• Title/Summary/Keyword: system life estimation

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Life Cycle Cost Estimation Method for Spare Parts Using Weapon System Hierarchy (무기체계 계층구조를 활용한 수리부속의 수명주기비용 추정 방안)

  • Lee, Ja Kyoung;Kim, Sang Boo;Park, Yun Gyu;Bae, In Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The spare part cost is one of the most important cost factors with which construct Life Cycle Cost. The LCSP(Life Cycle Sustainment Plan) Guidebook issued by Korea Ministry of Defense, however, suggests a simple equation to estimate the spare part cost using maintenance task frequencies and each part cost. Therefore, following the cost estimation method in the LCSP Guidebook may lead to an improper cost estimation result since both the hierarchical structure of the weapon system and the part discard rate are not considered. The purpose of this study is to develop a new life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts of weapon system during its life cycle. Methods: In this study, the detailed cost structure of spare parts is provided. Also a new spare part cost estimation methods for the each cost element are proposed, considering the hierarchical structure of weapon system and the part discard rate. And the proposed spare cost estimation methods are applied to K system for a case study. Results: Based on the case study of K system, the spare part cost estimation method, proposed by this study, shows that it can complement the estimation method suggested by the LCSP Guidebook. It also shows that it is applicable to the weapon systems for Korea armed forces. Conclusion: The proposed life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts has an advantage of estimating the spare part cost more accurately. It is expected to be useful in analyzing the procurement alternatives objectively and making up the Korea armed forces budget effectively.

Life Estimation of DC Link Electroytic Capacitors (직류 링크 전해 커패시터의 수명 추정)

  • 이동춘
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.57-60
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    • 2000
  • An aluminum electrolytic capacitor is used in DC Link of ac motor drive system. In this case it usually has the shortest lifetime in the system and then determines the system lifetime. Therefore life estimation of the electrolytic capacitor is needed for maintenance of th circuit. In this paper a method for life estimation is presented with a ESR(equivalent series resistance) model and a heat transfer model of capacitor that can be used to estimate operating temperature it is investigated through a simple example using ESR and heat transfer.

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Comparison of Reliability Estimation Methods for One-shot Systems Using Accelerated Life Tests (가속수명시험을 이용한 원샷 시스템의 신뢰도 추정방법 비교)

  • Son, Young-Kap;Jang, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.212-218
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    • 2010
  • This paper shows accuracy comparison results of reliability estimation methods for one-shot systems with respect to sample sizes. To compare accuracy in reliability estimation methods, quantal-response data, characterizing one-shot systems, were simulated using failure times of LED obtained through the accelerated life test, and then the true reliability over time was evaluated using the failure times. The simulated quantal-response data were used to estimate the true reliability through applying reliability estimation methods in open literature. Accuracy of each reliability estimation method was compared in terms of both SSE (Sum of Squared Error) and MSE (Mean Squared Error), and then estimation trend for each method is found. Feasible bounds which true reliability would exist within were estimated through applying the found trends to quantal-response data set of a real weapon system.

A Development Strategy for Construction method based Estimation System (공법 기반 견적 시스템 개발 전략)

  • Kim, Seong-Ah;Kang, Myung-Ku;Yoon, Su-Won;Park, Young-Jin;Chin, Sang-Yoon;Choi, Cheol-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.341-345
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this paper is to introduce a project on developing construction method based estimation system. It means a 3D product model based estimation system to effectively and efficiently manage estimation process during the project life-cycle. This paper describes a outline and method for 3D based estimation system. Normally, it is not easy to take-off the quantity from 3D CAD model, because of all different depths of the quantity take off in each design development stage and nation. This study shows how to keep the balance of its depths in each design development stage such as schematic design, detail design, shop drawing, and so forth.

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A Study on the Estimation of Economic Service Life on Semiconductor Equipments (반도체 제조설비의 경제적 내용연수 산정)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung;Kim, Chong-Su;Suh, Jung-Yul;Cho, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.164-169
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    • 2007
  • The estimation of mortality characteristics of industrial property is an important adjunct to engineering valuation and depreciation estimation. Once the important of depreciation estimation is determined, it is desirable to understand the processes upon which these estimates are based. The Iowa type survivor curves are a set of generalized retirement dispersion models. These curves were based on analysis of actual retirement experience and represent typical retirement behavior patterns likely to be encountered. The retirement rate of Iowa type survivor curves on the semiconductor equipments in Korea industry was estimated by the life estimation process. In this paper, estimates of service lives based on directly observed data of the domestic semiconductor equipments are presented.

An Estimation of Disassembly and Assembly in Gear Systems with Considering of Reliability Life (기어장치의 수뢰수명을 고려한 분해 및 조립용이성 평가)

  • 진정선
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.210-215
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, systemaic approach is studied about assembility and disassemblility of parts of the gear system in order to reduce the assembly cost, and to disassemble products easily which is possible to recycle the parts. That is, an estimation of disassembly and assembly with considering of reliability life. In this study, we use symbolic chart method for an economic model for optimal disassembly and assembly.

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A Study on the Estimation Depreciation Rate on Petrochemical Equipments (석유화학 제조설비의 경제적 감가상각률 산정)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung;Kim, Chong-Su;Lee, Hahn-Kyou;Cho, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.130-136
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    • 2009
  • Estimation of mortality behavior of a industrial property are useful for calculating depreciation and making management decisions relating to property. The common methods of computing depreciation require an estimation of service life, and some methods may require an estimate of life expectancy. Estimation of service life and life expectancy can be computed from a smoothed and extended life table of original life tables developed through life analysis techniques. Several actuarial techniques are available to construct a life table for depreciation application. Of these methods, the graphic approach and graduation by mathematical formula are the most widely used in the field of depreciation. A commonly used technique of smoothing and of extending the life table is to fit a lows type survivor curves to the observed retirement rate by the least square method. In this paper, estimates of depreciation rate based on directly observed data of the domestic petrochemical equipments are presented.

The Development of an Product Cost Estimation System at the Product Design Stage (제품 설계 단계에서의 제품 원가 추정 시스템 개발)

  • 한관희;박찬우;이규봉;황태일;김강용
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2003
  • Presented in this paper is the development of an product cost estimation system at the product design stage. The efficient cost estimation function at the design stage is essential for the cost reduction activities through the entire product life cycle. For this purpose, it is necessary to establish a systematic working procedure, and to develop information system for managing a great deal of production and product-related data required for the cost estimation. The developed system has the capability of estimating a cost of assembly type products as well as unit-item type products. As proposed system is based on the variant approach, it can be used easily at an early design stage without the need for detail design information. Also, this system is integrated with legacy PDM (Product Data Management) and ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) system for fast. accurate and easy product cost estimation. The estimated cost includes material cost, overhead cost as well as labor cost.

Indirect Estimation of CH4 from Livestock Feeds through TOCs Evaluation

  • Kim, M.J.;Lee, J.S.;Kumar, S.;Rahman, M.M.;Shin, J.S.;Ra, C.S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.496-501
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    • 2012
  • Thirty-five available feeds were fermented in vitro in order to investigate their soluble total organic carbon (TOCs) and methane ($CH_4$) production rate. A fermentation reactor was designed to capture the $CH_4$ gas emitted and to collect liquor from the reactor during in vitro fermentation. The results showed that $CH_4$ production rate greatly varied among feeds with different ingredients. The lowest $CH_4$-producing feeds were corn gluten feed, brewer's grain, and orchard grass among the energy, protein, and forage feed groups, respectively. Significant differences (p<0.05) were found in digestibility, soluble total organic carbon (TOCs), and $CH_4$ emissions among feeds, during 48 h of in vitro fermentation. Digestibility and TOCs was not found to be related due to different fermentation pattern of each but TOCs production was directly proportional to $CH_4$ production (y = 0.0076x, $r^2$ = 0.83). From this in vitro study, TOCs production could be used as an indirect index for estimation of $CH_4$ emission from feed ingredients.

Estimation of Probability Distribution of Fatigue Lives in Crank Throw Forged Steel (크랭크스로 단조강의 피로수명의 확률분포 추정)

  • Kim, Seon-Jin;Ahn, Seok-Hwan
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2016
  • Because of the severe service environment of the large marine vessel, the fatigue strength and its evaluation play an important role in design and maintenance of marine crankshaft. The aim of this work is to investigate the probability distribution of fatigue lives in crank throw forged steel and to develop the methodology for estimation of the probabilistic design fatigue strength. Detailed studies were performed on the constant amplitude axial loading fatigue test. The experiments were controlled by stress ratio of -1 and 15Hz frequency for each stress level. The considerable variability of fatigue life was observed in each stress level under rigidly controlled constant fatigue testing conditions. The fatigue life of crank throw forged steel was well followed the log-normal and Weibull distribution. In addition, it can be used for the estimation of probabilistic design fatigue strength by using the proposed methodology.