• 제목/요약/키워드: underestimation

검색결과 348건 처리시간 0.031초

한국형수치예보모델 KIM의 폭염 예측 성능 검증 (Evaluation of Heat Waves Predictability of Korean Integrated Model)

  • 정지영;이은희;박혜진
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.277-295
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    • 2022
  • The global weather prediction model, Korean Integrated Model (KIM), has been in operation since April 2020 by the Korea Meteorological Administration. This study assessed the performance of heat waves (HWs) in Korea in 2020. Case experiments during 2018-2020 were conducted to support the reliability of assessment, and the factors which affect predictability of the HWs were analyzed. Simulated expansion and retreat of the Tibetan High and North Pacific High during the 2020 HW had a good agreement with the analysis. However, the model showed significant cold biases in the maximum surface temperature. It was found that the temperature bias was highly related to underestimation of downward shortwave radiation at surface, which was linked to cloudiness. KIM tended to overestimate nighttime clouds that delayed the dissipation of cloud in the morning, which affected the shortage of downward solar radiation. The vertical profiles of temperature and moisture showed that cold bias and trapped moisture in the lower atmosphere produce favorable conditions for cloud formation over the Yellow Sea, which affected overestimation of cloud in downwind land. Sensitivity test was performed to reduce model bias, which was done by modulating moisture mixing parameter in the boundary layer scheme. Results indicated that the daytime temperature errors were reduced by increase in surface solar irradiance with enhanced cloud dissipation. This study suggested that not only the synoptic features but also the accuracy of low-level temperature and moisture condition played an important role in predicting the maximum temperature during the HWs in medium-range forecasts.

Linear Energy Transfer Dependence Correction of Spread-Out Bragg Peak Measured by EBT3 Film for Dynamically Scanned Proton Beams

  • Lee, Moonhee;Ahn, Sunghwan;Cheon, Wonjoong;Han, Youngyih
    • 한국의학물리학회지:의학물리
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Gafchromic films for proton dosimetry are dependent on linear energy transfers (LETs), resulting in dose underestimation for high LETs. Despite efforts to resolve this problem for single-energy beams, there remains a need to do so for multi-energy beams. Here, a bimolecular reaction model was applied to correct the under-response of spread-out Bragg peaks (SOBPs). Methods: For depth-dose measurements, a Gafchromic EBT3 film was positioned in water perpendicular to the ground. The gantry was rotated at 15° to avoid disturbances in the beam path. A set of films was exposed to a uniformly scanned 112-MeV pristine proton beam with six different dose intensities, ranging from 0.373 to 4.865 Gy, at a 2-cm depth. Another set of films was irradiated with SOBPs with maximum energies of 110, 150, and 190 MeV having modulation widths of 5.39, 4.27, and 5.34 cm, respectively. The correction function was obtained using 150.8-MeV SOBP data. The LET of the SOBP was then analytically calculated. Finally, the model was validated for a uniform cubic dose distribution and compared with multilayered ionization chamber data. Results: The dose error in the plateau region was within 4% when normalized with the maximum dose. The discrepancy of the range was <1 mm for all measured energies. The highest errors occurred at 70 MeV owing to the steep gradient with the narrowest Bragg peak. Conclusions: With bimolecular model-based correction, an EBT3 film can be used to accurately verify the depth dose of scanned proton beams and could potentially be used to evaluate the depth-dose distribution for patient plans.

자기 지도 학습훈련 기반의 Noise2Void 네트워크를 이용한 PET 영상의 잡음 제거 평가: 팬텀 실험 (The Evaluation of Denoising PET Image Using Self Supervised Noise2Void Learning Training: A Phantom Study)

  • 윤석환;박찬록
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.655-661
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    • 2021
  • Positron emission tomography (PET) images is affected by acquisition time, short acquisition times results in low gamma counts leading to degradation of image quality by statistical noise. Noise2Void(N2V) is self supervised denoising model that is convolutional neural network (CNN) based deep learning. The purpose of this study is to evaluate denoising performance of N2V for PET image with a short acquisition time. The phantom was scanned as a list mode for 10 min using Biograph mCT40 of PET/CT (Siemens Healthcare, Erlangen, Germany). We compared PET images using NEMA image-quality phantom for standard acquisition time (10 min), short acquisition time (2min) and simulated PET image (S2 min). To evaluate performance of N2V, the peak signal to noise ratio (PSNR), normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), structural similarity index (SSIM) and radio-activity recovery coefficient (RC) were used. The PSNR, NRMSE and SSIM for 2 min and S2 min PET images compared to 10min PET image were 30.983, 33.936, 9.954, 7.609 and 0.916, 0.934 respectively. The RC for spheres with S2 min PET image also met European Association of Nuclear Medicine Research Ltd. (EARL) FDG PET accreditation program. We confirmed generated S2 min PET image from N2V deep learning showed improvement results compared to 2 min PET image and The PET images on visual analysis were also comparable between 10 min and S2 min PET images. In conclusion, noisy PET image by means of short acquisition time using N2V denoising network model can be improved image quality without underestimation of radioactivity.

How to incorporate human failure event recovery into minimal cut set generation stage for efficient probabilistic safety assessments of nuclear power plants

  • Jung, Woo Sik;Park, Seong Kyu;Weglian, John E.;Riley, Jeff
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.110-116
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    • 2022
  • Human failure event (HFE) dependency analysis is a part of human reliability analysis (HRA). For efficient HFE dependency analysis, a maximum number of minimal cut sets (MCSs) that have HFE combinations are generated from the fault trees for the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of nuclear power plants (NPPs). After collecting potential HFE combinations, dependency levels of subsequent HFEs on the preceding HFEs in each MCS are analyzed and assigned as conditional probabilities. Then, HFE recovery is performed to reflect these conditional probabilities in MCSs by modifying MCSs. Inappropriate HFE dependency analysis and HFE recovery might lead to an inaccurate core damage frequency (CDF). Using the above process, HFE recovery is performed on MCSs that are generated with a non-zero truncation limit, where many MCSs that have HFE combinations are truncated. As a result, the resultant CDF might be underestimated. In this paper, a new method is suggested to incorporate HFE recovery into the MCS generation stage. Compared to the current approach with a separate HFE recovery after MCS generation, this new method can (1) reduce the total time and burden for MCS generation and HFE recovery, (2) prevent the truncation of MCSs that have dependent HFEs, and (3) avoid CDF underestimation. This new method is a simple but very effective means of performing MCS generation and HFE recovery simultaneously and improving CDF accuracy. The effectiveness and strength of the new method are clearly demonstrated and discussed with fault trees and HFE combinations that have joint probabilities.

Non-Gaussian features of dynamic wind loads on a long-span roof in boundary layer turbulences with different integral-scales

  • Yang, Xiongwei;Zhou, Qiang;Lei, Yongfu;Yang, Yang;Li, Mingshui
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2022
  • To investigate the non-Gaussian properties of fluctuating wind pressures and the error margin of extreme wind loads on a long-span curved roof with matching and mismatching ratios of turbulence integral scales to depth (Lux/D), a series of synchronized pressure tests on the rigid model of the complex curved roof were conducted. The regions of Gaussian distribution and non-Gaussian distribution were identified by two criteria, which were based on the cumulative probabilities of higher-order statistical moments (skewness and kurtosis coefficients, Sk and Ku) and spatial correlation of fluctuating wind pressures, respectively. Then the characteristics of fluctuating wind-loads in the non-Gaussian region were analyzed in detail in order to understand the effects of turbulence integral-scale. Results showed that the fluctuating pressures with obvious negative-skewness appear in the area near the leading edge, which is categorized as the non-Gaussian region by both two identification criteria. Comparing with those in the wind field with matching Lux/D, the range of non-Gaussian region almost unchanged with a smaller Lux/D, while the non-Gaussian features become more evident, leading to higher values of Sk, Ku and peak factor. On contrary, the values of fluctuating pressures become lower in the wind field with a smaller Lux/D, eventually resulting in underestimation of extreme wind loads. Hence, the matching relationship of turbulence integral scale to depth should be carefully considered as estimating the extreme wind loads of long-span roof by wind tunnel tests.

물 세척한 예천지역 화강풍화토의 입자분리와 입도분포 변화 특성 (Change in the Characteristics of Particle Separation and Particle Size Distribution of Weathered Granite Soil from the Yecheon Area (Eastern South Korea) after Water Washing)

  • 김석주
    • 지질공학
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.241-255
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 예천지역의 화강풍화토에 대하여 KS F 2302의 체 분석 방법과 규정에 준하여 체분석 시험을 수행하고, 물 세척시 발생되는 흙의 입자분리와 입도분포 변화의 특성을 비교 분석하였다. 광학현미경에 의한 영상이미지 분석결과 흙입자가 물에 의해 더 작은 입자로 분리됨을 확인하였고 입도분포곡선의 변화를 5가지 지표값으로 산출한 결과 세립분(0.075 mm)의 증가량은 13.67%, 임의 입경(0.25 mm)의 증가량은 19.44%, 입도분포곡선의 최대통과율폭(BM)은 #30 체에서 21.08%가 증가되었고 입도분포곡선의 이동면적(A)은 69.28%·mm로 분석되었으며 평균입경(D50)은 0.663 mm가 감소되었다. 이러한 결과는 물 세척을 수행하는 것이 세립토의 함량이 실제보다 과소평가 되는 것을 막을 수 있는 효과적인 방법임을 의미한다.

Predicting the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values

  • Togashi, Kenji;Adachi, Kazunori;Kurogi, Kazuhito;Yasumori, Takanori;Watanabe, Toshio;Toda, Shohei;Matsubara, Satoshi;Hirohama, Kiyohide;Takahashi, Tsutomu;Matsuo, Shoichi
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.804-813
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    • 2022
  • Objective: A formula is needed that is practical for current livestock breeding methods and that predicts the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs (sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters). The formula widely used to predict inbreeding neglects selection, we need to develop a new formula that can be applied with or without selection. Methods: The core of the prediction is to incorporate the long-tern genetic influence of the selected parents in four-selection paths executed as sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters. The rate of inbreeding was computed as the magnitude that is proportional to the sum of squared long-term genetic contributions of the parents of four-selection paths to the selected offspring. Results: We developed a formula to predict the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values and with discrete generations. The new formula can be applied with or without selection. Neglecting the effects of selection led to underestimation of the rate of inbreeding by 40% to 45%. Conclusion: The formula we developed here would be highly useful as a practical method for predicting the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs.

Energy cost of walking in older adults: accuracy of the ActiGraph accelerometer predictive equations

  • Ndahimana, Didace;Kim, Ye-Jin;Wang, Cui-Sang;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.565-576
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    • 2022
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Various accelerometer equations are used to predict energy expenditure (EE). On the other hand, the development of these equations and their validation studies have been conducted primarily without including older adults. This study assessed the accuracy of 8 ActiGraph accelerometer equations to predict the energy cost of walking in older adults. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Thirty-one participants with a mean age of 74.3 ± 3.3 yrs were enrolled in this study (20 men and 11 women). The participants completed 8 walking activities, including 5 treadmill and 3 self-paced walking activities. The EE was measured using a portable indirect calorimeter, with each participant simultaneously wearing the ActiGraph accelerometer. Eight ActiGraph equations were assessed for accuracy by comparing the predicted EE with indirect calorimetry results. RESULTS: All equations resulted in an overall underestimation of the EE across the activities (bias -1 to -1.8 kcal·min-1 and -0.7 to -1.8 metabolic equivalents [METs]), as well as during treadmill-based (bias -1.5 to -2.9 kcal·min-1 and -0.9 to -2.1 METs) and self-paced (bias -1.2 to -1.7 kcal·min-1 and -0.2 to -1.3 METs) walking. In addition, there were higher rates of activity intensity misclassifications, particularly among vigorous physical activities. CONCLUSIONS: The ActiGraph equations underestimated the EE for walking activities in older adults. In addition, these equations inaccurately classified the activities based on their intensities. The present study suggests a need to develop ActiGraph equations specific to older adults.

치과위생사의 의사소통능력에 대한 일반인과 치과위생사의 인식비교 : 상호지향성 모델 적용 (Comparison of perceptions of dental hygienists and general public about communication skills of dental hygienists : empirical test of co-orientation model)

  • 김선영;이보람
    • 한국치위생학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: In this study, dental hygienists' perceptions of dental hygienists' communication and general public's mutual perceptions were compared to seek development directions and plans for improving dental hygienists' communication skills, and furthermore, communication to increase satisfaction between the general public and dental hygienists. This study was conducted to provide basic data on the development and direction of competency improvement education. Methods: From April 1 to April 31, 2023, a survey was conducted through an online link for the general public with dental treatment experience and dental hygienists currently working at dentists in Gwangju and Jeonnam. A total of 258 questionnaires were collected. Independence t-test and paired t-test were performed using SPSS Statistics (ver. 21.0; IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) Results: As a result of analyzing the accuracy of the communication ability of dental hygienists, from the dental hygienist's point of view, general publics perceived that the dental hygienist's underestimation of their own communication ability was actually lower than the dental hygienist's underestimated communication ability. From the general public's point of view, dental hygienists overestimated their communication ability. In fact, dental hygienists perceived their general publics as higher than general public's overestimated communication ability. Conclusions: Based on these results, it is necessary to develop education and operate various educational programs to improve the communication skills of dental hygienists, and to rethink educational accessibility to increase participation in education and to publicize the professionalism of dental hygienists.

Comparison between 24-hour diet recall and 24-hour urine collection for estimating sodium and potassium intakes and their ratio among Korean adults

  • Taisun Hyun;Mi-Kyeong Choi;Young-Ran Heo;Heekyong Ro;Young-Hee Han;Yeon-Kyung Lee
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.284-296
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare 24-h diet recall (DR) and 24-h urine collection (UC) for estimating sodium and potassium intakes and their ratio (Na/K), identifying factors associated with sodium and potassium intakes and Na/K, and identifying those who were likely to underestimate sodium and potassium intakes by DR. SUBJECTS/METHODS: A total of 640 healthy adults aged 19-69 yrs completed a questionnaire survey, salty taste assessment, anthropometric measurement, two 24-h DRs, and two 24-h UCs. RESULTS: The mean sodium and potassium intakes and Na/K were 3,755 mg/d, 2,737 mg/d, and 1.45 according to DR, and 4,145 mg/d, 2,812 mg/d, and 1.57 according to UC, with percentage differences of -9.4%, -2.7%, and -7.6% in the values between the two methods, respectively. Men, older adults, smokers, obese individuals, those who consumed all the liquid in the soup, and those who were found to be salty in the salty taste assessment consumed significantly more sodium; older adults, the heavy- activity group, and obese individuals consumed more potassium; and men, younger adults, smokers, and obese individuals had a significantly higher Na/K, according to UC. Compared with UC, DR was more likely to underestimate sodium intake in older adults, smokers, obese individuals, those who consumed all the liquid in the soup, and those who consumed eating-out/delivery food at least once a day, and potassium intake in older adults, the heavy-activity group, and obese individuals. CONCLUSIONS: The mean sodium and potassium intakes and Na/K estimated by DR were comparable to those measured by UC. However, the association of sodium and potassium intakes with sociodemographic and health-related factors showed inconsistent results when estimated by DR and UC. Factors influencing the underestimation of sodium intake by DR compared to UC should be further investigated.