• Title/Summary/Keyword: traffic demand

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교통수요변동을 내생화한 도시고속도로의 장래교통량예측에 관한 연구

  • 신제철;오윤표
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 1989
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a forecasting model involved in a diverted traffic volume of the 2nd intra-urban expressway in construction presently, in the case of the future prediction of traffic demand for the intra-urban expressway in Pusan. In this study, the model involved in a diverted traffic volume is constructed trustworthy. And the future traffic demand of intra-urban expressway by this model was forecasted 114,005 volume/daily in 1996 and 147,090 volume/daily in 2001. However, it will made a study more and more concretely for practicality and limitation as well as construction of the forecasting model considered an intrinsic problem of an observational error and necessity of survey for much more socio-economic data, the traffic volume on all orad and OD pairs in Pusan.

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Spatiotemporal Impact Assessments of Highway Construction: Autonomous SWAT Modeling

  • Choi, Kunhee;Bae, Junseo
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.294-298
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    • 2015
  • In the United States, the completion of Construction Work Zone (CWZ) impact assessments for all federally-funded highway infrastructure improvement projects is mandated, yet it is regarded as a daunting task for state transportation agencies, due to a lack of standardized analytical methods for developing sounder Transportation Management Plans (TMPs). To circumvent these issues, this study aims to create a spatiotemporal modeling framework, dubbed "SWAT" (Spatiotemporal Work zone Assessment for TMPs). This study drew a total of 43,795 traffic sensor reading data collected from heavily trafficked highways in U.S. metropolitan areas. A multilevel-cluster-driven analysis characterized traffic patterns, while being verified using a measurement system analysis. An artificial neural networks model was created to predict potential 24/7 traffic demand automatically, and its predictive power was statistically validated. It is proposed that the predicted traffic patterns will be then incorporated into a what-if scenario analysis that evaluates the impact of numerous alternative construction plans. This study will yield a breakthrough in automating CWZ impact assessments with the first view of a systematic estimation method.

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Efficient Management for the Capacity of Incheon Airport and Gimpo Airport through Dynamic Slot Allocation (동적 슬롯 할당기법을 통한 인천공항과 김포공항 수용량 효율화방안)

  • Kim, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2017
  • Demand for air transportation in Korea keeps increasing, and the number of airport operations also grows as a result. The major two airports in Korea, Incheon International Airport and Gimpo International Airport, share the metropolitan airspace, which is crowd with air traffic. As air traffic increases in the metropolitan airspace, the demand for the airport operations would outnumber the capacities of these airports. However, there is a room to efficiently manage the shortage of the airport capacity due to the different distributions of operations in these airports. This study presents a dynamic slot allocation that allows exchanging slots according to the traffic demand. The dynamic allocation mitigates the airports' capacity problem but the airspace capacity itself should be increased in order to tackle the problem fundamentally.

Development of Greenhouse Gas Estimation Method for a Local Government Level Using Traffic Demand Model

  • Maurillo, Pennie Rose Anne R.;Jung, Hyeon-Ji;Lee, Seon-Ha;Ha, Dong-Ik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.114-128
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    • 2013
  • Greenhouse gas emissions have been an important issue in different countries because of their effects on global warming. The government has to organize greenhouse gas reduction measures suitable to regional characteristics by establishing annual implementation plans and comprehensive policies based on the UNFCCC. The transportation sector is one of the major contributors of air pollution; hence increasing need to estimate current and future traffic emissions precisely. Under these circumstances, a number of emission models have been developed recently. However, current methods of estimation cannot carry out effective analyses because it does not reflect vehicle movement characteristics. This study aims to present a new method for calculating road traffic emissions in Goyang city. A travel demand model is utilized to carry out GHG emission estimates according the traffic data (fleet composition, vehicle kilometers travelled, traffic intensity, road type, emission factors and speed). This study evaluates two approaches to estimate the road traffic emissions in Goyang City: Pollution-Emis and the Handbook of Emission Factors for Road Transport (HBEFA v.3.1) which is representative of the "average speed" and the "traffic situation" model types. The evaluation of results shows that the proposed emission estimation method may be a good practice if vigilant implementation of model inputs is observed.

Parameter Estimation & Validation of Volume-delay Function based on Traffic Survey Data (교통조사를 통한 도로통행비용함수 구축 및 검증)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeong;Chu, Sang-Ho;Gang, Min-Gu;Heo, Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2010
  • VDF(volume-delay function) is one of the most important factor to improve the reliability of traffic demand estimation because it is for estimation of link travel time based on the traffic volume variation. Because VDF of link except for freeway is applied as the parameter of BPR(bureau of public road) of U.S., it causes to deteriorate the accuracy of traffic demand estimation. The purpose of this paper is to establish new parameter of VDF based on the real-surveyed traffic data in order to improve the problem of the existing VDF. We suggest the reclassification of road hierarchy, the approach of traffic survey, the estimating method of VDF parameter, and the improvements of new VDF application. The new VDF allows us to estimate more realistic traffic situation in parts of demand, travel time and path between origin-destination.

The effect of SMRT Line 7 extension on the demand of Gyongin Line (도시철도 7호선 연장 개통에 따른 경인선 수요변화 연구)

  • Kim, Ick-Hee;Yang, You-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1407-1415
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    • 2008
  • Recently, there has been growing interest in Gyongin Line demand estimation, because SMRT(Seoul Metropolitan Rapid Transit Corporation) Line 7 will be extended west by 9.8km from Onsu to meet the Gyongin Line at Bupyeong-gu Office. This study was designed to estimate the change of traffic demand in Gyongin Line before and after the completion year 2011, also provide against the economic loss caused by the derived demand from Gyongin Line to SMRT Line 7. In this paper we give preliminary results for the strategic plans for traffic demand estimation and train operating plan in Gyongin Line by analyzing transport performance of Seoul metropolitan subway, and an additional study on the transportation market and the urban development plan is needed for more accurate results.

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A Study on forecasting of the Transportation Demand Mungyeng Line (문경선 운영 재개에 따른 이용수요 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Ick-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Tae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.638-644
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    • 2008
  • Mungyeng line(Jupyung${\sim}$Mungyeng) was closed due to a rapid decrease in demand in 1995. However, as the rail transportation demand is expected to increase with the plan to develop a tourist resort and a traffic network in Mungyeng area, it is required to forecast future demand to meet the change of transportation environment in this region. This study predicts the rail transportation demand and analyzes financial benefit in operator's side in case of reopening this line, based on nation-wide traffic volume data from Korean Transportation Database(KTDB). The results of this research can be applied to not only establishing a train operation plan also improving customer service. Moreover, Korail will have an opportunity to develop new business by linking train service to tourist attractions around the Mungyeng area.

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Mathematical Approach to Determine the Level of Demand/Effort Model (Demand/Effort모형의 수준결정을 위한 수리적 방법 연구)

  • Chung, Bong-Jo;Jang, Myung-Soon;Kim, Jung-Young;Park, Jae-Wan
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2005
  • 81.1% of traffic accidents is attributed to the drivers. In this regard, D/E model is a practical and effective method in terms of the cost and time in evaluating the road hazardousness. To examine the validity of the threshold values by the levels of demand We selected 10 subjects and collected their physiological signals while they were driving on Honam Highway (Jeonju ${\leftrighttarro}$ Hoideog section). Based on the collected data, the hazardous road condition was evaluated using the new threshold values of the effort level determined by cluster analysis. In applying the D/E model, a decision method based on the demand level was suggested, using a traffic accident prediction model. Additionally, the limit value of the effort level was determined using the drivers' physiological signal data collected at the highway. A comparison analysis of the two D/E models revealed no significant difference: The existing method and the clustering method determined 9 and 7 hazardous road zones, respectively, while actual traffic accidents were reported in 6 and 4 zones, respectively among the predicted road hazardous zones. However, the latter method suggested a more scientific and rational basis in determining the limit value of the Effort level. In conclusion, although D/E model has a great merit as a pioneering method to reflect human factors in evaluating the road hazardousness, it is believed that this method could be improved by a more dynamic method that considers the traffic conditions and the individual physiological signal of the drivers simultaneously in determining a better limit.

A Study on the Reduction of Traffic Induced Contributions through Installing a Parking Guidance System (주차유도시스템 설치에 따른 교통유발부담금 경감을 위한 연구)

  • Choi, Yang-Won;Cho, Hyun-Seog
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2014
  • There are many traffic problems in a city such as parking, traffic jam caused by traffic induction facility. Therefore it is essential to demand for traffic demand management to building's owner whose building location causes traffic induction. According to the 90s traffic policy, government collects fee for traffic induction facility through traffic policy management and they encourage the building owner to join reduction of traffic jam program by reduction of traffic induction fee. However there are not many buildings owner joined this program because the program is not ghat beneficial. For example, if government set out parking guidance system (part of parking demanding system) in a city, it will reduce to 20% of traffic induced contributions but t can be used only once a year, so it is not efficient to used even it is valuable for about 10 years. In particular, according to the economic efficiency analysis, evaluate economically as net present value (NPV) to 2,160.44 million won, ratio of benefit/cost (B / C) to 2.44 during 10 years. Therefore this research will find out what is necessary for parking guidance system.

Analysis of Multi-Airport System Application Measures for New Jeju Airport (복수공항시스템 분석을 통한 제주신공항 운영방안 연구)

  • Jeon, Je-hyung;Park, Jeongmin;Oh, LeeJun;Song, Byung-Heum
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2017
  • In order for the international aviation community to efficiently and safely manage the gradual increase of air passenger demand, direction suggestions of airport traffic prediction based on future airport capacity requirements, airport design and infrastructure establishment is utilized by airport traffic data that is m comparable internationally. It is a global trend to pursue more efficient airport operating system structure to accept air passenger demand through more realistic comparable data in order to escape from the structure of reckless airport establishment and infrastructure composition based on passenger demand predictions referring to simple statistical data that has existed in the past. This study aimed to seek effective operational measures for the New Jeju airport scheduled to be opened in 2025 by time-series analysis. This study also analysed airport operation strategies, air traffic distribution strategies, cargo volume increase rates and its effectiveness of airports adopting the multi-airport system that have similar operational practices and geographical conditions. This study sought the most appropriate multi airport system application measures for New Jeju airport to promote efficiency and international competitiveness.