, 실업경험자의 3분의 1은 2회 이상의 실업상태를 되풀이하는 반복실업(recurrent unemployment)을 경험하고 있으며, 이러한 반복실업 경험자는 사실상의 장기실업상태를 경험하고 있음을 밝히고 있다. 특히 제도화된 사회적 보호수준이 미약한 상태에서는 단기간의 취업과 실업을 빈번하게 이동하는 반복실업이 실업 장기화의 주요한 현상임을 시사하고 있다.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제13권12호
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• pp.33-39
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• 2022

Purpose: This research investigates the paths of some important economic variables: government domestic product (GDP), capital accumulation, unemployment rates. Decreasing GDP, declining capital accumulation and higher unemployment affect to South Korea economy. The macroeconomic policies discussed are all capital financed accumulation policy and an enactment of unemployment regulation. Research design, data and methodology: The GDP, capital accumulation rates and unemployment rates are the main macroeconomic issues in the South Korea. This research studies the correlations of the GDP, capital accumulation, and unemployment rates by time series data from 2000 to 2005 in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR). Results: The first, GDP relates a positive effect between the GDP and capital accumulation in the long term. The second, there is the negative relationship between GDP and unemployment rates. Economic growth was strongly supported by employment growth and by declining unemployment. The third, There is positive relationship between unemployment rates and capital accumulation. Conclusions: This research provides that fiscal policy introduce to increasing GDP, private investments and employment rates. The GDP should be major on capital accumulation to increase employment rates in South Korea.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.277-288
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• 2022

Purpose - This study analyzed the determinants of local unemployment rate in Korea using panel data from 16 metropolitan cities and provinces from 2000 to 2018. Design/methodology/approach - We use a dynamic spatial panel model that considers characteristics of the regional unemployment rate such as the common factors effect, spatial dependence, and serial correlations. Findings - The local unemployment rate is affected by the past and present values of the national unemployment rate. And it is significantly affected by the past local unemployment rate and the past neighboring unemployment rate because spatial dependence and serial correlations are clearly present. In addition, when the industrial structure diversity and labor productivity were high, the regional unemployment rate decreased, and when the education level was high, the regional unemployment rate increased. Research implications or Originality - In order to reduce regional unemployment rate, it is necessary to plan and establish regional customized industrial structure policies under the stance of diversification rather than specializing the regional industrial structure and accompany improvement of the quality of education with the number of years of education. In addition, the redistribution of labor from low labor productivity sectors to high labor productivity sectors through technology development will help to reduce the local unemployment rate.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.763-769
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• 2021

The relationship between government size and unemployment is an important topic of study in economics. Large public expenditure has been blamed for causing higher unemployment contrary to the belief that it would help in reducing unemployment. More research on the topic, however, needs to be done as the available literature has been based largely on data from developed countries. The present paper examines the existence of the relationship in states of India by using panel data analysis. For more comprehensive study, public expenditure is divided into development, non-development, and aggregate expenditures, while the types of unemployment under consideration are usual status and current weekly status. Indeed, it has been observed that development and non-development expenditures increase both the types of unemployment though the impact of the latter is higher. The findings are important as it implies that a cut in expenditure can be an important fiscal tool to fight unemployment. It was further observed that unemployment was higher among states with a more educated population, which also suggests a revisiting of the education policy in the country. States ruled by left parties have higher unemployment rate. Higher income states as well as states with higher growth rate tend to have lower unemployment rate.

• 한국사회복지학
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• 제45권
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• pp.7-39
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• 2001

This paper examines the effect of active labor market policy on the unemployment rates in 8 welfare states. This paper focuses on the following questions: what are the major predictors of the changes in unemployment rates?; and what is the effect of active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates? Using the data from Comparative Welfare States Data Set by Stephens (1997), Key Indicators of the Labour Market by ILO (1999) and Social Expenditure Database by OECD (1999), this paper attempts to answer the above research questions. Fuller-Battese model, a data analysis method in pooled cross-sectional time-series analysis, is adopted to identify variables predicting changes in unemployment rates. This paper analyzes the predictors by using 3 analysis models about 2 types of unemployment (overall unemployment and long term unemployment). Results are as follows: (1) economic variable such as changes in GDP has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; (2) active labor market policy has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates as well; (3) job brokering service among 3 major active labor market programs has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; and (4) there is an interaction effect between unemployment benefit level and active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates. Through the empirical analysis, this paper provides valuable knowledge about effects of active labor market policy on unemployment in 8 welfare states and discusses implications for the active labor market policy in Korea.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.59-86
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• 2002

Using the simulated data set which is based upon the data set merging Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS) and the Supplementary Survey (SS) in 1998-2001, this paper examines the relevance of alternative programs Unemployment Insurance Savings Account (UISA) and Pension-funded Unemployment Benefit (PUB) - to unemployment insurance system in Korea. Estimating the relative size of unemployment benefit and IA balance under a specific type of UISA or PUB by simulation, this paper yields the two main results. First, replacing UI by UISA with the same benefit being maintained would be beneficial in terms of search efficiency in general, although its effectiveness is a little doubtful as for the non-regular workers. Second, the PUB is better than UISA as an alternative to UI, and also works relatively well even for the non-regular workers.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.301-335
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• 2014

In this paper, we consider a small open economy under the New Keynesian model with unemployment of Gal$\acute{i}$ (2011a, b) to discuss the design of the monetary policy. Our findings can be summarized in three parts. First, even with the existence of unemployment, the optimal policy is to minimize variance of domestic price inflation, wage inflation, and the output gap when both domestic price and wage are sticky. Second, stabilizing unemployment rate is important in reducing the welfare loss incurred by both technology and labor supply shocks. Therefore, introducing the unemployment rate as an another argument into the Taylor-rule type interest rate rule will be welfare-enhancing. Lastly, controlling CPI inflation is the best option when the policy is not allowed to respond to unemployment rate. Once the unemployment rate is controlled, however, stabilizing power of CPI inflation-based Taylor rule is diminished.

• 한국사회복지학
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• 제37권
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• pp.1-31
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• 1999

실직자의 재취업 실태 및 실업기간에 관한 실증연구는 지난 수 십년간 실업(고용)보험의 연구에 있어 중요한 부분을 차지하여 왔지만, 우리나라에서는 이러한 주제에 관한 체계적 실증 연구가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구는 1996년 7월부터 1997턴 12월까지 18개월간 총 60,141명의 실업급여 수급권자 중 1997년 6월까지의 실업급여 수급권자 40,175명을 대상으로 생존분석의 Life table 분석과 Accelerated Failure Time 모델분석을 실시하여, 실직자 및 실업급여 관련 변수들이 실업탈피 기대기간(expected unemployment period)에 미치는 영향력을 측정 분석하였다. 생존분석결과 최장 실직기간까지 실업상태로 남아있는 수급권자들의 비율(누적생존율)이 64.83%나 되었다. Accelerated Failure Time 모델 중 Log-Normal Model에 의한 분석결과 교육수준과 상시근로자수를 제외한 대부분의 독립변수들이 재취업까지의 기대기간에 통계적으로 유의미한 영향력을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 실종분석 결과를 바탕으로 고학력, 고임금을 받던 화이트칼라 노동자들에 대한 적극적 노동시장정책의 필요성과 지역 및 업종의 재취업여건 차이를 감안한 실업대책의 필요성을 제언하였으며, 실업급여의 제도적 변수가 나타내는 순수한 효과를 파악하기 위한 다각적인 후속연구의 필요성을 제기하였다.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.75-95
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• 2002

본 연구는 빈곤과 실업의 결정요인과 상호관계를 살펴보고, 복지정책의 효과를 분석해 본다. 특히, 빈곤가구와 가구주의 특성, 가구주의 경제활동상태 변화 및 이들 변수에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 분석해 본다. probit 모형과 bivariate probit 모형을 이용한 실증분석 결과, 빈곤의 주된 원인으로 실업이 작용했고, 가구월수, 가구주의 연령 및 저학력 등도 원인으로 작용했음이 밝혀졌다. 사회보험 수급 등을 포함하는 복지정책은 이러한 실업이 빈곤에 미치는 영향을 축소시키는 요인으로 역할하고 있음이 추정 결과 나타났다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1603-1608
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• 2012

실업의 규모는 실업상태에 진입하는 진입률의 크기와 실업상태의 지속기간이라는 두가지 요인에 의하여 결정된다. 본 연구는 실업의 지속기간을 측정하는 모형을 개발하여 다양한 형태의 실업자들의 실업지속기간을 측정하고자 한다. 분석결과 신규실업참가자의 실업지속기간과 실직자들의 실업지속기간의 결정요인은 서로 다르다는 것을 보인다. 모형을 이용하여 최근 대학 졸업자들이 노동시장에 신규로 참여하여 장기간 구직활동을 하는데 그 요인을 설명한다.