• Title/Summary/Keyword: skewed distribution

Search Result 225, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Estimating a Skewed Parameter and Reliability in a Skew-Symmetric Double Rayleigh Distribution

  • Son, Hee-Ju;Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1205-1214
    • /
    • 2007
  • We define a skew-symmetric double Rayleigh distribution by a symmetric double Rayleigh distribution, and derive an approximate maximum likelihood estimator(AML) and a moment estimator(MME) of a skewed parameter in a skew-symmetric double Rayleigh distribution, and hence compare simulated mean squared errors of those two estimators. We also compare simulated mean squared errors of two proposed estimators of reliability in two independent skew-symmetric double Rayleigh distributions.

  • PDF

Reliability P(Y

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.37-42
    • /
    • 2006
  • We shall consider an inference of the reliability P(Y

  • PDF

Bayesian analysis of financial volatilities addressing long-memory, conditional heteroscedasticity and skewed error distribution

  • Oh, Rosy;Shin, Dong Wan;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.507-518
    • /
    • 2017
  • Volatility plays a crucial role in theory and applications of asset pricing, optimal portfolio allocation, and risk management. This paper proposes a combined model of autoregressive moving average (ARFIMA), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GRACH), and skewed-t error distribution to accommodate important features of volatility data; long memory, heteroscedasticity, and asymmetric error distribution. A fully Bayesian approach is proposed to estimate the parameters of the model simultaneously, which yields parameter estimates satisfying necessary constraints in the model. The approach can be easily implemented using a free and user-friendly software JAGS to generate Markov chain Monte Carlo samples from the joint posterior distribution of the parameters. The method is illustrated by using a daily volatility index from Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). JAGS codes for model specification is provided in the Appendix.

Measurement Error Model with Skewed Normal Distribution (왜도정규분포 기반의 측정오차모형)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Choi, Jungsoon;Park, Man Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.953-958
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study suggests a measurement error model based on skewed normal distribution instead of normal distribution to identify slope parameter properties in a simple liner regression model. We prove that the slope parameter in a simple linear regression model is underestimated.

Bayesian Analysis of a New Skewed Multivariate Probit for Correlated Binary Response Data

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.613-635
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper proposes a skewed multivariate probit model for analyzing a correlated binary response data with covariates. The proposed model is formulated by introducing an asymmetric link based upon a skewed multivariate normal distribution. The model connected to the asymmetric multivariate link, allows for flexible modeling of the correlation structure among binary responses and straightforward interpretation of the parameters. However, complex likelihood function of the model prevents us from fitting and analyzing the model analytically. Simulation-based Bayesian inference methodologies are provided to overcome the problem. We examine the suggested methods through two data sets in order to demonstrate their performances.

  • PDF

The Design of Median and Range Control Charts for Skewed Distribution Processes (비대칭분석 공정을 위한 중앙치와 범위 관리단의 설계)

  • 김우열;김동묵;정화식;최진섭
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.126-138
    • /
    • 1996
  • The statistical control chart has been proven to be the effective tool most widely used in the manufacturing industry for monitoring and controlling the manufacturing processes. However, the Shewhart chart sometimes gives us false information when the distribution of quality characteristics is skewed. Therefore, it cannot serve as the universal quality control chart if there exist odd events in the manufacturing process. The objective of this study is thus to develop the new technique for constructing the limits of quality control chart based on a sample median and range when the distribution of the underlying population is skewed. This new control chart can effectively solve and manage the processes which have the non-normally distributed quality characteristics frequently occurring in the practical situation.

  • PDF

Monitoring the asymmetry parameter of a skew-normal distribution

  • Hyun Jun Kim;Jaeheon Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.129-142
    • /
    • 2024
  • In various industries, especially manufacturing and chemical industries, it is often observed that the distribution of a specific process, initially having followed a normal distribution, becomes skewed as a result of unexpected causes. That is, a process deviates from a normal distribution and becomes a skewed distribution. The skew-normal (SN) distribution is one of the most employed models to characterize such processes. The shape of this distribution is determined by the asymmetry parameter. When this parameter is set to zero, the distribution is equal to the normal distribution. Moreover, when there is a shift in the asymmetry parameter, the mean and variance of a SN distribution shift accordingly. In this paper, we propose procedures for monitoring the asymmetry parameter, based on the statistic derived from the noncentral t-distribution. After applying the statistic to Shewhart and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts, we evaluate the performance of the proposed procedures and compare it with previously studied procedures based on other skewness statistics.

Binary regression model using skewed generalized t distributions (기운 일반화 t 분포를 이용한 이진 데이터 회귀 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.775-791
    • /
    • 2017
  • We frequently encounter binary data in real life. Logistic, Probit, Cauchit, Complementary log-log models are often used for binary data analysis. In order to analyze binary data, Liu (2004) proposed a Robit model, in which the inverse of cdf of the Student's t distribution is used as a link function. Kim et al. (2008) also proposed a generalized t-link model to make the binary regression model more flexible. The more flexible skewed distributions allow more flexible link functions in generalized linear models. In the sense, we propose a binary data regression model using skewed generalized t distributions introduced in Theodossiou (1998). We implement R code of the proposed models using the glm function included in R base and R sgt package. We also analyze Pima Indian data using the proposed model in R.

Value-at-Risk Models in Crude Oil Markets (원유시장 분석을 위한 VaR 모형)

  • Kang, Sang Hoon;Yoon, Seong Min
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.947-978
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, we investigated a Value-at-Risk approach to the volatility of two crude oil markets (Brent and Dubai). We also assessed the performance of various VaR models (RiskMetrics, GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH models) with the normal and skewed Student-t distribution innovations. The FIGARCH model outperforms the GARCH and IGARCH models in capturing the long memory property in the volatility of crude oil markets returns. This implies that the long memory property is prevalent in the volatility of crude oil returns. In addition, from the results of VaR analysis, the FIGARCH model with the skewed Student-t distribution innovation predicts critical loss more accurately than other models with the normal distribution innovation for both long and short positions. This finding indicates that the skewed Student-t distribution innovation is better for modeling the skewness and excess kurtosis in the distribution of crude oil returns. Overall, these findings might improve the measurement of the dynamics of crude oil prices and provide an accurate estimation of VaR for buyers and sellers in crude oil markets.

  • PDF

A Study on the Rating of the Insureds' Anthropometric Data II Cardiothoracic Ratio (피보험체계측치(被保險體計測値)의 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究) 제2보(第2報) 심흉비(心胸比))

  • Im, Young-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korean life insurance medical association
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.219-232
    • /
    • 1986
  • A study on establishment of normal range of cardiothoracic ratio calculated from photofluorography film of chest by age and sex in a total of the 6,598 insureds was undertaken. The results were as follows: 1. In male group, the frequency distribution of cardiothoracic ratio was skewed weakly to the right in second decade, symmetrical in third and fourth decade, and was skewed weakly to the left in fifth and sixth decade; in female group, it was skewed weakly to the left in second, third and fourth decade, and was skewed weakly to the right in fifth and sixth decade. 2. On assumption that normal range of cardiothoracic ratio should comprise about 85% of all cardiothoracic ratios in each age group of both sexes, the sites of deviation from mean value of cardiothoracic ratio corresponding to maximum and minimum cardiothoracic ratio in the range of about 85% above mentioned were detected by statistical method on the frequency distribution of log tranformed cardiothoracic ratio, and $M{\pm}1.3$ sindicating normal range of cardiothoracic ratio was determined. In male group, normal range of cardiothoracic ratio determined by statistical method is 35-45%, 40-50%, 40-50%, 40-50% and 40-50% succesively in order from second to sixth decade; in female group, 40-50%, 40-50%, 40-50%, 45-55% and 45-55%.

  • PDF