• Title/Summary/Keyword: stochastic approach

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H Control for Networked Control Systems with Randomly Occurring Packet Losses and Disturbances (임의적 패킷 손실과 외란입력을 고려한 네트워크 제어 시스템의 H 제어기 설계)

  • Lee, Tae H.;Park, Ju H.;Kwon, Oh-Min;Lee, Sang-Moon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.8
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    • pp.1132-1137
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    • 2013
  • This paper considers the $H_{\infty}$ control problem for networked control systems(NCSs). In order to solve the problem which comes from discontinuous control signal in NCSs, an approach that discontinuous control signals treat time-varying delayed continuous signals is applied to achieve $H_{\infty}$ stability of NCSs. In addition, randomly occurring packet losses and disturbances are considered by introducing stochastic variables with Bernoulli distribution. Based on Lyapunov stability theory, a new stability condition is obtained via linear matrix inequality formulation to find the $H_{\infty}$ controller which achieves the mean square stability of NCSs. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a numerical example in order to show the effectiveness of our results.

Chance-constrained Scheduling of Variable Generation and Energy Storage in a Multi-Timescale Framework

  • Tan, Wen-Shan;Abdullah, Md Pauzi;Shaaban, Mohamed
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.1709-1718
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a hybrid stochastic deterministic multi-timescale scheduling (SDMS) approach for generation scheduling of a power grid. SDMS considers flexible resource options including conventional generation flexibility in a chance-constrained day-ahead scheduling optimization (DASO). The prime objective of the DASO is the minimization of the daily production cost in power systems with high penetration scenarios of variable generation. Furthermore, energy storage is scheduled in an hourly-ahead deterministic real-time scheduling optimization (RTSO). DASO simulation results are used as the base starting-point values in the hour-ahead online rolling RTSO with a 15-minute time interval. RTSO considers energy storage as another source of grid flexibility, to balance out the deviation between predicted and actual net load demand values. Numerical simulations, on the IEEE RTS test system with high wind penetration levels, indicate the effectiveness of the proposed SDMS framework for managing the grid flexibility to meet the net load demand, in both day-ahead and real-time timescales. Results also highlight the adequacy of the framework to adjust the scheduling, in real-time, to cope with large prediction errors of wind forecasting.

Multicity Seasonal Air Quality Index Forecasting using Soft Computing Techniques

  • Tikhe, Shruti S.;Khare, K.C.;Londhe, S.N.
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.83-104
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    • 2015
  • Air Quality Index (AQI) is a pointer to broadcast short term air quality. This paper presents one day ahead AQI forecasting on seasonal basis for three major cities in Maharashtra State, India by using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Genetic Programming (GP). The meteorological observations & previous AQI from 2005-2008 are used to predict next day's AQI. It was observed that GP captures the phenomenon better than ANN and could also follow the peak values better than ANN. The overall performance of GP seems better as compared to ANN. Stochastic nature of the input parameters and the possibility of auto-correlation might have introduced time lag and subsequent errors in predictions. Spectral Analysis (SA) was used for characterization of the error introduced. Correlational dependency (serial dependency) was calculated for all 24 models prepared on seasonal basis. Particular lags (k) in all the models were removed by differencing the series, that is converting each i'th element of the series into its difference from the (i-k)"th element. New time series is generated for all seasonal models in synchronization with the original time line & evaluated using ANN and GP. The statistical analysis and comparison of GP and ANN models has been done. We have proposed a promising approach of use of GP coupled with SA for real time prediction of seasonal multicity AQI.

Seismic reliability assessment of base-isolated structures using artificial neural network: operation failure of sensitive equipment

  • Moeindarbari, Hesamaldin;Taghikhany, Touraj
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.425-436
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    • 2018
  • The design of seismically isolated structures considering the stochastic nature of excitations, base isolators' design parameters, and superstructure properties requires robust reliability analysis methods to calculate the failure probability of the entire system. Here, by applying artificial neural networks, we proposed a robust technique to accelerate the estimation of failure probability of equipped isolated structures. A three-story isolated building with susceptible facilities is considered as the analytical model to evaluate our technique. First, we employed a sensitivity analysis method to identify the critical sources of uncertainty. Next, we calculated the probability of failure for a particular set of random variables, performing Monte Carlo simulations based on the dynamic nonlinear time-history analysis. Finally, using a set of designed neural networks as a surrogate model for the structural analysis, we assessed once again the probability of the failure. Comparing the obtained results demonstrates that the surrogate model can attain precise estimations of the probability of failure. Moreover, our proposed approach significantly increases the computational efficiency corresponding to the dynamic time-history analysis of the structure.

Decision of Optimal Magnetic Field Shielding Location around Power System Using Evolution Strategy Algorithm (Evolution Strategy 알고리즘을 이용한 송진선로 주변에서의 최적 자계차폐 위치선정)

  • Choe, Se-Yong;Na, Wan-Su;Kim, Dong-Hun;Kim, Dong-Su;Lee, Jun-Ho;Park, Il-Han;Sin, Myeong-Cheol;Kim, Byeong-Seong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we analyze inductive interference in conductive material around 345 kV power transmission line, and evaluate the effects of mitigation wires. Finite element method (FEM) is used to numerically compute induced eddy currents as well as magnetic fields around powder transmission lines. In the analysis model, geometries and electrical properties of various elements such as power transmission line, buried pipe lines, overhead ground wire, and conducting earth are taken into accounts. The calculation shows that mitigation wire reduces fairly good amount of eddy currents in buried pipe line. To find the optimum magnetic field shielding location of mitigation wire, we applied evolution strategy algorithm, a kind of stochastic approach, to the analysis model. Finally, it was shown that we can find more effective shielding effects with optimum location of one mitigation wire than with arbitrary location of multi-mitigation wires around the buried pipe lines.

The main sequence of star forming galaxies at intermediate redshift

  • Salmi, Fadia
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.71.2-71.2
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    • 2014
  • processes at the origin of the star formation in the galaxies over the last 10 billions years. While it was proposed in the past that merging of galaxies has a dominant role to explain the triggering of the star formation in the distant galaxies having high star formation rates. In the opposite, more recent studies revealed scaling laws linking the star formation rate in the galaxies to their stellar mass or their gas mass. The small dispersion of these laws seems to be in contradiction with the idea of powerful stochastic events due to interactions, but rather in agreement with the new vision of galaxy history where the latter are continuously fed by intergalactic gas. I was especially interested in one of this scaling law, the relation between the star formation (SFR) and the stellar mass (M*) of galaxies, commonly called the main sequence of star forming galaxies. I have studied this main sequence, SFR-M*, in function of the morphology and other physical parameters as the radius, the colour, the clumpiness. The goal was to understand the origin of the sequence's dispersion related to the physical processes underlying this sequence in order to identify the main mode of star formation controlling this sequence. This work needed a multi-wavelength approach as well as the use of galaxies profile simulation to distinguish between the different galaxy morphological types implied in the main sequence.

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Adaptive Time Delay Compensation Process in Networked Control System

  • Kim, Yong-Gil;Moon, Kyung-Il
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2016
  • Networked Control System (NCS) has evolved in the past decade through the advances in communication technology. The problems involved in NCS are broadly classified into two categories namely network issues due to network and control performance due to system network. The network problems are related to bandwidth allocation, scheduling and network security, and the control problems deal with stability analysis and delay compensation. Various delays with variable length occur due to sharing a common network medium. Though most delays are very less and mostly neglected, the network induced delay is significant. It occurs when sensors, actuators, and controllers exchange data packet across the communication network. Networked induced delay arises from sensor to controller and controller to actuator. This paper presents an adaptive delay compensation process for efficient control. Though Smith predictor has been commonly used as dead time compensators, it is not adaptive to match with the stochastic behavior of network characteristics. Time delay adaptive compensation gives an effective control to solve dead time, and creates a virtual environment using the plant model and computed delay which is used to compensate the effect of delay. This approach is simulated using TrueTime simulator that is a Matlab Simulink based simulator facilitates co-simulation of controller task execution in real-time kernels, network transmissions and continuous plant dynamics for NCS. The simulation result is analyzed, and it is confirmed that this control provides good performance.

An Algorithm of Short-Term Load Forecasting (단기수요예측 알고리즘)

  • Song Kyung-Bin;Ha Seong-Kwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2004
  • Load forecasting is essential in the electricity market for the participants to manage the market efficiently and stably. A wide variety of techniques/algorithms for load forecasting has been reported in many literatures. These techniques are as follows: multiple linear regression, stochastic time series, general exponential smoothing, state space and Kalman filter, knowledge-based expert system approach (fuzzy method and artificial neural network). These techniques have improved the accuracy of the load forecasting. In recent 10 years, many researchers have focused on artificial neural network and fuzzy method for the load forecasting. In this paper, we propose an algorithm of a hybrid load forecasting method using fuzzy linear regression and general exponential smoothing and considering the sensitivities of the temperature. In order to consider the lower load of weekends and Monday than weekdays, fuzzy linear regression method is proposed. The temperature sensitivity is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecasting through the relation of the daily load and temperature. And the normal load of weekdays is easily forecasted by general exponential smoothing method. Test results show that the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of the load forecasting in 1996.

Survivability Evaluation Model in Wireless Sensor Network using Software Rejuvenation

  • Parvin, Sazia;Thein, Thandar;Kim, Dong-Seong;Park, Jong-Sou
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2008
  • The previous works in sensor networks security have focused on the aspect of confidentiality, authentication and integrity based on cryptographic primitives. There has been no prior work to assess the survivability in systematic way. Accordingly, this paper presents a survivability model of wireless sensor networks using software rejuvenation for dual adaptive cluster head. The survivability model has state transition to reflect status of real wireless sensor networks. In this paper, we only focus on a survivability model which is capable of describing cluster head compromise in the networks and able to switch over the redundant cluster head in order to increase the survivability of that cluster. Second, this paper presents how to enhance the survivability of sensor networks using software rejuvenation methodology for dual cluster head in wireless sensor network. We model and analyze each cluster as a stochastic process based on Semi Markov Process (SMP) and Discrete Time Markov Chain (DTMC). The proof of example scenarios and numerical analysis shows the feasibility of our approach.

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Optimal Bidding Strategy of Competitive Generators Under Price Based Pool (PBP(Price Based Pool) 발전경쟁시장에서의 최적입찰전략수립)

  • Kang, Dong-Joo;Hur, Jin;Moon, Young-Hwan;Chung, Koo-Hyung;Kim, Bal-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.597-602
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    • 2002
  • The restructuring of power industry is still going on all over the world for last several decades. Many kinds of restructuring model have been studied, proposed, and applied. Among those models, power pool is more popular than other. This paper assumes the power pool market structure having competitive generation sector, and a new method is presented to build a bidding strategy in that market. The utilities participating in the market have the perfect information of their cost and price functions, but they don't know which strategy to be chosen by others. To define one's strategy as a vector, we make utility's cost/price functions into discrete step functions. An utility knows only his own strategy, so he estimates the other's cost/price functions into discrete step functions. An utility knows only his own strategy, so he estimates the other's strategy using Nash equilibrium or stochastic methods. And he also has to forecast the system demand. According to this forecasting result, his payoffs can be changed. Considering these all conditions, we formulate a bidding game problem and apply noncooperative game theory to that problem for the optimal strategy or solution. Some restrictive assumption are added for simplification of solving process. A numerical example is given in Case Study to show essential features and concrete results of this approach.