• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical series analysis

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A Comparative Study on the Performance of Bayesian Partially Linear Models

  • Woo, Yoonsung;Choi, Taeryon;Kim, Wooseok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.885-898
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we consider Bayesian approaches to partially linear models, in which a regression function is represented by a semiparametric additive form of a parametric linear regression function and a nonparametric regression function. We make a comparative study on the performance of widely used Bayesian partially linear models in terms of empirical analysis. Specifically, we deal with three Bayesian methods to estimate the nonparametric regression function, one method using Fourier series representation, the other method based on Gaussian process regression approach, and the third method based on the smoothness of the function and differencing. We compare the numerical performance of three methods by the root mean squared error(RMSE). For empirical analysis, we consider synthetic data with simulation studies and real data application by fitting each of them with three Bayesian methods and comparing the RMSEs.

A Study of Non-parametric Statistical Tests to Analyze Trend in Water Quality Data (수질자료의 추세분석을 위한 비모수적 통계검정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 1995
  • This study was carried out to suggest the best statistical test to analyze the trend in monthly water quality data. Traditional parametric tests such as t-test and regression analysis are based on the assumption that the underlying population has a normal distribution and regression analysis additionally assumes that residual errors are independent. Analyzing 9-years monthly COD data collected at Paldang in Han River, the underlying population was found to be neither normal nor independent. Therefore parametric tests are invalid for trend detection. Four Kinds of nonparametric statistical tests, such as Run Test, Daniel test, Mann-Kendall test, and Time Series Residual Analysis were applied to analyze the trend in the COD data, Daniel test and Mann-Kendall test indicated upward trend in COD data. The best nonparametric test was suggested to be Daniel test, which is simple in computation and easy to understand the intuitive meaning.

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A STUDY ON THE EFFECT OF POWER TRANSFORMATION IN SPATIAL STATISTIC ANALYSIS

  • LEE JIN-HEE;SHIN KEY-IL
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 2005
  • The Box-Cox power transformation is generally used for variance stabilization. Recently, Shin and Kang (2001) showed, under the Box-Cox transformation, invariant properties to the original model under the large mean and relatively small variance assumptions in time series analysis. In this paper we obtain some invariant properties in spatial statistics. Spatial statistics, Invariant Property, Variogram, Box-Cox power Transformation.

R programming: Language and Environment for Statistical Computing and Data Visualization (R 프로그래밍: 통계 계산과 데이터 시각화를 위한 환경)

  • Lee, D.H.;Ren, Ye
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.42-51
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    • 2013
  • The R language is an open source programming language and a software environment for statistical computing and data visualization. The R language is widely used among a lot of statisticians and data scientists to develop statistical software and data analysis. The R language provides a variety of statistical and graphical techniques, including basic descriptive statistics, linear or nonlinear modeling, conventional or advanced statistical tests, time series analysis, clustering, simulation, and others. In this paper, we first introduce the R language and investigate its features as a data analytics tool. As results, we may explore the application possibility of the R language in the field of data analytics.

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Development of Web Contents for Statistical Analysis Using Statistical Package and Active Server Page (통계패키지와 Active Server Page를 이용한 통계 분석 웹 컨텐츠 개발)

  • Kang, Tae-Gu;Lee, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Mi-Ah;Park, Chan-Keun;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we developed the web content of statistical analysis using statistical package and Active Server Page (ASP). A statistical package is very difficult to learn and use for non-statisticians, however, non-statisticians want to do analyze the data without learning statistical packages such as SAS, S-plus, and R. Therefore, we developed the web based statistical analysis contents using S-plus which is the popular statistical package and ASP. In real application, we developed the web content for various statistical analyses such as exploratory data analysis, analysis of variance, and time series on the web using water quality data. The developed statistical analysis web content is very useful for non-statisticians such as public service person and researcher. Consequently, combining a web based contents with a statistical package, the users can access the site quickly and analyze data easily.

A Quantitative Model for the Projection of Health Expenditure (의료비 결정요인 분석을 위한 계량적 모형 고안)

  • Kim, Han-Joong;Lee, Young-Doo;Nam, Chung-Mo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.24 no.1 s.33
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1991
  • A multiple regression analysis using ordinary least square (OLS) is frequently used for the projection of health expenditure as well as for the identification of factors affecting health care costs. Data for the analysis often have mixed characteristics of time series and cross section. Parameters as a result of OLS estimation, in this case, are no longer the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUE) because the data do not satisfy basic assumptions of regression analysis. The study theoretically examined statistical problems induced when OLS estimation was applied with the time series cross section data. Then both the OLS regression and time series cross section regression (TSCS regression) were applied to the same empirical da. Finally, the difference in parameters between the two estimations were explained through residual analysis.

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A Study on the Effectiveness of the Korean Government's Policy Intervention to Revitalize Venture Capital's Early-stage Investment (벤처캐피탈의 초기투자 활성화를 위한 정부의 정책개입 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Young Keun;Jeon, Seong Min;Lee, Seung Yong;Choi, Eun Ji
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine how the Korean government has intervened in the venture capital market so far and empirically investigate whether the government's policies on venture capital have stimulated venture capital's early-stage investment. To this end, this study classified the government's market intervention in the venture capital market by stage by studying the related literature and applying and analyzing the case in Korea. And, this study empirically analyzed the effectiveness of the Korean government's policy to revitalize the early-stage investment of venture capital, which is the most important purpose of government intervention. For empirical analysis, yearly data from 2004 to 2018 provided by the Korea Venture Capital Association and Korea Fund of Funds were analyzed using time series statistical analysis and macrodynamics. As a result of the case study, the Korean government has intervened in the venture capital market through direct investment for 25 years, and has been intervening through indirect investment for the next 18 years. As a result of time-series statistical analysis, the government's fiscal investment to increase the formation of venture capital funds and the increase in the ratio of special-purpose funds that mandate a certain percentage of early-stage investment increased the early-stage investment of venture capital. However, macrodynamics showed a trend in the opposite direction from this time series statistical analysis from 2016. In conclusion, this study interprets the trend in the opposite direction to the time series statistical analysis results as the government's erroneous regulation on the venture capital investment method and the recent lack of effectiveness of direct intervention through the government's indirect investment method. In addition, based on the results of case studies and empirical studies, this study made six policy proposals necessary for indirect government intervention.

A Study of Short Term Forecasting of Daily Water Demand Using SSA (SSA를 이용한 일 단위 물수요량 단기 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.758-769
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    • 2004
  • The trends and seasonalities of most time series have a large variability. The result of the Singular Spectrum Analysis(SSA) processing is a decomposition of the time series into several components, which can often be identified as trends, seasonalities and other oscillatory series, or noise components. Generally, forecasting by the SSA method should be applied to time series governed (may be approximately) by linear recurrent formulae(LRF). This study examined forecasting ability of SSA-LRF model. These methods are applied to daily water demand data. These models indicate that most cases have good ability of forecasting to some extent by considering statistical and visual assessment, in particular forecasting validity shows good results during 15 days.