• Title/Summary/Keyword: temperature prediction model

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A Study on the Prediction of Water-Temperature near the Confluence of Banbyeoncheon by Using the KU-RLMS Model (KU-RUMS 모형을 이용한 반변천 합류부 수온 예측에 관한 연구 KU-RLMS)

  • Lee, Yong-Chin;Lee, Nam-Joo;Lyu, Si-Wan;Yeo, Hong-Koo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1219-1223
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    • 2007
  • 수온은 수계에서 가장 중요한 물리적 특성 중 하나로서, 생물 군집, 특히 어류와 무척추 동물에 관련된 많은 수질 인자에 영향을 미친다. 하천의 생태학적 모습을 개선하기 위한 하천 복원 사업 수행에 있어서, 서식처 및 산란처 조건으로서의 수온 조사 및 모델링의 필요성이 점차 증가하고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구는 낙동강의 중상류에 위치한 반변천 합류부에 평면 이차원 비정상 수치모형인 KU-RLMS 모형을 적용하여 수온의 변화 특성을 규명할 목적으로 수행하였다. KU-RLMS 모형은 하천 및 저수지의 국부적인 수리, 수질, 유사이동 해석을 위해 개발된 평면 이차원 비정상 수치모형이다. 직사각형 격자를 사용하는 유한차분법의 단점을 보완하기 위해, 수심적분된 2차원 연속방정식, 운동량방정식, 이송확산방정식을 불규칙한 경계를 현실적으로 모사할 수 있는 직교곡선 좌표계로 변환한 방정식을 사용한다. 이 모형은 흐름, 농도, 지형변화를 조합하여 계산할 수 있는 모형으로서 점착성 및 비점착성 유사의 이동, 보존성 및 비보존성 오염물질의 이동, 수온 변화를 모의할 수 있다. 수치모형 적용을 위한 현황분석으로 안동 및 임하 조정지댐의 방류량, 안동 수위관측소의 수위, 법흥교 및 포진교 지점의 수온 자료를 분석하였다. 이송확산모형의 보정을 위해, 안동대교 지점의 수온 횡분포 측정자료를 사용하여 확산계수에 대한 매개변수 추정 및 검증을 수행하였다. 또한, 안동조정지댐과 임하조정지댐의 방류량 및 방류수온을 고려하여 수치모의조건을 결정하였으며, 각 조건에 대한 수온 변화 특성을 분석하였다.

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The Effect of Climate Data Applying Temperature Lapse Rate on Prediction of Potential Forest Distribution (기온감율을 적용한 기후자료가 잠재 산림분포 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sang-Chul;Choi, Sung-Ho;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Yoo, Seong-Jin;Byun, Jae-Gyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to suggest technical approaches for preparation and down scaling of climate data used for predicting the potential forest distribution. To predict the forest distribution, we employed a Korean-specific forest distribution model, so-called the TAG(Thermal Analogy Group), and defined the PFT(Plant Functional Types) based on the HyTAG(Hydrological and Thermal Analogy Group). The climate data with 20km spatial resolution were interpolated to fit on the input data format with 1km spatial resolution. Two potential forest distribution maps were estimated using climate data constructed by kriging, one of the interpolation and down-scaling approaches, with and without lapse rate considered. Through the verification process by comparing two potential maps with the actual vegetation map, the forest distribution using the lapse rate was proven to be 38% more accurate.

A Method for the Discrimination of Precipitation Type Using Thickness and Improved Matsuo's Scheme over South Korea (층후와 개선된 Matsuo 기준을 이용한 한반도 강수형태 판별법)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Han, Sang-Un;Won, Hye Young;Ha, Jong-Chul;Lee, Yong Hee;Lee, Jung-Hwan;Park, Jong-Chun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2014
  • This study investigated a method for the discrimination of precipitation type using thickness of geopotential height at 1000~850 hPa and improved Matsuo's scheme over South Korea using 7 upper-level observations data during winter time from 2003 to 2008. With this research, it was suggested that thickness between snow and rain should range from 1281 to 1297 gpm at 1000~850 hPa. This threshold was suitable for determining precipitation type such as snow, sleet and rain and it was verified by investigation at 7 upper-level observation and 10 surface observation data for 3 years (2009~2011). In addition, precipitation types were separated properly by Matsuo's scheme and its improved one, which is a fuction of surface air temperature and relative humidity, when they lie in mixed sectors. Precipitation types in the mixed sector were subdivided into 5 sectors (rain, rain and snow, snow and rain, snow, and snow cover). We also present the decision table for monitoring and predicting precipitation types using model output of Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) and observation data.

Static and Dynamic Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Axisymmetric Shell on the Elastic Foundation -With Application to an Static Behavior Analysis of Axisymmetric Shell- (탄성지반상에 놓인 철근콘크리트 축대칭 쉘의 정적 및 동적 해석 (III) -비선형 정적거동을 중심으로-)

  • 조진구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 1997
  • In all inelastic deformations time rate effects are always present to some degree. Whether or not their exclusion has a significant influence on the prediction of the material behaviour depends upon several factors. In the study of structural components under static loading conditions at normal temperature it is accepted that time rate effects are generally not important. However metals, especially under high temperatures, exhibit simultaneously the phenomena of creep and viscoplasticity. In this study, elastoplastic and elasto-viscoplastic models include nonlinear geometrical effects were developed and several numerical examples are also included to verify the computer programming work developed here in this work. Comparisons of the calculated results, for the elasto-viscoplastic analysis of an internally pressurised thick cylinder under plane strain condition, have shown that the model yields excellent results. The results obtained from the numerical examples for an elasto-viscoplastic analysis of the Nuclear Reinforced Concrete Containment Structure(NRCCS) subjected to an incrementally applied internal pressure were summarized as follows : 1. The steady state hoop stress distribution along the shell layer of dome and dome wall junction part of NRCCS were linearly behave and the stress in interior surfaces was larger than that in exterior. 2.However in the upper part of the wall of NRCCS the steady state hoop stress in creased linearly from its inner to outer surfaces, being the exact reverse to the previous case of dome/dome-wall junction part. 3.At the lower part of wall of NRCCS, the linear change of steady state hoop stress along its wall layer began to disturb above a certain level of load increase.

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Hydration Heat and Strength Characteristics of Cement Mortar with Phase Change Materials(PCMs) (상전이물질을 혼입한 시멘트 모르타르의 수화발열 및 강도 특성 평가)

  • Jang, Seok-Joon;Kim, Byung-Seon;Kim, Sun-Woong;Park, Wan-Shin;Yun, Hyun-Do
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.665-672
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    • 2016
  • This study is conducted to investigate the effect of phase change materials (PCM) on hydration heat and strength characteristics of cement mortar. Two types of Barium and Strontium-based PCMs were used in this study and the addition ratio of each PCM to the cement mortar ranged from 1% to 5% by cement weight. Flow test, semi-adiabatic temperature rise test, compressive strength and flexural strength test were carried out to examine the PCM effect on heat and mechanical properties of cement mortar. Test results indicated that PCMs used in this study were effective to control hydration heat of cement mortar, and Barium-based PCM slightly reduce flow value. The compressive and flexural strength of cement mortar with PCM decreased with increasing the adding mount of PCM. The prediction model for compressive strength of cement mortar with different addition levels of PCMs are suggested in this study.

Prediction of Ozone Concentration by Multiple Regression Analysis in Daegu area (다중회귀분석을 통한 대구지역 오존농도 예측)

  • 최성우;최상기;도상현
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2002
  • Air quality monitoring data and meteorology data which had collected from 1995. 1. to 1999. 2. in six areas of Daegu, Manchondong, Bokhyundong, Deamyungdong, Samdukdong, Leehyundong and Nowondong, were investigated to determine the distribution and characteristic of ozone. A equation of multiple regression was suggested after time series analysis of contribution factor and meteorology factor were investigated during the day which had high concentration of ozone. The results show the following; First, 63.6% of high ozone concentration days, more than 60 ppb of ozone concentration, were in May, June and September. The percentage of each area showed that; Manchondong 14.4%, Bokhyundong 15.4%, Deamyungdong 15.6%, Samdukdong 15.6%, Leehyundong 17.3% and Nowondong 21.6%. Second, correlation coefficients of ozone, $SO_2$, TSP, $NO_2$ and CO showed negative relationship; the results were respectively -0.229, -0.074, -0.387, -0.190(p<0.01), and humidity were -0.677. but temperature, amount of radiation and wind speed had positive relationship; the results were respectively 0.515, 0.509, 0.400(p<0.01). Third, $R^2$ of equation of multiple regression at each area showed that; Nowondong 45.4%, Lee hyundong 77.9%, Samdukdong 69.9%, Daemyungdong 78.8%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 77.6%. Including 1 hour prior ozone concentration, $R^2$ of each area was significantly increased; Nowondong 75.2%, Leehyundong 89.3%, Samdukdong 86.4%, Daemyungdong 88.6%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 88.0%. Using equation of multiple regression, There were some different $R^2$ between predicted value and observed value; Nowondong 48%, Leehyundong 77.5%, Samdukdong 58%, Daemyungdong 73.4%, Manchondong 77.7%, Bokhyundong 75.1%. $R^2$ of model including 1 hour prior ozone concentration was higher than equation of current day; Nowondong 82.5%, Leehyundong 88.3%, Samdukdong 80.7%, Daemyungdong 82.4%, Manchondong 87.6%, Bokhyundong 88.5%.

Uncertainty of Simulated Paddy Rice Yield using LARS-WG Derived Climate Data in the Geumho River Basin, Korea (LARS-WG 기후자료를 이용한 금호강 유역 모의발생 벼 생산량의 불확실성)

  • Nkomozepi, Temba D.;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates the trends and uncertainty of the impacts of climate change on paddy rice production in the Geumho river basin. The Long Ashton Research Station stochastic Weather Generator (LARS-WG) was used to derive future climate data for the Geumho river basin from 15 General Circulation models (GCMs) for 3 Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) (A2, A1B and B1) included in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 4th assessment report. The Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) AquaCrop, a water-driven crop model, was statistically calibrated for the 1982 to 2010 climate. The index of agreement (IoA), prediction efficiency ($R^2$), percent bias (PBIAS), root mean square error (RMSE) and a visual technique were used to evaluate the adjusted AquaCrop simulated yield values. The adjusted simulated yields showed RMSE, NSE, IoA and PBIAS of 0.40, 0.26, 0.76 and 0.59 respectively. The 5, 9 and 15 year central moving averages showed $R^2$ of 0.78, 0.90 and 0.96 respectively after adjustment. AquaCrop was run for the 2020s (2011-2030), 2050s (2046-2065) and 2090s (2080-2099). Climate change projections for Geumho river basin generally indicate a hotter and wetter future climate with maximum increase in the annual temperature of $4.5^{\circ}C$ in the 2090s A1B, as well as maximum increase in the rainfall of 45 % in the 2090s A2. The means (and ranges) of paddy rice yields are projected to increase by 21 % (17-25 %), 34 % (27-42 %) and 43 % (31-54 %) for the 2020s, 2050s and 2090s, respectively. The A1B shows the largest rice yield uncertainty in all time slices with standard deviation of 0.148, 0.189 and $0.173t{\cdot}ha^{-1}$ for the 2020s, 2050s and 2090s, respectively.

Reliability verification of cutting force experiment by the 3D-FEM analysis from reverse engineering design of milling tool (밀링 공구의 역 공학 설계에서 3D 유한요소 해석을 통한 절삭력 실험의 신뢰성 검증)

  • Jung, Sung-Taek;Wi, Eun-Chan;Kim, Hyun-Jeong;Song, Ki-Hyeok;Baek, Seung-Yub
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2019
  • CNC(Computer Numerical Control) machine tools are being used in various industrial fields such as aircraft and automobiles. The machining conditions used in the mold industry are used, and the simulation and the experiment are compared. The tool used in the experiment was carried out to increase the reliability of the simulation of the cutting machining. The program used in the 3D-FEM (finite element method) was the AdvantEdge and predicted by down-milling. The tool model is used 3D-FEM simulation by using the cutting force, temperature prediction. In this study, we carried out the verification of cutting force by using a 3-axis tool dynamometer (Kistler 9257B) system when machining the plastic mold Steel machining of NAK-80. The cutting force experiment data using on the charge amplifier (5070A) is amplified, and the 3-axis cutting force data are saved as a TDMS file using the Lab-View based program using on NI-PXIe-1062Q. The machining condition 7 was the most similar to the simulation and the experimental results. The material properties of the NAK-80 material and the simulation trends reflected in the reverse design of the tool were derived similarly to the experimental results.

Development of Criteria for Predicting Delamination in Cabinet Walls of Household Refrigerators (냉장고 캐비닛 벽면에서 발생하는 박리현상 예측을 위한 평가 기준 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jin Seong;Kim, Sung Ik;Lee, Gun Yup;Cho, Jong Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • Household refrigerator cabinets must undergo cyclic testing at -20 ℃ and 65 ℃ for quality control (QC) after their production is complete. These cabinets were assembled from different materials, including acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS), polyurethane (PU) foam, and steel plates. However, different thermal expansion values could be observed owing to differences in the mechanical properties of the materials. In this study, a technique to predict delamination on a refrigerator wall caused by thermal deformation was developed. The mechanical properties of ABS and PU foams were tested, theload factors causing delamination were analyzed, delamination was observed using a high-speed camera, and comparison and verification in terms of stress and strain were performed using a finite element model (FEM). The results indicated that the delamination phenomenon of a refrigerator wall can be defined in two cases. A method for predicting and evaluating delamination was established and applied in an actual refrigerator. To determine the effect of temperature changes on the refrigerator, strain measurements were performed at the weak point and the stress was calculated. The results showed that the proposed FEM prediction technique can be used as a basis for virtual testing to replace future QC testing, thus saving time and cost.

Optimization of VIGA Process Parameters for Power Characteristics of Fe-Si-Al-P Soft Magnetic Alloy using Machine Learning

  • Sung-Min, Kim;Eun-Ji, Cha;Do-Hun, Kwon;Sung-Uk, Hong;Yeon-Joo, Lee;Seok-Jae, Lee;Kee-Ahn, Lee;Hwi-Jun, Kim
    • Journal of Powder Materials
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.459-467
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    • 2022
  • Soft magnetic powder materials are used throughout industries such as motors and power converters. When manufacturing Fe-based soft magnetic composites, the size and shape of the soft magnetic powder and the microstructure in the powder are closely related to the magnetic properties. In this study, Fe-Si-Al-P alloy powders were manufactured using various manufacturing process parameter sets, and the process parameters of the vacuum induction melt gas atomization process were set as melt temperature, atomization gas pressure, and gas flow rate. Process variable data that records are converted into 6 types of data for each powder recovery section. Process variable data that recorded minute changes were converted into 6 types of data and used as input variables. As output variables, a total of 6 types were designated by measuring the particle size, flowability, apparent density, and sphericity of the manufactured powders according to the process variable conditions. The sensitivity of the input and output variables was analyzed through the Pearson correlation coefficient, and a total of 6 powder characteristics were analyzed by artificial neural network model. The prediction results were compared with the results through linear regression analysis and response surface methodology, respectively.