• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.429-434
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• 2001

Rail crossings pose special safety concerns for modern railroad operation with faster trains. More than ninety percent of train operation-related accidents occurs on at-grade crossings. Surest countermeasure for this safety hazard is to eliminate at-grade crossings by constructing over/under pass or by closing them. These eliminations usually require substantial amount of investment and/or heavy public protest from those affected by them. Thorough and objective analysis are usually required, and valid accident prediction models are essential to the process. This paper developed an accident prediction model for Korean at-grade crossings. The model utilized many important factors such as guide personnel, highway traffic, train frequency, train sight distance, and number of tracks. Developed model was validated with actual accident data.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제31권3D호
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• pp.343-353
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• 2011

서울시의 생활도로내 비신호교차로는 2008년 총 41,702건의 교통사고 가운데 3,753건(9%)로 교통사고 발생율은 높지 않은 실정이나, 교통 기초부분의 불합리하고 미비한 제도 및 시설 운영으로 인하여 사고의 잠재성이 더욱 높다고 볼 수 있다. 특히 생활도로내 비신호교차로의 경우는 신호교차로에 비해 안전대책이 미흡한 실정이며, 교통사고의 분석 및 영향요인 모형에 관한 국내 연구가 매우 부족한 상황이다. 또한 외국과는 달리 우리나라의 경우 비신호교차로 운영의 통행우선권 개념이 설정되어 있지 않기 때문에 생활도로내 비신호교차로의 안전성 향상을 위한 연구와 안전대책이 시급하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 생활도로내 비신호 교차로 교통사고예측모형 구축 과정 중 일반적으로 제한된 변수의 선정 및 모형의 구축에만 주로 초점이 맞추어진 기존 방법론의 문제점을 개선하고, 자료수집 및 수집과정에서 발생하는 자료의 불확실한 상태를 인정하면서 자료의 불확실성을 최소화하여 이용할 수 있는 방법론을 개발하는데 연구의 주안점을 두었으며, 사전에 위험요소들을 처리하여 적절한 교통안전정책을 세우도록 방향을 제시하고, 생활도로내 비신호 교차로의 안전성을 높이려는데 목적이 있다.

• Design & Manufacturing
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.40-45
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• 2020

In a vehicle-to-vehicle accident, the impact posture, braking status, final stopping position, collision point and collision speed are important factors for accident reconstruction. In particular, the speed of collision is the most important issue. In this study, the collision speed and the final stopping position in the tunnel were estimated using PC-CRASH, a vehicle crash analysis program used for traffic accident analysis, and the final stopping position of the simulation and the final stopping position of the traffic accident report were compared. When the Pride speed was 0km/h or 30km/h and the Sorento speed was 100m/h, the simulation results and reports matched the final stopping positions and posture of the two vehicles. As a result of the simulation, it can be estimated that Pride was collided in an almost stationary state.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.118-127
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• 2009

본 연구는 최근 사회적으로 이슈가 되고 있는 고령자 교통사고 인적요인을 평가할 수 있는 모형 개발을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구의 수행을 위해 교통안전공단의 운전자적성검사(Simulation, 설문조사) 자료를 수집하였으며, 교통사고영향 모형개발을 위해 포아송 및 음이항 회귀분석(Poisson Regression Analysis)을 실시하였다. 교통안전성 평가모형 분석결과, 고령운전자의 경우 선택적 주의능력, 속도예측능력, 주의배분능력이 교통사고에 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 다음으로 비고령운전자의 경우 선택적 주의능력, 속도예측능력, 거리지각능력, 주의배분능력, 주의전환능력이 교통사고와 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 분석결과를 바탕으로 고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 사고발생에 미치는 영향요인은 서로 다르게 나타났으며, 교통사고를 미연에 방지하기 위한 최소한의 방편으로 고령운전자와 비고령운전자를 구분하여 교통사고 예방교육을 실시해야 할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.119-126
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• 2018

PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop a crash prediction model at signalized intersections, which can capture the randomness and uncertainty of traffic accident forecasting in order to provide more precise results. METHODS : The authors propose a random parameter (RP) approach to overcome the limitation of the Count model that cannot consider the heterogeneity of the assigned locations or road sections. For the model's development, 55 intersections located in the Daejeon metropolitan area were selected as the scope of the study, and panel data such as the number of crashes, traffic volume, and intersection geometry at each intersection were collected for the analysis. RESULTS : Based on the results of the RP negative binomial crash prediction model developed in this study, it was found that the independent variables such as the log form of average annual traffic volume, presence or absence of left-turn lanes on major roads, presence or absence of right-turn lanes on minor roads, and the number of crosswalks were statistically significant random parameters, and this showed that the variables have a heterogeneous influence on individual intersections. CONCLUSIONS : It was found that the RP model had a better fit to the data than the fixed parameters (FP) model since the RP model reflects the heterogeneity of the individual observations and captures the inconsistent and biased effects.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.163-175
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• 2002

교통사고의 원인은 도로, 차량들의 물리적 요인과 인적요인으로 분류하고 있다. 이중 차량과 관련해서는 수많은 신기술들이 개발되었고 또 개발 중에 있으며 인적요인에 관해서는 최근 국내에서도 중요한 연구들이 수행 중에 있으나 그 결과를 실용화하는데는 더 많은 시간이 필요할 것으로 보인다. 도로요인에 관한 그 동안의 연구가 국도 등에 집중되었기 때문에 오히려 도로의 위계상 최상위 위치에 있는 고속도로를 중심으로 한 연구가 미진한 것처럼 비쳐지는 것도 부정할 수 없는 사실이다. 미국은 도로 안전도 증진을 목표로 IHSDM(Interactive Highway Safety Design Module)이라는 통합설계모듈의 개발을 추진 중에 있으며, 국내에서도 기초적인 연구가 시작되었다. 이러한 평가모듈의 개발에 필수적인 것이 도로설계대안별로 교통안전도를 계량적으로 평가하는 모형의 개발이다. 본 연구에서는 먼저 교통사고의 원인이 되는 도로요인 중 특히 도로선형과 교통사고와의 관계를 밝혀내기 위해 도로선형의 변화(선형개량, 도로확장)가 비교적 적었던 호남고속도로를 대상으로 고속도로의 선형요소와 교통사고와의 미시적인 관계를 규명하였다. 이를 위해 대상도로를 직선부, 곡선부. 완화곡선부 등으로 1차 구분하였으며 이들 구간의 선형요소와 지난 5개년('96년∼'00년) 간의 교통사고 자료를 데이터베이스화하여 모형산정에 이용하였다. 또한 도로선형 요소 중 특히 교통사고와 관계가 큰 것으로 분석된 몇몇 요소들을 이용해 고속도로 선형조건별 안전도평가모형을 구축하였다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.43-58
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• 1995

This paper discusses some of the results of investigation of railroad-highway grade crossing accidents and accident-related inventory information that was collected from the Pusan District Office of the Korean National Railroads. Established statistical techniques were applied to tabulated data to obtain an accident prediction equation that estimates the expected probability of accidents at each crossing under various grade crossing situations. It was found that the most significant factor that influences the railroad crossing accidents was flagger. The other factors were train and traffic volumes, number of tracks. crossing angle, maximum timetable train speed, algebraic grade difference, and lighting facility. No significant effects was identified with railroad crossing gates. The results of the analysis and the uses of the prediction equation for the development of warrants for safety improvements are also discussed.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.153-165
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• 2017

PURPOSES : With the increasing number of older drivers in an aging society, there is a growing need for research and planning on traffic safety for the older drivers using an improved road geometry design. This study also proposed a modified urban road interchange design, which aims to keep the older drivers away from accident-prone and high-traffic areas of the city. METHODS : In this study, we examined accident data records of older drivers to identify accident-prone zones and intersections; we studied the road geometry at these zones and analyzed if it was an underlying cause for higher number of accidents. Based on the research and subsequent analysis, we suggested plans for improvement of road geometry design at these intersections. RESULTS :By studying historic data and analyzing factors that affect the likelihood of accidents of vehicles driven by older drivers and after studying suitable traffic accident prediction models, we identified the major variables that need to be modified at accident-prone intersections, such as the width of a left turn lane at an intersection and the radius of the right turn lane at a street corner. The results have a significance probability of less than 0.001 and a 95% confidence level. To improve safety at the identified intersection, this study suggests the installation of a left-turn-lane-shaped Positive Offset and a right-turn-lane-shaped Slip Lane concept and an adjustment of intervals between intersections.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.103-110
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• 2012

PURPOSES : In Korea, over 70 percent of the land consists of mountainous and rolling area. Thus, tunnels continue its upward trend as road network are extended. In these circumstances, the importance of tunnel has been increased nowadays and then its safety investigation and research should be performed. This study is focus on confirming and improving the safety of tunnel. On tunnel hood, sunglare effect can irritate driver's behavior instantly and this can result in incident. METHODS : The study of this phenomenon is rarely conducted in domestic and foreign papers, so there is no proper measure for this. This study analyzes the driving environment of the effect of sunglare effect on tunnel hood. RESULTS : Traffic accidents stem from complex set of factors. This study build the Traffic Accident Prediction Models to find out the effect of sunglare effect on tunnel's hood. The independent variables are traffic volume, geometric design of road, length of tunnel and road side environment. Using these variables, this model estimates accident frequency on tunnel hood by Poisson regression model and Negative binomial regression model. Although Poisson regression model have more proper goodness of fit than Negative binomial regression model, Poisson regression model has overdipersion problem. So the Negative binomial regression model is used in this analysis. CONCLUSIONS : Consequently, the model shows that sunglare effect can play a role in driving safety on tunnel hood. As a result, the information of sunglare effect should be noticed ahead of tunnel hood so this can prevent drivers from being in hazard situation.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.315-323
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• 2013

Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) is being used at ports and in coastal areas of the world for preventing accidents and improving efficiency of the vessels at sea on the basis of "IMO RESOLUTION A.857 (20) on Guidelines for Vessel Traffic Services". Currently, VTS plays an important role in the prevention of maritime accidents, as ships are required to participate in the system. Ships are diversified and traffic situations in ports and coastal areas have become more complicated than before. The role of VTS operator (VTSO) has been enlarged because of these reasons, and VTSO is required to be clearly aware of maritime situations and take decisions in emergency situations. In this paper, we propose a prediction table to improve the work of VTSO through the Cognitive Work Analysis (CWA), which analyzes the VTS work very systematically. The required data were collected through interviews and observations of 14 VTSOs. The prediction tool supports decision-making in terms of a proactive measure for the prevention of maritime accidents.