• Title/Summary/Keyword: typhoon center

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Evaluation of the Intensity Predictability of the Numerical Models for Typhoons in 2013 (2013년 태풍에 대한 수치모델들의 강도 예측성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Seon;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong;Byun, Kun-Young;Kim, Jiyoung;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.419-432
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    • 2014
  • An assessment of typhoon intensity predictability of numerical models was conducted to develop the typhoon intensity forecast guidance comparing with the RSMC-Tokyo best track data. Root mean square error, box plot analysis and time series of wind speed comparison were performed to evaluate the each model error level. One of noticeable fact is that all models have a trend of error increase as typhoon becomes stronger and the Global Forecast System showed the best performance among the models. In the detailed analysis in two typhoon cases [Danas (1324) and Haiyan (1330)], GFS showed good performance in maximum wind speed and intensity trend in the best track, however it could not simulate well the rapid intensity increasing period. On the other hand, ECMWF and Hurricane-WRF overestimated the typhoon intensity but simulated track trend well.

A Study on the Observation of the Typhoons that Affected Southeastern Region of the Korean Peninsula (한반도 동남권역에 영향을 미친 태풍 관측 연구)

  • Jung, Woo-Sik;Park, Jong-Kil;Kim, Eun-Byul
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.1191-1203
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    • 2011
  • In case of Typhoon Dianmu, the temperature, wind speed, wind direction and the rainfall per hour changed dramatically when the center of the typhoon passed through Gimhae. Such a change was commonly found in the regions where the center of the typhoon passed through but almost not in the regions far away from it. For example, in the case of Typhoon Malou where the center of the typhoon was far away from the observation site, such a phenomenon was not observed. The analysis of the vertical observation data showed that there was a little change in the wind speed and wind direction in the vertical direction in the case of Typhoon Dianmu of which center passed through Gimhae. There was a great change in the wind speed according to the height in the lower atmosphere just before the center of the typhoon approached the region. When the center of the typhoon was passing through the region, the vertical wind speed was decreased. However, the wind speed was rapidly increased again after the center of the typhoon had passed through the region. Unlike the Dianmu, the difference in the wind speed and wind direction between the upper layer and lower layer of the atmosphere was relatively great in the case of Malou.

Comparing the Effect of Both Thermal and Mechanical Forcing on the Error of Typhoon Track (태풍 진로에 영향을 미치는 열적 및 역학적 효과에 관한 수치적 연구)

  • Kim, Hae-Dong;Won, Seong-Hee;Choi, Ki-Seon;Park, Sang-Wook;Jang, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.263-266
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    • 2012
  • To compare the effects of two external forcing on track of typhoon, TWRF(Typhoon WRF) based ensemble experiments are carried out in the case of Typhoon Morako which is the 8th typhoon at Northwest Pacific region in 2009. The two forcing are tropical SST and topography induced thermal and mechanical forcing, respectively. According to the result of numerical experiment for five-day forecast, the effect of mechanical forcing is about two times stronger than thermal forcing on the track error of the typhoon. More case study for other typhoon will be done as a next paper.

Algorithms for Determining Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)'s Official Typhoon Best Tracks in the National Typhoon Center (기상청 국가태풍센터의 태풍 베스트트랙 생산체계 소개)

  • Kim, Jinyeon;Hwang, Seung-On;Kim, Seong-Su;Oh, Imyong;Ham, Dong-Ju
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2022
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) National Typhoon Center has been officially releasing reanalyzed best tracks for the previous year's northwest Pacific typhoons since 2015. However, while most typhoon researchers are aware of the data released by other institutions, such as the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo, they are often unfamiliar with the KMA products. In this technical note, we describe the best track data released by KMA, and the algorithms that are used to generate it. We hope that this will increase the usefulness of the data to typhoon researchers, and help raise awareness of the product. The best track reanalysis process is initiated when the necessary database of observations-which includes satellite, synoptic, ocean, and radar observations-has become complete for the required year. Three categories of best track information-position (track), intensity (maximum sustained winds and central pressure), and size (radii of high-wind areas)-are estimated based on scientific processes. These estimates are then examined by typhoon forecasters and other internal and external experts, and issued as an official product when final approval has been given.

Improvement of a Detecting Algorithm for Geometric Center of Typhoon using Weather Radar Data (레이더 자료를 이용한 기하학적 태풍중심 탐지 기법 개선)

  • Jung, Woomi;Suk, Mi-Kyung;Choi, Youn;Kim, Kwang-Ho
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.347-360
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    • 2020
  • The automatic algorithm optimized for the Korean Peninsula was developed to detect and track the center of typhoon based on a geometrical method using high-resolution retrieved WISSDOM (WInd Syntheses System using DOppler Measurements) wind and reflectivity data. This algorithm analyzes the center of typhoon by detecting the geometric circular structure of the typhoon's eye in radar reflectivity and vorticity 2D field data. For optimizing the algorithm, the main factors of the algorithm were selected and the optimal thresholds were determined through sensitivity experiments for each factor. The center of typhoon was detected for 5 typhoon cases that approached or landed on Korean Peninsula. The performance was verified by comparing and analyzing from the best track of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The detection rate for vorticity use was 15% higher on average than that for reflectivity use. The detection rate for vorticity use was up to 90% for DIANMU case in 2010. The difference between the detected locations and best tracks of KMA was 0.2° on average when using reflectivity and vorticity. After the optimization, the detection rate was improved overall, especially the detection rate more increased when using reflectivity than using vorticity. And the difference of location was reduced to 0.18° on average, increasing the accuracy.

The Analysis of Typhoon Center Location and Intensity from NOAA Satellite Microwave Data (NOAA/MUS 자료를 이용한 태풍 중심의 위치및 강도 분석)

  • 신도식;서애숙;김용상;이미선
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 1995
  • A typhoon center location and its intensity from the 54.96GMz channel of Microwave Sounding Unit(MSU) on board the NOAA satellite is analyzed. NOAA satellite MSU channel 3 data may delineate the development and dissipation of the upper tropospheric warm core associated with a typhoon. The typhoon warm core is related to microwave imagery of 250hPa temperature field (54.96GMz). The typhoon center intensity, surface center pressure and maximum wind speed at the eye well, correlate to horozontal Laplacian of an upper tropospheric temperature field. The typhoon center is found from the analysis of 250hPa temperature field. The excellent correlation is found between the horizontal Laplacian of an tropospheric temperature field and surface maximum wind speed, another correlation is found between the warm temperature anomaly and surface pressure anomaly.

Construction of Typhoon Impact Based Forecast in Korea -Current Status and Composition- (한국형 태풍 영향예보 구축을 위한 연구 -현황 및 구성-)

  • Hana Na;Woo-Sik Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.32 no.8
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2023
  • Weather forecasts and advisories provided by the national organizations in Korea that are used to identify and prevent disaster associated damage are often ineffective in reducing disasters as they only focus on predicting weather events (World Meteorological Organization(WMO ), 2015). In particular, typhoons are not a single weather disaster, but a complex weather disaster that requires advance preparation and assessment, and the WMO has established guidelines for the impact forecasting and recommends typhoon impact forecasting. In this study, we introduced the Typhoon-Ready System, which is a system that produces pre-disaster prevention information(risk level) of typhoon-related disasters across Korea and in detail for each region in advance, to be used for reducing and preventingtyphoon-related damage in Korea.

An Analysis of Model Bias Tendency in Forecast for the Interaction between Mid-latitude Trough and Movement Speed of Typhoon Sanba (중위도 기압골과 태풍 산바의 이동속도와의 상호작용에 대한 예측에서 모델 바이어스 경향분석)

  • Choi, Ki-Seon;Wongsaming, Prapaporn;Park, Sangwook;Cha, Yu-Mi;Lee, Woojeong;Oh, Imyong;Lee, Jae-Shin;Jeong, Sang-Boo;Kim, Dong-Jin;Chang, Ki-Ho;Kim, Jiyoung;Yoon, Wang-Sun;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.303-312
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    • 2013
  • Typhoon Sanba was selected for describing the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Data Assimilation Prediction System (GDAPS) model bias tendency in forecast for the interaction between mid-latitude trough and movement speed of typhoon. We used the KMA GDAPS analyses and forecasts initiated 00 UTC 15 September 2012 from the historical typhoon record using Typhoon Analysis and Prediction System (TAPS) and Combined Meteorological Information System-3 (COMIS-3). Sea level pressure fields illustrated a development of the low level mid-latitude cyclogenesis in relation to Jet Maximum at 500 hPa. The study found that after Sanba entered the mid-latitude domain, its movement speed was forecast to be accelerated. Typically, Snaba interacted with mid-latitude westerlies at the front of mid-latitude trough. This event occurred when the Sanba was nearing recurvature at 00 and 06 UTC 17 September. The KMA GDAPS sea level pressure forecasts provided the low level mid-latitude cyclone that was weaker than what it actually analyzed in field. As a result, the mid-latitude circulations affecting on Sanba's movement speed was slower than what the KMA GDAPS actually analyzed in field. It was found that these circulations occurred due to the weak mid-tropospheric jet maximum at the 500 hPa. In conclusion, the KMA GDAPS forecast tends to slow a bias of slow movement speed when Sanba interacted with the mid-latitude trough.

The Study on the Strong Wind Damage Prediction for Estimation Surface Wind Speed of Typhoon Season(I) (태풍시기의 강풍피해 예측을 위한 지상풍 산정에 관한 연구(I))

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Choi, Hyo-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2008
  • Damage from typhoon disaster can be mitigated by grasping and dealing with the damage promptly for the regions in typhoon track. What is this work, a technique to analyzed dangerousness of typhoon should be presupposed. This study estimated 10 m level wind speed using 700 hPa wind by typhoon, referring to GPS dropwindsonde study of Franklin(2003). For 700 hPa wind, 30 km resolution data of Regional Data Assimilation Prediction System(RDAPS) were used. For roughness length in estimating wind of 10 m level, landuse data of USGS are employed. For 10 m level wind speed of Typhoon Rusa in 2002, we sampled AWS site of $7.4{\sim}30km$ distant from typhoon center and compare them with observational data. The results show that the 10 m level wind speed is the estimation of maximum wind speed which can appear in surface by typhoon and it cannot be compared with general hourly observational data. Wind load on domestic buildings relies on probability distributions of extreme wind speed. Hence, calculated 10 m level wind speed is useful for estimating the damage structure from typhoon.

Preliminary study on Typhoon Information Contents Development for Pre-disaster Prevention Activities (사전방재활동을 위한 태풍정보 콘텐츠 개발에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Byul;Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.957-966
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    • 2018
  • This study intend to induce citizen's voluntary preliminary disaster prevention activity to reduce damage of typhoon that occurs every year. For this purpose, a survey was conducted to develop Typhoon information contents. The number of samples used in the survey was set to 500 people, and citizens living in Jeju, Busan, and Jeonlanam-do were surveyed for areas with high typhoon disasters in order to develop practical and efficient information. The survey consisted of perception about natural disaster, how to get and use weather information, satisfaction with typhoon information and requirements. The general public perceived the typhoon as the first natural disaster. As a result of responding to the method of obtaining and utilizing weather information, the frequency of collecting weather information at the time of issuance of typhoon special report is higher than usual. The purpose of using weather information is clear and the response rate is high for the purpose of disaster prevention. The medium mainly collecting weather information is Internet portal site and mobile phone besides television. The current satisfaction with typhoon weather information is 34.8%, in addition to the accuracy of prediction, it is necessary to improve the information (that is content) provided. Specific responses to the content were investigated not only for single meteorological factors, but also for possible damage and potential countermeasures in the event of a disaster such as a typhoon. As can be seen from the above results, people are requested to provide information that can be used to detect and cope with disasters. The development of new content using easy accessible media will contribute to the reduction of damages caused by the typhoon that will occur in the future, and also to the disaster prevention activity.