• Title/Summary/Keyword: stability of estimation

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Estimation of Carbon Stock in the Chir Pine (Pinus roxburghii Sarg.) Plantation Forest of Kathmandu Valley, Central Nepal

  • Sharma, Krishna Prasad;Bhatta, Suresh Prashad;Khatri, Ganga Bahadur;Pajiyar, Avinash;Joshi, Daya Krishna
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2020
  • Vegetation carbon sequestration and regeneration are the two major parameters of forest research. In this study, we analyzed the vegetation carbon stock and regeneration of community-managed pine plantation of Kathmandu, central Nepal. Vegetation data were collected from 40 circular plots of 10 m radius (for the tree) and 1m radius (for seedling) applying a stratified random sampling and nested quadrat method. The carbon stock was estimated by Chave allometric model and estimated carbon stock was converted into CO2 equivalents. Density-diameter (d-d) curve was also prepared to check the regeneration status and stability of the plantation. A d-d curve indicates the good regeneration status of the forest with a stable population in each size class. Diversity of trees was very low, only two tree species Pinus roxburghii and Eucalyptus citriodora occurred in the sample plots. Pine was the dominant tree in terms of density, basal area, biomass, carbon stock and CO2 stock than the eucalyptus. The basal area, carbon stock and CO2 stock of forest was 33±1.0 ㎡ ha-1, 108±5.0 Mg ha-1 and 394±18 Mg ha-1, respectively. Seedling and tree density of the plantation was 4,965 ha-1 and 339 ha-1 respectively. The forest carbon stock showed a positive relationship with biomass, tree diameter, height and basal area but no relationship with tree density. Canopy cover and tree diameter have a negative effect on seedling density and regeneration. In conclusion, the community forest has a stable population in each size class, sequestering a significant amount of carbon and CO2 emitted from densely populated Kathmandu metro city as the forest biomass hence have a potentiality to mitigate the global climate change.

Nonlinear soil parameter effects on dynamic embedment of offshore pipeline on soft clay

  • Yu, Su Young;Choi, Han Suk;Lee, Seung Keon;Park, Kyu-Sik;Kim, Do Kyun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.227-243
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the effects of nonlinear soft clay on dynamic embedment of offshore pipeline were investigated. Seabed embedment by pipe-soil interactions has impacts on the structural boundary conditions for various subsea structures such as pipeline, riser, pile, and many other systems. A number of studies have been performed to estimate real soil behavior, but their estimation of seabed embedment has not been fully identified and there are still many uncertainties. In this regards, comparison of embedment between field survey and existing empirical models has been performed to identify uncertainties and investigate the effect of nonlinear soil parameter on dynamic embedment. From the comparison, it is found that the dynamic embedment with installation effects based on nonlinear soil model have an influence on seabed embedment. Therefore, the pipe embedment under dynamic condition by nonlinear parameters of soil models was investigated by Dynamic Embedment Factor (DEF) concept, which is defined as the ratio of the dynamic and static embedment of pipeline, in order to overcome the gap between field embedment and currently used empirical and numerical formula. Although DEF through various researches is suggested, its range is too wide and it does not consider dynamic laying effect. It is difficult to find critical parameters that are affecting to the embedment result. Therefore, the study on dynamic embedment factor by soft clay parameters of nonlinear soil model was conducted and the sensitivity analyses about parameters of nonlinear soil model were performed as well. The tendency on dynamic embedment factor was found by conducting numerical analyses using OrcaFlex software. It is found that DEF was influenced by shear strength gradient than other factors. The obtained results will be useful to understand the pipe embedment on soft clay seabed for applying offshore pipeline designs such as on-bottom stability and free span analyses.

Reliability Analysis of Plane Failure in Rock Slope (암반사면의 평면파괴에 대한 신뢰성해석)

  • 장연수;오승현;김종수
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2002
  • A reliability analysis is performed to investigate the influence of the uncertainty from few in-situ samples and inherent heterogeneity of the ground on the probability of failure for a rock cut slope. The results are compared with those of deterministic slope stability analysis. The random variables used are unit weight of the rock, the angle of potential slope of failure, and cohesion and internal friction angle of joints. It was found that the rock slope in which the factor of safety satisfied the minimum safety factor in the deterministic analysis has high probability of failure in the reliability analysis when the weak geological strata are involved in the cut slope. The probability of failure of rock slope is most sensitive to the mean and standard deviation of cohesion in rock joint among the random soil parameters included in the reliability analysis. Sensitivities of the mean values are larger than those of standard deviations, which means that accurate estimation of the mean for the in-situ geotechnical properties is important.

Evaluation of Support Requirements for the Single Shell Tunnels from the Case Study of Rock Mass Classifications (국내 암반분류 사례를 통한 싱글쉘 터널 지보량 산정 연구)

  • Kim Hak-Joon;Lee Seong-Ho;Shin Hyu-Seong;Bae Gyu-Jin
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.16 no.3 s.49
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2006
  • Shotcrete is used as a permanent lining in single shell tunnels even though shotcrete has been used as a temporary lining in NATM tunnels. Therefore, the accurate evaluation of strength parameters is very crucial because the reliable estimation of loads acting on the shotcretes is necessary to maintain the stability of tunnels. The evaluation of strength parameters of the ground far the single shell tunnels should be investigated to adapt the method in Korea because the geological condition of Korea is different from that of other country. Rock classification and strength parameters obtained from 25 tunnel sites were investigated for this study. Support types fur the different rock classes are suggested for the single shell tunnels in Korea based on the NMT because Q-system has been widely used in Korea. The support types in terms of both Q and RMR values are given based on the correlation of Q and RMR values obtained from the case studies.

Characteristics of Structure Settlement due to Urban Railway Construction on Reclaimed Land (해안매립지반의 도시철도 시공에 따른 구조물 침하 특성 분석)

  • Shin, Eun-Chul;Rim, Yong-Kwan;Park, Jeong-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2012
  • The stability of urban railway foundation can be a problem due to the excessive settlement. The settlement at the base of railway is monitored by the installed settlement gauges. The piezometer and pore water pressure measurement device are installed to measure the variation of pore water pressure and ground water table during the continuous pullout of sheet piles which were used for the braced cut. The settlement of railway is predicted with using the computer program CAIN RDA. The input data for the numerical analysis are obtained from the field soil exploration data and soil properties. The surcharged load from landscaping over the ground surface and the weight of train are taken into account for the estimation of settlement. As a result of numerical analysis, the range of settlement for six different Sites is from 5.94 cm to 12.77 cm. Thus, the settlement level at Site 2 is occurred 12.77 cm which is higher than the allowable settlement of 10 cm.

Country Image and Product Attitude: An Estimation of Switching Costs for the Korean Wave

  • Shen, Yan;Kwak, Ro-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.45-72
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study examines the mediating effect of switching costs (economic risk costs and setup costs) on the relationships of country image with product attitude and product attachment. Switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave, which are insufficiently addressed in the literature, were investigated using the country image of Korea as a proxy for the Korean Wave. Moreover, this study examined the economic effects of the Korean Wave and the negative effect of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) deployment on these economic effects. Design/methodology - A total of 302 Chinese consumers were surveyed using a questionnaire. Because this was an exploratory study and was not based on a classical model, the PLS-SEM method was employed to test the stability of the model and its hypotheses. Findings - Switching costs had mediating effects on the relationships of country image with product attitude and product attachment. The switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave were verified. However, neither the economic image nor cultural image of Korea had significant effects on the economic risk costs. Moreover, the economic image of Korea had no significant effect on the set-up costs. Originality/value - This study broadened the understanding of the relationships among country image, switching costs, product attitude, and product attachment and advanced the knowledge of relevant theories. The results contribute theoretically to the literature on switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave. The results confirmed the negative effect of THAAD deployment on the economic effects of the Korean Wave. In the rapidly developing international environment, these research results could serve as theoretical reference guidelines for suppliers when developing marketing strategies.

Estimation of the excavation damage zone in TBM tunnel using large deformation FE analysis

  • Kim, Dohyun;Jeong, Sangseom
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.323-335
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to estimate the range of the excavation damaged zone (EDZ) formation caused by the tunnel boring machine (TBM) advancement through dynamic three-dimensional large deformation finite element analysis. Large deformation analysis based on Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian (CEL) analysis is used to accurately simulate the behavior during TBM excavation. The analysis model is verified based on numerous test results reported in the literature. The range of the formed EDZ will be suggested as a boundary under various conditions - different tunnel diameter, tunnel depth, and rock type. Moreover, evaluation of the integrity of the tunnel structure during excavation has been carried out. Based on the numerical results, the apparent boundary of the EDZ is shown to within the range of 0.7D (D: tunnel diameter) around the excavation surface. Through series of numerical computation, it is clear that for the rock of with higher rock mass rating (RMR) grade (close to 1st grade), the EDZ around the tunnel tends to increase. The size of the EDZ is found to be direct proportional to the tunnel diameter, whereas the depth of the tunnel is inversely proportional to the magnitude of the EDZ. However, the relationship between the formation of the EDZ and the stability of the tunnel was not found to be consistent. In case where the TBM excavation is carried out in hard rock or rock under high confinement (excavation under greater depth), large range of the EDZ may be formed, but less strain occurs along the excavation surface during excavation and is found to be more stable.

Gaussian Density Selection Method of CDHMM in Speaker Recognition (화자인식에서 연속밀도 은닉마코프모델의 혼합밀도 결정방법)

  • 서창우;이주헌;임재열;이기용
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.711-716
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes the method to select the number of optimal mixtures in each state in Continuous Density HMM (Hidden Markov Models), Previously, researchers used the same number of mixture components in each state of HMM regardless spectral characteristic of speaker, To model each speaker as accurately as possible, we propose to use a different number of mixture components for each state, Selection of mixture components considered the probability value of mixture by each state that affects much parameter estimation of continuous density HMM, Also, we use PCA (principal component analysis) to reduce the correlation and obtain the system' stability when it is reduced the number of mixture components, We experiment it when the proposed method used average 10% small mixture components than the conventional HMM, When experiment result is only applied selection of mixture components, the proposed method could get the similar performance, When we used principal component analysis, the feature vector of the 16 order could get the performance decrease of average 0,35% and the 25 order performance improvement of average 0.65%.

A Study of Optimization of α-β-γ-η Filter for Tracking a High Dynamic Target

  • Pan, Bao-Feng;Njonjo, Anne Wanjiru;Jeong, Tae-Gweon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2017
  • The tracking filter plays a key role in accurate estimation and prediction of maneuvering the vessel's position and velocity. Different methods are used for tracking. However, the most commonly used method is the Kalman filter and its modifications. The ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter is one of the special cases of the general solution provided by the Kalman filter. It is a third order filter that computes the smoothed estimates of position, velocity, and acceleration for the nth observation, and predicts the next position and velocity. Although found to track a maneuvering target with good accuracy than the constant velocity ${\alpha}-{\beta}$ filter, the ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter does not perform impressively under high maneuvers, such as when the target is undergoing changing accelerations. This study aims to track a highly maneuvering target experiencing jerky motions due to changing accelerations. The ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter is extended to include the fourth state that is, constant jerk to correct the sudden change of acceleration to improve the filter's performance. Results obtained from simulations of the input model of the target dynamics under consideration indicate an improvement in performance of the jerky model, ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}-{\eta}$ algorithm as compared to the constant acceleration model, ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ in terms of error reduction and stability of the filter during target maneuver.

A Study on Establishing the Performance Evaluation System of the Fish Stock Rebuilding Plans (수산자원회복계획의 성과평가 개선방향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Young;Lee, Jung-Sam;Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2011
  • The Fish Stock Rebuilding Plan (FSRP) is evaluated as one of the most effective fisheries policies domestically and internationally. FSRP is a comprehensive fisheries policy, including target stock size, rebuilding period, application of management measures, and participation of fishermen. The performance outcomes of FSRPs have been partially evaluated for recommendation for stock rebuilding in Korea, while they are fully evaluated in other countries that have implemented FSRPs. The performance evaluation system for FSRP is very needed to enhance its effectiveness as one of fisheries policies. That is, the system where problems can be reconsidered, achieving targets can be evaluated, and the plan can be modified should be implemented. This study classified the performance evaluation of FSRP into the economic evaluation as a quantitative analysis and the policy evaluation as a qualitative analysis. In the economic evaluation, the sustainability of fishery resources, the stability of fishing business, the efficiency of fishery production, and efficient utilization of fishery resources can be considered. As analytical methods for the economic evaluation, the bioeconomic model, efficiency estimation model, the dynamic MEY model can be utilized. The qualitative evaluation is to assess the qualitative performances of FSRPs, including interviews and surveys with fishermen and fisheries experts. In the survey, many different items can be included by evaluation factors which are related to policies such as timeliness, transparency, effectiveness, etc. In addition, the study suggested the performance evaluation system and procedures for objective and efficient evaluation of FSRPs. In order to practically apply the developed performance evaluation model, the pilot project is needed. That is, from the application of pilot project, detailed research methods, effective procedures, and evaluation factors can be investigated.