• Title/Summary/Keyword: total safety system model

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A Study on Effectiveness Analysis and Development of an Accident Prediction Model of Point-to-Point Speed Enforcement System (구간단속장비 설치 효과 분석 및 사고예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Da Ye;Lee, Ho Won;Hong, Kyung Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2019
  • According to the National Police Agency, point-to-point speed enforcement system is being installed and operated in 97 sections across the country. It is more effective than other enforcement systems in terms of stabilizing the traffic flow and inhibiting the kangaroo effect. But it is only 5.1% of the total enforcement systems. The National Police Agency is also aware that its operation ratio is very low and it is necessary to expand point-to-point speed enforcement system. Hence, this study aims to provide the expansion basis of the point-to-point speed enforcement operation through analysis of the quantitative effects and development the accident prediction model. Firstly, this study analyzed the effectiveness of point-to-point speed enforcement system. Naive before-after study and comparison group method(C-G Method) were used as methodologies of analyzing the effectiveness. The result of using the naive before-after study was significant. Total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 42.15%, 70.64% and 45.30% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 6.92% and 20.50%p respectively. Moreover, using the C-G method total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 31.35%, 66.62% and 10.04% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 3.49% and 56.65%p respectively. Secondly, this study developed a prediction model for the probability of casualty crash. It was dependant on factors of traffic volume, ratio of exceeding speed limit, ratio of heavy vehicle, ratio of curve section, and presence of point-to-point speed enforcement. Finally, this study selected the most danger sections to the major highway and evaluated proper installation sections to the recent installation section by applying the accident prediction model. The results of this study are expected to be useful in establishing the installation standards for the point-to-point speed enforcement system.

Determining the Proper Level of Spare Parts using the CSP and (r,Q) Policies in a Two-Echelon Distribution System (2계층 분배시스템에서 혼합재고정책을 이용한 적정재고수준 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Suk-Tae;Lee, Jung-Hack;Kim, Kyung-Sup
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2007
  • CSP(Concurrent Spare Parts) is supplied with the procurement of new equipment or weapon system and is used to sustain the equipment without resupply during the initial coverage period. This study is concerned with a problem of determining the near optimal inventory level of the spare parts, especially Concurrent Spare Parts. For this, we utilize the mixed periodic and continuous review polices considering the CSP and (r,Q) Policies concurrently in a two-echelon distribution system. We propose the mathematical model to minimize the total cost which is composed with ordering cost, purchasing cost, holding cost, and stickout cost. If the mixed policy is compared to other policies(CSP, (r,Q)), the proposed methodology performs well and is best policy in the equipment maintenance expenses.

Partition method of wall friction and interfacial drag force model for horizontal two-phase flows

  • Hibiki, Takashi;Jeong, Jae Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.1495-1507
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    • 2022
  • The improvement of thermal-hydraulic analysis techniques is essential to ensure the safety and reliability of nuclear power plants. The one-dimensional two-fluid model has been adopted in state-of-the-art thermal-hydraulic system codes. Current constitutive equations used in the system codes reach a mature level. Some exceptions are the partition method of wall friction in the momentum equation of the two-fluid model and the interfacial drag force model for a horizontal two-phase flow. This study is focused on deriving the partition method of wall friction in the momentum equation of the two-fluid model and modeling the interfacial drag force model for a horizontal bubbly flow. The one-dimensional momentum equation in the two-fluid model is derived from the local momentum equation. The derived one-dimensional momentum equation demonstrates that total wall friction should be apportioned to gas and liquid phases based on the phasic volume fraction, which is the same as that used in the SPACE code. The constitutive equations for the interfacial drag force are also identified. Based on the assessments, the Rassame-Hibiki correlation, Hibiki-Ishii correlation, Ishii-Zuber correlation, and Rassame-Hibiki correlation are recommended for computing the distribution parameter, interfacial area concentration, drag coefficient, and relative velocity covariance of a horizontal bubbly flow, respectively.

Comprehensive Cumulative Shock Common Cause Failure Models and Assessment of System Reliability (포괄적 누적 충격 공통원인고장 모형 및 시스템 신뢰도 평가)

  • Lim, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.320-328
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    • 2011
  • This research proposes comprehensive models for analyzing common cause failures (CCF) due to cumulative shocks and to assess system reliability under the CCF. The proposed cumulative shock models are based on the binomial failure rate (BFR) model. Six kinds of models are proposed so as to explain diverse cumulative shock phenomena. The models are composed of the initial failure probability, shape parameter, and the total shock number. Some parameters of the proposed models can not be explicitly estimated, so we adopt the Expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm in order to obtain the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the parameters. By estimating the parameters for the cumulative shock models, the system reliability with CCF can be assessed sequentially according to the number of cumulative shocks. The result can be utilizes in dynamic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), aging studies, or risk management for nuclear power plants. Replacement or maintenance policies can also be developed based on the proposed model.

Improvement and Application of Total Maximum Daily Load Management System of Korea: 2. Determination of Margin of Safety and Allocation of Pollutant Loads (우리나라 오염총량관리제도의 적용 및 개선: 2. 안전율 산정 및 삭감부하량 할당)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tae;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.168-176
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    • 2010
  • This study proposes the improvement of the present Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) management system of MOE (Ministry of Environment). The margin of safety (MOS) is calculated by a method using standard error and a method using variability and uncertainty. The allocation of pollutant loads are calculated using three methods, equal load reduction method, equal percent removal method and method using equity standards. This study applied the improved TMDL management system to the Anyangcheon watershed. Since MOS varies from 12% to 44% due to the high variability of measured and simulated data, it must not be ignored in the TMDL. The method using equity standards is the most proper in this application since the others produced unrealistic allocations. Area, runoff, water use quantity, population and budget are considered for equity standards. This study shows that this allocation method can be also applicable for the administrative units as well as the sub-watersheds. Finally, Hydrologic Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF) with the allocated pollutant load was used to confirm whether it satisfy the water quality standard or not. This study will be helpful to improve the MOS and allocation system TMDL in the future.

Root Cause Analysis of Medical Accidents -Using Medical Accident Cases (의료사고의 근본원인 분석: 의료사고 판례문 이용)

  • KIM, Seon-Nyeo;Cho, Duk-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: To investigate whether medical institutions can prevent accidents by analyzing the root cause of a medical accident and identifying the tendencies. Methods: A total of 345 medical cases were used for the RCA(Root Cause Analysis). The root causes were classified using the SHELL model. The suitability of the model was confirmed by SPSS's MDPREF and Euclidean distance. An SPSS20.0 hierarchical regression analysis was used as an influencing factor on the degree of injury resulting from medical accidents. Results: The SHELL model was suitable for classification. The rates of accident causes were LS49%, L34%, LL10.2%, LE3.7%, LH2.3%. The order in which the degree of a patient's injury was affected were: Risk Threshold (${\beta}=.180$), Time (${\beta}=.175$), Surgical stage (${\beta}=-.166$), Do not use procedure (${\beta}=.147$). Conclusions: Health care institutions should remove priorities through system improvement and training. For patients' safety, the five factors of the SHELL model should be managed in harmony.

A Design for Integrated Logistics System with Inventory Control and Transportation Planning Problem (재고와 수송계획문제를 고려한 통합물류시스템 설계)

  • 우태희;조남호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.48
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    • pp.37-52
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    • 1998
  • In many distribution systems important cost reductions and/or service improvements may be achieved by adopting an efficient inventory policy and proper selection of facilities. These efficiency improvements and service enhancements clearly require an integrated approach towards various logistical planning functions. The areas of inventory control and transportation planning need to be closely coordinated. The purpose of this paper is to construct an integrated model that can minimize the total cost of the transportation and inventory systems between multiple origin and destination points, where in origin point i has the supply of commodities and in destination point j requires the commodities. In this case, demands of the destination points are assumed random variables which have a known probability distribution. Using the lot-size reorder-point policy and the safety stock level that minimize total cost we find optimal distribution centers which transport the commodities to the destination points and suggest an optimal inventory policy to the selected distribution center. We also show if a demand greater than one unit will occur at a particular time, we describe the approximate optional replenishment policy from computational results of this lot-size reorder-point policy. This model is formulated as a 0-1 nonlinear integer programming problem. To solve the problem, this paper proposes heuristic computational procedures and a computer program with UNIX C language. In the usefulness review, we show the meaning and validity of the proposed model and exhibit the results of a comparison between our approach and the traditional approach, respectively.

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Study on the Estimation of Collision Risk of Ship in Ship Handling Simulator using Fuzzy Algorithm and Environmental Stress Model (시뮬레이터 기반 퍼지알고리즘과 환경스트레스모델을 이용한 선박 충돌위험도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Nom-Sun;Kim, Sun-Young;Gong, In-Young
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2009
  • Recently, many maritime accidents have been increased and the collisions due to human error are given a great deal of proportions out of them We develop the Real-time Collision Risk Monitoring System (CRMS) for the navigational officers to cope with the emergency situation promptly and thus to reduce the probability of casualty. In this study, the risk of collision and grounding is evaluated by two kinds of method. The first method is based on Fuzzy algorithm, which evaluates the risk of collision between traffic ships. The second method is based on Environmental Stress (ES) Model, where the total risk of collision and grounding is evaluated by the environmental stress felt by human. The developed real-time CRMS has been installed to the ship handling simulator system and its capabilities have been tested through simulator experiments.

Reliability and Safety Assessment of Reinforced Concrete Bridge (철근콘크리트교의 신뢰성 및 안전도 평가)

  • 정철원;손용우;김형석
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 1996
  • This study is to propose a practical and realistic reliability analysis by ETCM (Expected Total Cost Minimization). One of the main objectives is intended to propose the safety assessment and capacity rating of existing reinforced concrete members by evaluation index, that is RF(Rating Factor) from the results of the field test and inspection for reinforced concrete bridge. ETCM method is used for the reliability analysis of the proposed models. The proposed reliability model and method are applied to the safety assessment and system factors of reinforced concrete members.

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A Study on Remote Monitoring System for Protecting Aquaculture Farms (양식어장 보호를 위한 원격감시시스템의 구축방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chul-Seung;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Park, Sung-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.10 no.2 s.21
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2004
  • As GNP increases, many peoples need the seafood with high quality. In Korea, aquaculture is one of major incomes for fishing households and records $50.6\%$ of total incomes for domestic fishery. The loss of aquaculture farm due to thievery at sea increases every year. In this research, we propose the system model for development of radar surveillance system, which protects aquaculture farms. For the proposed system, general requirements are described Our system is cost-effective when it is applied to domestic fishing households.

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