• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.287-297
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• 2007

Increasing carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change has been perturbing the balanced global carbon cycle and changing the carbon distribution among the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. SGCM(Simple Global Carbon Model) was used to simulate global carbon cycle for the IPCC emissions scenarios, which was six future carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change set by IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations for four scenarios were simulated to continuously increase to $600{\sim}1050ppm$ by the year 2100, while those for the other two scenarios to stabilize at $400{\sim}600ppm$. The characteristics of these two $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios are to suppress emissions below $12{\sim}13$ Gt C/yr by tile year 2050 and then to decrease emissions up to 5 Gt C/yr by the year 2100, which is lower than the current emissions of $6.3{\pm}0.4$ Gt C/yr. The amount of carbon in the atmosphere was simulated to continuously increase for four scenarios, while to increase by the year $2050{\sim}2070$ and then decrease by the year 2100 for the other two scenarios which were $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios. Even though the six emission scenarios showed different simulation results, overall patterns were such similar that the amount of carbon was in the terrestrial biosphere to decrease first several decades and then increase, while in the soil and the ocean to continuously increase. The ratio of carbon partitioning to tile atmosphere for the accumulated total emissions was higher for tile emission scenario having higher atmospheric $CO_2$, however that was decreasing as time elapsed. The terrestrial biosphere and the soil showed reverse pattern to the atmosphere.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.190-200
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• 2022

본 연구는 도서에 대한 휴양과 안보 등 도서산림기능 발굴 및 지속적인 유지보전을 위하여 남한지역도서의 2000년과 2020년의 Globeland30 토지피복자료 분석을 통해 도서지역 토지피복의 구성 및 변화형태를 추적하고 도서산림의 이해를 위한 공간정보를 제공하고자 했다. 각 년도 별 토지피복분포와 격자 기반의 토지피복변화 분석을 수행했고 그 결과, 2000년 대비 2020년에는 농경지와 초지가 각각 7.6%, 1.7% 감소한 반면 산림과 인공지가 각각 5.7%, 3.2% 증가했고 도서산림은 20년 동안 전체 도서면적의 42.2% 인 157,246 ha가 유지되었다. 또한 농경지와 인공지가 존재하지 않는 도서 중 1 ha 이상 초지가 산림으로 변하는 262 개 도서와 산림이 초지로 변하는 421 개 도서를 관측하여 천이와 교란에 대한 잠재적 정보를 갖는 683 개 도서를 확인했다. 인공지의 유입이 확인된 22개 도서에서는 주로 농경지가 인공지로 전환되었다. 해당 도서 면적의 42.2%를 차지하는 산림이 초지로 변하고 27.8%의 농경지와 초지가 산림으로 변했다. 거주환경개선 및 사회기반시설 확충 등 인공지의 유입은 개발지역에 국한되지 않고 정주환경 개선을 위한 산림 파괴와 조경, 농경지의 개발 및 휴경화 등 주변부까지 토지피복의 변화를 수반하는 경우가 확인되었다. 해당 연구 결과는 추후 도서생태연구와 도서산림의 관리방안을 마련하기 위한 기초자료로 높은 활용도를 보일 것으로 판단된다.

• Spatial Information Research
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.63-72
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• 2011

도시의 공간구조는 교통로와 같은 도시 인프라의 정비에 따라 상당한 영향과 변화를 나타낸다. 이에 도시의 발전 과정에 가장 많은 영향을 주는 도로 접근성과 도시 인프라 수준 변화를 동시에 고려하여 공간적 분포 및 패턴을 규명하기 위한 계량적 분석 방법론의 정립이 요구된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 수십 년 간 급격한 인구증가와 도시화 지역의 급속한 팽창이 이루어진 서울을 중심으로 도시 지역의 인구 및 공간 구조와 교통 인프라 중 도로의 분포 패턴을 고려한 시공간 도시 형태(Urban morphology)를 상호 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 도시 공간구조와 교통에 영향을 주는 요소를 시계열로 분석하기 위해 지난 70여 년간의 지형도와 Landsat MSS, TM 등 활용 가능한 데이터를 사용하여 시공간 GIS 데이터베이스를 구축하였다. 특히, 가로체계 변화 분석은 가시 접근성과 공간 인지를 통해 위계적 공간 구조를 파악하는 공간구문이론을 사용하였으며, IPA 분석을 통해 권역별 도시 공간 형태와 가로체계와의 관계를 분석하고 이를 가시화 하였다. 토지이용 교통 통합 측면에서 공간 구문론의 접근은 교통의 다양한 현상이 도시 개발 패턴에 미치는 영향을 파악함으로 효과적인 공간계획에 이바지할 수 있을 것을 기대한다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.439-454
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• 2013

UN-REDD (United Nations programme on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation) is currently being emerged as one of important mechanism to reduce carbon dioxide in relation to the deforestation. Although administrative boundary has already gained world-wide recognition as a typical method of monitoring unit in the process of GHG (Greenhouse Gas) reduction project, this approach did not provide a realistic evidence in the carbon sequestering monitoring in terms of UN-REDD; the meaningful comparison of land use patterns among watershed boundaries, interpretation for distribution trends of carbon density, calculation of opportunity cost, leakage management, etc. This research proposes a comparative evaluation framework in a more objective and quantitative way for carbon sequestering monitoring between administrative and watershed boundary approaches. Mt. Geumgang of North Korea was selected as a survey objective and an exhaustive and realistic comparison of carbon sequestration between the two approaches was conducted, based on change detection using TM satellite images. It was possible for drainage boundary approach to identify more detailed area-wide patterns of carbon distribution than traditional administrative one, such as estimations of state and trends, including historical trends, of land use / land cover and carbon density in the Mt. Geumgang. The distinctive changing trends in terms of carbon sequestration were specifically identified over the watershed boundary from 4.0% to 34.8% while less than 1% difference was observed in the administrative boundaries, which were resulting in almost 21-22%. It is anticipated that this research output could be used as a valuable reference to support more scientific and objective decision-making in introducing watershed boundary as carbon sequestering monitoring unit.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제30권10호
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• pp.779-787
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• 2021

This study analyzes structural landscape changes over a time-series for a small and medium-sized city, Gangneung-Si, based on area and distribution patterns, and according to the type of land cover. Among the types of land cover, the area ratio of urbanized areas increased by 2.02% in the late 2010s as compared to the late 1980s, while there was a decrease of 2.69% in farmland and 0.69% in grassland areas. On analyzing the changes in land cover use by applying the Fragstats program, it was confirmed that landscape changes in urban and management areas were relatively severe according to the Landscape Shape Index, Largest Patch Index, and Aggregation Index. A pattern of concentrated expansion was also found around certain areas. In particular, from the analysis, it was established that the proportion of urbanized area had considerably increased and that the extent of farmland damage to management areas, including planned management areas, was large. Additionally, the Total Core Area generally indicated a reduction in the core areas of farmland and forest within urban and management areas. A medium-sized city showed significant changes besides large cities in terms of landscape structure. The developmental pressure on management areas, in particular, was quite high.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제98권5호
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• pp.593-601
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• 2009

Forest disturbances including forest fire, insect pests and diseases, landslides, and forest conversion from 1976 to 2005 were investigated to trace the changes of major forest disturbance agents and their characteristics over time in accordance with changes in natural and social environment in South Korea. While the damaged area by insect pests and diseases continuously decreased for the past 30 years, damaged areas by forest fire and landslide were fluctuating through years. The interval of large forest fires has become shorter with increased tree volume. The precipitation between January and April were significantly correlated with large fire occurrences as Pearson's correlation coefficient -0.400 (P=0.029). The composition of major insect pests and diseases damaging Korean forests has been changed continuously, and become more diversified. While damages by pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis) and pine needle gall midge (Thecodiplosis japonensis) decreased, damage by introduced pests has been more serious recently. The change of precipitation pattern that brought more localized heavy rain or powerful typhoon resulted in the recent increase in landslide areas. The major land uses to induce forest conversion have been changed, reflecting the changes in industrial structure in South Korea as agriculture and mining in 1970s, mining and golf ranges classified in pasture in 1980s, and road and housing construction in 1990s and 2000s. Changes in forest disturbance patterns in South Korea show that a country's industrial development is jointly working with global warming on forest stand dynamics. Altering energy structure and land use pattern induced by industrial development accumulates forest volume and reforms microenvironments on forest floor, interacting with climate change, inducing shorter interval of large forest fire and changes in major species composition of forest insect pests and diseases.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.359-368
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• 2000

Landscape change is the modification and replacement of landscape elements in accordance with human management and natural disturbance on land mosaics. During landscape change, changes in patterns such as heterogeneity, diversity and shape, and juxtaposition of spatial elements are also accompanied. For the sustainable landscape system, therefore, spatial characteristics of the landscape should be considered in implementation of landscape conservation and restoration planning. Short-term changes of land-use and landscape pattern during the 10 years of 1980s and 1990s were investigated in the agriculture-forestry dominated landscape system through the statistics and the analysis of landscape-vegetation map. Study area is Yangdong-myon, Yangpyung-gun (37°27′30"N, 127°46′50"E), Kyonggi-do, in central Korea. Landscape change of this region was significantly related to the recent industrialization according to socio-economic development. Analyses of landscape pattern show that the area of secondary forest sustained by human activity decreased and it was replaced with large exotic plantations during this period. Area of paddy field was also extended. Fractal dimension of the total landscape increased, but that of paddy field area decreased due to rearrangement for mechanized farming. Moreover, the area of landscape management regimes such as plantation and cultivation increased in land mosaics during this period.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.479-496
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• 2004

본 연구는 이집트의 농업발달을 사회 및 정치적인 변화와 관련하여 고찰하고, 오늘날 농업의 공간적 분포를 주요 작물 및 지역별로 설명하고자 하였다. 또한 이 지역에서 농업용 토지개발의 과정과 영농의 주체를 살펴보았다. 이집트 농업은 국제무역 관계에서 발전하였고, 특히 목화 및 사탕수수와 같은 작물은 국가의 전략적 작물로서 보호 및 관리되었다. 토지소유와 같은 문제는 주요 시대별 정치환경에 의해서 뚜렷이 대조가 되지만, 전략적 작물에 대한 국가의 관리는 어느 정도의 차이는 있으나 비교적 일관되게 유지되었다. 1990년대 이후 국가 경제의 자유화 정책과 맞물려 농업에서도 그 영향이 반영되어 작물의 경작과 토지 개간 사업의 개방에 뚜렷이 나타나고 있다. 농업의 공간적 및 영농의 성격은 델타, 중 이집트 및 상 이집트(Middle and Upper Egypt), 사막지역으로 나누어 파악하였다. 아울러 1950년대 이후 이집트의 경제 및 사회문제를 해결하기 위한 국가적 사업인 토지 개간의 발전과 개간된 토지에 대한 영농 주체의 성격을 고찰하였다.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.730-744
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• 2016

본 연구는 남해도 일대를 흐르는 소하천들을 대상으로 2014년 6월부터 10월까지 조사하여 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 남해도의 23개 소하천의 31개 지점에서 채집된 어류는 모두 13과 30속 38종으로 나타났다. 이 중 잉어과(Cyprinidae), 망둑어과(Gobiidae) 어류가 각각 11종(28.9%)으로 다른 분류군에 비하여 높은 비율을 차지하였으며, 미꾸리과(Cobitidae) 어류가 4종(10.5%)이 출현하였다. 남해도에서 채집된 전체 어류 중 참갈겨니(Zacco koreanus)의 상대풍부도가 30.3%(1,089개체)로 가장 높은 비율을 보였으며, 한국고유종은 참갈겨니, 긴몰개, 쉬리, 눈동자개, 남방종개, 왕종개, 미유기, 자가사리 등 8종(33.8%)이었고, 외래도입종으로 큰입배스(Micropterus salmoides)가 출현하였다. 종다양도 지수, 균등도 지수 및 종풍부도 지수로 보면 S7에서 비교적 안정적인 어류 군집을 형성하고 있었다. 조사된 남해도 소하천들은 하폭, 수심, 하상 구성물질, 하천식생 및 주변의 토지이용도에 따라 산지형, 산지-평지형, 평지형 소하천의 3가지 유형으로 구분되었다. 종별 개체수 자료를 사용하여 요인분석을 실시한 결과, 조사지점은 인간의 인위적 영향 및 토지이용도에 따라 3개의 집단으로 구분되었다. 남해도 소하천의 어류 군집구조는 일차적으로 하상의 종적 환경 변화에 의하여 영향을 받고 있으며, 일부 소하천에서는 토지이용도에 따른 서식지 변화에 의하여 어류 군집구조에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.299-314
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• 2016

The aim of this paper is to review integrated assessment studies conducted to address the impacts of climate change sea-level rise on agricultural sector and to derive suggestions for improving the integrated assessment process to assist decision-makers in establishing climate change adaptation policy. We collect integrated assessment studies which are based on the impact-pathway analysis, compare their step-by-step procedures and identify main factors addressed in each step. The assessment process is typically carried out in the sequence of scenario development, determination of assessment scope, physical impact assessment, economic analysis and synthesis of the outcomes from each step. We identify two types of integrated assessment. The first one examines the impacts of changes in temperature and/or precipitation on the crop-cultivation patterns and/or agricultural productivity and resulting economic effects on agricultural sector. The other investigates the impacts of sea-level rise on land use/coverage and resulting economic damages in terms of land-value loss where the effects on agriculture is treated as one sector among others. To enhance integrated assessment, we suggest that 1) scenarios need to incorporate the effects of climate change and sea-level rise simultaneously, 2) scope of the assessment needs to be extended to include ecosystem services as well as crop production, 3) social and cultural aspects need to be considered in addition to economic analysis, and 4) synthesis of the outcomes from each step should be able to combine quantitative as well as qualitative information.