• Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.61-66
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• 2022

In order to introduce the hydrogen economy and increase supply, research in the field of hydrogen production is being actively conducted. Among the hydrogen production methods, the method of steam reforming from natural gas and producing it currently accounts for about 50% of the global hydrogen production. In the method of steam reforming process, hydrogen can be produced by adding a reformer to an existing natural gas supply pipe. Because of these advantages, it is evaluated as a realistic production method at present in Korea, where the city gas supply chain is well established. But there is concern in that it is highly likely to be installed in downtown areas and residential spaces. In this study, the risk of the process of steam reforming to produce hydrogen was reviewed.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.42-51
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• 2021

Facilities that supply specialty gases used in semiconductor manufacturing mainly handles with hazardous and dangerous substances with flammable, toxic, and corrosive properties, and gas cabinets are mainly used as such supply facilities. The effects of the supply facilities were analyzed for each leak through the rupture disk in the gas cabinet and a leak where the leak hole. In this case, gas leaked to the outside depending on the leak area. It is a factor that creates a risk depending on the concentration of the leaked gas. Depending on the risk of leakage, all measures such as safe operation procedures should be reviewed again.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.21-47
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• 2010

Quantity discounts provide a practical foundation for supply chain inventory policies, improving the supplier's profit and reducing the buyer's inventory cost simultaneously. Traditional quantity-discount research, which deals with inventory coordination between a buyer and a supplier, is extended to a stationary stochastic environment. This research shows that the magnitude of the optimal discounts scheduled by the deterministic quantity discount models may not be large enough to cover the buyer's additional inventory stocking risks under uncertain conditions. As a result, the buyer's total inventory cost may often increase rather than decrease. In contrast, the proposed model allows the supplier to identify the discount level, which shares the buyer's amplified risk associated with temporary overstocking and ensures that both buyer and supplier benefit economically. The performance of the proposed model was tested in the continuous review environments via numerical experiments. The experimental results support the proposed method as a feasible alternative in coordinating inventory decisions under stochastic demand.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.313-314
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• 2017

본 논문에서는 부천시 핵심 국가기반시설로서 부천시민의 삶의 질에 가장 큰 영향을 끼치는 요인인 수돗물 공급서비스의 위험요인를 파악하고 이를 해소하는 방안을 마련하며, 국제 및 국내적으로 테러의 위험이 높아가고 있는 가운데 재난대비역량을 강화하여 시민이 수돗물을 안심하고 이용할 수 있도록 수돗물 공급역량 강화 방안을 마련하였다. 본 논문에서는 팔당댐 수원지에서 부천시 정수장까지 원수 공급 과정부터 정수장내 취수/정수/배수과정을 거쳐 소비자에게 공급하는 전과정에서 위험요인과 개선방안을 도출하였으며 향후계획 수립 방향을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.73-80
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• 2021

Recently, Korea has established a plan for the supply of hydrogen vehicles and is promoting the expansion of the supply. Risk factors for hydrogen vehicles are hydrogen leakage, jet fire, and explosion. Therefore Safety measures are necessary for this hazard. In addition, risks in semi-closed spaces such as tunnels, underground roads, and underground parking lots should be analyzed. In this study, an explosion experiment was conducted on a hydrogen tank used in a hydrogen vehicle to analyze the risk of a hydrogen vehicle explosion accident that may occur in a semi-closed space. As results, the effect on the structure and the human body was analyzed using the overpressure and impulse values for each distance generated during the explosion.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.56 no.2
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• pp.11-23
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• 2014

The impact and adaption on agricultural water resources considering climate change is significant for reservoirs. The change in rainfall patterns and hydrologic factors due to climate change increases the uncertainty of agricultural water supply and demand. The quantitative evaluation method of uncertainty based on agricultural water resource management under future climate conditions is a major concern. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the vulnerability management technique for agricultural water supply based on a probabilistic and stochastic risk evaluation theory. The objective of this study was to analyse the uncertainty of water resources under future climate change using probability distribution function of water supply in agricultural reservoir and demand in irrigation district. The uncertainty of future water resources in agricultural reservoirs was estimated using the time-specific analysis of histograms and probability distributions parameter, for example the location and the scale parameter. According to the uncertainty analysis, the future agricultural water supply and demand in reservoir tends to increase the uncertainty by the low consistency of the results. Thus, it is recommended to prepare a resonable decision making on water supply strategies in terms of using climate change scenarios that reflect different future development conditions.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.280-295
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• 2022

This paper contains an introduction to industrial problems, solutions, and results conducted with the Korea Association of Machinery Industry. The client company commissioned the problem of upgrading the method of identifying global supply risky items. Accordingly, the factors affecting the supply and demand of imported items in the global supply chain were identified and the method of selecting risky items was studied and delivered. Through research and discussions with the client companies, it is confirmed that the most suitable factors for identifying global supply risky items are 'import size', 'import dependence', and 'trend abnormality'. The meaning of each indicator is introduced, and risky items are selected using export/import data until October 2022. Through this paper, it is expected that countries and companies will be able to identify global supply risky items in advance and prepare for risks in the new normal situation: the economic situation caused by infectious diseases such as the COVID-19 pandemic; and the export/import regulation due to geopolitical problems. The client company will include in his report, the method presented in this paper and the risky items selected by the method.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.56 no.8
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• pp.485-496
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• 2023

Recently, South Korea has been making efforts to mitigate the risk of water scarcity during droughts by utilizing various drought response measures in dam operations. While various studies have been conducted on this topic, there is currently a lack of research on the economic effects of drought response measures. In this study, we evaluated the economic effects of drought response measures on nationwide multipurpose dams by using a long-term simulated inflow model based on ARIMA and Copula and a dam operation model that reflects drought response measures. The results showed that the expected benefits per unit flow rate were highest for coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, at KRW 1,176 and KRW 1,139, respectively, while the benefits of emergency water supply utilization and water supply adjustment were estimated at KRW 956 and KRW 875, respectively. Additionally, when we examined the changes in the economic benefits of drought response measures based on the assumption of increased drought severity in the future, the changes in the drought risk resulting from reduced inflow increased the economic benefits of all drought response measures. The economic benefits of water supply adjustment increased by 2.6% compared to the baseline, while the economic benefits of coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures increased by 11.7% compared to the baseline. This suggests that dam-network-based measures, such as coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, are crucial as drought risk increases. This study is expected to serve as a fundamental reference for selecting and utilizing drought response measures in the future.

• IE interfaces
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.444-454
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• 2000

Due to the improvement of modern information technologies, sharing stock information among the supply chain members is a common practice nowadays. Many companies are planning to adopt the information systems to possess the real-time shared stock information. Thus, it is needed to quantify the value of shared stock information. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the value of the shared stock information for two-echelon distribution systems. Existing reorder policies can be classified into installation stock policies and echelon stock policies. Since installation stock policies do not utilize the shared stock information, and both classes of policies may show poor performances for distribution systems, we cannot evaluate the value of the shared stock information with the existing policies. Thus, we provide a new type of reorder policy, named order risk policy. We define the order risk using marginal analysis, and prove the optimality. Through computational experiment that compares the order risk policy with the existing policies, it is shown that a significant cost reduction is achieved with the effective utilization of the shared stock information. We also show the effect of the system characteristics on the value of the shared stock information.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.527-537
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• 1997

Reliability, resiliency and vulnerability for the risk analysis are mathematically defined as the evaluation standard of risk level to characterize the risk which influences water resources management and optimal reservoir operations. Monthly inflows are synthetically generated by stochastic generation model for a long-term reservoir water budget analysis, and this method is applied to the Dae-Cheong Multipurpose Dam. As a result of study, reliability based on occurrence, time and quantity are derived respectively. Also resiliency, vulnerability and resiliency inc\dices are estimated to evaluate the performance of water supply on reservoir system, and their relationships are evaluated.