• Title/Summary/Keyword: small area model

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Bayesian hierarchical model for the estimation of proper receiver operating characteristic curves using stochastic ordering

  • Jang, Eun Jin;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2019
  • Diagnostic tests in medical fields detect or diagnose a disease with results measured by continuous or discrete ordinal data. The performance of a diagnostic test is summarized using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC). The diagnostic test is considered clinically useful if the outcomes in actually-positive cases are higher than actually-negative cases and the ROC curve is concave. In this study, we apply the stochastic ordering method in a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the proper ROC curve and AUC when the diagnostic test results are measured in discrete ordinal data. We compare the conventional binormal model and binormal model under stochastic ordering. The simulation results and real data analysis for breast cancer indicate that the binormal model under stochastic ordering can be used to estimate the proper ROC curve with a small bias even though the sample sizes were small or the sample size of actually-negative cases varied from actually-positive cases. Therefore, it is appropriate to consider the binormal model under stochastic ordering in the presence of large differences for a sample size between actually-negative and actually-positive groups.

The detection and diagnosis model for small scale MSLB accident

  • Wang, Meng;Chen, Wenzhen
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.3256-3263
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    • 2021
  • The main steam line break accident is an essential initiating event of the pressurized water reactor. In present work, the fuzzy set theory and the signal-based fault detection method has been used to detect the occurrence and diagnosis of the location and break area for the small scale MSLB. The models are validated by the AP1000 accident simulator based on MAAP5. From the test results it can be seen that the proposed approach has a rapid and proper response on accident detection and location diagnosis. The method proposed to evaluate the break area shows good performances for small scale MSLB with the relative deviation within ±3%.

HGLM and EB Estimation Methods for Disease Mapping (HGLM과 EB 추정법을 이용한 질병지도의 작성)

  • 김영원;조나경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 2004
  • For the purpose of disease mapping, we consider the four small area estimation techniques to estimate the mortality rate of small areas; direct, Empirical estimation with total moment estimator and local moment estimator, Estimation based on hierarchial generalized linear model. The estimators are compared by empirical study based on lung cancer mortality data from 2000 Annual Reports on the Cause of Death Statistics in Gyeongsang-Do and Jeonla-Do published by Korean National Statistical Office. Also he stability and efficiency of these estimators are investigated in terms of mean square deviation as well as variation of estimates.

Optimization Design on the Sealing Surface Profiles of Contacting Seal Units (접촉식 시일장치의 밀봉 접촉면 형상에 대한 최적화 설계연구)

  • Kim, Chung-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.761-766
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the optimized design profiles between a seal ring and a seal seat of contacting seal units has been proposed based on the FEM computed results. The maximum temperatures, the thermal distortions in axial and radial directions, and maximum contact normal stresses between a seal ring and a seal seat have been analyzed for various contact sealing profiles. The FEM computed results present that the contact area between seal rings and seal seats is very important for a good tribological performance such as low friction heating, low wear, high contact normal stress in a primary sealing components. The seal surface model III in which has a small sealing contact area shows low dilatation of primary sealing components, and high contact stress between a seal ring and a seal seat. This model with small contact surface of a seal ring produces high friction heating and contact stress. But the model III produces very small deformations of contacting sealing surface because of high convection heat transfer by cooling water circulation around the seal ring surface. Thus, the analysis results recommend a short width of a primary sealing unit rather than a big width of contact surfaces of contacting seal units for reducing a leakage and axial deformation of primary seal components.

A study on the derivation of Dimensionless Unit Hydrographs by the Linear model in the small watersheds (선형 Model에 의한 소류역에 있어서의 무차원 단위도 유도에 관한 연구)

  • 이순혁;한중석
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.78-87
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    • 1981
  • This study was attempted to get dimensionless unit hydrograph by linear model which can be used to the estimation of flood for the development of Agricultural water resources and laid emphasis on the application of dimensionless unit hydrographs for the ungaged watersheds by applying linear model. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1.Peak discharge is found to be Qp= CAR (C =0. 895A-o.145) having high significance between peak discharge, Qp and effective rainfall, R within the range of small watershed area, 84 to 470km2. consequently, linearity was acknowledged between rainfall and runoff. Reasonability is confirmed for the derivation of dimensionless unit hydrograph by linear model. 2.Through mathematical analysis, formula for the derivation of dimensionless unit hydrograph was derived. qp--p=(tp--t)n-1[e-(n-1)](tp--t-1) 3.Moment method was used for the evaluation of storage constant, K and shape parameter, n for the derivation of dimensionless unit hydrograph. Storage constant, K is more closely related with the such watershed characteristics as length of main stream and slopes. On the other hand, the shape parameter, n was derived with such watershed characteristics as watershed area, river length, centroid distance of the basin and slopes. 4.Time to peak discharge, Tp could be expressed as Tp=1. 25 (√s/L)0.76 having a high significance. 5.Dimensionless unit hydrographs by linear model stood more closely to the observe dimensionless unit hydrographs On the contrary, dimensionless unit hydrographs by S.C. S. method has much difference in comparison with linear model at the falling limb of hydrographs. 6.Relative errors in the q/qp at the point of 0.8 and 1.2 for the dimensionles ratio by linear model and S. C. S. method showed to be 2.41, 1.57 and 4.0, 3.19 percent respectively to the q/qp of observed dimensionless unit hydrographs. 7.Derivation of dimensionless unit hydrograph by linear model can be accomplished by linking the two empirical formulars for storage constant, K, and shape parameter, n with derivation formular for dimensionless unit hydrograph for the ungaged small watersheds.

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Identifying business ethics components according to business area for small and medium-sized fashion companies (중소 패션기업의 업무영역별 비즈니스 윤리 요소 도출)

  • Kim, Soo-Kyung;Yoh, Eunah
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.415-432
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the present study was to generate a list of business ethics components according to business area for small and medium-sized fashion companies. Based on the literature review, 21 components of business ethics components were identified within five business areas. Ten CEOs(Chief Executive Officers) each participated in an in-depth interview, sharing ethical and unethical cases from their own businesses. Constant comparative analysis was used to generate important business ethics components from those cases. In results, important business ethics components for each business area are: 1) using human-friendly materials, strengthening sustainable technologies, using vegan materials, concerning safe process, and reducing waste in the material production and sourcing area, 2) enhancing an efficiency in design, developing recycle/reuse designs, avoiding to copy designs, and using messages for public interest in the product design area, 3) concerning fair-trade, reducing harmful substance, saving energy, and using ethical supply channels in the distribution and logistics area, 4) acquiring certifications, promoting consumer protection, avoiding exaggerative/false advertisements, and promoting social contributions in the management and marketing area, and 5) promoting workers' rights, complying with the law, and investing on employee educations in the labor management area. All of the ethical and unethical cases of the ten companies have involved aspects of the 21 components, thereby enhancing understandings on how each issue is being seriously considered and/or handled in the small and medium-sized fashion companies. Study findings may provide a basis for development of a research model for quantitative studies and/or educational programs related to business ethics in the fashion industry.

Composition of Fine Mesh Model for Explication of Mesoscale Wind Field (중규모 바람장 해석을 위한 Fine Mesh Model의 구성)

  • 이화운;김유근
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 1995
  • To predict reasonably the movement and the concentration of the pollutants in the coastal area. A simulation model should be prepared considering detail topography with land-sea and the urban effects, and the resolution near the source. The explicit method can not be applied due to the instability of the numerical calculation in high horizontal-grid resolution, while the ADI scheme satisfied with the high horizontal grid resolution and can be used in the fine mesh system which shows the detail topography, atmospheric flow The ADI method which studied the high horizontal grid resolution was excellent. The two dimensional model used in the study using ADI method is proved as a reasonable model to predict the wind field in any small scale area including mountainous coastal urban area.

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A Study on Interior Space Planning of Accommodation Barge for Offshore Plant (해양플랜트 거주용 부선 실내공간계획 연구)

  • Lee, Han-Seok;Kang, Young-Hun;Doe, Geun-Young
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2011
  • This study is on the space planning of accommodation area in accommodation barge, which is a kind of offshore plant supply vessel providing workers with exclusive accommodation facilities. Firstly, the space layout of accommodation area is analyzed using the general arrangement drawings of 10 actually-built accommodation barges currently in use. Secondary, the design guides and standards for living quarters of offshore plants issued from overseas classification societies such as ABS, NORSOK etc. are analyzed and based on the analysis design guidelines for accommodation area of accommodation barge are newly suggested. Thirdly, a model of accommodation area in accommodation barge is set up and space arrangements and movement lines for each deck of the accommodation area of the model are planned. Fourthly, cabins, dinning room and galley, recreation spaces, and sanitary spaces of the accommodation area of the model are planned. The results of this study may be summarized as follows. An accommodation barge has 'barge deck' for small scale work and material storage, and 'accommodation area' for the living and resting of workers. The accommodation area is made of workers accommodation sector, service sector, crew sector and business sector. The interior design guidelines for accommodation area of accommodation barge should be made soon by Korea Register of Shipping.

Development of a Model for Calculating the Construction Duration of Urban Residential Housing Based on Multiple Regression Analysis (다중 회귀분석 기반 도시형 생활주택의 공사기간 산정 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jun-Sang;Kim, Young Suk
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2021
  • As the number of small households (1 to 2 persons per household) in Korea gradually increases, so does the importance of housing supply policies for small households. In response to the increase in small households, the government has been continuously supplying urban housing for these households. Since housing for small households is a sales and rental business similar to apartments and general business facilities, it is important for the building owner to calculate the project's estimated construction duration during the planning stage. Review of literature found a model for estimating the duration of construction of large-scale buildings but not for small-scale buildings such as urban housing for small households. Therefore this study aimed to develop and verify a model for estimating construction duration for urban housing at the planning stage based on multiple regression analysis. Independent variables inputted into the estimation model were building site area, building gross floor area, number of below ground floors, number of above ground floors, number of buildings, and location. The modified coefficient of determination (Ra2) of the model was 0.547. The developed model resulted in a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 171.26 days and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 26.53%. The developed estimation model is expected to provide reliable construction duration calculations for small-scale urban residential buildings during the planning stage of a project.

A Project Competency Assessment Model for Small and Medium Enterprises (중소기업을 위한 프로젝트 수행역량 평가모델)

  • Lim, Hyung-Jeong;Baek, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.32-44
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    • 2012
  • The competitiveness of modern organizations highly depends upon organizational competencies rather than individual competencies. However, most of previous studies on project success focused on individual competencies, such as project manager's competency and leadership. Even though there are some assessment models for the organizational project competencies, they are limited in specific organizations and industries. Furthermore, it is difficult to apply them to domestic companies, especially to small and medium enterprises because some assessment items are inappropriate for them. The purpose of this study is to propose an organizational project competency assessment model that is suitable for evaluating small and medium enterprises. First, the assessment areas and items for each area are determined through extensive investigation of previous models including OPM3, CMMI, and PMBOK. Next, the weights of assessment areas and items are decided by AHP analysis of experts response in the field of the project management. Finally, a project competency assessment model with assessment sheets is proposed. The model proposed in this study might support managers of small and medium enterprises to find pros and cons of project competencies and to establish improvement plans.