• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertainty factor

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Optimum Design of a Simple Slope considering Multi Failure Mode (다중 파괴모드를 고려한 단순 사면의 최적 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ki;Shin, Min-Ho;Choi, Chan-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2010
  • Conventional slope stability analysis is focused on calculating minimum factor of safety or maximum probability of failure. To minimize inherent uncertainty of soil properties and analytical model and to reflect various analytical models and its failure shape in slope stability analysis, slope stability analysis method considering simultaneous failure probability for multi failure mode was proposed. Linear programming recently introduced in system reliability analysis was used for calculation of simultaneous failure probability. System reliability analysis for various analytical models could be executed by this method. Optimum design to determine angle of a simple slope is executed for multi failure mode using linear programming. Because of complex consideration for various failure shapes and modes, it is possible to secure advanced safety by using simultaneous failure probability.

Organizational commitment and organizational creativity: The moderating effect of training motivation (정서적 몰입과 조직 창의성의 관계: 학습동기의 조절효과)

  • Shin, Soo-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2018
  • For sustainable management under uncertainty, organizations should explore factors influencing organizational creativity. This research examined affective commitment as the factor expected to increase organizational creativity. Clarifying the relationship between affective commitment and organizational creativity, we consider training motivation as a moderator. The participants in this empirical study were 472 employees and 64 firms' CEO to confirm hypotheses that training motivation make strengthen the positive relationship between affective commitment and organizational creativity. Results showed that organizational creativity was associated with affective commitment. Moreover, there was a moderating effect of training motivation on the relationship between organizational commitment and organizational creativity. This study attempted to avoid common method bias by using different sources such as CEO's response and employees' response. The implications for future research are discussed, including exploring the mechanism of organizational creativity and practice.

Probabilistic Approach for Predicting Degradation Characteristics of Corrosion Fatigue Crack (환경피로균열 열화특성 예측을 위한 확률론적 접근)

  • Lee, Taehyun;Yoon, Jae Young;Ryu, KyungHa;Park, Jong Won
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.271-279
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Probabilistic safety analysis was performed to enhance the safety and reliability of nuclear power plants because traditional deterministic approach has limitations in predicting the risk of failure by crack growth. The study introduces a probabilistic approach to establish a basis for probabilistic safety assessment of passive components. Methods: For probabilistic modeling of fatigue crack growth rate (FCGR), various FCGR tests were performed either under constant load amplitude or constant ${\Delta}K$ conditions by using heat treated X-750 at low temperature with adequate cathodic polarization. Bayesian inference was employed to update uncertainties of the FCGR model using additional information obtained from constant ${\Delta}K$ tests. Results: Four steps of Bayesian parameter updating were performed using constant ${\Delta}K$ test results. The standard deviation of the final posterior distribution was decreased by a factor of 10 comparing with that of the prior distribution. Conclusion: The method for developing a probabilistic crack growth model has been designed and demonstrated, in the paper. Alloy X-750 has been used for corrosion fatigue crack growth experiments and modeling. The uncertainties of parameters in the FCGR model were successfully reduced using the Bayesian inference whenever the updating was performed.

The Effects of the Social Risk on the Resistance of Purchase in Mobile Shopping (모바일 쇼핑의 사회적 위험이 구매저항에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Hye-Mi;Lee, Kyeong-Rak;Lee, Sang-Joon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2014
  • All of smart phone users not always make a good use of mobile shopping. The main cause is that in case of non-user of mobile shopping, potential apprehension to psychological and security weakness affects building up resistance on mobile shopping. In this paper, we designed models of innovation resistance heavily based on literature reviews and previous studies, and tried to find how perceived risk affects consumer's purchase intention in mobile shopping process. In conclusion, it shows that security, one of psychological factors, affects perceived risk in all aspects, while negative influence of society and cognitive dissonance just affect social risk and delivery risk, and uncertainty also just affects performance risk. Besides, it shows that all of variables made up perceived risk affects resistance of purchase. Especially social risk turns out to be a most influential factor to purchase behavior through smart phone.

Reliability Updates of Driven Piles Using Proof Pile Load Test Results (검증용 정재하시험 자료를 이용한 항타강관말뚝의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kwak, Ki-Seok;Chung, Moon-Kyung;Kim, Jun-Young;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.324-337
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    • 2010
  • For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was constructed based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability index of driven steel pile piles by adding more pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, into the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio and the total load distribution using First-order Reliability Method (FORM). The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian update are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis or resistance factors calibration.

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A Study on the Relationship between Organizational Culture, Organizational Commitment and Organization Citizenship Behavior in hospitals (병원 조직문화 및 조직몰입과 조직시민행동 간의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Chul;Choi, Su-Hyung
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2002
  • D. W. Organ(1977) published a paper about the importance of Organizational Citizenship Behavior(OCB) in an organization. Since then, the studies of OCB have been continuously increased. As recent business environment has changed with rapidity and uncertainty, OCB for the improvement performance of organization should be more emphasized. Role behaviors of organization are divided into two parts such as in-role behavior and extra-role behavior. In recent, although the researches about extra-role behavior have been studied, they are still not sufficient. This study attempted to examine relationships between organizational culture, organizational commitment and organizational citizenship behavior, Sample was 193 employee engaged in hospitals of Pusan. In this study I chose four factor(affective, conservative, task and innovative culture) of organizational culture and three factors (affective, continuous and normative commitment) of organizational commitment and five factors(altruism, conscientiousness, courtesy, civic virtue and sportsmanship) with regard to organization citizenship behavior. The major findings of the empirical research are as follows ; 1. The Causal relation of dimensions of organizational culture and dimensions of OCB. 1) Affective culture has significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. 2) Conservative culture has no significant impact on all of OCB. 3) Task culture has significant impact on conscientiousness, civic virtue, sportsmanship of OCB. 4) Innovative culture has no significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. 2. The Causal relation of dimensions of organizational commitment and dimensions of OCB. 1) Affective commitment has significant impact on all of OCB. 2) Continuous commitment has no significant impact on all of OCB. 3) Normative commitment has significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. In brief, though this study has several limitations in research design and methods, the results suggest that organizational culture of hospitals and organizational comitment of hospitals shows a strong relationship to the organization citizenship behavior.

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A Study on the Attraction Factors of the Enetertainment Industry (엔터테인먼트산업의 어트랙션 요소에 관한 연구)

  • 이호숭
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2002
  • The psychological system of human beings has gone through changes from material satisfaction to spiritual satisfaction. That is, $\ulcorner$From real goods to feel goods$\lrcorner$: much attention is not paid to physical consumption of real products but to consumption of time containing information value such as services capable of enriching and entertaining life. Entertainment is a cultural industry based on mass consumption culture. In this context, this research is designed to look into the entertainment tendency of the industrial areas and to take a look at various forms of attraction serving as the factor of absorption to users. The study indicates that the moderns impose much value on invisible goods such as experience. And the most popularized method is to appeal to clients for sensory interaction by presenting the experience of joy. Entertainment in a true sense is generated on the basis of creativity, which is a product of intuition and efforts directed toward the understanding of emotional ties with the general public characterized by uncertainty.

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A Study on Correlation of Saccharin QLFT and CNC QNFT for Respirators (호흡기보호구에 대한 Saccharin QLFT와 CNC QNFT간 상관성에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Don-Hee;Na, Myung Chai;Lee, Sang-Gon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 1997
  • A quantitative fit test, condensation nuclei counting(Portacount 8025, TSI), was performed concurrently with a qualitative fit test, sodium saccharin(FT-10, 3M) to evaluate FF values and to determine the correlation between two methods. Two brands of full facepieces, T, S and two brands of half masks, T, S, were fit tested, respectively, on 103 wearers one time. The FF values obtained by CNC QNFT were lognormally distributed. The FF values for T brand of respirators were statistically very much higher than those for S brand of respirators. For a full facepiece wearer combination having a $FF{\leq}100$, as determined by CNC QNFT, the point estimate of the probability of that combination not being rejected by the saccharin QLFT was found to be 0.09 with 90% confidence that this statistic is not expected to exceed 0.25. For a half mask wearer combination having a $FF{\leq}10$, as determined by CNC QNFT, the point estimate of the probability of that combination not being rejected by the saccharin QLFT was found to be 0.10 with 90%, confidence that this statistic is not expected to exceed 0.23. The uncertainty associated with each estimate, however, is large due to the small number of study subjects with inadequately fitting respirators. This result indicates that saccharin QLFT may be more suitable for adequately fitting respirators than inadequately fitting respirators.

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Monte Carlo Photon and Electron Dose Calculation Time Reduction Using Local Least Square Denoising Filters (국소 최소자승 잡음 감소 필터를 이용한 광자선 및 전자선 몬테칼로 선량 계산 시간 단축)

  • Cheong Kwang-Ho;Suh Tae-Suk;Cho Byung-Chul;Jin Hosang
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2005
  • The Monte Carlo method cannot have been used for routine treatment planning because of heavy time consumption for the acceptable accuracy. Since calculation time is proportional to particle histories, we can save time by decreasing the number of histories. However, a small number of histories can cause serious uncertainties. In this study, we proposed Monte Carlo dose computation time and uncertainty reduction method using specially designed filters and adaptive denoising process. Proposed algorithm was applied to 6 MV photon and 21 MeV electron dose calculations in homogeneous and heterogeneous phantoms. Filtering time was negligible comparing to Monte Carlo simulation time. The accuracy was improved dramatically in all situations and the simulation of 1 $\%$ to 10$\%$ number of histories of benchmark in photon and electron dose calculation showed the most beneficial result. The empirical reduction of necessary histories was about a factor of ten to fifty from the result.

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A Study on the Application of Fuzzy membership function in GIS Spatial Analysis - In the case of Evaluation of Waste Landfill - (GIS 공간분석에 있어 Fuzzy 함수의 적용에 관한 연구 -쓰레기 매립장 적지분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lim, Seung-Hyeon;Hwang, Ju-Tae;Park, Young-Ki;Lee, Jang-Choon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.15 no.2 s.40
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2007
  • In this study, a GIS spatial analysis method adopted fuzzy concept was introduced and land suitability analysis of waste landfill were conducted through this method. Previous studies conducted site evaluation and land suitability analysis by appling spatial overlay of conventional GIS that based on the boolean logic of crisp set. However these method can not consider the uncertainty of spatial data and the incongruity of data classification criteria, because these method handle spatial data based on the boolean logic of crisp set. As not provided trustable analysis result, conventional GIS spatial overlay method lacks opportunity for expanding use in reality. This study selected waste landfill as facility for analysis and applied fuzzy spatial analysis method as an objective approach. In the concrete contents of study, a series process with regard to the definition procedure of membership function for continuous data and the fuzzy input value generation of spatial data for fuzzy analysis is established. As a result, in this study we proposed a method that derive parameters for deciding the membership function of spatial data by considering the criterion of data classification and factor selection for land suitability analysis of waste landfill.

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