• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 1999년도 춘계학술발표회요약집
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• pp.21-21
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• 1999

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.1-28
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 시나리오 기반의 전략적 미래예측을 통하여 2030년경 우리나라의 원전산업 분야를 정성적으로 분석하였다. 구체적으로 STEEP맵 작성과 네트워크 분석(Network Analysis)을 활용하여 다차원적인 관점에서 미래원전산업 분야 환경변화 영향요인간의 관계성을 규명하였다. 이어 시나리오 기법을 활용하여 미래원전산업의 핵심 불확실성 요인(Key Uncertainty Factor: KUF)을 중심으로 예상 가능한 3가지의 전략적 시나리오 (Optimistic, Business as usual, Pessimistic)를 생성하고, 해외 원전수출을 위해 정부가 시급히 추진해야 될 시나리오별 공통전략과 최대 위험회피 전략도 함께 제시하였다. 본 연구결과를 통해 에너지 가격, 세계 경기 동향, 원전기술 경쟁력, 원전 마케팅 능력 등이 미래 원전산업 분야의 핵심 불확실성 요인으로 작용함을 알 수 있었다. 또한, 실효성 있는 미래원전 산업의 수출전략 마련을 위해서는 '원전 안전 등 기술력 확보', '원전 인력 확보', '우라늄 등 안정적 자원 확보' 및 '원전 수용성 증대'등에 관한 전략 추진이 중요 정책과제로 상정되어야 함을 제안 하였다. 끝으로 이러한 연구결과에 따른 시사점과 연구의 한계에 대하여 논의하였다.

• 한국관광식음료학회지:관광식음료경영연구
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.111-122
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• 2001

This study analyzed the relationships among perceptions of uncertainty, environmental characteristics and strategy maker\`s actual decision such as resource allocation in different organizational subunits by focusing on the hotel general managers in two different countries Korea and Japan. The results show that managerial perceptions of the environment would vary across organizations within an industry but it was surprising to fad that managerial perceptions did not vary more substantially across countries. General managers in both countries perceived government regulator\`s actions to be the most uncertain environmental factor. Hotels in Japan were more geared toward external effectiveness than were hotels in Korea. The findings of this study also suggest that when the organization faces high environmental uncertainty, it places greater emphasis on extemally oriented functions such as market research and product development.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.499-507
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• 2018

Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV), which are becoming more and more important in ocean exploitation tasks, needs energy conservation urgently when sailing the complex mission path in long time cruise. As hull lines optimization design becomes the key factor, which closely related with resistance, in AUV preliminary design stage, uncertainty parameters need to be considered seriously. In this research, Myring axial symmetry revolution body with parameterized expression is assumed as AUV hull lines, and its travelling resistance is obtained via modified DATCOM formula. The problems of AUV hull lines design for the minimum travelling resistance with uncertain parameters are studied. Based on reliability-based optimization design technology, Design For Six Sigma (DFSS) for high quality level is conducted, and is proved more reliability for the actual environment disturbance.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.20-33
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• 2015

Spectrum sensing is a key component of cognitive radio. The prediction of the primary user status in a low signal-to-noise ratio is an important factor in spectrum sensing. However, because of noise uncertainty, secondary users have difficulty distinguishing between the primary signal and an unauthorized signal when an unauthorized user exists in a cognitive radio network. To resolve the sensitivity to the noise uncertainty problem, we propose an entropy-based spectrum sensing scheme to detect the primary signal accurately in the presence of an unauthorized signal. The proposed spectrum sensing uses the conditional entropy between the primary signal and the unauthorized signal. The ability to detect the primary signal is thus robust against noise uncertainty, which leads to superior sensing performance in a low signal-to-noise ratio. Simulation results show that the proposed spectrum sensing scheme outperforms the conventional entropy-based spectrum sensing schemes in terms of the primary user detection probability.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.62-68
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• 2009

Life Cycle Cost(LCC) is adopted to decide the target of safety level in designing suspension bridges. The LCC are evaluated considering two types of uncertainty; aleatory and epistemic. The nine alternative designs of suspension bridge are simulated to decide the safety level which can minimize the LCC. The LCC is calculated through the probability of failure and safety index including the uncertainty. This method results in the useful tool deciding the optimum safety level with minimal LCC as the main design factor.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전기물성ㆍ응용부문C
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• 제55권3호
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• pp.134-141
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• 2006

A potential transformer(PT) has ratio error and phase angle error. Precise measurement of the errors of PT can be achieved using high voltage capacitance bridge, high voltage capacitor and low voltage capacitor. The uncertainty for this method is evaluated and found to be $20{\times}10^{-6}$ in both ratio error and phase angle error. The values measured for PT using the method are well consistent with the those measured for same PT in NMIA(National Measurement Institute of Australia) within the corresponding uncertainty.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.25-32
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• 2001

The major purpose of this paper is to develop an uncertainty estimate for the calibration of thermopile instruments used to measure solar radiation parameters. We briefly describe the solar radiation parameters most often measured, instrumentation, reference standards, and calibration techniques. The bulk of the paper describes elemental sources of error and their magnitude. We then apply a standard error analysis methodology to combine these elemental error estimates into a statement of total uncertainty for the instrument calibration factor. Our results allow one to evaluate the accuracy of a radiometric measurement using thermopile instrumentation in the light of the application, such as engineering test evaluation or for validation of theoretical models.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 가을 학술발표대회 논문집(III)
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• pp.656-661
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• 1998

This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box girder bridges. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measures are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs to each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partial rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardized rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Probability band widens with time, which indicates an increase of prediction uncertainty with time. The creep model uncertainty factor and the relative humidity appear as the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.135-146
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• 2022

기업의 운영에서 안전한 생산 근로 환경은 중요한 요소이며, 공급 사슬 관리상의 물류기업에도 필수적이다. 본 연구는 대형 물류기업과 계약을 체결하여 거래관계를 지속하고 있는 국내 중소 물류기업의 관점에서, 안전 분위기와 안전 예방 활동이 안전 행동과 긍정적인 관계가 있음을 확인하였다. 아울러, 앞선 긍정적인 관계에 규제 불확실성과 경쟁 불확실성의 조절적인 역할도 실증적으로 살펴보았다.