• Title/Summary/Keyword: true rate

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Evaluating Predictive Ability of Classification Models with Ordered Multiple Categories

  • Oong-Hyun Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 1999
  • This study is concerned with the evaluation of predictive ability of classification models with ordered multiple categories. If categories can be ordered or ranked the spread of misclassification should be considered to evaluate the performance of the classification models using loss rate since the apparent error rate can not measure the spread of misclassification. Since loss rate is known to underestimate the true loss rate the bootstrap method were used to estimate the true loss rate. thus this study suggests the method to evaluate the predictive power of the classification models using loss rate and the bootstrap estimate of the true loss rate.

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Comparison of methods for the proportion of true null hypotheses in microarray studies

  • Kang, Joonsung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2020
  • We consider estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in multiple testing problems. A traditional multiple testing rate, family-wise error rate is too conservative and old to control type I error in multiple testing setups; however, false discovery rate (FDR) has received significant attention in many research areas such as GWAS data, FMRI data, and signal processing. Identify differentially expressed genes in microarray studies involves estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in FDR procedures. However, we need to account for unknown dependence structures among genes in microarray data in order to estimate the proportion of true null hypothesis since the genuine dependence structure of microarray data is unknown. We compare various procedures in simulation data and real microarray data. We consider a hidden Markov model for simulated data with dependency. Cai procedure (2007) and a sliding linear model procedure (2011) have a relatively smaller bias and standard errors, being more proper for estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in simulated data under various setups. Real data analysis shows that 5 estimation procedures among 9 procedures have almost similar values of the estimated proportion of true null hypotheses in microarray data.

Plastic Displacement Estimates in Creep Crack Growth Testing (크리프 균열 성장 실험을 위한 소성 변위 결정법)

  • Huh Nam-Su;Yoon Kee-Bong;Kim Yun-Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.10 s.253
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    • pp.1219-1226
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    • 2006
  • The ASTM test standard recommends the use of the compact tension specimen for creep crack growth rates measurement. In the creep crack growth rate test, the displacement rate due to creep is obtained by subtracting the contribution of elastic and plastic components from the total load line displacement rate based on displacement partitioning method fur determining $C^*-integral$, which involves Ramberg-Osgood (R-O) fitting procedures. This paper investigates the effect of the R-O fitting procedures on plastic displacement rate estimates in creep crack growth testing, via detailed two-dimensional and three-dimensional finite element analyses of the standard compact tension specimen. Four different R-O fitting procedures are considered; (i) fitting the entire true stress-strain data up to the ultimate tensile strength, (ii) fitting the true stress-strain data from 0.1% strain to 0.8 of the true ultimate strain, (iii) fitting the true stress-strain data only up to 5% strain, and (iv) fitting the engineering stress-strain data. It is found that the last two procedures provide reasonably accurate plastic displacement rates and thus should be recommended in creep crack growth testing. Moreover, several advantages of fitting the engineering stress-strain data over fitting the true stress-strain data only up to 5% strain are discussed.

TPR-TNR plot for confusion matrix

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Oh, Tae Gyu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2021
  • The two-dimensional confusion matrix used in credit assessment, biostatistics, and many other fields consists of true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative. Their rates, such as the true positive rate (TPR), true negative rate (TNR), false positive rate, and false negative rate, can be applied to measure its accuracy. In this study, we propose the TPR-TNR plot, a graphical method that can geometrically describe and explain these rates based on the confusion matrix. The proposed TPR-TNR plot consists of two right-angled triangles. We obtain that the TPR and TNR describe the acute angles of right-angled triangles in the plot. These acute angles can be used to determine optimal thresholds corresponding to lots of accuracy measures.

A STUDY ON REINVESTMENT RATE OF CAPITAL AND TRUE RATE OF RETURN (자본의 재투자율과 순수익율에 대한 연구)

  • 박흥석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.26
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    • pp.159-163
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    • 1992
  • The assumption of reinvestment rate leads to the results conflicting with the priority order of investments determined by net present worth. It has been revealed through various studies that the priority order of projects determined by the criteria based on internal rate of return is different from that determined by present worth. This study is to find out how to define reinvestment rate of return influencing the decision-making of the priority order through examining the meanings of reinvestment rate of capital and true rate of return, and to present some examples with a simple mathematical model.

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Temperature Dependence of Dynamic Behavior of Commercially Pure Titanium by the Compression Test (CP-Ti의 동적거동에 미치는 온도의 영향)

  • Lee, Su-Min;Seo, Song-Won;Park, Kyoung-Joon;Min, Oak-Key
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1152-1158
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    • 2003
  • The mechanical behavior of a commercially pure titanium (CP-Ti) is investigated at high temperature Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (SHPB) compression test with high strain-rate. Tests are performed over a temperature range from room temperature to 1000$^{\circ}C$ with interval of 200$^{\circ}C$ and a strain-rate range of 1900 ∼ 2000/sec. The true flow stress-true strain relations depending on temperature are achieved in these tests. For construction of constitutive equation from the true flow stress-true strain relation, parameters for the Johnson-Cook constitutive equation is determined. And the modified Johnson-Cook equation is used for investigation of behavior of flow stress in vicinity of recrystalization temperature. The Modified Johnson-Cook constitutive equation is more suitable in expressing the dynamic behavior of a CP-Ti at high temperature, i.e. about recrystalization temperature.

RELIABILITY OF NUMERICAL SOLUTIONS OF THE G-EULER PROCESS

  • YU, DONG WON
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2022
  • The G-Euler process has been proposed to overcome the difficulties of the calculation of the exponential function of the Jacobian. It is an explicit method that uses the exponential function of the scalar skew-symmetric matrix. We define the moving shapes of true solutions and the moving shapes of numerical solutions. It is discussed whether the moving shape of the numerical solution matches the moving shape of the true solution. The match rates of these two kinds of moving shapes are sequentially calculated by the G-Euler process without using the true solution. It is shown that the closer the minimum match rate is to 100%, the more closely the numerical solutions follow the true solutions to the end. The minimum match rate indicates the reliability of the numerical solution calculated by the G-Euler process. The graphs of the Lorenz system in Perko [1] are different from those drawn by the G-Euler process. By the way, there is no basis for claiming that the Perko's graphs are reliable.

Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging at True End-Diastole to Quantify Reproducible Transmural Extent of Myocardial Hyperenhancement

  • 최병욱;최규옥;김영진;정남식;임세중
    • Proceedings of the KSMRM Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.44-44
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    • 2003
  • To determine feasibility of contrast-enhanced MRI (co-MRI) at true end-diastole (ED) free from limitation of time for inversion-recovery and trigger window for quantifying transmural extent of infarction. 대상 및 방법: MRI was performed in 18 patients with myocardial infarction. Cine imaging and co-MRI with same registered slices in short axis were peformed. To allow true ED co-MRI, ECG synchronization should use two RR-intervals for one acquisition of a segment of k-space by setting the heart rate to half that of the true heart rate. Trigger delay time was adjusted to the RR-interval for imaging at ED and to the sum of RR-interval plus the time between R-wave and the end-systole (ES) determined in cine images for imaging at ES.

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Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging at True End-Diastole to Quantify Reproducible Transmural Extent of Myocardial Hyperenhancement

  • 최병욱;최규옥;김영진;정남식;임세중
    • Proceedings of the KSMRM Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.91-91
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    • 2003
  • To determine feasibility of contrast-enhanced MRI (co-MRI) at true end-diastole (ED) free from limitation of time for inversion-recovery and trigger window for quantifying transmural extent of infarction. 대상 및 방법: MRI was peformed in 18 patients with myocardial infarction. Cine imaging and co-MRI with same registered slices in short axis were performed. To allow true ED co-MRI, ECG synchronization should use two RR-intervals for one acquisition of a segment of k-space by setting the heart rate to half that of the true heart rate. Trigger delay time was adjusted to the RR-interval for imaging at ED and to the sum of RR-interval plus the time between R-wave and the end-systole (ES) determined in cine images for imaging at ES.

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Design of Hybrid Network Probe Intrusion Detector using FCM

  • Kim, Chang-Su;Lee, Se-Yul
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2009
  • The advanced computer network and Internet technology enables connectivity of computers through an open network environment. Despite the growing numbers of security threats to networks, most intrusion detection identifies security attacks mainly by detecting misuse using a set of rules based on past hacking patterns. This pattern matching has a high rate of false positives and can not detect new hacking patterns, making it vulnerable to previously unidentified attack patterns and variations in attack and increasing false negatives. Intrusion detection and prevention technologies are thus required. We proposed a network based hybrid Probe Intrusion Detection model using Fuzzy cognitive maps (PIDuF) that detects intrusion by DoS (DDoS and PDoS) attack detection using packet analysis. A DoS attack typically appears as a probe and SYN flooding attack. SYN flooding using FCM model captures and analyzes packet information to detect SYN flooding attacks. Using the result of decision module analysis, which used FCM, the decision module measures the degree of danger of the DoS and trains the response module to deal with attacks. For the performance evaluation, the "IDS Evaluation Data Set" created by MIT was used. From the simulation we obtained the max-average true positive rate of 97.064% and the max-average false negative rate of 2.936%. The true positive error rate of the PIDuF is similar to that of Bernhard's true positive error rate.