• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical verification

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Statistical Reliability Analysis of Numerical Simulation for Prediction of Model-Ship Resistance (선체 저항에 대한 수치 해석의 통계적 신뢰도 분석)

  • Lee, Sang Bong;Lee, Youn Mo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.321-327
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    • 2014
  • A wide scope of numerical simulations was performed to predict model-ship resistances by using STAR-CCM+ and OpenFOAM. The numerical results were compared with experimental measurements in towing tank to analyze statistical reliability of the present simulations. Based on the normal distribution of resistance errors in 113 cases of container carriers, tankers and very large crude-oil carriers, the confidence intervals of numerical error were estimated as [-2.64%,+2.32%] and [-1.82%, +1.87%] with 95% confidence in STAR-CCM+ and OpenFOAM, respectively. The resistance errors of liquefied natural gas carriers with single- and twin-skeg were confident in the ranges of [-2.51%,+2.64%] and [-2.29%, +1.46%], respectively. The grid uncertainty of resistance coefficients for KCS was also quantitatively analyzed by using a grid verification procedure. The grid uncertainty of OpenFOAM (5.1%) was larger than 4.4% uncertainty of STAR-CCM+ although OpenFOAM provided statistically more confident results than those of STAR-CCM+. It means that a grid system verified under a specific condition does not automatically lead to statistical reliability in general cases.

A Study on the Statistical Model Validation using Response-adaptive Experimental Design (반응적응 시험설계법을 이용하는 통계적 해석모델 검증 기법 연구)

  • Jung, Byung Chang;Huh, Young-Chul;Moon, Seok-Jun;Kim, Young Joong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.347-349
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    • 2014
  • Model verification and validation (V&V) is a current research topic to build computational models with high predictive capability by addressing the general concepts, processes and statistical techniques. The hypothesis test for validity check is one of the model validation techniques and gives a guideline to evaluate the validity of a computational model when limited experimental data only exist due to restricted test resources (e.g., time and budget). The hypothesis test for validity check mainly employ Type I error, the risk of rejecting the valid computational model, for the validity evaluation since quantification of Type II error is not feasible for model validation. However, Type II error, the risk of accepting invalid computational model, should be importantly considered for an engineered products having high risk on predicted results. This paper proposes a technique named as the response-adaptive experimental design to reduce Type II error by adaptively designing experimental conditions for the validation experiment. A tire tread block problem and a numerical example are employed to show the effectiveness of the response-adaptive experimental design for the validity evaluation.

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FTA Effects of Secondary Auto-Part Venders in the Daegu Kyungpook Area (대구·경북지역 자동차 2차 부품기업의 FTA활용효과)

  • Kim, Heeho;Cho, Joo-Eun
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.253-269
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the utilization effect of FTA on the sales and profit of the secondary auto-part suppliers in two aspects: 1) firm-level survey on the utilization of FTA and 2) statistical inference on the FTA effects on their sales and profit. We use the GLS statistical technique, panel and survey data of 130 secondary auto-part suppliers in the Daegu and Kyungpook area in 2007-2016. The evidence shows that the secondary auto-part suppliers struggle to prepare documents for the FTA certificates of origin due to their small firm size, although they utilize the FTA at the relatively high rate of 92 percent. Statistical evidence shows that an increase in the export of the first vender significantly affects the sale of the secondary auto-part vendors, but not their profit. The low profit and high managing cost of utilizing the FTA deteriorate the utilization effect of the FTA of the secondary auto-part vendors, which is a key factor in a global supply chain and for the competitiveness of the automobile industry. Government policies are required for the secondary auto-part suppliers to utilize the FTA more effectively and share the benefits of tariff reduction with first auto-part vendors under FTA transaction.

Experimental Verification of the Versatility of SPAM-based Image Steganalysis (SPAM 기반 영상 스테그아날리시스의 범용성에 대한 실험적 검증)

  • Kim, Jaeyoung;Park, Hanhoon;Park, Jong-Il
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.526-535
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    • 2018
  • Many steganography algorithms have been studied, and steganalysis for detecting stego images which steganography is applied to has also been studied in parallel. Especially, in the case of the image steganalysis, the features such as ALE, SPAM, and SRMQ are extracted from the statistical characteristics of the image, and stego images are classified by learning the classifier using various machine learning algorithms. However, these studies did not consider the effect of image size, aspect ratio, or message-embedding rate, and thus the features might not function normally for images with conditions different from those used in the their studies. In this paper, we analyze the classification rate of the SPAM-based image stegnalysis against variety image sizes aspect ratios and message-embedding rates and verify its versatility.

Establishment and Application of Neuro-Fuzzy Flood Forecasting Model by Linking Takagi-Sugeno Inference with Neural Network (II) : Application and Verification (Takagi-Sugeno 추론기법과 신경망을 연계한 뉴로-퍼지 홍수예측 모형의 구축 및 적용 (II) : 실제 유역에 대한 적용 및 검증)

  • Choi, Seung-Yong;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.537-551
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    • 2011
  • Based on optimal input data combination selected in the earlier study, Neuro-Fuzzy flood forecasting model linked Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy inference theory with neural network in Wangsukcheon and Gabcheon is established. The established model was applied to Wangsukcheon and Gabcheon and water levels for lead time of 0.5 hr, 1 hr, 1.5 hr, 2.0 hr, 2.5 hr, 3.0 hr are forecasted. For the verification of the model, the comparisons between forecasting floods and observation data are presented. The forecasted results have shown good agreements with observed data. Additionally to evaluate quantitatively for applicability of the model, various statistical errors such as Root Mean Square Error are calculated. As a result of the flood forecasting can be simulated successfully without large errors in all statistical error. This study can greatly contribute to the construction of a high accuracy flood information system that secure lead time in medium and small streams.

Verification of a computer-aided replica technique for evaluating prosthesis adaptation using statistical agreement analysis

  • Mai, Hang-Nga;Lee, Kyeong Eun;Lee, Kyu-Bok;Jeong, Seung-Mi;Lee, Seok-Jae;Lee, Cheong-Hee;An, Seo-Young;Lee, Du-Hyeong
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.358-363
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the reliability of computer-aided replica technique (CART) by calculating its agreement with the replica technique (RT), using statistical agreement analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS. A prepared metal die and a metal crown were fabricated. The gap between the restoration and abutment was replicated using silicone indicator paste (n = 25). Gap measurements differed in the control (RT) and experimental (CART) groups. In the RT group, the silicone replica was manually sectioned, and the marginal and occlusal gaps were measured using a microscope. In the CART group, the gap was digitized using optical scanning and image superimposition, and the gaps were measured using a software program. The agreement between the measurement techniques was evaluated by using the 95% Bland-Altman limits of agreement and concordance correlation coefficients (CCC). The least acceptable CCC was 0.90. RESULTS. The RT and CART groups showed linear association, with a strong positive correlation in gap measurements, but without significant differences. The 95% limits of agreement between the paired gap measurements were 3.84% and 7.08% of the mean. The lower 95% confidence limits of CCC were 0.9676 and 0.9188 for the marginal and occlusal gap measurements, respectively, and the values were greater than the allowed limit. CONCLUSION. The CART is a reliable digital approach for evaluating the fit accuracy of fixed dental prostheses.

Analysis on Team Interaction of Team size in Creative Engineering Design Activity (창의적 공학 설계 활동에서 팀 규모에 따른 팀 상호작용 분석)

  • Kim, Minwoong;Jo, Hanjin;Wi, Sunbok;Kim, Taehoon
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.14-23
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    • 2016
  • This study is to analyze the team interaction in accordance with the team size. Thereby, it is to reveal the team size for the attainment of the effective team interaction and the specific goals to achieve the purpose of this study are as follows. Firstly, the frequency and percentage of team interaction in accordance with the team size are presented. Secondly, the statistical verification of the team interaction in the social emotional area is conducted. Thirdly, the statistical verification of the team interaction in the task area is conducted. In order to do this study, we explain the purpose of study, confidentiality, and withdrawal right were described and then 32 persons who agreed to participate were selected as the subjects for the study. After that, the autonomous organization of team was induced and a total of 8 teams were organized - 3 teams comprised of 3 members, 3 teams of 4 members, 1 team of 5 members, and 1 team of 6 members. Further, Bales' (1950) Interaction Process Analysis (IPA) was used in order to analyze the team interaction, and Mangold INTERACT was used as a coding program. The results of study are as follows. Firstly, the highest frequency of the team interaction showed up in the case of five or six members and the lowest in the case of 3 members. Secondly, a statistically significant difference in the social emotional (positive) area showed up in accordance with the team size and the team organizations of three or four members were effective. Thirdly, a statistically significant value in the answer area showed up in accordance with the team size and the team organizations of five or six members were effective.

Development and Validation of TPACK Measurement Tool for Mathematics Teachers (수학교사의 테크놀로지 교수 내용 지식(TPACK) 측정 도구 개발 및 타당화)

  • Lee, Da-Hee;Whang, Woo-Hyun
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.407-434
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop and verify the TPACK measurement tool for middle and high school mathematics teachers in the Korean context. Also, by clarifying the relationship between subordinate factors of Mathematics teachers' TPACK, an attempt was made to provide suggestions on the designs and directions for the in-service and pre-service teacher education and the programs for improving mathematics teachers' TPACK in the future. In order to achieve this goal, TPACK factors of mathematics teachers were extracted by reviewing literature on PCK, MKT, and TPACK. Then, content validity, basic statistical survey, reliability verification, exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, and structural equation model verification were conducted sequentially. At first, preliminary analysis was carried out on 79 mathematics teachers, and 76 items excluding the items with extreme value and reliability were included in the basic statistical analysis. And secondly, an exploratory factor analysis was conducted on 376 mathematics teachers, and this instrument consisted of 7 subordinate factors(CK, PK, TK, PCK, TCK, TPK, TPACK) and 61 items. Also by conducting confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation model test with 254 mathematics teachers, the measurement tool was confirmed the validity and reliability through statistically significant analysis. Then, the importance of integrated knowledge was confirmed by looking at the relationship between the TPACK factors of in-service mathematics teachers. The integrated knowledge(PCK, TCK, TPK) has played a crucial role in the formation of TPACK rather than the knowledge of CK, PK, and TK alone. Finally, the validity of TCK was confirmed through the structural equation modeling of TPACK. TCK not only directly affected TPACK, but also indirectly through TPK. According to these affirmative results, this measurement tool is claimed to be suitable for measuring the factors of Mathematics teachers' TPACK, and also the structural equation model can be regarded as a suitable model for analyzing the structural relationship of mathematics teachers' TPACK.

The Effect of Multicultural Education Experiences on the Multicultural Acceptability of Military Officers (군 간부의 다문화교육경험이 다문화수용성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.49-68
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    • 2020
  • This research seeks to examine the relationship between multicultural education experiences and the multicultural acceptability of military officers. The sample included 552 Republic of Korea Army officers and non-commissioned officers(NCOs) who were located in Gangwon-Do and Gyeonggi-Do. For the statistical analysis, SPSS 18.0 was used to perform descriptive statistical analysis, frequency analysis, differential verification, and multiple regression analysis. The major analysis results are as follows: First, The multicultural acceptability of the military officers and NCOs, including sub-factors, was above the mean level; in terms of the ranking per sub-factor, the scores were in the order of diversity, relationship, and universality. The experience frequency of the targets and the evaluation was lowest in the educational experience within the military, and the evaluations were in the order of public media, school, and military. Second, The differential verification, depending on the characteristics of the sociology of the population and the existence of the multicultural educational experience, showed that the duration of education(personal factor), marital status(family factor), existence of a foreign relative(family factor), and existence of experience of managing multicultural personnel as soldiers under command(military-related factor) showed a significant difference in multicultural acceptability. Additionally, the existence of multicultural education through schools and public media lead to a significant difference in multicultural acceptability, but the existence of education within the military did not lead to a significant difference. Third, The analysis of the influencing relationship through multiple regression analysis showed that the higher the evaluation of multicultural education through the military, school, and public media, the higher the multicultural acceptability.Therefore, this research proposes multicultural educational plans that may improve the multicultural acceptability of military officers and NCOs as a way to establish a multicultural composition in the army.

A Study on the Terrain Interpolation Using Fractal Method (프랙탈 기법을 이용한 지형 보간에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Kee Wook;Lee, Jong Dal
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.895-907
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    • 2006
  • In this study, in order to maximize the accuracy and efficiency of the existing interpolation method fractal methods are applied. Developed FEDISA model revives the irregularity of the real terrain with only a few information about base terrain, which can produce almost complete geographic information. The area of the model is set to $150m{\times}150m$, $300m{\times}300m$, $600m{\times}600m$, $1,200m{\times}1,200m$ to compare the real data with the data of the existing interpolation method and FEDISA model. By statistical verification of the results, the adaptability and efficiency of FEDISA model are investigated. It seems that FEDISA model will help a lot to obtain the terrain information about the changed terrain, such as the bottom of reservoirs and dams as well as large amount of destruction due to cutting and banking.