• Title/Summary/Keyword: trivariate normal distribution

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Multivariate confidence region using quantile vectors

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Kim, Hong Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.641-649
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    • 2017
  • Multivariate confidence regions were defined using a chi-square distribution function under a normal assumption and were represented with ellipse and ellipsoid types of bivariate and trivariate normal distribution functions. In this work, an alternative confidence region using the multivariate quantile vectors is proposed to define the normal distribution as well as any other distributions. These lower and upper bounds could be obtained using quantile vectors, and then the appropriate region between two bounds is referred to as the quantile confidence region. It notes that the upper and lower bounds of the bivariate and trivariate quantile confidence regions are represented as a curve and surface shapes, respectively. The quantile confidence region is obtained for various types of distribution functions that are both symmetric and asymmetric distribution functions. Then, its coverage rate is also calculated and compared. Therefore, we conclude that the quantile confidence region will be useful for the analysis of multivariate data, since it is found to have better coverage rates, even for asymmetric distributions.

A JOINT DISTRIBUTION OF TWO-DIMENSIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION WITH AN APPLICATION TO AN OUTSIDE BARRIER OPTION

  • Lee, Hang-Suck
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2004
  • This paper derives a distribution function of the terminal value and running maximum of two-dimensional Brownian motion {X($\tau$) = (X$_1$($\tau$), X$_2$ ($\tau$))', $\tau$ 〉0}. One random variable of the joint distribution is the terminal time value, X$_1$ (T). The other random variable is the maximum of the Brownian motion {X$_2$($\tau$), $\tau$〉} between time s and time t. With this distribution function, this paper also derives an explicit pricing formula for an outside barrier option whose monitoring period starts at an arbitrary date and ends at another arbitrary date before maturity.

Video Surveillance System Design and Realization with Interframe Probability Distribution Analyzation (인터프레임 확률분포분석에 의한 비디오 감시 시스템 설계 구현)

  • Ryu, Kwang-Ryol;Kim, Ja-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.1064-1069
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    • 2008
  • A system design and realization for video surveillance with interframe probability distribution analyzation is presented in this paper. The system design is based on a high performance DSP professor, video surveillance is implemented by analyzing interframe probability distribution using trivariate normal distribution(weight, mean, variance) for scanning objects in a restricted area and the video analysis algorithm is decided for forming a different image from the probability distribution of several frame compressed by the standardized JPEG. The system processing time of D1$(720{\times}480)$ image per frame is 85ms and enables to process the system at 12 frames per second. An object surveillance about the restricted area by rules is extracted to 100% unless object is moved faster.

Multivariate empirical distribution functions and descriptive methods (다변량 경험분포함수와 시각적인 표현방법)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Park, Jun;Park, Yong Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2017
  • The multivaiate empirical distribution function (MEDF) is defined in this work. The MEDF's expectation and variance are derived and we have shown the MEDF converges to its real distribution function. Based on random samples from bivariate standard normal distribution with various correlation coefficients, we also obtain MEDFs and propose two kinds of graphical methods to visualize MEDFs on two dimensional plane. One is represented with at most n stairs with similar arguments as the step function, and the other is described with at most n curves which look like bivariate quantile vector. Even though these two descriptive methods could be expressed with three dimensional space, two dimensional representation is obtained with ease and it is enough to explain characteristics of bivariate distribution functions. Hence, it is possible to visualize trivariate empirical distribution functions with three dimensional quantile vectors. With bivariate and four variate illustrative examples, the proposed MEDFs descriptive plots are obtained and explored.

Multivariate conditional tail expectations (다변량 조건부 꼬리 기대값)

  • Hong, C.S.;Kim, T.W.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1201-1212
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    • 2016
  • Value at Risk (VaR) for market risk management is a favorite method used by financial companies; however, there are some problems that cannot be explained for the amount of loss when a specific investment fails. Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) is an alternative risk measure defined as the conditional expectation exceeded VaR. Multivariate loss rates are transformed into a univariate distribution in real financial markets in order to obtain CTE for some portfolio as well as to estimate CTE. We propose multivariate CTEs using multivariate quantile vectors. A relationship among multivariate CTEs is also derived by extending univariate CTEs. Multivariate CTEs are obtained from bivariate and trivariate normal distributions; in addition, relationships among multivariate CTEs are also explored. We then discuss the extensibility to high dimension as well as illustrate some examples. Multivariate CTEs (using variance-covariance matrix and multivariate quantile vector) are found to have smaller values than CTEs transformed to univariate. Therefore, it can be concluded that the proposed multivariate CTEs provides smaller estimates that represent less risk than others and that a drastic investment using this CTE is also possible when a diversified investment strategy includes many companies in a portfolio.