• Title/Summary/Keyword: transportation model

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A Methodology for Evaluating the Effects of Transportation Policies Related to Greenhouse Gas Reduction (교통온실가스 감축정책의 효과분석 방법론 연구)

  • LEE, Kyu Jin;YI, Yongju;CHOI, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a methodology for evaluating quantitative effects of transportation GHG (greenhouse gas) reduction-related policies that were implemented based on the reduction goals of transportation GHG and effective implementation plans. This study uses a modal utility function and demand estimation models as well as a GHG emission basic unit estimation model by each transportation mode based on actual traffic and emission data. The results showed that the effects of GHG reduction policies such as electric vary from region to region, and from vehicle to vehicle. It is also confirmed that an eco-drive promotion policy, one of the lowest budget policies, is expected to contribute to high reduction in GHG. In addition, not only automobile emission improvement policies but also the promotion policies of public transportation are expected to highly reduce GHG as confirmed quantitatively in this study. The results of this study are expected to be useful for national and local governments' evaluation of GHG reduction policies to cope with the post 2020.

A Study on Characteristics of Methane Emissions from Gasoline Passenger Cars (휘발유 자동차의 메탄(CH4) 배출특성에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon M.S.;Ryu J.H.;Lyu Y.S.;Kim J.C.;Lim C.S.;Kim D.W.;Jeong S.W.;Cho S.Y.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.649-655
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    • 2005
  • Automotive exhaust is suspected to be one of the main reasons of the rapid increase in greenhouse effect gases in ambient air. Although methane emissions are generally orders of magnitude lower than emissions of $CO_{2}$, the global warming potential (GWP) of methane is greater than that of $CO_{2}$. The environmental impact of methane emissions from vehicles is negligible and is likely to remain so for the foreseeable future. In this study, in order to investigate greenhouse gas emission characteristics from gasoline passenger cars, 20 vehicles were tested on the chassis dynamometer and methane emissions were measured. The emission characteristics by model year, mileage, vehicle speed were discussed. Test mode is CVS-15 mode that have been used to regulate for light-duty vehicle in Korea. It was found that $CH_{4}$ emissions showed higher for cold start, old model year and long mileage than hot start, new model year and short mileage, respectively. These results were compared with IPCC emission factors and the overall our results were anticipated to contribute for domestic greenhouse gas emissions calculation.

Development of Evaluation Techniques on Marine Casualties by Ship's Signal Sound Interferences(l) - 3D Sound Field Control Model - (선박신호음 간섭에 따른 해양사고 영향평가기법 개발(1) - 3차원 음장제어 모델 -)

  • Yim Jeong Bin;Jung Jung Sik;Park Seong Hyeon;Kim Chang Kyeong;Sim Yeong Ho;Lee Ku Dong;Choi Ki Yeong
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2003
  • The ship's signal sound dispersed by air, obstacles, and noises due to absorption, reflection, and disturbances, respectively. It is one of the factors of marine casualties by misjudgment if receiving direction The last target of this study is to prevent inherent marine casualty using the analysis-evaluation techniques if the interferences of ship's signal sound. In this work, three-dimensional sound field control model is proposed to simulate various sound transmitting characteristics according to sea environments at sea The efficiency test of the model was carried out using VR-based ship simulator.

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A Goal-Based Transportation Planning Model (목표기반 교통계획모형 연구)

  • Im, Yong-Taek;Kim, Hyeon-Myeong;Yang, In-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.195-208
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    • 2009
  • A network design problem (NDP) formulated as a mathematical program is generally used to find an optimum value to minimize or to maximize some objectives such as total travel time, social benefit, or others. NDP has, however, some limits of describing components of travel patterns like activities and trip generation due to its modeling simplicity, and also it has difficulty in including attributes of regional planning. In order to cope with such limits, this paper extends NDP to the urban planning field and proposes a mathematical program which can describe the interactions between urban social activities and transportation planning. Based on this model the authors try to optimize both urban activities and the transportation system. The model developed in this paper is tested to assess its application with a real-size regional transportation network.

A Study of Estimating the Alighting Stop on the Decision Tree Learning Model Using Smart Card Data (의사결정 학습 모델 기반 교통카드 데이터 하차 정류장 추정 모델 연구)

  • Yoo, Bongseok;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.11-30
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    • 2019
  • Smartcards are used as the basic data for utilizing the various transportation policies and evaluations, etc. and provided the transportation basic statistics index. However, the main problem of the smartcard data is that the most of users do not take the alighting tag at the stop, so there is a limit to the scope of use for the total O-D trip data because incomplete O-D traffic data of transportation card users. In this study, a decision tree of learning model is estimated for the alighting stop of smartcard users. The model estimation accuracy in range less than 2 stops interval was 89.7% on average. By eliminating the incompleteness alighting stop of smartcard data through this model, it is expected to be used as the basic data for various transportation analyses and evaluations.

Development of a Surface Temperature Prediction Model Using Neural Network Theory (신경망 이론을 이용한 노면온도예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, In Su;Yang, Choong Heon;Choi, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.686-693
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    • 2014
  • This study presents a model that enables to predict road surface temperature using neural network theory. Historical road surface temperature data were collected from Road Weather Information System. They used for the calibration of the model. The neural network was designed to predict surface temperature after 1-hour, 2-hour, and 3-hour from now. The developed model was performed on Cheongwon-Sangju highway to test. As a result, the standard deviation of the difference of the predicted and observed was $1.27^{\circ}C$, $0.55^{\circ}C$ and $1.43^{\circ}C$, respectively. Also, comparing the predicted surface temperature and the actual data, R2 was found to be 0.985, 0.923, and 0.903, respectively. It can be concluded that the explanatory power of the model seems to be high.

The Development of Econometric Model for Air Transportation Demand Based on Stationarity in Time-series (시계열 자료의 안정성을 고려한 항공수요 계량경제모형 개발)

  • PARK, Jeasung;KIM, Byung Jong;KIM, Wonkyu;JANG, Eunhyuk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2016
  • Air transportation demand is consistently increasing in Korea due to economic growth and low cost carriers. For this reason, airport expansion plans are being discussed in Korea. Therefore, it is essential to forecast reliable air transportation demand with adequate methods. However, most of the air transportation demand models in Korea has been developed by simple regression analysis with several dummy variables. Simple regression analysis without considering stationarity of time-series data can bring spurious outputs when a direct causal relationship between explanatory variables and dependent variable does not exist. In this paper, econometric model were developed for air transportation demand based on stationarity in time-series data. Unit root test and co-integration test are used for testing hypothesis of stationarity.

The Transportation Size and the Location of Distribution Centers in a Distribution System (물류시스템에서 수송크기와 물류센터의 위치)

  • Chang, Suk-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to determine the transportation size and the location of distribution centers to minimize logistics cost in a distribution system where products are transported from the distribution centers to the retailers. Logistics cost consists of the fixed cost of distribution centers, the transportation cost from the distribution centers to the retailers and the inventory holding cost in the retailers. The logistics cost is affected by the transportation size and the location of distribution centers. The transportation size affects transportation cost and inventory holding cost. The location of distribution centers affects the transportation cost. A mathematical model is formulated and the algorithm is developed. A numerical example is shown to explain the problem.

A Study on the Life Cycle Cost Evaluation of the Conventional Auxiliary Power Unit for 8200 Series Electric Locomotive (8200호대 전기기관차용 기존품 보조전원장치의 수명주기비용 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kye-Seung;Kim, Wan-il;Kim, Jae-Moon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.331-336
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, the life cycle cost of the auxiliary power unit in the conventional 8200 series electric locomotive is evaluated and an effective life cycle cost reduction method is sought. For this, a life cycle cost evaluation model was proposed using IEC 60300-3-3 standard. As a result of analysis, material cost which accounted for a large percentage of preventive maintenance cost, accounted for 64% of total cost, and breakdown maintenance cost was as high as 27%. Except for the cost of preventive maintenance, the breakdown maintenance cost ratio was the highest. In order to reduce the LCC of the auxiliary power unit(APU) of the 8200 series in the future, it is necessary to reduce the material cost in case of development and to secure the high reliability according to the parts manufacturing so as to minimize the maintenance cost.

Econometric Estimation of the Climate Change Policy Effect in the U.S. Transportation Sector

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2017
  • Over the past centuries, industrialization in developed and developing countries has had a negative impact on global warming, releasing $CO_2$ emissions into the Earth's atmosphere. In recent years, the transportation sector, which emits one-third of total $CO_2$ emissions in the United States, has adapted by implementing a climate change action plan to reduce $CO_2$ emissions. Having an environmental policy might be an essential factor in mitigating the man-made global warming threats to protect public health and the coexistent needs of current and future generations; however, to my best knowledge, no research has been conducted in such a context with appropriate statistical validation process to evaluate the effects of climate change policy on $CO_2$ emission reduction in recent years in the U.S. transportation. The empirical findings using an entity fixed-effects model with valid statistical tests show the positive effects of climate change policy on $CO_2$ emission reduction in a state. With all the 49 states joining the climate change action plans, the U.S. transportation sector is expected to reduce its $CO_2$ emissions by 20.2 MMT per year, and for the next 10 years, the cumulated $CO_2$ emission reduction is projected to reach 202.3 MMT, which is almost equivalent to the $CO_2$ emissions from the transportation sector produced in 2012 by California, the largest $CO_2$ emission state in the nation.