• Title/Summary/Keyword: survey and estimation errors

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Scientific fire investigation by NFPA 921 CODE based on frozen warehouse fire case (냉동창고 화재 사례를 기반으로 하는 NFPA 921 CODE에 의한 과학적 화재조사 연구)

  • Park, Kyong-Jin;Lee, Yong-KI;Cha, Sung-Sig;Jung, Dong-Young;Kim, Jang-Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we investigated the cases where there were many opinions in the judgment of the cause of ignition in the case of 20 cases of frozen warehouse fire that occurred in 2017.The research methodology is the scientific fire survey method prescribed by the NFPA 921 CODE. Scientific fire investigation method is fire investigation method by logical reasoning through hypothesis setting, minimizing errors in judgment of ignition source. On the other hand, unscientific fire investigation methods cause many errors by the intervention of irrational factors such as subjective estimation, reasoning judgment, etc. This eventually leads to the problem of human and material responsibility and academic deterioration. In particular, fire not seen as compared to sighted fire makes more errors in ignition sources in the cause investigation. In this study, we set the hypothesis A and hypothesis B based on the review of the fire investigation report and the field survey on the fire case of the cold storage warehouse front line that occurred at ** city ** Mart in 2017.The set hypothesis was tested by the NFPA 921 code. This analytical method will be constructed by NEW Paradigm as a source of fire that is not seen in the future and a source of ignorant fire.In addition, the experimental data of this study will be used to inform the manufacturer and operator of the refrigeration warehouse and serve as basic data for fire prevention.

The Estimation of the Cadastral Digital Map's Accuracy for the KLIS's Effective Operation (KLIS의 효율적 운영을 위한 지적도 전산 파일의 정확도 평가)

  • Hong, Sung-Eon;Lee, Hyun-Joon;Kim, Yun-Ki
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2007
  • Even though the data of digital cadastral map, stored in the Korea Land Information System(hereinafter referred to as "KLIS") has a wide variety of errors, it has been used in a cadastral surveying field without any compensating work. As a result, it has given rise to a lot of problems when we use this digital cadastral map in the cadastral surveying field. That is why we should analyse the accuracy of digital cadastral map which has been stored in the KLIS. In this context, this paper has been intended to provide acceptable proposals with regards to present operation of KLIS or the cadastral re-survey project in the future by analysing the data of digital cadastral map which is one of the layers of the KLIS. Our study results showed that the accuracy of both the location and area in the present KLIS datum was not satisfactory Therefore, in our own judgment, it is necessary to revise cadastral maps more accurately in order to use in the field of cadastral surveying or in carrying out the cadastral re-survey project.

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Estimation of Smoking Prevalence among Adolescents in a Community by Design-based Analysis (설계기준 분석 방법에 의한 지역사회 청소년 흡연율 추정)

  • Park, Soon-Woo;Lee, Sang-Won;Park, Jung Han;Yun, Yeon-Ok;Lee, Won-Kee;Kim, Jong-Yeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.317-324
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to estimate the unbiased smoking prevalence and its standard errors among adolescents in a large city in Korea, by design-based analysis. Methods: All the students in Daegu city were stratified by grade, gender and region, and then schools as primary sampling units (PSU) were selected by probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling. One or two classes were sampled randomly from each grade, from 5th grade in elementary schools to the 3rd grade in high schools. The students anonymously completed a standardized self-administered questionnaire from October to December 2004. The total number of respondents was 8,480 in the final analysis, excluding the third graders in the general high schools because of incomplete sampling. The sampling weight was calculated for each student after post-stratification adjustment, with adjustment being made for the missing cases. The data were analyzed with Stata 8.0 with consideration of PSU, weighting and the strata variables. Results: The smoking prevalence (%) and standard errors for male students from the fifth grade in elementary schools to the second grade in high schools were $0.93{\pm}0.47,\;1.83{\pm}0.74,\;3.16{\pm}1.00,\;5.12{\pm}1.02,\;10.86{\pm}1.13,\;15.63{\pm}2.44\;and\;17.96{\pm}2.67$, and those for the female students were $0.28{\pm}0.28,\;1.17{\pm}0.73,\;3.13{\pm}0.60,\;1.45{\pm}0.58,\;3.94{\pm}0.92,\;8.75{\pm}1.86\;and\;10.04{\pm}1.70$, sequentially. Conclusions: The smoking prevalence from this study was much higher than those from the other conventional studies conducted in Korea. The point estimates and standard errors from the design-based analysis were different from those of the model-based analysis. These findings suggest the importance of design-based analysis to estimate unbiased prevalence and standard errors in complex survey data and this method is recommended to apply to future surveys for determining the smoking prevalence for specific population.

A comparison study on the estimation of the relative risk for the unemployed rate in small area (소지역의 실업률에 대한 상대위험도의 추정에 관한 비교연구)

  • Park, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.349-356
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we suggest the estimation method of the relative risk for the unemployment statistics of a small area such as si, gun, gu in Korea. The considered method are the usual pooled estimator, weighted estimator with the inverse of log-variance as weights, and the Jackknife estimator. And we compare with the efficiency of the three estimators by estimating the bias and mean square errors using real data from the 2002 Economically Active Population Survey of Gyeonggi-do. We compute the unemployed rate of male and female in small areas, and then estimate the common relative risk for the unemployed rate between male and female. Also, the stability and reliability of the three estimators for the common relative risk was evaluated using the RB(relative bias) and the RRMSE(relative root mean square error) of these estimators. Finally, the Jackknife estimator turned out to be much more efficient than the other estimators.

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Dietary intake of fats and fatty acids in the Korean population: Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2013

  • Baek, Yeji;Hwang, Ji-Yun;Kim, Kirang;Moon, Hyun-Kyung;Kweon, Sanghui;Yang, Jieun;Oh, Kyungwon;Shim, Jae Eun
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.650-657
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to estimate average total fat and fatty acid intakes as well as identify major food sources using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) VI-1 (2013). SUBJECTS/METHODS: Total fat and fatty acid intakes were estimated using 24-hour dietary recall data on 7,048 participants aged ${\geq}3years$ from the KNHANES VI-1 (2013). Data included total fat, saturated fatty acid (SFA), monounsaturated fatty acid (MUFA), polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA), n-3 fatty acid (n-3 FA), and n-6 fatty acid (n-6 FA) levels. Population means and standard errors of the mean were weighted in order to produce national estimates and separated based on sex, age, income, as well as residential region. Major food sources of fat, SFA, MUFA, PUFA, n-3 FA, and n-6 FA were identified based on mean consumption amounts of fat and fatty acids in each food. RESULTS: The mean intake of total fat was 48.0 g while mean intakes of SFA, MUFA, PUFA, n-3 FA, and n-6 FA were 14.4 g, 15.3 g, 11.6 g, 1.6 g, and 10.1 g, respectively. Intakes of MUFA and SFA were each higher than that of PUFA in all age groups. Pork was the major source of total fat, SFA, and MUFA, and soybean oil was the major source of PUFA. Milk and pork were major sources of SFA in subjects aged 3-11 years and ${\geq}12years$, respectively. Perilla seed oil and soybean oil were main sources of n-3 FA in subjects aged ${\geq}50years$ and aged < 50 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Estimation of mean fatty acid intakes of this study using nationally represented samples of the Korean population could be useful for developing and evaluating national nutritional policies.

Study on the K-scale reflecting the confidence of survey responses (설문 응답에 대한 신뢰도를 반영한 K-척도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hye Jung;Pi, Su Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2013
  • In the Information age, internet addiction has been a big issue in a modern society. The adverse effects of the internet addiction have been increasing at an exponential speed. Along with a great variety of internet-connected device supplies, K-scale diagnostic criteria have been used for the internet addiction self-diagnose tests in the high-speed wireless Internet service, netbooks, and smart phones, etc. The K-scale diagnostic criteria needed to be changed to meet the changing times, and the diagnostic criteria of K-scale was changed in March, 2012. In this paper, we analyze the internet addiction and K-scale features on the actual condition of Gyeongbuk collegiate areas using the revised K-scale diagnostic criteria in 2012. The diagnostic method on internet addiction is measured by the respondents' subjective estimation. Willful error of the respondents can be occurred to hide their truth. In this paper, we add the survey response to the trusted reliability values to reduce response errors on the K-scale on the K-scale, and enhance the reliability of the analysis.

Characteristics of Measurement Errors due to Reflective Sheet Targets - Surveying for Sejong VLBI IVP Estimation (반사 타겟의 관측 오차 특성 분석 - 세종 VLBI IVP 결합 측량)

  • Hong, Chang-Ki;Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2022
  • Determination of VLBI IVP (Very Long Baseline Interferometry Invariant Point) position with high accuracy is required to compute local tie vectors between the space geodetic techniques. In general, reflective targets are attached on VLBI antenna and slant distances, horizontal and vertical angles are measured from the pillars. Then, adjustment computation is performed by using the mathematical model which connects measurements and unknown parameters. This indicates that the accuracy of the estimated solutions is affected by the accuracy of the measurements. One of issues in local tie surveying, however, is that the reflective targets are not in favorable condition, that is, the reflective sheet target cannot be perfectly aligned to the instrument perpendicularly. Deviation from the line of sight of an instrument may cause different type of measurement errors. This inherent limitation may lead to incorrect stochastic modeling for the measurements in adjustment computation procedures. In this study, error characteristics by measurement types and pillars are analyzed, respectively. The analysis on the studentized residuals is performed after adjustment computation. The normality of the residuals is tested and then equal variance test between the measurement types are performed. The results show that there are differences in variance according to the measurement types. Differences in variance between distances and angle measurements are observed when F-test is performed for the measurements from each pillar. Therefore, more detailed stochastic modeling is required for optimal solutions, especially in local tie survey.

Analysis of Errors in Tunnel Quantity Estimation with 3D-BIM Compared with Routine Method Based 2D (2D기반 기존방법 대비 BIM기반 터널 물량산출 오차 분석)

  • Shin, Jae-Choul;Baek, Yeong-In;Park, Won-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2011
  • In case of applying BIM method to the civil engineering of irregularly shaped structure, BIM method is recognized to have relatively high construction productivity. In this paper, we developed quantity calculation algorithms applying BIM method to NATM tunnel construction method and implemented BIM based 3D-BIM Modeling Quantity Calculation. The results showed that BIM-based method has high reliabilty in structure work in which errors occurred only in the range between 0.00% and -1.45%. On the other hand, BIM method applied to earth work showed great error range of -19.78% to 35.30%. So the benefit and applicability of BIM method in civil engineering were confirmed. In addition, routine method for the quantity of earth work has negligible error as in the case of structure work. But, rock type's quantity calculation showed significant errors so that the reliability of 2D-based volume calculation is problematic. It may thus be concluded that 3D-BIM is more reliable than the routine method in estimating the quantity of earth work. Considering the reliability and merits in the stage of its design, construction and maintenance levels, the application of BIM to civil engineering works is recommended.

A Study on an Estimation Method of Domestic Market Size by Using the Standard Statistical Classifications (표준통계분류를 이용한 내수시장 규모 추정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Hyoung Sun;Seo, Ju Hwan;Jun, Seung-pyo;Seo, Jinny
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.387-415
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we have proposed an estimation model of domestic market size using the linking between standard statistical classification systems, and reviewed the practical applicability of the model. The results of the mining and manufacturing survey of Statistics Korea conducted on the basis of KSIC (Korea Standard Industrial Classification) and Korea trade statistics based on HS (The Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System; Harmonized System) classification were linked for the model by using the correspondence tables provided by Statistics Korea and United Nations Statistics Division. The most serious problem to adopt the integrated KSIC-ISIC-HS correspondence table for the estimation of domestic market size is the complex multiple linkages among KSIC and HS codes. In this study, we have suggested the method to divide the amount of trade corresponding to the HS codes linked to more than two ISIC codes based on the ratio of shipments corresponding to the ISIC codes as the weight. Then, it is possible to analyze the domestic market size of 125 ISIC codes in the manufacturing industry and to forecast the market size in the near future by using the model. Although the model has some limitations such as the difficulty in analysis on more subdivided items than ISIC items, the impossibility of the analysis on items in industries except for manufacturing, errors in the shipment due to some missing data, this study has significance in the sense that it provided the analysis method of domestic market size by using the most objective, reliable and sustainably useful data.

A Comparison of Estimated Groundwater Consumption Using Existing Formulae with Actual Pumped Volumes in the Haean Basin, Korea (양구해안분지에서 기존 농업용수 이용량 산정식에 따른 양수량과 실측 양수량 비교)

  • Ryu, Han-Sun;Jeon, Woo-Hyun;Kwon, Kideok;Lee, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2017
  • Efficient groundwater management requires accurate information about the water volume used. The pumped volume of groundwater can be indirectly estimated using empirical formulae based on electric power consumption. The purpose of this study is to test the accuracy of this indirect method. The Haean basin in Gangwon is located in a rural area, where majority of the groundwater extracted is used for irrigation. The pumped volume of groundwater indirectly estimated from electricity usage using these empirical formulae was compared with the actual pumped volume determined by conducting experiments on April 29 and May 19, 2017. The field survey collected data on electricity usage, pumped volume, and groundwater levels. Based on this measured data, correlations were calculated between electricity usage and pumping volume, as well as groundwater level and pumping rate. The results show that electricity usage and pumped volume measured for both wells (YHE1 and YHE2) are highly correlated (r=0.99, p<0.001). However, for YHE1, notably, the correlation between the groundwater level and pumping rate was not significant, and only some correlations were identified for these variables for the YHE2 test well. The average error with respect to the estimation of the actual pumped volume from the existing formula (1) and formulae (2) and (3) are +399% and -88%, respectively. To reduce these errors, these formulae need to consider other factors affecting the pumped volume.