• 제목/요약/키워드: slope risk assessment

검색결과 72건 처리시간 0.031초

Risk identification, assessment and monitoring design of high cutting loess slope in heavy haul railway

  • Zhang, Qian;Gao, Yang;Zhang, Hai-xia;Xu, Fei;Li, Feng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2018
  • The stability of cutting slope influences the safety of railway operation, and how to identify the stability of the slope quickly and determine the rational monitoring plan is a pressing problem at present. In this study, the attribute recognition model of risk assessment for high cutting slope stability in the heavy haul railway is established based on attribute mathematics theory, followed by the consequent monitoring scheme design. Firstly, based on comprehensive analysis on the risk factors of heavy haul railway loess slope, collapsibility, tectonic feature, slope shape, rainfall, vegetation conditions, train speed are selected as the indexes of the risk assessment, and the grading criteria of each index is established. Meanwhile, the weights of the assessment indexes are determined by AHP judgment matrix. Secondly, The attribute measurement functions are given to compute attribute measurement of single index and synthetic attribute, and the attribute recognition model was used to assess the risk of a typical heavy haul railway loess slope, Finally, according to the risk assessment results, the monitoring content and method of this loess slope were determined to avoid geological disasters and ensure the security of the railway infrastructure. This attribute identification- risk assessment- monitoring design mode could provide an effective way for the risk assessment and control of heavy haul railway in the loess plateau.

Reliability and risk assessment for rainfall-induced slope failure in spatially variable soils

  • Zhao, Liuyuan;Huang, Yu;Xiong, Min;Ye, Guanbao
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 2020
  • Slope reliability analysis and risk assessment for spatially variable soils under rainfall infiltration are important subjects but they have not been well addressed. This lack of study may in part be due to the multiple and diverse evaluation indexes and the low computational efficiency of Monte-Carlo simulations. To remedy this, this paper proposes a highly efficient computational method for investigating random field problems for slopes. First, the probability density evolution method (PDEM) is introduced. This method has high computational efficiency and does not need the tens of thousands of numerical simulation samples required by other methods. Second, the influence of rainfall on slope reliability is investigated, where the reliability is calculated from based on the safety factor curves during the rainfall. Finally, the uncertainty of the sliding mass for the slope random field problem is analyzed. Slope failure consequences are considered to be directly correlated with the sliding mass. Calculations showed that the mass that slides is smaller than the potential sliding mass (shallow surface sliding in rainfall). Sliding mass-based risk assessment is both needed and feasible for engineered slope design. The efficient PDEM is recommended for problems requiring lengthy calculations such as random field problems coupled with rainfall infiltration.

GIS를 이용한 정적 자연환경인자의 분석에 의한 산사태 취약성 평가 (An Estimation of Landslide's Vulnerability by Analysis of Static Natural Environmental Factors with GIS)

  • Yang, In-Tae
    • 한국지형공간정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지형공간정보학회 2005년도 아시아 태평양 국제 GSIS 학술발표회
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2005
  • The landslide risk assessment process consists of hazard risk assessment and vulnerability analysis. landslide hazard risk is location dependent. Therefore, maps and spatial technologies such as GIS are very important components of the risk assessment process. This paper discusses the advantages of using GIS technology in the risk assessment process and illustrates the benefits through case studies of live projects undertaken. The goal of this study is to generate a map of landslide vulnerability map by analysis of static natural factors with GIS. A simple and efficient algorithm is proposed to generate a landslide potentialities map from DEM and existing maps. The categories of controlling factors for landslides, aspect of slope, soil, vegetation are defined. The weight values for landslide potentialities are calculated from AHP method. Slope and slope-direction are extracted from DEM, and soil informations are extracted from digital soil map. Also, vegetation informations are extracted from digital vegetation map. Finally, as overlaying, landslide potentialities map is made out, and it is verified with landslide place.

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Development of an earthquake-induced landslide risk assessment approach for nuclear power plants

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Hahm, Daegi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권8호
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    • pp.1372-1386
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    • 2018
  • Despite recent advances in multi-hazard analysis, the complexity and inherent nature of such problems make quantification of the landslide effect in a probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of NPPs challenging. Therefore, in this paper, a practical approach was presented for performing an earthquake-induced landslide PSA for NPPs subject to seismic hazard. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, it was applied to Korean typical NPP in Korea as a numerical example. The assessment result revealed the quantitative probabilistic effects of peripheral slope failure and subsequent run-out effect on the risk of core damage frequency (CDF) of a NPP during the earthquake event. Parametric studies were conducted to demonstrate how parameters for slope, and physical relation between the slope and NPP, changed the CDF risk of the NPP. Finally, based on these results, the effective strategies were suggested to mitigate the CDF risk to the NPP resulting from the vulnerabilities inherent in adjacent slopes. The proposed approach can be expected to provide an effective framework for performing the earthquake-induced landslide PSA and decision support to increase NPP safety.

토양 위해성평가 지침에서 피부흡수발암계수 및 비산먼지농도 인자 개선 (Improvement of Dermal Absorption Slope Factor and Suspended Particle Concentration for Soil Risk Assessment Guideline)

  • 이보배;조영태;박정훈
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2023
  • A risk assessment on the heavy metals including arsenic (As), cupper (Cu), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) was investigated by setting exposure routes in agricultural fields. Moreover, the factors requiring improvement in risk assessment were also discussed through a review of the dermal absorption slope factor (SFabs) and total amount of suspended particles (TSP) in the current risk assessment guidelines. Assessment results show that the total cancer risk (TCR) of As through crop and soil ingestion was 1.51E-03 in adults and 6.37E-4 in children, which indicated a carcinogenic risk (exceeding 1E-05). On the other side, the harzard index (HI) was 3.37 in adults and 1.41 in children, which was evaluated as having a non-carcinogenic risk (>1). The carcinogenic purification targets for As were calculated to be 6.84 mg/kg in adults and 6.86 mg/kg in children, while the non-carcinogenic purification targets were calculated to be 13.43 mg/kg for adults and 22.54 mg/kg for children. When applying SFabs 61 of the current guidelines, it appears that there is a carcinogenic risk even though the As exposure concentration is below the area of concern 1 standard (25 mg/kg), which suggestes that additional research on this factor is required for the risk assessment. In order to apply the measured suspended particle concentration to risk assessment, TSP should be derived from PM10 using an appropriate correlation equation. As a result, it is suggested to improve the risk assessment guidelines so that the mesured PM10 value measured in the field can be used directly.

Reliability Based Real-time Slope Stability Assessment

  • Lee, Seung-Rae;Choi, Jung-Chan;Kim, Yun-Ki
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2008
  • A reliability based slope stability assessment method is proposed and examined considering the variation of matric suction which is measured by a real time slope monitoring system. Mean value first order reliability method and advanced first order reliability method are used to calculate reliability indices of a slope. The applicability of methods is compared by applying them to the range of matric suctions measured by the real-time monitoring system. Sensitivity analysis is also performed to examine the contribution of random variables to the reliability index of slope. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a model slope. The results show that the reliability index of slope can be used for efficient slope management by quantifying the risk of slope in real time.

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울산 산사태 위험지역의 강우 침투 안정성 평가 (Slope Stability Assessment on a Landslide Risk Area in Ulsan During Rainfall)

  • 김진욱;신호성
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.27-40
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    • 2016
  • 기존의 강우에 의한 사면붕괴 기준들은 지형학적 특성, 임상특성, 불포화 지반 조건 등을 반영하지 않아 사면 파괴 예측 지표로 활용하기에는 많은 문제점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 강우패턴, 지형학적 특성(경사, 토심), 공학적 특성(불포화 지반 특성), 임상특성(식생 뿌리에 의한 영향, 수목하중) 등을 반영할 수 있는 불포화 사면 안정성 해석 방법을 제안하였다. 뿌리보강과 수목하중을 고려하지 않는 사면의 안전율 평가는 안전율을 과다 평가하는 것으로 나타났다. 제안된 안정성 해석 방법에 의하여 강우에 의한 불포화사면의 안전율에 대한 데이터베이스를 구축하고, 이를 GIS와 연계하여 울주군 산사태위험 지정지역에 적용하여 강우에 대한 사면 위험성을 정량적으로 분석하였다. 산사태위험지역은 강우에 의한 사면의 안전율이 낮거나, 대부분 안전율 감소가 급격하게 발생한 지점의 하류에 위치하고 있음을 알 수 있다.

재해위험도와 보수보강비용을 고려한 급경사지 옹벽의 투자 우선순위 결정방법 연구 (Investment Prioritization Method for Steep Slope Retaining Wall Considering the Disaster Risk and the Repair and Reinforcement Cost)

  • 최재순;신연주;백우현
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제38권12호
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2022
  • 매해 여름, 우리 나라에서는 집중호우로 인해 급경사지 옹벽이 붕괴되는 사고가 발생하고 있다. 2019년 급경사지 위험도 평가결과에 대한 데이터를 보면, 780여개소의 옹벽이 C등급 이하로 이에 대한 대책마련이 시급한 실정이다. 그러나, 이러한 옹벽에 대한 보수보강 예산이 한정적이므로 투자 우선순위에 대한 논의가 필요하다. 이 연구에서는 개정된 급경사지 옹벽의 위험도 평가기준에 대한 고찰과 함께 네트워크 레벨 및 프로젝트 레벨에서의 우선순위방법을 제안하고 이에 대해 6개 옹벽을 대상으로 적용성 검토를 수행하였다. 이때, 프로젝트 레벨에서의 우선순위 결정에는 실제 투입된 보수보강비용자료를 이용하여 우선순위 지수를 결정하였다.

사면관리를 위한 재원의 투자 우선 순위 평가 (Determining the Priority of Investment for Remedial Works of Slopes)

  • 김상규;류지협;구호본;정하익;윤수호
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 1999년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 1999
  • The program ESRAS Ver 0.5 that can assess the risk of slopes by means of fuzzy inference is developed in this paper. The results of assessment involve the degree of stability of slopes, the possible travel distance of the soil mass being failed, and anticipated loss of life and properties. With this program, vulnerable slopes can be managed most effectively and the fuzzy inference is used to express quantitatively the judgement of an expert and the uncertainty of slope stability. The fuzzy rule base is composed of an evaluation list for slope stability together with the experience of an expert. This program has been examined for 88 slopes which have been failed or shown a possibility of failure. With this examination, the standards to assess the stability of slopes can be presented and it is proven that this is particularly useful in determining the priority of investment for remedial works of slopes.

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Real-time unsaturated slope reliability assessment considering variations in monitored matric suction

  • Choi, Jung Chan;Lee, Seung Rae;Kim, Yunki;Song, Young Hoon
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2011
  • A reliability-based slope stability assessment method considering fluctuations in the monitored matric suction was proposed for real-time identification of slope risk. The assessment model was based on the limit equilibrium model for infinite slope failure. The first-order reliability method (FORM) was adopted to calculate the probability of slope failure, and results of the model were compared with Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) results to validate the accuracy and efficiency of the model. The analysis shows that a model based on Advanced First-Order Reliability Method (AFORM) generates results that are in relatively good agreement with those of the MCS, using a relatively small number of function calls. The contribution of random variables to the slope reliability index was also examined using sensitivity analysis. The results of sensitivity analysis indicate that the effective cohesion c' is a significant variable at low values of mean matric suction, whereas matric suction ($u_a-u_w$) is the most influential factor at high mean suction values. Finally, the reliability indices of an unsaturated model soil slope, which was monitored by a wireless matric suction measurement system, were illustrated as 2D images using the suggested probabilistic model.