• 제목/요약/키워드: survival model

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여단급 KCTC 훈련 결과 빅데이터를 활용한 대대급 이하 지휘관(자)의 생존분석 - 보병대대 방어작전을 중심으로 - (Survival Analysis of Battalion-Level Commanders(leaders) Using Big Data as Results of Brigade-Level KCTC Training - Focused on Infantry Battalion Defensive Operations -)

  • 윤진성;문호석
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.94-106
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we conducted a survival analysis on battalion-level commanders(leaders), focusing on infantry battalion defensive operations using the big data of brigade-level KCTC(Korea Combat Training Center) training results. Unlike previous studies, we utilized the brigade-level KCTC training results data for the first time to conduct a survival analysis, and the research subjects were battalion-level commanders(leaders), which can affect the battle. At this time, the battle results were defined, and through cluster analysis, infantry battalions were divided into excellent, average, and insufficient units, and the difference in the survival rate of the commanders was analyzed through the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. This provided an opportunity to objectively compare the differences between excellent and insufficient units. Subsequently, factors affecting the survival of commanders were derived using the Cox proportional hazard model, and it was possible to confirm the influencing factors from various angles by also using the survival tree model. Significance and limitations confirmed in the research process were presented as policy suggestions and future research directions.

Neuroprotective Effects of Berberine in Neurodegeneration Model Rats Induced by Ibotenic Acid

  • Lim, Jung-Su;Kim, Hyo-Sup;Choi, Yoon-Seok;Kwon, Hyock-Man;Shin, Ki-Soon;Joung, In-Sil;Shin, Mi-Jung;Kim, Yun-Hee
    • Animal cells and systems
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2008
  • Berberine, an isoquinoline alkaloid found in Coptidis Rhizoma(goldenthread) extract, has multiple pharmacological effects such as anti-inflammatory, antimicrobial and anti-ischemic effects. In the present study, we examined the effects of berberine on neuronal survival and differentiation in a hippocampal precursor cell line and in the memory deficient rat model. Berberine increased in a dose dependent manner the survival of hippocampal precursor cells as well as differentiated cells. In addition, berberine promoted neuronal differentiation of hippocampal precursor cells. In the memory deficient rat model induced by stereotaxic injection of ibotenic acid into entorhinal cortex(Ibo model), hippocampal cells were increased about 2.7 fold in the pyramidal layer of CA1 region and about 2 fold in the dentate gyrus by administration of berberine after 2 weeks of ibotenic acid injection. Furthermore, neuronal cells immunoreactive to calbindin were increased in the hippocampus and entorhinal cortex area by administration of berberine. Taken together, these results suggest that berberine has neuroprotective effect in the Ibo model rat brain by promoting the neuronal survival and differentiation.

집단생잔모델에 변화할당효과를 고려한 농촌지역 인구모델의 개발 (Development of a Rural Population Model Considering Shift-Share Effects in Cohort-Survival Method)

  • 정남수;이행우
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop rural population model adapting cohort survival method with sift-share effects. Administrative district in this study is below Myun: about 2,000 population. Population data of rural area in 1990, 1995, and 2000 by age cohort were selected for applying developed model. Damping coefficient from population data was calculated as 7% and results applying this coefficient in rural population data below the error from 12% to 1.06%. In detail, most of cohorts fitted with developed model except from 15 to 29 age groups. Application result of small population area; DaesulMyun revealed that main factor of population change is not natural change but migration.

KOZIOL-GREEN 모형에서 생존함수에 대한 붓스트랩 구간추정 (Bootstrap confidence interval for survival function in the Koziol-Green model)

  • 조길호;정성화;최달우;최현숙
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 Koziol-Green 모형에서 생존함수에 대한 신뢰구간을 붓스트랩 방법을 이용하여 제안하고, 생존함수에 대한 붓스트랩 추정량의 일치성을 밝힌다. 또한 제안된 붓스트랩 신뢰구간들을 기존의 근사적 정규분포를 이용한 신뢰구간과 생존함수에 변수변환을 고려하여 구성한 신뢰구간들과 모의실험을 통하여 비교한 결과 제안된 붓스트랩 신뢰구간이 기존의 방법보다 포함확률 측면에서 더 좋은 결과를 보였고 중도절단율에 덜 민감한다는 것을 보여 주었다.

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Multiprocess Dynamic Survival Models with Numbers of Deaths

  • Joo Yong Shim;Joong Kweon Sohn;Sang Gil Kang
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 1996
  • The multiprocess dynamic survival model is proposed for the application of the regression model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates : where the survival data consists of numbers of deaths at certain time-points. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of a time-varying parameter vector is suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of numbers of deaths of each group in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of current time interval is suggested.

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출혈성 쇼크를 일으킨 흰쥐에서 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 생존율 예측 (A survival prediction model of hemorrhagic shock in rats using a logistic regression equation)

  • 이탁형;이주형;정상원;김덕원
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2009년도 정보 및 제어 심포지움 논문집
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    • pp.132-134
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    • 2009
  • Hemorrhagic shock is a common cause of death in emergency rooms. Since the symptoms of hemorrhagic shock occur after shock has considerably progressed, it is difficult to diagnose shock early. The purpose of this study was to improve early diagnosis of hemorrhagic shock using a survival prediction model in rats. We measured ECG, blood pressure, respiration and temperature in 45 Sprague-Dawley rats, and then obtained a logistic regression equation predicting survival rates. Area under the ROC curves was 0.99. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit chi-square was 0.86(degree of freedom=8, p=0.999). Applying the determined optimal boundary value of 0.25, the accuracy of survival prediction was 94.7%

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Fitting Cure Rate Model to Breast Cancer Data of Cancer Research Center

  • Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Zayeri, Farid;Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil;Shojaee, Leyla;Khadembashi, Naghmeh;Shahmirzalou, Parviz
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권17호
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    • pp.7923-7927
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    • 2015
  • Background: The Cox PH model is one of the most significant statistical models in studying survival of patients. But, in the case of patients with long-term survival, it may not be the most appropriate. In such cases, a cure rate model seems more suitable. The purpose of this study was to determine clinical factors associated with cure rate of patients with breast cancer. Materials and Methods: In order to find factors affecting cure rate (response), a non-mixed cure rate model with negative binomial distribution for latent variable was used. Variables selected were recurrence cancer, status for HER2, estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR), size of tumor, grade of cancer, stage of cancer, type of surgery, age at the diagnosis time and number of removed positive lymph nodes. All analyses were performed using PROC MCMC processes in the SAS 9.2 program. Results: The mean (SD) age of patients was equal to 48.9 (11.1) months. For these patients, 1, 5 and 10-year survival rates were 95, 79 and 50 percent respectively. All of the mentioned variables were effective in cure fraction. Kaplan-Meier curve showed cure model's use competence. Conclusions: Unlike other variables, existence of ER and PR positivity will increase probability of cure in patients. In the present study, Weibull distribution was used for the purpose of analysing survival times. Model fitness with other distributions such as log-N and log-logistic and other distributions for latent variable is recommended.

Applying Conventional and Saturated Generalized Gamma Distributions in Parametric Survival Analysis of Breast Cancer

  • Yavari, Parvin;Abadi, Alireza;Amanpour, Farzaneh;Bajdik, Chris
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.1829-1831
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    • 2012
  • Background: The generalized gamma distribution statistics constitute an extensive family that contains nearly all of the most commonly used distributions including the exponential, Weibull and log normal. A saturated version of the model allows covariates having effects through all the parameters of survival time distribution. Accelerated failure-time models assume that only one parameter of the distribution depends on the covariates. Methods: We fitted both the conventional GG model and the saturated form for each of its members including the Weibull and lognormal distribution; and compared them using likelihood ratios. To compare the selected parameter distribution with log logistic distribution which is a famous distribution in survival analysis that is not included in generalized gamma family, we used the Akaike information criterion (AIC; r=l(b)-2p). All models were fitted using data for 369 women age 50 years or more, diagnosed with stage IV breast cancer in BC during 1990-1999 and followed to 2010. Results: In both conventional and saturated parametric models, the lognormal was the best candidate among the GG family members; also, the lognormal fitted better than log-logistic distribution. By the conventional GG model, the variables "surgery", "radiotherapy", "hormone therapy", "erposneg" and interaction between "hormone therapy" and "erposneg" are significant. In the AFT model, we estimated the relative time for these variables. By the saturated GG model, similar significant variables are selected. Estimating the relative times in different percentiles of extended model illustrate the pattern in which the relative survival time change during the time. Conclusions: The advantage of using the generalized gamma distribution is that it facilitates estimating a model with improved fit over the standard Weibull or lognormal distributions. Alternatively, the generalized F family of distributions might be considered, of which the generalized gamma distribution is a member and also includes the commonly used log-logistic distribution.

Estimation of Treatment Effect for Bivariate Censored Survival Data

  • Ahn, Choon-Mo;Park, Sang-Gue
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.1017-1024
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    • 2003
  • An estimation problem of treatment effect for bivariate censored survival data is considered under location shift model between two sample. The proposed estimator is very intuitive and can be obtained in a closed form. Asymptotic results of the proposed estimator are discussed and simulation studies are performed to show the strength of the proposed estimator.

A study of generation alternation model in genetic algorithm

  • Ito, Minoru;Sugisaka, Masanori
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.93.4-93
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    • 2002
  • When the GA is applied to optimization problems, it is important to maintain the diversity in designing generation alternation model. Generally, when the diversity is not fully maintained, it is difficult to find good solution, and it is easy to stagnate the early convergenece. In this paper, we propose the Elite Correlation Selection operator (ECS) as a new selection operator for survival. This selection operator aims to keep the diversity of populations and contributes the high searching ability. This selection operator is an extension of selection operator for survival in the Minimal Generation Gap (MGG). In the selection for survival, this selection operator selects one elite individual...

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