• 제목/요약/키워드: trend of water demand

검색결과 90건 처리시간 0.028초

팔당호 수질관리 정책의 효과 분석 (Estimation of the Effect of Water Quality Management Policy in Paldang Lake)

  • 최정현;하주현;박석순
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.1225-1230
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    • 2008
  • 이 논문에서는 팔당호에 행해진 수질관리 정책의 효과를 분석하기 위하여 계절 맨-켄달 경향분석법(Seasonal Mann-Kendall Trend Analysis)을 사용한 새로운 접근법으로 팔당호로 유입되는 주요 지류중 하나인 경안천의 수질을 정책 전과 후로 나누어 비교 분석하였다. 1992년부터 2005년까지 월별로 측정된 BOD, COD, 총인 및 총질소의 자료들을 이용하여 1998년 한강특별대책 시행 전과 후의 켄달 기울기(Kendall slope)를 비교하였고, 그 결과 한강특별대책이 경안천 하류의 수질 개선에는 효과가 있었으나 상류의 수질 개선에는 큰 효과를 거두지 못하였음을 밝혀냈다. 이러한 결과는 이전에 행해진 경안천 수질 관련 연구들의 결과와 잘 일치하는 것으로 보아, 이 연구에서 사용된 수질의 장기 경향 분석을 통한 정책의 효과를 판단하는 접근법은 앞으로 유용하게 사용되어 질 수 있으리라 판단된다.

한강수계 중권역별 오염물질 추세분석 및 달성도 평가를 통한 우선관리물질 선정 (Pollutants Classification based on Trend Analysis and Assessment of Water Pollutants Achievement in Subbasins of Han River Basin)

  • 김계웅;송정헌;이도길;황하선;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권3호
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2019
  • The objectives of this study were to analyze trends of water pollutants and to evaluate the achievement of water quality standards by subbasins in the Han River. The trends of 40 water pollutants at 232 water quality measurement points were analyzed. Chemical oxygen demand (COD), Total organic carbon (TOC), Total coliforms (TC), et cetera were found to be worsening trend. For evaluation of achievement, we evaluated water quality arithmetic mean with river environment standards and human health standards at representative points of the subbasin. Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), TOC, Total phosphorus (T-P), Fecal coliforms (FC), TC exceeded water quality standards, and water quality of human health standards was all satisfied. So, we prioritized pollutants. If pollutants exceed water quality standards or were worse, they were classified first pollutants. Although BOD and T-P are first pollutants because of water quality standards excess, they are continuously improved. Also, it is better to maintain current status because water quality management system of BOD and T-P is well prepared. Meanwhile, TOC, TC, and FC exceed water quality standards. Furthermore, they were worse gradually, but there is a lack of management systems such as water quality standards of the effluence facilities. Therefore, it is necessary to supplement the system. The results of this study can be used as primary data for the establishment of water quality standards and selection of management pollutants.

시계열 분석을 통한 공유수면 매립 수요 예측 (Estimation for Reclamation of Public Waters Demand Using Time-series Analysis)

  • 신철오;최은철;윤성순
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제27권7호
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    • pp.918-923
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    • 2021
  • 정부는 공유수면 매립사업의 계획적인 관리를 위해, 10년 주기의 공유수면 매립기본계획을 수립하고 있다. 그러나 수시변경을 통한 매립사업을 추진하는 경우가 상당한 비중을 차지하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이에 기본계획의 실효성에 대한 의문이 제기되고 있으며, 이를 보완하기 위한 장기 매립 수요 추세 분석에 대한 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 그간의 연간 매립 실적 자료를 활용하여 매립 수요 추세 분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과, 국내 공유수면 매립 수요는 지속적으로 하락하는 추세인 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 매립기본계획 체제로 전환된 1990년대 이후에는 그 추세가 뚜렷하게 나타나고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 2021-2030년까지 총 매립 수요는 최대 13.8 km2에서 최소 1.7 km2 수준으로 산정되었다.

기후변화와 관련한 제주지역 농업용수의 효율적 활용 방안(I) (An Appropriate Utilization of Agricultural Water Resources of Jeju Island with Climate Change (I))

  • 송성호;최광준
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2012
  • Rainfall, on Jeju Island varies regionally in relation to Mt. Halla with higher rainfall within southern area and lower in western area, and its variability is expected to expand according to the climate change scenario. Non-parametric trend analysis for rainfall, using both historic (1971-2010) and simulated (2011-2100) data assuming the A1B emissions scenario, shows regionally increasing trends with time. In perspective of agricultural land use, area for market garden including various crop types with high water demand is increasing over the Island, especially in the western area with lower rainfall compared to southern area. On the other hand, area for fruit including mandarin and kiwi with low water demand is widely distributed over southern and northern part having higher rainfall. These regional disparity of water demand/supply may be more affected by extreme events such as drought and heavy rainfall that has not yet been considered. Therefore, it is necessary to make policies for water resource management considering both demand and supply in different regions with climate change impacts over Jeju Island.

실시간 공업용수 추세패턴 모형개발 및 GIS 연계방안 (A Development of Trend Analysis Models and a Process Integrating with GIS for Industrial Water Consumption Using Realtime Sensing Data)

  • 김성훈
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문의 목적은 공업용수 사용 추세패턴 모형을 개발하고 개발된 모형이 GIS시스템내에서 활용될 수 있는 청사진을 제시하는데 있다. 연구내용은, 사용데이터의 수집을 위해 실시간 모니터링 테크닉이 도입되었고 실시간 데이터는 5분단위로 센서 및 현장서버로부터 관리서버로 전송되었다. 취득된 데이터는 선택된 다항식에 대입되었고 결과로 요일별, 각 월의 일평균 수요모형들이 개발되었다. 도출된 모형들은 일련의 검증과정을 거쳐 최종 모형으로 압축선택되며 평균모형으로 변환되었다. 변환된 평균모형의 도식화를 통해 공업용수 수요패턴분석이 이루어졌다. 연구결과로, 수요패턴은 상당한 일관성을 보이고 있어 확률높은 요일별, 또는 계절별 수요예측이 가능하다는 결론이 도출되었다. 또한 이러한 예측모형을 활용할 정보화도구로서 GIS의 활용방안이 제시된다.

가정용수의 사용 목적별 소비경향 특성분석 (Analysis of Domestic Water Consumption Characteristics for Water Usage Purpose)

  • 최선희;손미나;김상현
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • Throughout the analysis of field data from water distribution system, valid parameters were determined that can be included in the water service and design plan. This study investigates water consumption patterns to understand the variation of water-demand structures utilizing the pattern analysis of domestic purpose water. Water use data were collected by a public water resources management firm in Korea, Kwater, for 140 houses monitored during three years. Flow meters were installed at the faucet for drinking water, the shower booth, the laundry machine, bathroom sink, toilet, and garden faucet. Data was filtered using multiple physically meaningful criteria to improve analysis credibility. Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho tests were used to carry out the analysis. Distinct factors of water consumption patterns can be determined for both increasing and decreasing trends of water use. Throughout the data analysis, the characterization of terms was classified and analyzed by the condition of the location of water-demand. Analysis of this data provide a physical basis for the parameter configuration of a reasonable design for a domestic water demand prediction model.

해외 해수담수화플랜트 수주현황 분석 및 연구 (An analyze of oversea desalination plant order result)

  • 손진식;양정석;이선재;장진구;임재한;김동하
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.337-342
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    • 2008
  • A population growth and industry advances are increasing the demand for water while improving the quality of life. By turning seawater into freshwater it is an alternative for the water shortage problem. The study analyzes the orders and makes suggestions on the outlook of an enterprise that can supply desalination plants both inside and outside the country. It compares the production capacity of enterprises in the desalination industry who deal with the thermal and RO methods. We compare 7 enterprises in the thermal method which includes Doosan Heavy Industries, and the top 10 enterprises in the RO method which includes General Electric Corp. Now that the markets in the Middle East have opened and markets in other regions are gradually growing, demand for water will grow especially in developing countries that are in the process of industrialization. Also, the market share of thermal method desalination has been falling, gradually, because too much energy is spent during the process. On the other hand, the market share of the RO method will rise from 37% in 2005 to 57% in 2015. Recently, the desalination market shows that changing from thermal method to RO method is the trend in the Middle East. Growth and demand in other regions are growing at the same pace as the Middle East. Due to this trend, if the RO system, which is highly effective and uses less energy, were to be continuously developed it would be possible to supply water using sea water and would be a viable alternative water resource.

국내 해수담수화 플랜트 적용 활성화 방안 연구 (The Research on Activation Plan for Seawater Desalination Plant Application in Korea)

  • 손진식;양정석;박진서
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.251-255
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    • 2009
  • Foreign and domestic seawater desalination plant market investigation was performed to analyze the worldwide trend of seawater desalination plant market and to establish the activation plan for seawater desalination plant application. Water demand and seawater desalination related laws and regulations were investigated and analyzed for the activation plan. RO type and large scale plants are popular nowadays however there are only small plants in island region in Korea. There will be about $1 million\;m^3/day$ deficit in 2015 according to the water demand forecasting from Ministry of Environment and Ministry of Land, Transportation, and Maritime Affairs in Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to activate the domestic application of seawater desalination plant to secure stable water resources. To activate the domestic application of seawater desalination plant, first, we need to establish regulations, support system in the water service law for seawater desalination plant. Second, related Ministry should increase the support for the operation and management of seawater desalination plant and suggest the construction of seawater desalination plant for water resources security near seaside region.

Effects of CO2 and Climate on water use efficiency and their linkage with the climate change

  • Umair, Muhammad;Kim, Daeun;Choi, Minha
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.149-149
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    • 2019
  • Gross Primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) are the two critical components of carbon and water cycle respectively, linking the terrestrial surface and ecosystem with the atmosphere. The ratio between GPP to ET is called ecosystem water use efficiency (EWUE) and its quantification at the forest site helps to understand the impact of climate change due to large scale anthropogenic activities such as deforestation and irrigation. This study was conducted at the FLUXNET forest site CN-Qia (2003-2005) using Community land model (CLM 5.0). We simulated carbon and water fluxes including GPP, ecosystem respiration (ER), and ET using climatic variables as forcing dataset for 30 years (1981-2010). Model results were validated with the FLUXNET tower observations. The correlation showed better performance with values of 0.65, 0.77, and 0.63 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. The model underestimated the results with minimum bias of -0.04, -1.67, and -0.40 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. Effect of climate 'CLIM' and '$CO_2$' were analyzed based on EWUE and its trend was evaluated in the study period. The positive trend of EWUE was observed in the whole period from 1981-2010, and the trend showed further increase when simulated with rising $CO_2$. The time period were divided into two parts, from 1981-2000 and from 2001 to 2010, to identify the warming effect on EWUE. The first period showed the similar increasing trend of EWUE, but the second period showed slightly decreasing trend. This might be associated with the increase in ET in the wet temperate forest site due to increase in climate warming. Water use efficiency defined by transpiration (TR) (TWUE), and inherent-TR based WUE (IT-WUE) were also discussed. This research provides the evidence to climate warming and emphasized the importance of long term planning for management of water resources and evaporative demand in irrigation, deforestation and other anthropogenic activities.

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비모수 통계기법을 이용한 낙동강 수계의 수질 장기 경향 분석 (Long-Term Trend Analyses of Water Qualities in Nakdong River Based on Non-Parametric Statistical Methods)

  • 김주화;박석순
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2004
  • The long-tenn trend analyses of water qualities were performed for 49 monitoring stations located in Nakdong River. Water quality parameters used in this study are the monthly data of BOD(Biological Oxygen Demand), TN(Total Nitrogen) and TP(Total Phosphorus) measured from 1990 to 1999. The long-tenn trends were analyzed by Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test and Locally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother(LOWESS). Nakdong river was divided into four subbasins, including upstream watershed, midstream watershed, western downstream watershed and eastern downstream watershed. The results of Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test indicated that there would be no trends of BOD in upstream watershed, western and eastern downstream watershed. Trends of BOD were downward in midstream watershed. For TN and TP, there were upward trends in all of watersheds. But LOWESS curves suggested that BOD, TN and TP concentrations generally increased between 1990 and 1996, then resumed decreasing.