• 제목/요약/키워드: statistics based method

검색결과 2,135건 처리시간 0.028초

Aperiodic Preventive Maintenance Model and Parameter Estimation

  • Kim, Hee-Soo;Yum, Joon-Keun;Park, Dong-Ho
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2000
  • This paper considers an aperiodic preventive maintenance (PM) model for repairable systems, in which the time intervals between two consecutive preventive maintenances are unequal. To propose such an aperiodic PM model, we assume that each PM reduces the current hazard rate by a certain amount which depends on the number of PMs performed previously. If the system fails between PMs, the minimal repair is performed and the hazard rate remains unchanged after the repair. We give the exact expressions for the hazard rate function for the aperiodic PM model. Based on the proposed aperiodic PM model, we suggest the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters characterizing the model and apply the method to the case of Weibull distribution. Numerical examples for estimating the parameters are presented for the purpose of illustration.

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붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 환율의 장단기 신뢰구간 예측 (Confidence interval forecast of exchange rate based on bootstrap method)

  • 권오진;김태윤;송규문
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.493-502
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    • 2010
  • 환율의 신뢰구간을 예측하기 위해 가장 중요한 요인은 분포의 추정이다. 그러나 시계열 자료의 분포를 추정하는 것은 많은 어려움이 따른다. 본 연구에서는 변동률 합의 분포를 비모수기법 중의 하나인 블록화 붓스트랩 방법을 사용하여 추정한다. 따라서 좀 더 쉽고 정확한 환율의 장단기 신뢰구간 예측 모형을 제시한다.

Estimating Variance Function with Kernel Machine

  • Kim, Jong-Tae;Hwang, Chang-Ha;Park, Hye-Jung;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2009
  • In this paper we propose a variance function estimation method based on kernel trick for replicated data or data consisted of sample variances. Newton-Raphson method is used to obtain associated parameter vector. Furthermore, the generalized approximate cross validation function is introduced to select the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed variance function estimation method. Experimental results are then presented which illustrate the performance of the proposed procedure.

Imputation Using Factor Score Regression

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.317-323
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    • 2009
  • Recently not even government polices but small town decisions are based on the survey data/information, so the most of government agencies/organizations demand various sample surveys in each fields for more detail information. However in conducting the sample survey, nonresponse problem rises very often and it becomes a major issue on judging the accuracy of survey. For that matters, one solution ran be using the administration data. However unfortunately most of administration data are restricted to the common users. The other solution can be the imputation. Therefore several method, of imputation are studied in various fields. In this study, in stead of the simple regression imputation method which is commonly used, factor score regression method is applied specially to the incomplete data which have the unit and item misting values in survey data. Here for simulation study, Consumer Expenditure Surveys in Korea are used.

Length-biased Rayleigh distribution: reliability analysis, estimation of the parameter, and applications

  • Kayid, M.;Alshingiti, Arwa M.;Aldossary, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2013
  • In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

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Bias-reduced ℓ1-trend filtering

  • Donghyeon Yu;Johan Lim;Won Son
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2023
  • The ℓ1-trend filtering method is one of the most widely used methods for extracting underlying trends from noisy observations. Contrary to the Hodrick-Prescott filtering, the ℓ1-trend filtering gives piecewise linear trends. One of the advantages of the ℓ1-trend filtering is that it can be used for identifying change points in piecewise linear trends. However, since the ℓ1-trend filtering employs total variation as a penalty term, estimated piecewise linear trends tend to be biased. In this study, we demonstrate the biasedness of the ℓ1-trend filtering in trend level estimation and propose a two-stage bias-reduction procedure. The newly suggested estimator is based on the estimated change points of the ℓ1-trend filtering. Numerical examples illustrate that the proposed method yields less biased estimates for piecewise linear trends.

한방 통계 시스템의 설계 및 구현 (Design and Implementation of Statistics System for Traditional Korean Medicine)

  • 예상준;김철;장현철;김상균;김진현;송미영
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제9권12호
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    • pp.332-338
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    • 2009
  • 한의학 통계의 생산, 관리 및 제공은 구체적이고 객관적인 데이터를 활용한 한의학 정책의 수립과 근거에 기반한 한의학 연구를 위해 필수적인 요소이다. 그러나 현재 한방 통계 서비스는 정부와 민간의 유관 단체가 산별적으로 제공하는 상황에서 체계적이고 통합적인 서비스가 이루어지고 있지 않기 때문에 이용자는 신뢰할 수 있으며 유용한 가치를 가진 데이터의 검색, 획득 및 활용에 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 연구는 각 기관에서 생산하는 한의학 관련 통계자료를 분석하여 이용자가 편리하게 이용할 수 있도록 한방 통계를 7가지 분야로 구분하고, 분야별 서비스 통계 항목을 분석하였다. 서비스 이용에 대한 시나리오 설계를 바탕으로 테이블 동적생성기법을 이용하여 데이터베이스를 설계하였으며 Excel Import, Statistics Analysis, Chart Creation, Search Engine의 4개 모듈로 이루어진 시스템을 설계하여 사용자가 원하는 형태의 통계 가공 기능을 제공하는 시스템을 구현하였다. 한방 통계 시스템은 사용자에게 필요한 통계를 검색하고 통계 정보를 획득하는데 많은 유연성을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

CHAID Algorithm by Cube-based Sampling

  • 박희창;조광현
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2003
  • Decision tree algorithms are used extensively for data mining in many domains such as retail target marketing, fraud dection, data reduction and variable screening, etc. CHAID(Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector), is an exploratory method used to study the relationship between a dependent variable and a series of predictor variables. In this paper we propose and CHAID algorithm by cube-based sampling and explore CHAID algorithm in view of accuracy and speed by the number of variables.

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A Note on the Chi-Square Test for Multivariate Normality Based on the Sample Mahalanobis Distances

  • Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.479-488
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    • 1999
  • Moore and Stubblebine(1981) suggested a chi-square test for multivariate normality based on cell counts calculated from the sample Mahalanobis distances. They derived the limiting distribution of the test statistic only when equiprobable cells are employed. Using conditional limit theorems, we derive the limiting distribution of the statistic as well as the asymptotic normality of the cell counts. These distributions are valid even when equiprobable cells are not employed. We finally apply this method to a real data set.

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Estimation for the Power Function Distribution Based on Type- II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Jung, Won-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1335-1344
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    • 2008
  • The maximum likelihood method does not admit explicit solutions when the sample is multiply censored and progressive censored. So we shall propose some approximate maximum likelihood estimators (AMLEs) of the scale parameter for the power function distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples and progressive Type-II censored samples when shape parameter is known. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error (MSE) through Monte Carlo simulation for various censoring schemes.

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