• 제목/요약/키워드: uncertainty factor

검색결과 625건 처리시간 0.024초

참조표준 등록을 위한 천문역법 자료 분석 (ANALYSIS OF ASTRONOMICAL ALMANAC DATA FOR NATIONAL STANDARD REFERENCE DATA)

  • 양홍진;안영숙;이기원
    • 천문학논총
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2008
  • Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI), direct decendant of Korea National Astronomy Observatory, has been publishing Korean Astronomical Almanac since in 1976. The almanac contains essential data in our daily lives such as the times of sunrise, sunset, moonrise, and moonset, conversion tables between luni-solar and solar calendars, and so forth. So, we are planning to register Korean astronomical almanac data for national Standard Reference Data(SRD), which is a scientific/technical data whose the reliablity and the accuracy are authorized by scientific analysis and evalution. To be certificated as national SRD, reference data has to satisfy several criteria such as traceability, consistency, uncertainty, and so on. Based on similarity among calculation processes, we classified astronomical almanac data into three groups: Class I, II, and III. We are planning to register them for national SRD in consecutive order. In this study, we analyzed Class I data which is aimed to register in 2009, and presented the results. Firstly, we found that the traceability and the consistency can be ensured by the usage of NASA/JPL DE405 ephemeris and by the comparsion with international data, respectively. To evaluate uncertainty in Class I data, we solved the mathematical model and determined the factors influencing the calculations. As a result, we found that the atmospheric refraction is the main factor and leads to a variation of ${\pm}16$ seconds in the times of sunrise and sunset. We also briefly review the histories of astronomical almanac data and of standard reference data in Korea.

불확실한 환경에서의 효과적 기획을 위한 시나리오 기반 기술로드맵 프로세스의 개발 (Development of Technology Roadmaps under Uncertainty)

  • 전정환;금영정
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.492-515
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    • 2015
  • 기술과 시장이 빠르게 발전하면서 불확실성을 기획 현장에 반영하는 활동은 매우 중요한 일로 고려되어 왔다. 따라서 기술기획의 대표적 도구인 기술로드맵의 작성에 있어서도 다양한 불확실성을 고려하는 일이 중요한 연구주제로 고려되어 왔다. 그러나 대부분 기존 연구들은 특정 산업에서의 사례연구 중심으로 이루어져 왔으며, 일반적인 상황에서 활용될 수 있는 체계적인 프레임워크나 방법론적 지원에 관한 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 잠재적 시나리오 요인을 파악하고, 이들 시나리오 요인의 관계 및 영향을 판단하여, 분석 결과를 기술로드맵 프로세스에 반영하기 위한 연구를 수행하는 것을 포함하는 전체적인 프레임워크를 제안하고, 각 단계에서 필요한 구체적 방법론들을 제안하여 연계한다. 보다 구체적으로 본 연구는 전체 연구를 시나리오 분석, 초기 기술로드맵 작성, 시나리오 기반 로드맵 개발의 세 단계로 나누고 시나리오 요인을 파악하여 평가하기 위한 방법론, 시나리오 요인과 기획 요인간 관계를 반영하기 위한 QFD 기반 프레임워크, 마지막으로 시나리오 요인을 포함한 기술로드맵의 기본 구조를 제안하고자 한다.

여성 관절염 환자의 건강증진과 삶의 질 (Health Promoting Behaviors and Quality of Life of Korean Women with Arthritis)

  • 오현수
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.617-630
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    • 1993
  • Factors related to health promotion activities and quality of life in Korean women with arthritis have not been clearly identified. Predictors of health promotion might be identified that will enhance the well - being of this group. Accordingly, the findings of the study will contribute additional information about the relationship between health promotion and quality of life and will add to the research on quality of life of individuals with a leading cause of disability--arthritis. The purpose of the study was to examine the relationship of selected background factors (years of illness, perceived severity of illness, uncertainty in illness), perceived self- efficacy, and health promoting behaviors to the quality of life of Korean women with arthritis. A cross - sectional descriptive design was used in this study to investigate relationships among the variables of interest. The sample was composed of 96 women who had arhtrits and visited large university hospital in Seoul for regular check up or pre-scription of medication. The purpose of a descriptive correlational design was to determine the absence or presence of relationships among variables that were measurable (Polit & Hungler, 1981, p.147). The design of this study was appropriate because it yielded answers to the research questions and hypotheses regarding the relationships among the model variables. the Questionnaire contained demographic information, translated Mishel Uncertainty in illness Scale-Community form (MUIS-C) (Mishel, 1987), translated and modified Disease Course Graphic Scale(DCGS) which was developed by Braden (1990), translated Sherer. et al.’s General Self-Efficacy Scale (1982), The Health -Promoting Lifestyle Profile (HPLP), developed by Walker, Sechrist, and Fender (1987) and traslated to Korean by Ha, and quality of life was measured by Face Scale (Andrew, 1976). Several steps of verification for the translation process were carefully conducted. Data analysis included descriptive correlational statistics and multiple regression techniques. Health promotion was the only contributor to pre-dict quality of life. Results showed that enabling cognitive perceptual factor (self-efficacy) mediates the disruptive force (uncertainty in ill-ness) on achieving a health promoting self- help behavior. The findings of this study also indicated that illness - related variable of severity of illness was mediated by health promotion, which buffered it's impact on quality of life.

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국내 병원 종사자들의 보안스트레스에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Hospital Worker's Security Stress)

  • 현승훈;이창무
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제16권7호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2016
  • 오늘날 정보통신기술이 발달함에 따라 전산화된 의료정보의 유출 및 보호 문제가 사회적 이슈가 되었다. 더불어 정부에서도 의료기관의 정보보호를 위해 제도적 개선을 진행하고 있다. 그러나 의료기관의 정보보호 역량을 제고하기 위한 노력들은 자칫 의료기관 종사자들에게 스트레스를 증가시키고, 나아가 의료기관의 본질인 의료서비스의 질 하락을 야기할 수 있다. 따라서 의료기관이 관리하는 정보의 보호를 강화함에 있어서 의료기관 종사자들의 보안에 따른 스트레스 정도 및 그 선행요인들에 대해 연구할 필요성이 있다. 기존 연구를 분석하여 보안스트레스와 보안스트레스에 영향을 미치는 요인을 선정하였다. 이를 통해 업무 과중, 프라이버시 침해 그리고 업무 불확실성이라는 변수를 도출하였다. 본 연구는 국내 병원 종사자들 123명의 데이터를 수집, SPSS 21.0을 사용하여 검증하였다. 본 연구의 결과로 업무 과중, 프라이버시 침해, 그리고 업무 불확실성의 일부는 보안 스트레스에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 요인으로 나타났다.

신뢰성 기반 해석을 위한 국내 CFRD 사력존 재료의 전단파 속도 변동계수 결정 (Determination of the Coefficient of Variation of Shear Wave Velocity in Rock Filled Zone of CFRD (Concrete Faced Rock Filled Dam) for Reliability Based Analysis)

  • 박형춘;임희대
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2017
  • 지진과 같은 외부 하중하에서 CFRD 거동은 사력존의 전단파 속도(또는 전단 탄성계수)분포에 큰 영향을 받는다. 일반적으로 사력존의 전단파 속도 분포는 주상도의 형태로 표면파 시험과 같은 비파괴 시험에 의해 결정될 수 있다. 이때 한정된 수의 실험에서 결정된 전단파 속도 주상도에는 불확실성이 존재하며, 이러한 불확실성은 사력존에 존재하는 물성치 공간 변동성에 의해 발생하게 된다. 내진 해석과 같은 다양한 해석에서 물성치 변동성에 의해 발생할 수 있는 해석 결과의 불확실성은 신뢰성 기반 해석을 통해 고려될 수 있다. 신뢰성 기반해석에서는 재료 물성치의 변동계수 결정을 통해 이러한 불확실성을 해석에 반영한다. 본 연구에서는 국내 CFRD 사력존을 위한 전단파 속도변동계수를 결정하였다. 이를 위해 국내 CFRD 사력존에서 결정된 전단파 속도 주상도들과 하모닉 웨이브릿 해석에 기반한 기법을 사용하여 국내 CFRD 사력존에 존재 가능한 600개의 전단파 속도 주상도를 생성하고 이를 이용하여 사력존 전단파 속도 분포의 깊이별 변동계수를 결정하였다.

측정불확도를 적용한 차량검지기 속도측정 성능평가방법 개발 (Development of an Performance Evaluation Method for Vehicle Detector Speed Measurement Applying Uncertainty in Measurement)

  • 이환필;김용만;강동윤
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 차량검지기의 속도측정 성능평가방법을 개발하였다. 개발된 성능평가방법에서는 오차요인들을 기준속도에 반영하며 측정불확도의 개념을 적용하였다. 기존연구, 통계적 처리기법, 기존교통단속장비 및 차량검지시스템의 속도측정 성능평가방법 등에 대한 고찰을 통해 기존평가방법의 문제점을 도출하고 개선된 성능평가방법을 개발하였다, 실제 현장에 설치된 차량검지기에 대해서 기존평가방법과 개발방법을 적용해본 결과 기존평가방법은 평가기준에 적합하나 개발방법은 평가기준을 만족시키지 못하고 있다. 이러한 결과는 기존성능평가방법이 측정 시의 오차요인들을 충분히 고려하지 못해서 평가대상장비의 성능을 고평가할 가능성이 있음을 의미하며, 반면에 개발모형은 측정 시의 변동요인인 오차를 고려하므로 기존평가방법 보다 정확함을 나타낸다.

Uncertainty Requirement Analysis for the Orbit, Attitude, and Burn Performance of the 1st Lunar Orbit Insertion Maneuver

  • Song, Young-Joo;Bae, Jonghee;Kim, Young-Rok;Kim, Bang-Yeop
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.323-333
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the uncertainty requirements for orbit, attitude, and burn performance were estimated and analyzed for the execution of the $1^{st}$ lunar orbit insertion (LOI) maneuver of the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) mission. During the early design phase of the system, associate analysis is an essential design factor as the $1^{st}$ LOI maneuver is the largest burn that utilizes the onboard propulsion system; the success of the lunar capture is directly affected by the performance achieved. For the analysis, the spacecraft is assumed to have already approached the periselene with a hyperbolic arrival trajectory around the moon. In addition, diverse arrival conditions and mission constraints were considered, such as varying periselene approach velocity, altitude, and orbital period of the capture orbit after execution of the $1^{st}$ LOI maneuver. The current analysis assumed an impulsive LOI maneuver, and two-body equations of motion were adapted to simplify the problem for a preliminary analysis. Monte Carlo simulations were performed for the statistical analysis to analyze diverse uncertainties that might arise at the moment when the maneuver is executed. As a result, three major requirements were analyzed and estimated for the early design phase. First, the minimum requirements were estimated for the burn performance to be captured around the moon. Second, the requirements for orbit, attitude, and maneuver burn performances were simultaneously estimated and analyzed to maintain the $1^{st}$ elliptical orbit achieved around the moon within the specified orbital period. Finally, the dispersion requirements on the B-plane aiming at target points to meet the target insertion goal were analyzed and can be utilized as reference target guidelines for a mid-course correction (MCC) maneuver during the transfer. More detailed system requirements for the KPLO mission, particularly for the spacecraft bus itself and for the flight dynamics subsystem at the ground control center, are expected to be prepared and established based on the current results, including a contingency trajectory design plan.

Determinants of Opportunism between Franchisor and Franchisee: Focusing on the Moderating Effect of Startup Experience

  • LEE, Jibaek;LEE, Hee Tae;BAE, Jungho
    • 한국프랜차이즈경영연구
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study examines the opportunism moderating effect by the startup experience in the relationship between franchisor and franchisees. In the case of a franchise system that has a continuous relational exchange transaction, relationship management is a very important activity because the relationship management between franchisor and franchisees improves the quality of the relationship. Nevertheless, there is insufficient of research on opportunism, which is a negative factor in managing the relationship between franchisor and franchisees in continuous relationship. Research design, data and methodology: This study, we explore the cause of opportunism based on transaction cost theory through prior research and establish a research model based by goal incongruity, uncertainty, information asymmetry, transaction specific assets, the relevance to determinant of opportunism and the startup experienced which is a moderating variable. To verify several hypotheses, the data were collected from 300 out of 1,760 domestic franchisees and analyzed using multiple regression analysis with SPSS program. Results: The findings are as follows. Goal incongruity did not affect opportunism. Opportunism increased as uncertainty increased, and as information asymmetry increased, opportunism increased. An opportunism decreased as transaction specific assets increased. Moreover, the findings show that startup experience only plays a moderating role in the relationship between information asymmetry and opportunism. Therefore, 4 out of 8 hypotheses were supported. Conclusions: The findings show that uncertainty, information asymmetry, and transaction specific assets are the determinants of opportunism. In addition, the results of the analysis of the moderating role of startup experience show that the less entrepreneurial experience, the greater the influence of information asymmetry on opportunism. Our findings mean that maintaining a successful relationship between franchisors and franchisees is possible when franchisors provide knowledge sharing, goal sharing, environmental sharing, and management information sharing to franchisees. In addition, the findings of this study shows that the contract content and management should be changed according to the entrepreneurial experience. In other words, the franchisors must share and integrate the accumulated franchisees' and franchisors' experience with the franchisees to create a synergy that can lead to successful bilateral relationship maintenance, which in turn reduces opportunism.

국내 패션 기업과 협력업체와의 관계에서 신뢰와 몰입의 선행변인과 결과변인 (Antecedents and Consequences of Trust and Commitment in Apparel Manufacturer-Contractor Relationships)

  • 박나리;박재옥
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2012
  • This research investigates the effect of the antecedents (i.e. specific investment, opportunistic behavior, communications, uncertainty, interdependence, power imbalance, shared value, and flexibility) that influence the trust and commitment of domestic apparel manufacturers toward contractors as well as the effect of trust and commitment on firm performance and relationship satisfaction. A total of 128 apparel manufactures participated in this study. Factor analysis, Cronbach's alpha coefficient, and path analysis were conducted for the statistical analysis. Specific investment, communication, shared value, and flexibility had a positive effect on trust; however, opportunistic behavior had a negative effect. Interdependence, shared value, and flexibility had a positive effect on commitment; however, power imbalance and uncertainty had a negative effect. Trust did not exert an effect on commitment in this research; however, trust and commitment had a positive effect on firm performance; in addition, trust and commitment had a positive effect on relationship satisfaction. The findings offer insight on how to better manage apparel manufacturer-contractor relationships to ensure success.

재가 여성노인의 약물 얽매임 경험 (Experiences of Being Tied with Drugs in the Elderly Women in Community)

  • 김정선
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제36권7호
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    • pp.1215-1223
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This study was done to understand elderly women within a community who have used lots of drugs. Method: Data was collected through in-depth interviews with four elderly women from April 2001 to February 2002. Data was analyzed by Giorgi's phenomenological method(2000). Results: The components in common with drug usage of elderly women were as follows: 'Awareness of the limitation of physical strength and uncertainty of life', 'Dread of a crisis situation occurring', 'Attachment and dependency on drugs', 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The general structure of experiences was as follows: causal factors were 'Awareness of uncertainty and limitation', 'dread of a crisis situation occurring' the results factor was 'Attachment and dependency on drugs' and the facilitating factors were 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The causal relation was cyclic. This structure showed a realistic adaptation pattern. Conclusion: This study contributed to provide fundamental data for nursing interventions for health promotion and promoting quality of life in elderly women by increasing understanding of the experiences of drugs use.