• Title/Summary/Keyword: transport demand

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Time Series Modeling Pipeline for Urban Behavioral Demand Prediction under Uncertainty (COVID-19 사례를 통한 도시 내 비정상적 수요 예측을 위한 시계열 모형 파이프라인 개발 연구)

  • Minsoo Jin;Dongwoo Lee;Youngrok Kim;Hyunsoo Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.80-92
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    • 2023
  • As cities are becoming densely populated, previously unexpected events such as crimes, accidents, and infectious diseases are bound to affect user demands. With a time-series prediction of demand using information with uncertainty, it is impossible to derive reliable results. In particular, the COVID-19 outbreak in early 2020 caused changes in abnormal travel patterns and made it difficult to predict demand for time series. A methodology that accurately predicts demand by detecting and reflecting these changes is, therefore, required. The current study suggests a time series modeling pipeline that automatically detects and predicts abnormal events caused by COVID-19. We expect its wide application in various situations where there is a change in demand due to irregular and abnormal events.

The Trend of the Standardization of the Urban Guided Transport Management System in Europe (유럽 도시철도 신호시스템의 표준화 동향)

  • Lee Young-Hoon;Kim Jong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.1266-1273
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    • 2004
  • Urban railway signaling system is for train operation with safety in the urban crowded area, that has been increasing the demand of use of advanced train control systems with safe. European Commission is supporting the UGTMS(Urban Guided Transport Management System) project for the research and development. The main objective of UGTMS is to provide the European urban guided transport sector (comprising metro, tram and light rail systems) with a common Management System. A key topic is the extent to which the specifications for the successful ERTMS(European Rail Transport Management System) can be adapted to UGTMS needs. Beyond this, it is necessary to define the relevant functional and system requirements for all types of urban guided transport management systems in order to improve interoperability and intermodality. Also to be explored are the prospects for open system standards. In this article, we look into the trend of the standardization through the UGTMS project in Europe and consider any benefit to the project of the standardization for the urban railway signaling system in Korea.

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Network Accessibility and Data Transport Performance of Interworking Mobile Ad Hoc Networks

  • Lee, Kyou-Ho
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2009
  • Advances in mobile and wireless networking technologies have enabled mobile ad hoc networks applicable to a wide range of areas. Many cases of even such ad hoc networks demand to be accessible to the global network. Owing to be diversified in features depending on applications, however, some those networks may consist of devices or nodes which do not facilitate all the same transport protocols. This results in unreachable situations of establishing ad hoc network: such as non-existence of all required access points, faults or contention in a path of particular protocol communication. Interworking between different transport protocols can alleviate such problems. This paper proposes an interworking scheme to improve data transport performance and network accessibility, especially in such a mobile ad hoc network that is applicable to data communications among ships or user's convenient u-health services. Modeling and simulation analysis are used to verify the improvement.

Demand Estimation of Car-sharing Service Using Web-site Reservation Requesting Log Data (웹사이트 조회이력자료를 활용한 카셰어링 수요 추정 및 분석)

  • Kwon, Ohyeon;Choi, Yoon-Young;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Chungwon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2015
  • Currently, there are increasing demand for researches on the development of car-sharing operating strategy. In order to carry out the research, demand for car-sharing is required. However, since previous researches only adopted performance data or demand derived from several assumptions, spilled demand has been spotted due to lack of available cars. For this reason, we plan to suggest the way to estimate the value including spilled demand which has been spotted previously based on the record of utilization on the website of operating company, actual company providing car-sharing service. In the case of 'LH Happycar Service', difference between estimated demand and record of utilization is about twice the difference between estimated demand and record of inquiry. Especially, it is found that service rate does not go above once it reaches to its maximum rate because it cannot satisfy additional demands. In short, when we evaluate the demand for individual station based on the record of utilization only, it would be possible to underestimate the demand especially for the station at full capacity.

A Criterion on the Selection of Optimal Mass Transport System by Transportation Corridor based on GIS Buffering Analysis (GIS Buffering 분석에 기반한 교통축별 최적대중교통시스템 선정기준)

  • Kim, ManWoong;Kim, Sigon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5D
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2010
  • The existing mass transport system, with its limited capacity and the saturated road networks, has given cause for a new means of transport to be developed, and strong demands for such new means of transport are observed more than ever. However, the traffic authority is seeking a new transport system that focuses more on LRT(Light Rail Transit), a downsized version of the existing urban railroad, rather than one that is appropriate to solve the traffic problems. Moreover, local governments are experiencing difficulties in planning their own mass transportation(bus or urban railroad) as they have no specified criteria for selecting a mass transport system. Accordingly, there has been an increasingly loud voice that calls for criteria to determine which mass transport system befits each transportation corridor. This paper develops a mass-transport demand forecasting model based on the GIS Buffering analysis of each transportation corridor in the city, sets up the capacity for each mass transport system and presents the criteria for selecting an optimal mass transport system for each transportation corridor. It also presents a methodology that identifies necessary and sufficient conditions for selection and evaluation, since it is most important to select the optimal mass-transport system that can meet the demand by each mass-transportation corridor.

Estimation of Freight Trip Generation Rates based on Commodity Flow Survey in Korea

  • Park, Minchoul;Sung, Hongmo;Chung, Sungbong
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.139-143
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    • 2012
  • In Korea, almost 700 industrial parks are under operation. Generally, industrial parks consist of national industrial parks and local industrial parks which are managed by a central government and by local governments respectively. The developing countries such as Korea, China and Vietnam etc. have constructed many industrial parks, which result in the change of land use pattern and also affect future trip demands. Therefore, in estimating traffic demands, it is very important to consider the industrial park development. This study aims to improve the methodology in estimating a freight trip generation rate with the data based on a nationwide commodity freight survey. The result showed that it is desirable to apply freight trip generation rate by the industry sector in estimating freight trip generations and using the production area of firm as an indicator. Specially, the reliability of the rates through a survey could be made sure because a sample rate based on firms in industrial parks was over 25% and the response rate was over 67%. The sample rate and response rate are very superior as compared to surveys conducted in many other countries. Because industrial parks have significant effects on forecasting transportation demand in pre-feasibility studies of transport and logistics projects, it is expected that the accuracy of freight trip demands would be improved through the results of this study.

Initial Ship Allocation for the Fleet Systematization (선단구성을 위한 초기배선)

  • 이철영;최종화
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1984
  • The economical property of a shipping enterprise, as well as other transportation industries, is determined by the difference between the freight earned and expense paid. This study can be regarded as a division of optimizing ship allocation to routes under the integrated port transport system. Fleet planning and scheduling require complicated allocations of cargoes to ships and ships to routes in order to optimize the given criterion function for a given forecast period. This paper deals with the optimum ship allocation problem minimizing the operating cost of ships in a shipping company. Optimum fleet operating for a shipping enterprise is very important, since the marine transportation is a form of large quantity transport requiring long-term period, and there is a strong possibility to bring about large amount of loss in operation resulting from a faulty ship allocation. Where there are more than one loading and discharging ports, and a variety of ship's ability in speed, capacity, operating cost etc., and when the amount of commodities to be transported between the ports has been determined, then the ship's schedule minimizing the operating cost while satisfying the transport demand within the predetermined period will be made up. First of all a formula of ship allocation problems will be established and then will be constructed to solve an example by the Integer Programming application after consideration of the ship's ability, supply and demand of commodity, amount of commodity to be transported, operating costs of each ship etc. This study will give good information on deciding intention for a ship oprator or owner to meet the computerization current with shiping management.

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A Study on The Establishment of A Driving Informaion System for An Intermodal Automatic Transport Bogie for Logistics Transportation (물류 수송을 위한 인터모달용 자동운송 대차의 주행정보 시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Geo-Sung;Choi, Heon-Jin;Son, Ki-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.181-186
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    • 2022
  • There is a demand for an intermodal automatic transport bogie as a means for efficient logistics transport. Intermodal is characterized by high demand for single-track operation in a specific section in connection with heterogeneous transportation means. In this study, a driving information system that is simple and optimized for the intermodal automatic transportation bogie is implemented to be suitable for the characteristics of the inter-modal automatic transportation bogie, unlike the existing railroad operation system, and applied to a real large-scale demonstration model to ensure in-place stopping and a smooth interface between each system. and operational examples with a simplified system.

A Study on Transportation Systems of Container Cargo in Busan Port (부산항 컨테이너 화물수송체계에 관한 연구)

  • 오석기;오윤표;윤칠용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to improvement strategies for transportation systems of container cargo in Busan port. Therefore, it was forecasted the future container cargo demand using logistic curve formula. In 2011, container cargo demand was forecasted 8.791 million TEU(T/S including 12.559 million TEU). In order to improvement transportation systems of container cargo, this study presented following; $\circled1$ port facilities expansion, $\circled2$ diversity of container transport modes. $\circled3$ make up ICD and exclusive container roads, $\circled4$ the second Seoul-Busan Expressway.

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Implementation of a Multimedia Streaming System based on RTP(Real-time Transport Protocol) (RTP(Real-time Transport Protocol) 기반 멀티미디어 스트리밍 시스템의 구현)

  • 김세영;송준홍;원덕재;신동규;신동일
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.445-447
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    • 2001
  • 인터넷 이용의 기하급수적인 증가와 정보통신 기술의 비약적인 발전으로 인하여 과거의 정적인 정보의 표현 및 전달에 비해 택스트, 이미지, 오디오 및 비디오가 결합된 멀티미디어 서비스의 요구가 급격히 증가하고 있다. 특히 최근 초고속 통신망의 발달로 인한 인터넷 망 (network)상에서의 방송과 통신이 융합되는 추세 또한 가속화되고 있다. 이에 스트리밍(Streaming) 기술을 기반으로 한 멀티미디어 데이터의 서비스와 데이터 정보의 푸시(push) 기술을 결합하여 인터넷과 고속망상에서의 원활한 실시간 전송 서비스를 위하여 3-tier 방식의 인터넷 방송 서버 시스템을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서는 JMF(Java Media Framework)와 RTP를 이용하여 전체 미디어 서비스를 제공하여, VOD(Video on Demand) 및 실시간 방송 서비스를 제공하는 분산 멀티미디어 스트리밍 전송 시스템을 구현하였다. VOD(Video on Demand) 및 실시간 방송 서비스를 제공하는 분산 멀티미디어 스트리밍 전송 시스템을 구현하였다. VOD 서버, 실시간 방송 서버 및 푸시 서버에서 멀티미디어 컨텐츠를 제공하고, 클라이언트로의 효율적이고 안정적인 서비스를 위하여 미들웨어에서의 부하분배 및 채널 정보의 관리를 가능하게 하였다.