• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic traffic assignment

Search Result 15, Processing Time 0.111 seconds

A Study on the Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment (확솔적 이용자 평형통행 배분에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;전경수;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.55-71
    • /
    • 1990
  • The behavioral mechanism underlying the traffic assignment model is a choice, or decision-making process of traveling paths between origins and destinations. The deterministic approach to traffic assignment assumes that travelers choose shortest path from their origin-destination pair. Although this assumption seems reasonable, it presumes that all travelers have perfect information regarding travel time, that they make consistently correct decision, and that they all behave in identical fashion. Stochastic user equilibrium assignment relaxes these presumptions by including a random component in traveler's perception of travel time. The objective of this study is to compare "A Model of Deterministic User Equilibrium Assignment" with "Models of Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment" in the theoretical and practical aspects. Specifically, SUE models are developed to logit and probit based models according to discrete choice functions. The models were applied to sioux Falls net ork consisting of 24 zones, 24 nodes and 76 links. The distribution of perceived travel time was obtained by using the relationship between speed and traffic flow.

  • PDF

A Genetic Algorithm for Trip Distribution and Traffic Assignment from Traffic Counts in a Stochastic User Equilibrium

  • Sung, Ki-Seok;Rakha, Hesham
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-69
    • /
    • 2009
  • A network model and a Genetic Algorithm (GA) is proposed to solve the simultaneous estimation of the trip distribution and traffic assignment from traffic counts in the congested networks in a logit-based Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE). The model is formulated as a problem of minimizing a non-linear objective function with the linear constraints. In the model, the flow-conservation constraints are utilized to restrict the solution space and to force the link flows become consistent to the traffic counts. The objective of the model is to minimize the discrepancies between two sets of link flows. One is the set of link flows satisfying the constraints of flow-conservation, trip production from origin, trip attraction to destination and traffic counts at observed links. The other is the set of link flows those are estimated through the trip distribution and traffic assignment using the path flow estimator in the logit-based SUE. In the proposed GA, a chromosome is defined as a real vector representing a set of Origin-Destination Matrix (ODM), link flows and route-choice dispersion coefficient. Each chromosome is evaluated by the corresponding discrepancies. The population of the chromosome is evolved by the concurrent simplex crossover and random mutation. To maintain the feasibility of solutions, a bounded vector shipment technique is used during the crossover and mutation.

A Genetic Algorithm for Trip Distribution and Traffic Assignment from Traffic Counts in a Stochastic User Equilibrium (사용자 평형을 이루는 통행분포와 통행배정을 위한 유전알고리즘)

  • Sung, Ki-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.599-617
    • /
    • 2006
  • A network model and a Genetic Algorithm(GA) is proposed to solve the simultaneous estimation of the trip distribution and traffic assignment from traffic counts in the congested networks in a logit-based Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE). The model is formulated as a problem of minimizing the non-linear objective functions with the linear constraints. In the model, the flow-conservation constraints of the network are utilized to restrict the solution space and to force the link flows meet the traffic counts. The objective of the model is to minimize the discrepancies between the link flows satisfying the constraints of flow-conservation, trip production from origin, trip attraction to destination and traffic counts at observed links and the link flows estimated through the traffic assignment using the path flow estimator in the legit-based SUE. In the proposed GA, a chromosome is defined as a vector representing a set of Origin-Destination Matrix (ODM), link flows and travel-cost coefficient. Each chromosome is evaluated from the corresponding discrepancy, and the population of the chromosome is evolved by the concurrent simplex crossover and random mutation. To maintain the feasibility of solutions, a bounded vector shipment is applied during the crossover and mutation.

  • PDF

Elastic Demand Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Based on a Dynamic System (동적체계기반 확률적 사용자균형 통행배정모형)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.99-108
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper presents an elastic demand stochastic user equilibrium traffic assignment that could not be easily tackled. The elastic demand coupled with a travel performance function is known to converge to a supply-demand equilibrium, where a stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) is obtained. SUE is the state in which all equivalent path costs are equal, and thus no user can reduce his perceived travel cost. The elastic demand SUE traffic assignment can be formulated based on a dynamic system, which is a means of describing how one state develops into another state over the course of time. Traditionally it has been used for control engineering, but it is also useful for transportation problems in that it can describe time-variant traffic movements. Through the Lyapunov Function Theorem, the author proves that the model has a stable solution and confirms it with a numerical example.

Toward Stochastic Dynamic Traffic Assignment Model: Development and Application Experiences (Stochastic Dynamic Assignment 모형의 개발과 활용)

  • 이인원;정란희
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-86
    • /
    • 1993
  • A formulation of dynamic traffic assignment between multiple origins and single destination was first introduced in 1987 by Merchant and Nemhauser, and then expanded for multiple destination in the late 1980's (Carey, 1987). Based on behavioral choice theory which provides proper demand elasticities with respect to changes in policy variables, traffic phenomena can be analysed more realistically, especially in peak periods. However, algorithms for these models are not well developed so far(working with only small toy network) and solutions of these models are not unique. In this paper, a new model is developed which keeps the simplicity of static models, but provides the sensitivity of dynamic models with changes of O-D flows over time. It can be viewed as a joint departure time and route choice model, in the given time periods(6-7, 7-8, 8-9 and 9-10 am). Standard multinomial logit model has been used for simulating the choice behavior of destination, mode, route and departure time within a framework of the incremental network assignment model. The model developed is workable in a PC 386 with 175 traffic zones and 3581 links of Seoul and tested for evaluating the exclusive use of Namsan tunnel for HOV and the left-turn prohibition. Model's performance results and their statistical significance are also presented.

  • PDF

Solution Methods for OD Trip Estimation in Stochastic Assignment (확률적 통행배정하에서 기종점 통행량추정 모형의 개발)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.24 no.4 s.90
    • /
    • pp.149-159
    • /
    • 2006
  • Traditional trip tables are estimated through large-scale surveys such as household survey, roadside interviews, and license Plate matching. These methods are, however, expensive and time consuming. This paper presents two origin-destination (OD) trip matrix estimation methods from link traffic counts in stochastic assignment, which contains perceived errors of drivers for alternatives. The methods are formulated based on the relation between link flows and OD demands in logit formula. The first method can be expressed to minimize the difference between observed link flows and estimated flows, derived from traffic assignment and be solved by gradient method. The second method can be formulated based on dynamic process, which nay describe the daily movement patterns of drivers and be solved by a recursive equation. A numerical example is used for assessing the methods, and shows the performances and properties of the models.

A Study on the Evaluation Criterion and Method for the Assignment Results (수요예측결과의 평가기준 및 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • 정천수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-42
    • /
    • 1994
  • The traffic forecast is one of the most important analysis objects in the urban transportation planning process. The results of traffic forecast are the most widely used informations and give a critical influence on the major decision makings in the transportation planning process. Thus, they should be as much accurate and credible data, and evaluated to determine whether they are enough reliable to directly use in the planning process. However, the evaluation process is usually overlooked or abbreviated with a few exceptions according to the size and character of the project. Even though a planner or engineer tries to evaluate the assignment results, he/she is usually faced with certain difficulties since there are no established criteria and methods for the accuracy evaluation. Accordingly, the main purpose of this research placed on establishing the criteria and methods for the accuracy evaluation of the assignment results. The secondary purpose was to evaluate which assignment technique produces the most accurate assignment results by applying the established evaluation criteria and methods to an actual network. The research found that the proposed evaluation methods well operated in testing the accuracy of assignment results with few limits on application. Also, the incremental assignment was found to provide the best assignment results of existing assignment techniques (Stochastic, Iterative, Incremental, Equilibrium assignment) for the Seoul city network applied.

  • PDF

Comparison between Cournot-Nash and Stackelberg Game in Bi-level Program (Bi-level program에서 Cournot-Nash게임과 Stackelberg게임의 비교연구)

  • Lim, Yong-Taek;Lim, Kang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.22 no.7 s.78
    • /
    • pp.99-106
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper presents some comparisons between Cournot-Nash and Stackelberg game in bi-level program, composed of both upper level program and lower level one. The upper level can be formulated to optimize a specific objective function, while the lower formulated to express travelers' behavior patterns corresponding to the design parameter of upper level problem. This kind of hi-level program is to determine a design parameter, which leads the road network to an optimal state. Bi-level program includes traffic signal control, traffic information provision, congestion charge and new transportation mode introduction as well as road expansion. From the view point of game theory, many existing algorithms for bi-level program such as IOA (Iterative Optimization Assignment) or IEA (Iterative Estimation Assignment) belong to Cournot-Nash game. But sensitivity-based algorithms belongs to Stackelberg one because they consider the reaction of the lower level program. These two game models would be compared by using an example network and show some results that there is no superiority between the models in deterministic case, but in stochastic case Stackelberg approach is better than that of Cournot-Nash one as we expect.

A Transit Assignment Model using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 대중교통 통행배정모형 개발)

  • 이신해;최인준;이승재;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-75
    • /
    • 2003
  • In these days, public transportation has become important because of serious traffic congestion. But. there are few researches in public transportation compared with researches in auto. Accordingly, the purpose of paper is development of transit assignment model, which considers features of public transportation, time table, transfer capacity of vehicle, common line, etc. The transit assignment model developed in this paper is composed of two parts. One part is search for optimum path, the other part is network loading. A Genetic algorithm has been developed in order to search for alternative shortest path set. After the shortest paths have been obtained in the genetic algorithm, Logit-base stochastic loading model has been used to obtain the assigned volumes.

Stochastic traffic assignment Models for Dynamic Route Guidance (동적 길잡이 장치를 위한 확률적 통행 배정 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
    • /
    • 1995.12a
    • /
    • pp.111-124
    • /
    • 1995
  • 첨단 교통 체계(Intelligent Transport Systems)의 중요한 요소인 첨단 교통 관리 체계(Advanced Traffic Management Systems)의 성공 여부는 교통정보를 어떻게 제공하고 통제하는데 의존하다. 즉, 정보 제공 방식과 이데 대한 운전자의 반응을 정확하게 파악하고 예측하여야 ITS를 성공적으로 구축할 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 동적 차량 길잡이 장치의 효용성을 평가하기 위한 확률적 통행배정모형을 개발하는 것이다. 개발된 통행배정모형은 운전자의 동적행태조정(Dynamic Behavioural Adjustment)을 명백하게 확솔 과정(Stochastic Process)으로 표현하여 기존의 모형에 비해 통해자들의 행태를 더욱 실제적으로 반영한다. 특히, 각 통행자들에게 K개의 최소경로시간을 제공해줌으로 인하여 통행자의 노선선택에 대한 선택폭을 증가시켜준다. 통행경로의 선택폭의 증가는 쟁점으로 대두되는 문제(교통항제소에서는 차량 길잡이 보유 운전자에게 체계최적(System Optimum)와 이용자최적(User Equilibrium)중 어떠한 원칙하에 교통정보를 제공하여야 하는가에 대한 해결 방안이다. 왜냐하면 만약 교통급제소에서 운전자에게 통행정보를 체계 최상을 하기 위해 정보를 제공하고자 하면, 길잡이 장착 운전자는 더 이상 제공된 정보를 따르지 않고 자기 스스로의 경에 의해 이용자 최상을 달성하고자 할 것이다. 이 논문의 목적은 이러한 복잡한 통행자의 경로선택행위를 반영하는 확률적 평형 통행 배정 모형을 여러가지 통계기법을 도입하여 개발하는 것이다.

  • PDF