• Title/Summary/Keyword: sub-population

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MODELLING AFRICAN TRYPANOSOMIASIS IN HUMAN WITH OPTIMAL CONTROL AND COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS

  • GERVAS, HAMENYIMANA EMANUEL;HUGO, ALFRED K.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.5_6
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    • pp.895-918
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    • 2021
  • Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT) also known as sleeping sickness, is a neglected tropical vector borne disease caused by trypanosome protozoa transmitted by bites of infected tsetse fly. The basic reproduction number, R0 derived using the next generation matrix method which shows that the disease persists in the population if the value of R0 > 1. The numerical simulations of optimal control model carried out to determine the control strategy that can combat HAT under the minimum cost. The results indicate that, the use of both education campaign, treatment and insecticides are more efficient and effective to eliminate HAT in African community but too costly. Furthermore, the cost-effectiveness of the control measures (education campaign, treatment and insecticides) were determined using incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) approach and the results show that, the use of education and treatment of infected people as the best cost effective strategy compared to other strategies.

Calculation of kinetic parameters βeff and L with modified open source Monte Carlo code OpenMC(TD)

  • Romero-Barrientos, J.;Dami, J.I. Marquez;Molina F.;Zambra, M.;Aguilera, P.;Lopez-Usquiano, F.;Parra, B.;Ruiz, A.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.811-816
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    • 2022
  • This work presents the methodology used to expand the capabilities of the Monte Carlo code OpenMC for the calculation of reactor kinetic parameters: effective delayed neutron fraction βeff and neutron generation time L. The modified code, OpenMC(Time-Dependent) or OpenMC(TD), was then used to calculate the effective delayed neutron fraction by using the prompt method, while the neutron generation time was estimated using the pulsed method, fitting Λ to the decay of the neutron population. OpenMC(TD) is intended to serve as an alternative for the estimation of kinetic parameters when licensed codes are not available. The results obtained are compared to experimental data and MCNP calculated values for 18 benchmark configurations.

IMPACT OF FRACTIONAL CONFORMABLE DERIVATIVES ON A(H1N1) INFECTION MODEL

  • Hind Ali Ahmad Eid;Mohammed N Alkord
    • Nonlinear Functional Analysis and Applications
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.597-620
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the conformable fractional derivative(CFD) of order 𝝔 in conjunction with the LC operator of orderρ is used to develop the model of the transmission of the A(H1N1) influenza infection. A brand-new A(H1N1) influenza infection model is presented, with a population split into four different compartments. Fixed point theorems were used to prove the existence of the solutions and uniqueness of this model. The basic reproduction number R0 was determined. The least and most sensitive variables that could alter R0 were then determined using normalized forward sensitivity indices. Through numerical simulations carried out with the aid of the Adams-Moulton approach, the study also investigated the effects of numerous biological characteristics on the system. The findings demonstrated that if 𝝔 < 1 and ρ < 1 under the CFD, also the findings demonstrated that if 𝝔 = 1 and ρ = 1 under the CFD, the A(H1N1) influenza infection will not vanish.

Predictive Growth Models of Bacillus cereus on Dried Laver Pyropia pseudolinearis as Function of Storage Temperature (저장온도에 따른 마른김(Pyropia pseudolinearis)의 Bacillus cereus 성장예측모델 개발)

  • Choi, Man-Seok;Kim, Ji Yoon;Jeon, Eun Bi;Park, Shin Young
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.699-706
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    • 2020
  • Predictive models in food microbiology are used for predicting microbial growth or death rates using mathematical and statistical tools considering the intrinsic and extrinsic factors of food. This study developed predictive growth models for Bacillus cereus on dried laver Pyropia pseudolinearis stored at different temperatures (5, 10, 15, 20, and 25℃). Primary models developed for specific growth rate (SGR), lag time (LT), and maximum population density (MPD) indicated a good fit (R2≥0.98) with the Gompertz equation. The SGR values were 0.03, 0.08, and 0.12, and the LT values were 12.64, 4.01, and 2.17 h, at the storage temperatures of 15, 20, and 25℃, respectively. Secondary models for the same parameters were determined via nonlinear regression as follows: SGR=0.0228-0.0069*T1+0.0005*T12; LT=113.0685-9.6256*T1+0.2079*T12; MPD=1.6630+0.4284*T1-0.0080*T12 (where T1 is the storage temperature). The appropriateness of the secondary models was validated using statistical indices, such as mean squared error (MSE<0.01), bias factor (0.99≤Bf≤1.07), and accuracy factor (1.01≤Af≤1.14). External validation was performed at three random temperatures, and the results were consistent with each other. Thus, these models may be useful for predicting the growth of B. cereus on dried laver.

Pleural Space Elastance and Its Relation to Success Rates of Pleurodesis in Malignant Pleural Effusion

  • Masoud, Hossam Hosny;El-Zorkany, Mahmoud Mohamed;Ahmed, Azza Anwar;Assal, Hebatallah Hany
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.84 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2021
  • Background: Pleurodesis fails in 10%-40% of patients with recurrent malignant pleural effusions malignant pleural effusion and dyspnea. This study aimed to assess the values of pleural elastance (PEL) after the aspiration of 500 mL of pleural fluid and their relation to the pleurodesis outcome, and to compare the pleurodesis outcome with the chemical characteristics of pleural fluid. Methods: A prospective study was conducted in Kasr El-Aini Hospital, Cairo University, during the period from March 2019 to January 2020. The study population consisted of 40 patients with malignant pleural effusion. The measurement of PEL after the aspiration of 500 mL of fluid was done with "PEL 0.5" (cm H2O/L), and the characteristics of the pleural fluid were chemically and cytologically analyzed. Pleurodesis was done and the patients were evaluated one month later. The PEL values were compared with pleurodesis outcomes. Results: After 4-week of follow-up, the success rate of pleurodesis was 65%. The PEL 0.5 was significantly higher in failed pleurodesis than it was in successful pleurodesis. A cutoff point of PEL 0.5 >14.5 cm H2O/L was associated with pleurodesis failure with a sensitivity and specificity of 93% and 100%, respectively. The patients with failed pleurodesis had significantly lower pH levels in fluid than those in the successful group (p<0.001). Conclusion: PEL measurement was a significant predictor in differentiating between failed and successful pleurodesis. The increase in acidity of the malignant pleural fluid can be used as a predictor for pleurodesis failure in patients with malignant pleural effusion.

Agricultural and Quality Characteristics in Recombinant Inbred Lines (RILs) Population in Perilla (Perilla frutescens) (들깨 대실/잎들깨1호 재조합 자식계통(RILs)의 농업적 특성 및 품질 분석)

  • Park, Jae Eun;Lee, Myoung Hee;Oh, Ki Won;Kim, Sungup;Oh, Eunyoung;Ha, Tae Joung;Cho, Kwang-Soo;Jung, Chan Sik;Kim, Jung In
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.248-255
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted to obtain basal information for the development of perilla cultivars with improved quality. The F7 population of recombinant inbred lines (RILs) from a cross between the parents of Daesil for seeds and Ipdeulkkae1 for vegetables was used as the material. We evaluated several agricultural characteristics and seed quality. Variations were observed in most of the measurements; for example, stem length (ranging from 66.0 to 150.0 cm), number of branches (from 5 to 23), flower cluster length (ranging from 5.1 to 10.5 cm), number of flower clusters (from 17 to 131), a-linolenic acid content (from 54.2 to 64.1%), and functional compound content (rosmarinic acid 869.5~3,508.1 ㎍/g; luteolin 47.4~864.3 ㎍/g; apigenin 57.1~296.7 ㎍/g) all showed variation. Significant correlations between stem length and the number of branches (0.561) and number of branches versus number of flower clusters (0.638) were detected in the RIL F7 population. Most agricultural characteristics and seed qualities showed a normal distribution with large variation, and transgressive segregation was observed in many descendants with characteristics to those of their parents. Daesil/Ipdeulkkae1 RIL F7 populations could be useful for future QTL analysis as well as for intermediate breeding lines for high-quality perilla cultivars.

Calculation on Electronic State and Chemical Bonding of $\beta$-$MnO_2$ by DV-X$\alpha$ Method (분자궤도계산법에 의한 $\beta$-$MnO_2$의 전자상태 및 화학결합 계산)

  • 이동윤;김봉서;송재성;김현식
    • Korean Journal of Crystallography
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.16-23
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    • 2003
  • The electronic structure and chemical bonding of β-MnO₂ were theoretically investigated by DV-X/sub α/ (the discrete variation X/sub α/) method. which is a sort of the first principle molecular orbital method using Hatre-Fock-Slater approximation. The calculations on several cluster models having different sizes were carried out for the determination of a model suited for analyzing bulk state. The Mn/sub 15/O/sub 56/ model was selected as a sufficiently suitable model for the calculation of electronic state and chemical bonding by the comparison of the calculated XPS (X-ray photo-electron spectrum) and experimentally measured XPS. By using this model, the electron energy level, the density of state, the bond overlap population, the charge density distribution, and the net ionic transfer between cations and anions were calculated and discussed.

Epidemiology and Social Epidemiology (역학과 사회역학)

  • Song, Yun-Mi
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.237-240
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    • 2005
  • Social epidemiology is a sub-discipline of epidemiology explicitly investigating social determinants of population distributions of health, disease, and well-being. Persistent pattern of social inequalities in health in spite of the broad improvement in the physical environment over the last centuries necessitated the development of this field as an approach to understand disease etiology that incorporates social experiences as more direct determinant of health. Social epidemiology incorporates theories, measurement tools, and techniques from a wide variety of other social sciences. A population perspective, the social context of behavior, contextual multilevel analysis, a developmental and life-course perspective, and general susceptibility to disease are the most important guiding concepts in social epidemiology.

Change of Health Care Utilization Pattern with the Establishment of Health Center Hospital in a District (보건의료원이 설립된 군지역 주민의 의료이용양상변화 분석)

  • 김수경;김용익
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.147-166
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    • 1992
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of the health center hospital on the health service utilization pattern of the rural population in a county. Two field studies had been conducted in Yonchon County, Kyunggi Province, on February 1989 and on August 1991 before and after the establishment of the Yonchon health center hospital. This study revealed that Yonchon health center hospital occupied 7.3% of total outpatient visits and 16.8% of hospitalization of the county population and the self-sufficient rate of the outpatient visit and hospitalization of Yonchon County between two field studies increased by 1.7% and 20.9% each. Yonchon health center hospital contributed to the growth of the public health sector but it weakened the role of health sub-centers. For the efficient health service utilization of the population in that County, more investment to health center hospital would be needed and the primary health activities of the health subcenter should be enforced.

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The effect of Astragali Radix and Armeniacae Semen on the apoptosis of immunocytes and nitric oxide production from peritoneal macrophages (황기와 행인(杏仁)이 면역세포(免疫細胞)의 Apoptosis 및 Nitric Oxide에 미치는 효과(效果))

  • Jeong Hyun-Woo;Moon Han-Ju
    • Herbal Formula Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this research was to investigate effects of Astragali Radix(AR) and Armeniacae Semen(AS) on T-lymphocytes and peritoneal macrophages in mice. The proliferation of thymocytes and splenocytes were teated using macroplate-reader. The apoptosis and sub-population of T-lymphocytes were tested using a flow cytometer. Nitric oxide production was tested using a Griess reagents. The result were obtained as follow; 1. AR increased the proliferation of thymocytes and splenocytes. 2. AS decreased the proliferation of thymocytes and splenocytes. 3. AR and AS decreased No production fron peritoneal macrophages 4. AR and AS were accelerate T-lymphocytes apoptosis. 5. AR and AS increased $T_C$ cells population, but decreased $T_H$ cells population of T-lymphocyte.

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