• Title/Summary/Keyword: solar term

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Variability Characteristics Analysis of the Long-term Wind and Wind Energy Using the MCP Method (MCP방법을 이용한 장기간 풍속 및 풍력에너지 변동 특성 분석)

  • Hyun, Seung-Gun;Jang, Moon-Seok;Ko, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2013
  • Wind resource data of short-term period has to be corrected a long-term period by using MCP method that Is a statistical method to predict the long-term wind resource at target site data with a reference site data. Because the field measurement for wind assessment is limited to a short period by various constraints. In this study, 2 different MCP methods such as Linear regression and Matrix method were chosen to compare the predictive accuracy between the methods. Finally long-term wind speed, wind power density and capacity factor at the target site for 20 years were estimated for the variability of wind and wind energy. As a result, for 20 years annual average wind speed, Yellow sea off shore wind farm was estimated to have 4.29% for coefficient of variation, CV, and -9.57%~9.53% for range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual wind speed at Yellow sea offshore wind farm varied within ${\pm}10%$.

Investigation of short-term stability in high efficiency polymer : nonfullerene solar cells via quick current-voltage cycling method

  • Lee, Sooyong;Seo, Jooyeok;Kim, Hwajeong;Song, Dong-Ik;Kim, Youngkyoo
    • Korean Journal of Chemical Engineering
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    • v.35 no.12
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    • pp.2496-2503
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    • 2018
  • The short-term stability of high efficiency polymer : nonfullerene solar cells was investigated by employing a quick (ten cycles) current density-voltage (J-V) cycling method. Polymer : nonfullerene solar cells with initial power conversion efficiency (PCE) of >10% were fabricated using bulk heterojunction (BHJ) films of poly[(2,6-(4,8-bis(5-(2-ethylhexyl)thiophen-2-yl)-benzo[1,2-b:4,5b']dithiophene))-alt-(5,5-(1',3'-di-2-thienyl-5,7'-bis(2-ethylhexyl)benzo[1',2'-c:4',5'-c']dithiophene-4,8-dione))] (PBDB-T) and 3,9-bis(2-methylene-((3-(1,1-dicyanomethylene)-6/7-methyl)-indanone))-5,5,11,11-tetrakis(4-hexylphenyl)-dithieno[2,3-d:2',3'-d']-s-indaceno[1,2-b:5,6-b']dithiophene (IT-M). One set of the BHJ (PBDB-T : IT-M) films was thermally annealed at $160^{\circ}C$ for 30min, while another set was used without any thermal treatment after spin-coating. The quick J-V scan (cycling) measurement disclosed that the PCE decay was relatively slower for the annealed BHJ layers than the unannealed (as-cast) BHJ layers. As a result, after ten cycles, the annealed BHJ layers delivered higher PCE than the unannealed BHJ layers due to higher and more stable trend in fill factor. The present quick J-V cycling method is simple but expected to be useful for the prediction of short-term stability in organic solar cells.

Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation (태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석)

  • Song, Jae-Ju;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • Recently, solar energy is expanding to combination of computing in real time by tracking the position of the sun to estimate the angle of inclination and make up freshly correcting a part of the solar radiation. Solar power is need that reliably linked technology to power generation system renewable energy in order to efficient power production that is difficult to output predict based on the position of the sun rise. In this paper, we analysis of prediction model for solar power generation to estimate the predictive value of solar power generation in the development of real-time weather data. Photovoltaic power generation input the correction factor such as temperature, module characteristics by the solar generator module and the location of the local angle of inclination to analyze the predictive power generation algorithm for the prediction calculation to predict the final generation. In addition, the proposed model in real-time national weather service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

Improvement in Long-Term Stability and Photovoltaic Performance of UV Cured Resin Polymer Gel Electrolyte for Dye-Sensitized Solar Cell

  • Park, Geun Woo;Hwang, Chul Gyun;Jung, Jae Won;Jung, Young Mee
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.33 no.12
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    • pp.4093-4097
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    • 2012
  • We introduced a new UV-cured resin polymer gel as an electrolyte for dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs) that is cured with UV irradiation to form a thin film of UV-cured resin polymer gel in the cells. The gel film was characterized and its potential for use as an electrolyte in DSSCs was investigated. This new UV-cured resin polymer gel was successfully applied as a gel polymer electrolyte in DSSCs overcoming the problems associated with the liquid electrolytes in typical DSSCs. The effect of ${\gamma}$-butylrolactone (GBL) on the long-term stability and photovoltaic performance in DSSCs using this UV-cured resin polymer gel electrolyte was also investigated. The results of the energy conversion efficiency, ionic conductivity and Raman spectra of the UV-cured resin polymer gel electrolyte with the addition of 6 wt % GBL to the UV-cured resin polymer electrolyte showed good long-term stability and photovoltaic performance for the DSSCs with the UV-cured polymer gel electrolyte.

OBSERVING SITES FOR THE CENTRAL SOLAR ECLIPSES IN ANCIENT CHINESE HISTORY

  • Ahn, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2020
  • We determine the observing sites for eclipses of large magnitude recorded in ancient Chinese chronicles from 200 BCE to 900 CE, by adopting the difference between terrestrial time and universal time, ΔT, given by Morrison & Stephenson (2004). The records of solar eclipses with large magnitude are divided into four groups in accordance with the historical variations of the capital cities of ancient Chinese dynasties. We determine areas in which all the eclipses in each group, with an eclipse magnitude larger than a certain threshold value, could be observed. We find that these areas coincide with the historical capitals, which agrees with the general idea that the solar eclipses were observed at the capital of each dynasty. This result also verifies the ΔT values during the period from 100 BCE to 400 CE, during which historical records of eclipses are so rare that the ΔT values can only be obtained by interpolating the long-term data. Moreover, we show that the eclipses described by the term Ji in East-Asian history are not all total eclipses; their mean magnitude is 0.96 ± 0.04. We find that complementary expressions, such as dark daytime and appearance of stars during the eclipse, strengthen the possibility that eclipses described by the term Ji were total. We also provide quantitative definitions for expressions such as 'being not complete and like a hook', 'being almost complete', 'visibility of stars during the eclipse', and 'darkness during an eclipse.' The literal meanings of these expressions are in agreement with the recent physical modeling of sky brightness during total eclipses provided by Können & Hinz (2008).

Solar Air Conditionner for Electricity Peak Cut (전력 Peak Cut를 위한 Solar 에어콘 개발)

  • Yu, Kwon-Jong;Song, Jin-Soo;Kang, Kee-Whan;Hwang, In-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07b
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    • pp.1045-1047
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    • 1992
  • Photovoltaics is considered to be one of the most promising technologies which can greatly contribute to future energy supply because of a large, secure, essentially inexhaustible and broadly available resource - sunlight. However, recent progresses in photovoltaics make also possible its short-term practical application in some areas. Among them the solar air conditionner powered by photovoltaic system attracts considerable interest due to its main advantage which consists in the reduction of drastically increasing electricity peak load in summer season. In this review paper our current study on the solar air conditionner will be briefly summarized.

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The Status Paper on Concentration Photovoltaic System (집광형 태양광발전시스템 동향)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kang, Gi-Hwan;Yu, Gwon-Jong
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.21-24
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we introduce the status of concentration photovoltaic system. Currently, crystalline silicon solar has 90% of total solar market. But in a few years, the concentration solar system is expected to be main one because cost increasement of silicon material is not stabilized unit now. At 2012, it will take 5% of the whole solar market. Less expensive, material requirement and high system efficiency give high driving force for intensive research on concentration system. It is time for us to initiate the basic study and evaluate the long term stability compared to crystalline silicon system. The detail discussion will be shown in the following paper.

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Prediction of Daily Solar Irradiation Based on Chaos Theory (혼돈이론을 이용한 일적산 일사량의 예측)

  • Cho, S. I.;Bae, Y. M.;Yun, J. I.;Park, E. W.;Hwang, H.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2000
  • A forcasting scheme for daily solar irradiance on agricultural field sis proposed by application of chaos theory to a long term observation data. It was conducted by reconstruction of phase space, attractor analysis, and Lyapunov analysis. Using the methodology , it was determined whether evolution of the five climatic data such as daily air temperature , water temperature , relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed are chaotic or not. The climatic data were collected for three years by an automated weather station at Hwasung-gun, Kyonggi-province. The results showed that the evolution of solar radiation was chaotic , and could be predicted. The prediction of the evolution of the solar radiation data was executed by using ' local optimal linear reconstruction ' algorithm . The RMS value of the predicting for the solar radiation evolution was 4.32 MJ/$m^2$ day. Therefore, it was feasible to predict the daily solar radiation based on the chaos theory.

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Abnormality of GCR intensities measured by ground NMs in solar minimum of solar cycles 23/24

  • Lee, Eo-Jin;Yi, Yu
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.26.1-26.1
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    • 2009
  • Many solar, interplanetary and geomagnetic activity parameters have 11-year cycle on the average in sync with solar sunspot number. The galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity measured by ground Neutron Monitor (NM) is one of those parameters showing the unprecedented activity levels in the current solar minimum (2008-2009) of solar cycles 23/24. We defined abnormality as the ratio of deviation from long term mean over mean amplitude of solar cycle change. The abnormality distribution map was drawn using all the data of NM stations available online. The implications of those unprecedented levels of GCR intensities of different cutoff rigidities will be discussed.

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Relative Contribution from Short-term to Long-term Flaring rate to Predicting Major Flares

  • Lim, Daye;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, Eunsu;Park, Jongyeob;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jin-Yi;Jang, Soojeong
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.52.3-52.3
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    • 2019
  • We investigate a relative contribution from short to long-term flaring rate to predicting M and X-class flare probabilities. In this study, we consider magnetic parameters summarizing distribution and non-potentiality by Solar Dynamics Observatory/Helioseimic and Magnetic Imager and flare list by Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites. A short-term rate is the number of major flares that occurred in an given active region (AR) within one day before the prediction time. A mid-term rate is a mean flaring rate from the AR appearance day to one day before the prediction time. A long-term rate is a rate determined from a relationship between magnetic parameter values of ARs and their flaring rates from 2010 May to 2015 April. In our model, the predicted rate is given by the combination of weighted three rates satisfying that their sum of the weights is 1. We calculate Brier skill scores (BSSs) for investigating weights of three terms giving the best prediction performance using ARs from 2015 April to 2018 April. The BSS (0.22) of the model with only long-term is higher than that with only short-term or mid-term. When short or mid-term are considered additionally, the BSSs are improved. Our model has the best performance (BSS = 0.29) when all three terms are considered, and their relative contribution from short to long-term rate are 19%, 23%, and 58%, respectively. This model seems to be more effective when predicting active solar ARs having several major flares.

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