• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical reasoning

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The Optimal Spacing of Speed Humps in Traffic Calming Areas (교통정온화 구역 과속방지턱 최적 설치간격)

  • Yeo, Insoo;Baek, Jung-Gil;Choi, Jang-Won;Kim, Yong Seok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study aims to suggest the optimal spacing between speed humps which is placed at traffic calming areas including pedestrian priority zones, school zones, and residential areas. METHODS: The study measured the operating speed of vehicles passing through two successive humps by using laser gun in 0.2 seconds interval, and analysed the basic statistical characteristics of speeds data to have an insight on the relationship between spacing and speed. Assumption was made to derive the maximum spacing within which two successive humps influence each other. RESULTS: The statistically significant model explaining the relationship between spacing and 85th percentile speed of vehicles was derived as well as the maximum spacing maintained in order to take the benefits of successive installation of humps. CONCLUSIONS: Spacing of 20 meters was suggested to achieve the widely accepted target speed of 30 km/h in traffic calming zone, and spacing of 70 meters was suggested as a maximum spacing. The comparison across the studies were made and empirical reasoning the difference of results between studies was discussed as well as the future studies.

Assessment of Degree of Congestion based on Marine Traffic Flow Simulation for Harbor Area (항만 내 교통류 시뮬레이션에 기초한 혼잡도 평가)

  • Lee Han-Jin;Gong In-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, authors try to assess the marine traffic environment from the viewpoint of the degree of congestion. First, the marine traffic flow simulation is carried out to get the information related to the assessment. The simulation is performed based on the wide investigation of marine traffic environment and some statistical methods. Then the degree of congestion is reasoned by using the reasoning methods of the degree of collision risk made to develop collision avoidance system. The quantified degree of congestion reasoned by this method provides much information needed to the design and the evaluation of marine traffic environment.

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Application effect and limitation of AHP as a research methodology -A comparison of 3 statistical technique for evaluating MIS success factor- (AHP 기법의 적용효과및 한계점에 관한 연구 -MIS 성공요인평가를 위한 3가지 통계기법 비교중심-)

  • 윤재곤
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.109-125
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    • 1996
  • Biases and errors in the human being's reasoning process have been studied continuously by the researchers, especially psychlogists and social scientists. These bias phenomenon is classified on the basis of the origin, i. e. motivation and cognition. Furthermore the necessity of research on the bias in the management and management information system areas in increased more and more recently, which have their academic backgrounds in the psychology and social science. The biased information stream is transformed into the systematic error due to the motivation and cognitive bias of human-being, then its resulting phenomena are as follows; 1. the availability of salient information 2. preconceived ideas or theories about peoples and event 3. anchoring and perseverence phenomena. In order to reduce the information errors, Satty suggested the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) that is the subject of this paper and that is widely used for evaluation of complex decision making alternatives. THerefore this paper studies AHP's effects and its limitations in applying to the management area. Thus this paper compared the performances of the 3 models : 1 the traditional additive regression model. 2 regression model using the factor score, and 3 the regression model with AHP. As a result, 3 models produce the different outcomes.

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Children's Personalized Inferences when Reasoning about Other's Emotion or Behavior (타인의 정서 및 행동 추론 시 아동의 개인화된 추론)

  • Chung Ha-Na;Yi Soon-Hyung
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.24 no.2 s.80
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2006
  • The purposes of this study were (1) to investigate children's personalized inferences of characters emotional reactions depending on character's personality trait, emotional situation, children's age and gender, (2) to investigate children's personalized inferences of character's behavioral reactions depending on character's personality trait, emotional situation, children's age and gender, (3) to investigate differences between children's personalized inferences of character's emotional reaction and that of character's behavioral reactions. The subjects were 103 children from three age groups (thirty-four 3-year-olds, thirty-three 5-year-olds and thirty-six 7-year-olds). The statistical methods adopted for the data analysis were frequency, percentile, mean, standard deviation, repeated measure ANOVA and paired t-test. The result showed that there were significant differences in children's personalized inferences of character's emotional reaction depending on character's personality trait, emotional situation and their age. There were significant differences in children's personalized inferences of character's behavioral reaction depending on children's age and gender. There were significant differences between personalized inferences of character's emotional reaction and behavioral reactions.

Audit Quality and Stock Return Co-Movement: Evidence from Vietnam

  • PHAM, Chi Bich Thi;VU, Thu Minh Thi;NGUYEN, Linh Ha;NGUYEN, Dung Duc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to explore the relationship between the quality of the audit and the level of stock return co-movement in the context of the Vietnamese emerging market. The empirical study is designed based on the quatitative method and deductive approach. The panel dataset includes 256 listed firms from different industries,with 1115 firm-year observations on Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange for the period from 2014 to 2018. In the research, we built the econometric regression model, using stock return synchronicity and audit quality as the dependent and independent variable, respectively. Some control variables are also added to the econometric regression models as they are well-documented in prior research to have an effect on stock price synchronicity. To improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients, beside the Ordinary Least Squares, we employ the Random Effects Model and the Fixed Effects Model for better statistical analysis of panel data set. The results show that the quality of the audit is positively correlated to stock price synchronicity. This finding suggests that stock returns of companies with higher quality of the audit are more synchronous with the market. Results for other control variables also support our reasoning for the main findings.

The Study of Design Thinking as Foundation of Multidisciplinary Education (다학제 교육의 근간으로서 '디자인 사고'에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Mi;Kim, Sue-Hwa
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.260-273
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to reflect experts' opinions in analyzing a design thinking as foundation of multidisciplinary education. For this purpose, a delphi survey was conducted with 20 experts in three sessions from May 1 to June 25, 2012. To analyze the collected data, descriptive statistics, including frequency, percentage, the mean, and standard deviation were implemented, and internal reliability test on the survey instrument was carried out for statistical processing. The main results are as follows : First, the delphi analysis on intuitive thinking of design thinking suggested 7 items(to pursue the possibility of outside, to pursue the possibility of applying new forms of technology, content planning, facing a complex real-world phenomena etc.). Second, the delphi analysis on logical thinking of design thinking suggested 7 items(executed repeatedly, reasoning and verification, artificial intelligence, a decision support system etc.) Third, the delphi analysis on subjective thinking of design thinking suggested 9 items(user experience measuring, user satisfaction ratings, user requirements analysis, user interface design, behavioral responses of the human etc.). Fourth, the delphi analysis on objective information of design thinking suggested 8 items(information management system, simulation, production process, information exchange and sharing etc.). According to the results of the delphi analysis, design thinking can be seen as the foundation of multidisciplinary education. Suggestions were made for discussion about the main results and further researches.

Middle School Students' Analogical Transfer in Algebra Word Problem Solving (중학생을 대상으로 한 대수 문장제 해결에서의 유추적 전이)

  • 이종희;김진화;김선희
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.353-368
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    • 2003
  • Analogy, based on a similarity, is to infer the properties of the similar object from properties of an object. It can be a very useful thinking tool for learning mathematical patterns and laws, noticing on relational properties among various situations. The purpose of this study, when manipulating hint condition, figure and table conditions and the amount of original learning by using algebra word problems, is to verify the effects of analogical transfer in solving equivalent, isomorphic and similar problems according to the similarity of source problems and target ones. Five study questions were set up for the above purpose. It was 354 first grade students of S and G middle schools in Seoul that were experimented for this study. The data was processed by MANOVA analysis of statistical program, SPSS 10.0. The results of this studies would indicate that most of the students would be poor at solving isomorphic and similar problems in the performance of analogical transfer according to the similarity of source and target problems. Hints, figure and table conditions did not facilitate the analogical transfer. Merely, on the condition that amount of teaming was increased, analogical transfer of the students was facilitated. Therefore, it is necessary to have students do much more analogical problem-solving experience to improve their analogical reasoning ability through the instruction program development in the educational fields.

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A Cascaded Fuzzy Inference System for University Non-Teaching Staff Performance Appraisal

  • Neogi, Amartya;Mondal, Abhoy Chand;Mandal, Soumitra Kumar
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.595-612
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    • 2011
  • Most organizations use performance appraisal system to evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of their employees. In evaluating staff performance, performance appraisal usually involves awarding numerical values or linguistic labels to employees performance. These values and labels are used to represent each staff achievement by reasoning incorporated in the arithmetical or statistical methods. However, the staff performance appraisal may involve judgments which are based on imprecise data especially when a person (the superior) tries to interpret another person's (his/her subordinate) performance. Thus, the scores awarded by the appraiser are only approximations. From fuzzy logic perspective, the performance of the appraisee involves the measurement of his/her ability, competence and skills, which are actually fuzzy concepts that can be captured in fuzzy terms. Accordingly, fuzzy approach can be used to handle these imprecision and uncertainty information. Therefore, the performance appraisal system can be examined using Fuzzy Logic Approach, which is carried out in the study. The study utilized a Cascaded fuzzy inference system to generate the performance qualities of some University non-teaching staff that are based on specific performance appraisal criteria.

Determination and Optimization of welding condition using Fuzzy Expert System for MAG-Welding (퍼지 전문가 시스템을 활용한 적정 용접조건의 설정과 최적화)

  • J.Y. Park
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 1995
  • Determination and optimization of proper welding condition are very important tasks to be directly related to weld quality and productivity. On this research the relationship between welding parameters and results is investigated systematically. Theoretical method, statistical analysis of experimental data and analysis of empirical knowledge are applied for this work. These results are represented by empirical equations, fuzzy rules and artificial intelligent knowledge forms in the knowledge base. The approximate reasoning of fuzzy expert system and the information in the knowledge base are used for recommendation of suitable welding condition, and optimization of welding parameter which is based on the evaluation of welding results by user.

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An Analysis of Research Trends on Statistics Education in Korea from 2000 to 2016 (우리나라 통계교육 연구의 동향 분석 - 2000년 이후 발행된 국내 통계교육 연구논문을 중심으로 -)

  • Tak, Byungjoo;Lee, Kyeong-Hwa
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.269-289
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    • 2017
  • Statistics education research is an important basis for improving the practice of statistical education by describing, predicting, and explaining the phenomena of statistical education. In this study, the research trends in Korea were analyzed through the statistical education research papers published in major Korean mathematics education journals on the 21st century. 99 papers published in these journals from 2000 to 2016 were categorized by journals, research subjects, research methods, and, topics. As a result, it was shown that there are not many statistics education researchers, so domestic researches are dependent on some researchers. In addition, the numbers of studies of human subjects and human non-subject researches were similar. There were few studies of university students, and the studies of teachers' subjects was gradually increasing since 2010. In the case of research methods, the numbers of experimental and non-experimental studies seem to be similar, but this is a result of the increase in qualitative research and mixed research since 2010. Last, many studies about domestic statistics education are on teaching and learning, and the studies on reasoning and understanding have been increasing. In this study, we see the research trends of domestic statistics education and provide implications for the future researches and development directions of statistical education research.