• 제목/요약/키워드: standardized threshold

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한국 주요도시의 폭염에 대한 기후 순응도 특성 (Characteristics of Heat Acclimatization for Major Korean Cities)

  • 김지영;이대근
    • 대기
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.309-318
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    • 2009
  • Vulnerability to heat was examined for populations of 6 major cities in South Korea (Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Gwangju, Daegu, and Busan). Daily excess mortality and maximum temperature from 1991 to 2005 were employed in this study. The results show that the standardized mortality increase associated with a $1^{\circ}C$ increase in daily maximum temperature above the city-specific threshold explains the heat acclimatization effect better than the threshold temperature itself. The estimated increase in mortality (standardized per 10 million population) associated with a $1^{\circ}C$ increase in temperature above the threshold is 4.8 in Incheon, 4.7 in Seoul, 4.3 in Daejeon, 2.8 in Gwangju, 2.4 in Daegu, and 1.5 in Busan, well reflecting the latitudinal locations and local climates of each city. Climate models project more frequent, more intense, and longer lasting heat waves in most land areas in both hemispheres in the 21st century under increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. In order to mitigate the adverse human health impacts due to excess heat, more detailed characteristics of acclimatization to heat need to be understood and quantified.

Sodium Citrate가 효과적으로 비전도성 후각장애에 치료효과를 보일 수 있을지에 대한 문헌 고찰 (Can Sodium Citrate Effectively Improve Olfactory Function in Non-Conductive Olfactory Dysfunction?)

  • 김수빈;강하람;진호준;황세환
    • Korean Journal of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery
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    • 제62권2호
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to perform a systematic review of the literature for application of intranasal sodium citrate in the patients with olfactory dysfunction to help determine the sodium citrate treatments for this condition. Two authors independently searched the data base (Medline, Scopus, and the Cochrane database) for relevant studies from inception to January 2018. Included studies were randomized controlled studies published in English comparing topical sodium citrate application (treatment group) with saline (control group) in patients who had olfactory dysfunction. Outcomes of interest included the change of olfactory identification and threshold during 2 hours post-treatment. Three studies were enrolled in the meta-analysis. Compared with control group, treatment group did not increase posttreatment score of olfactory identification [standardized mean difference (SMD)=-0.03; 95% confidence interval (CI)=-0.29-0.24; I2=0%] and olfactory threshold (SMD=0.18; 95% CI=-0.09-0.45; I2=0%) significantly. In the degree of pre-post improvement of two outcomes, although treatment group statistically showed the significant improvement in olfactory threshold (SMD=0.30; 95% CI=0.05-0.55; I2=17%), the clinical significance of this outcome was meaningless. Similarly, there was no significant difference in olfactory identification between two groups (SMD=0.17; 95% CI=-0.11-0.45; I2=22%). Unlike the recent favorable results, our summated results presented the uselessness for the local application of sodium citrate in improving patient's olfactory function. However, we also had some limitation such as small sample size and inconsistent application methods. Therefore, larger trials and standardized methodology are needed to reach more stronger and exact results.

고온건강경보시스템 기준 설정에 관한 연구( I ) - 기준 설정 및 검증 - (Study on the Establishment of Threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System in Korea; Part I : Establishment of Criteria and Verification)

  • 박종길;정우식;김은별
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.767-780
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates the standard, duration period and excess mortality of extreme heat using the standardized daily mortality data from 1991 to 2004, establishing a standard threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System in Korea. It ultimately aims to provide the guidance in building up Heat Health Watch Warning System for Korea by suggesting the standard to quantify thermal stress from heat. The standard threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System for Seoul metropolitan city takes into account both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index(HI) and consists of four phases; caution, extreme caution, danger, and extreme danger. Extreme caution phase and danger phase are used as the advisory and warning of extreme heat, respectively. Since the nationwide distribution of the frequency of extreme heat day and the excess mortality rate shows little difference across regions, the standard threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System for Seoul metropolitan city can be used for other regions.

선택적 누적합(S-CUSUM) 관리도 (A Selectively Cumulative Sum(S-CUSUM) Control Chart)

  • 임태진
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.126-134
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a selectively cumulative sum(S-CUSUM) control chart for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the S-CUSUM chart is to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The S-CUSUM chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether to accumulate previous samples or not. Consecutive samples with control statistics out of the threshold limit are to be accumulated to calculate a standardized control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, only the next sample is to be used. During the whole sampling process, the S-CUSUM chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L -consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The number L is a decision variable and is called a 'control length'. A Markov chain approach is employed to describe the S-CUSUM sampling process. Formulae for the steady state probabilities and the Average Run Length(ARL) during an in-control state are derived in closed forms. Some properties useful for designing statistical parameters are also derived and a statistical design procedure for the S-CUSUM chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed S-CUSUM chart is uniformly superior to the CUSUM chart or the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average(EWMA) chart with respect to the ARL performance.

Standardized Agricultural Land Use Classification Scheme at Various Spatial Resolution of Satellite Images

  • Hong Seong Min;Jung In Kyun;Park Geun Ae;Kim Seong Joon
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권7호
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2004
  • This study is to present a standardized agricultural land use classification scheme at various spatial resolution (from 1 m to 30 m) of satellite images including Landsat TM, KOMPSAT-1 EOC, ASTER VNIR and IKONOS panchromatic (PAN) and multi-spectral (MS) images. The satellite images were interpreted especially for identifying agricultural land use, crop types, agricultural facilities and structures of 18 items. It was found that there is a threshold spatial resolution between 4 m and 6.6 m to identify the full items. Thus it is suggested that IKONOS fusion image (MS enhanced by PAN) is required to produce land use map for agricultural purpose.

DEVELOPING THE CLOUD DETECTION ALGORITHM FOR COMS METEOROLOGICAL DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM

  • Chung, Chu-Yong;Lee, Hee-Kyo;Ahn, Hyun-Jung;Ahn, Hyoung-Hwan;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.200-203
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    • 2006
  • Cloud detection algorithm is being developed as major one of the 16 baseline products of CMDPS (COMS Meteorological Data Processing System), which is under development for the real-time application of data will be observed from COMS Meteorological Imager. For cloud detection from satellite data, we studied two different algorithms. One is threshold technique based algorithm, which is traditionally used, and another is artificial neural network model. MPEF scene analysis algorithm is the basic idea of threshold cloud detection algorithm, and some modifications are conducted for COMS. For the neural network, we selected MLP with back-propagation algorithm. Prototype software of each algorithm was completed and evaluated by using the MTSAT-1R and GOES-9 data. Currently the software codes are standardized using Fortran90 language. For the preparation as an operational algorithm, we will setup the validation strategy and tune up the algorithm continuously. This paper shows the outline of the two cloud detection algorithm and preliminary test result of both algorithms.

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Developing the Cloud Detection Algorithm for COMS Meteorolgical Data Processing System

  • Chung, Chu-Yong;Lee, Hee-Kyo;Ahn, Hyun-Jung;Ahn, Myoung-Hwan;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.367-372
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    • 2006
  • Cloud detection algorithm is being developed as primary one of the 16 baseline products of CMDPS (COMS Meteorological Data Processing System), which is under development for the real-time application of data will be observed from COMS Meteorological Imager. For cloud detection from satellite data, we studied two different algorithms. One is threshold technique based algorithm, which is traditionally used, and another is artificial neural network model. MPEF scene analysis algorithm is the basic idea of threshold cloud detection algorithm, and some modifications are conducted for COMS. For the neural network, we selected MLP with back-propagation algorithm. Prototype software of each algorithm was completed and evaluated by using the MTSAT-IR and GOES-9 data. Currently the software codes are standardized using Fortran90 language. For the preparation as an operational algorithm, we will setup the validation strategy and tune up the algorithm continuously. This paper shows the outline of the two cloud detection algorithms and preliminary test results of both algorithms.

MLP ANN 가뭄 예측 모형에 대한 ROC 평가 (ROC evaluation for MLP ANN drought forecasting model)

  • 정민수;김종석;장호원;이주헌
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권10호
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    • pp.877-885
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 기상학적 가뭄지수인 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)를 이용하여 우리나라 전역에 대한 가뭄예측의 시공간적인 평가를 수행하였다. 또한 다층 퍼셉트론 인공신경망(Multi Layer Perceptron-Artificial Neural Network, MLP-ANN) 예측 기법을 이용하여 SPI(3), (6)에 대한 선행예보시간별 가뭄 예측을 실시하였다. 입력 자료는 기상청 산하의 59개 관측소에서 관측된 기상자료를 활용하였고, 관측자료 기간은 1976~2015년이다. 예측 모델의 성능평가는 기준점(Threshold)에 따른 가뭄 발생유무와 같은 이진분류 혼동행렬을 구성하여 Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) score와 조건부 확률에 따른 F score를 산정하여 예측 성능평가를 수행하였다. 예측성능에 대한 ROC 분석결과 다층 퍼셉트론 인공신경망(MLP-ANN) 모형을 적용한 가뭄예측성능이 매우 우수한 것으로 나타났으며, SPI (3)은 2개월, SPI (6)는 5개월 정도의 선행예측이 충분히 가능한 것으로 나타났다.

가변 샘플링 간격(VSI)을 갖는 적응형 이동평균 (A-MA) 관리도 (An Adaptive Moving Average (A-MA) Control Chart with Variable Sampling Intervals (VSI))

  • 임태진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

가변 샘플링 간격(VSI)을 갖는 선택적 누적합 (S-CUSUM) 관리도 (A Selectively Cumulative Sum (S-CUSUM) Control Chart with Variable Sampling Intervals (VSI))

  • 임태진
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.560-570
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a selectively cumulative sum (S-CUSUM) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI S-CUSUM chart is to adjust sampling intervals and to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI S-CUSUM chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples or not. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI S-CUSUM chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The number L is a decision variable and is called a 'control length'. A Markov chain model is employed to describe the VSI S-CUSUM sampling process. Some useful formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI S-CUSUM chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI S-CUSUM chart is uniformly superior to the VSI CUSUM chart or to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart with respect to the ATS performance.

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