• 제목/요약/키워드: soil moisture prediction

검색결과 120건 처리시간 0.023초

머신러닝 기반 노지 환경 변수에 따른 예측 토양 수분에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구 (A study on the impact on predicted soil moisture based on machine learning-based open-field environment variables)

  • 정광훈;이명훈
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제12권10호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2023
  • 지구 온난화로 인해 갑작스러운 기후변화와 농업 생산성에 대한 이해가 점점 중요해지면서, 토양 수분 예측은 농업에서 핵심 주제로 떠오르고 있다. 토양 수분은 농작물의 성장과 건강에 큰 영향을 미치며, 적절한 관리와 정확한 예측은 농업 생산성 향상과 자원 관리의 핵심 요소이다. 이러한 이유로 토양 수분 예측은 농업 및 환경 분야에서 큰 주목을 받고 있다. 본 논문에서는 머신러닝 알고리즘인 랜덤 포레스트를 통하여 시범포를 이용하여 노지 환경 데이터를 수집하고 분석하여 데이터 특성들과 토양 수분의 상관관계를 구하고 토양 수분 실제 값과 예측값을 비교하였으며 비교 결과 예측률이 약 92%의 정확성을 갖는다는 것을 확인하였다. 추후 연구를 통해 작물의 생장 데이터 변수들을 추가하여 토양 수분 예측을 진행한다면 토양 수분에 따른 작물의 생장 속도, 적절한 관수 타이밍 등의 주요 정보를 정확하게 제어함으로써 작물의 품질 상승, 물 관리 효율 증가 등 생산성 및 자원 효율성에 좋은 영향을 미칠 것이라고 기대된다.

Improving streamflow prediction with assimilating the SMAP soil moisture data in WRF-Hydro

  • Kim, Yeri;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.205-205
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    • 2021
  • Surface soil moisture, which governs the partitioning of precipitation into infiltration and runoff, plays an important role in the hydrological cycle. The assimilation of satellite soil moisture retrievals into a land surface model or hydrological model has been shown to improve the predictive skill of hydrological variables. This study aims to improve streamflow prediction with Weather Research and Forecasting model-Hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro) by assimilating Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP) data at 3 km and analyze its impacts on hydrological components. We applied Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) technique to remove the bias of SMAP data and assimilate SMAP data (April to July 2015-2019) into WRF-Hydro by using an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) with a total 12 ensembles. Daily inflow and soil moisture estimates of major dams (Soyanggang, Chungju, Sumjin dam) of South Korea were evaluated. We investigated how hydrologic variables such as runoff, evaporation and soil moisture were better simulated with the data assimilation than without the data assimilation. The result shows that the correlation coefficient of topsoil moisture can be improved, however a change of dam inflow was not outstanding. It may attribute to the fact that soil moisture memory and the respective memory of runoff play on different time scales. These findings demonstrate that the assimilation of satellite soil moisture retrievals can improve the predictive skill of hydrological variables for a better understanding of the water cycle.

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수치 지형인자를 활용한 토양수분분포 예측 (Prediction of Soil Distribution Using Digital Terrain Indices)

  • 이학수;김경현;한지영;김상현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.391-401
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    • 2001
  • 토양수분의 공간적 분포를 예측하기 위하여 지표면 곡률관련인자, 지형흐름인자, 태양에너지 복사인자들을 계산하였다. GPS와 토양수분측정기를 활용한 산지유역에서의 토양수분측정은 토양수분의 공간적 분포자료의 구축을 가능하게 했다. 측정된 토양수분자료와 토양수분 추정인자 사이의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 다중회귀분석을 통한 토양수분 추정인자와 토양수분의 공간적 분포상황에 대한 검토는 수치고도모형(DEM)의 분석을 통한 토양수분 추정능력의 가능성과 한계성을 보여주었다.

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Measurements of dielectric constants of soil to develop a landslide prediction system

  • Rhim, Hong Chul
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the measurements of the dielectric constants of soil at 900 MHz and 1 GHz were made to relate those properties to the moisture content of the soil. This study's intention was to use the relationship between the dielectric constant and the moisture content to develop a landslide prediction system. By monitoring the change of the moisture content within the soil using ground penetrating radar (GPR) systems in the field, the possibility of a landslide is expected to be detected. To establish a database for the dielectric constants and the moisture content, the measurements of soil samples were made using both an open-ended dielectric coaxial probe and the GPR. Based on the measurement results, correlations between the GPR and reflector for each frequency at 900 MHz and 1 GHz were found for the dielectric constants and the moisture content. Finally, the mechanism of the measurement device to be implemented in the field is suggested.

전지구 계절 예측 시스템의 토양수분 초기화 방법 개선 (Improvement of Soil Moisture Initialization for a Global Seasonal Forecast System)

  • 서은교;이명인;정지훈;강현석;원덕진
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2016
  • Initialization of the global seasonal forecast system is as much important as the quality of the embedded climate model for the climate prediction in sub-seasonal time scale. Recent studies have emphasized the important role of soil moisture initialization, suggesting a significant increase in the prediction skill particularly in the mid-latitude land area where the influence of sea surface temperature in the tropics is less crucial and the potential predictability is supplemented by land-atmosphere interaction. This study developed a new soil moisture initialization method applicable to the KMA operational seasonal forecasting system. The method includes first the long-term integration of the offline land surface model driven by observed atmospheric forcing and precipitation. This soil moisture reanalysis is given for the initial state in the ensemble seasonal forecasts through a simple anomaly initialization technique to avoid the simulation drift caused by the systematic model bias. To evaluate the impact of the soil moisture initialization, two sets of long-term, 10-member ensemble experiment runs have been conducted for 1996~2009. As a result, the soil moisture initialization improves the prediction skill of surface air temperature significantly at the zero to one month forecast lead (up to ~60 days forecast lead), although the skill increase in precipitation is less significant. This study suggests that improvements of the prediction in the sub-seasonal timescale require the improvement in the quality of initial data as well as the adequate treatment of the model systematic bias.

현업 기후예측시스템에서의 지면초기화 적용에 따른 예측 민감도 분석 (Application of Land Initialization and its Impact in KMA's Operational Climate Prediction System)

  • 임소민;현유경;지희숙;이조한
    • 대기
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the impact of soil moisture initialization in GloSea5, the operational climate prediction system of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), has been investigated for the period of 1991~2010. To overcome the large uncertainties of soil moisture in the reanalysis, JRA55 reanalysis and CMAP precipitation were used as input of JULES land surface model and produced soil moisture initial field. Overall, both mean and variability were initialized drier and smaller than before, and the changes in the surface temperature and pressure in boreal summer and winter were examined using ensemble prediction data. More realistic soil moisture had a significant impact, especially within 2 months. The decreasing (increasing) soil moisture induced increases (decreases) of temperature and decreases (increases) of sea-level pressure in boreal summer and its impacts were maintained for 3~4 months. During the boreal winter, its effect was less significant than in boreal summer and maintained for about 2 months. On the other hand, the changes of surface temperature were more noticeable in the southern hemisphere, and the relationship between temperature and soil moisture was the same as the boreal summer. It has been noted that the impact of land initialization is more evident in the summer hemispheres, and this is expected to improve the simulation of summer heat wave in the KMA's operational climate prediction system.

우리나라 토양에 대한 수분함량예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the forecasting of soil moisture content in our country)

  • 강지원;조성배;강연욱
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 E
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    • pp.2380-2382
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    • 1999
  • An Ampacity of a power cable depends on the soil thermal property, especially the soil thermal resistivity. Also, The soil thermal resistivity depends on the soil moisture contents in soil surrounding the power cable. This paper propose the prediction algorithm of the soil moisture contents using the Thornthwaite theory.

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Soil moisture prediction using a support vector regression

  • Lee, Danhyang;Kim, Gwangseob;Lee, Kyeong Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.401-408
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    • 2013
  • Soil moisture is a very important variable in various area of hydrological processes. We predict the soil moisture using a support vector regression. The model is trained and tested using the soil moisture data observed in five sites in the Yongdam dam basin. With respect to soil moisture data of of four sites-Jucheon, Bugui, Sangieon and Ahncheon which are used to train the model, the correlation coefficient between the esimtates and the observed values is about 0.976. As the result of the application to Cheoncheon2 for validating the model, the correlation coefficient between the estimates and the observed values of soil moisture is about 0.835. We compare those results with those of artificial neural network models.

토양수분 예측을 위한 수치지형 인자와 격자 크기에 대한 연구 (The Resolution of the Digital Terrain Index for the Prediction of Soil Moisture)

  • 한지영;김상현;김남원
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2003
  • 여러 가지 토양수분의 예측인자에 대한 해상도 문제를 고찰하였다. 다양한 인자에 대한 민감도는 통계적인 분석을 기반으로 논의되었다. 수치지형모형에서 세 가지 흐름 결정 알고리즘의 해상도에 대한 통계적인 분석이 수행되었다. 단방향 흐름알고리즘으로 계산한 상부사면 기여면적은 다른 두 알고리즘(다방향 알고리즘, DEMON)보다 더욱 민감한 것으로 나타났다. 습윤지수의 경우는 해상도나 계산과정의 변화에 상대적으로 민감도가 미소한 것으로 나타났다.

다양한 지표모형을 활용한 토양수분 예측 성능 평가 연구 (A Study on Soil Moisture Estimates Performance Using Various Land Surface Models)

  • 장예근;신승훈;이태화;장원석;신용철;장근창;천정화;김종건
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권1호
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2022
  • Soil moisture is significantly related to crop growth and plays an important role in irrigation management. To predict soil moisture, various process-based model has been developed and used in the world. Various models (Land surface model) may have different performance depending on the model parameters and structures that causes the different model output for the same modeling condition. In this study, the three land surface models (Noah Land Surface Model, Soil Water Atmosphere Plant, Community Land Model) were used to compare the model performance (soil moisture prediction) and develop the multi-model simulation. At first, the genetic algorithm was used to estimate the optimal soil parameters for each model, and the parameters were used to predict soil moisture in the study area. Then, we used the multi-model approach based on Bayesian model averaging (BMA). The results derived from this approach showed a better match to the measurements than the results from the original single land surface model. In addition, identifying the strengths and weaknesses of the single model and utilizing multi-model methods can help to increase the accuracy of soil moisture prediction.