• 제목/요약/키워드: sequential sampling method

검색결과 60건 처리시간 0.028초

순차적 크리깅 근사모델을 이용한 LMTT 이동체의 구조최적설계 (Structural Optimization for LMTT-Mover Using Sequential Kriging Approximation Model)

  • 이권희;박형욱;한동섭;한근조
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2006
  • LMTT는 항만 자동화를 위한 수평 이송이 가능하도록 설계된 셔틀카와 격자구조의 레일에 부착된 스테이터 모듈(stator module)로 구성된 PMLSM(Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor)에 의해 구동된다. 본 연구에서는 순차적 표본방법에 기초하여 구성된 크리깅 근사모델을 이용하여 이동체의 구조최적설계를 수행하였다. 본 논문에서는 셀 요소로 유한요소 모델링된 이동체(mover)의 경량화 설계를 위하여 강도기준을 고려하고, 설계변수로는 가로빔, 세로빔, 휠 빔의 두께로 설정하였다. 순차적 크리깅모델에 의하여 구해진 최적해를 상용프로그램인 GENESIS를 이용하여 구해진 최적해와 비교, 검토하였다.

불확실한 날씨 상태를 고려한 총 송전용량 계산 (Calculation of Total Transfer Capability Considering Uncertainty of Weather)

  • 박진욱;김규호;신동준;김진오
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.199-201
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a method to evaluate the TTC by considering uncertainty of weather. Impact of the contingency on the system performance could not be addressed in a deterministic way because of the random nature of the system equipment outage and the increase of outage probability according to weather condition. For this reasons, probabilistic approach is necessary to realize evaluation of TTC. This method uses a sequential MCS. In sequential simulation, the chronological behavior of the system is simulated by sampling sequence of the system operating states based on the probability distribution of the component state duration. Therefor, MCS is used to accomplish the probabilistic calculation of TTC with consideration of weather condition.

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The inference and estimation for latent discrete outcomes with a small sample

  • Choi, Hyung;Chung, Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.131-146
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    • 2016
  • In research on behavioral studies, significant attention has been paid to the stage-sequential process for longitudinal data. Latent class profile analysis (LCPA) is an useful method to study sequential patterns of the behavioral development by the two-step identification process: identifying a small number of latent classes at each measurement occasion and two or more homogeneous subgroups in which individuals exhibit a similar sequence of latent class membership over time. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimates for LCPA are easily obtained by expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm, and Bayesian inference can be implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, unusual properties in the likelihood of LCPA can cause difficulties in ML and Bayesian inference as well as estimation in small samples. This article describes and addresses erratic problems that involve conventional ML and Bayesian estimates for LCPA with small samples. We argue that these problems can be alleviated with a small amount of prior input. This study evaluates the performance of likelihood and MCMC-based estimates with the proposed prior in drawing inference over repeated sampling. Our simulation shows that estimates from the proposed methods perform better than those from the conventional ML and Bayesian method.

Estimation of Sea Surface Current Vector based on Satellite Ocean Color Image around the Korean Marginal Sea

  • Kim, Eung;Ro, Young-Jae;Ahn, Yu-Hwan
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.816-819
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    • 2006
  • One of the most difficult parameters to measure in the sea is current speed and direction. Recently, efforts are being made to estimate the ocean current vectors by utilizing sequential satellite imageries. In this study, we attempted to estimated sea surface current vector (sscv) by using satellite ocean color imageries of SeaWifs around the Korean Peninsula. This ocean color image data has 1-day sampling interval and spatial resolution of 1x1 km. Maximum cross-correlation method is employed which is aimed to detect similar patterns between sequential images. The estimated current vectors are compared to the surface geostrophic current vectors obtained from altimeter of sea level height data. In utilizing the color imagery data, some limitations and drawbacks exist so that in warm water region where phytoplankton concentration is relatively lower than in cold water region, estimation of sscv is poor and unreliable. On the other hand, two current vector fields agree reasonably well in the Korean South Sea region where high concentration of chlorophyll-a and weak tide is observed. In the future, with ocean color images of shorter sampling interval by COMS satellite, the algorithm and methodology developed in the study would be useful in providing the information for the ocean current around Korean Peninsula.

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순차적 샘플링 방식을 이용한 가상 잡음 레이더 개념 증명 (Proof-of-Concept Research on Pseudo-Random Noise Radar Using Sequential Sampling Method)

  • 김지훈
    • 한국전자파학회논문지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.546-554
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    • 2015
  • 초 광대역 레이더는 숨겨진 물체를 찾는데 많은 장점을 가지고 있기 때문에, 지표 투과 레이더나 수풀 투과 레이더와 같은 투과레이더에 널리 이용되고 있다. 초 광대역 레이더의 종류 중에 하나인 잡음 레이더는 간섭 환경에 강한 특성을 가지고 있다. 그러나 일반적인 잡음레이더는 고속의 아날로그 디지털 변환기가 필요하여 광대역 레이더로 제작하는데 어려움이 있다. 본 논문에서는 간섭에 강한 특징을 가지면서 고속의 아날로그 디지털 변환기가 필요하지 않은 가상 잡음 레이더 시스템이 연구되었다. 또한, 초 광대역 시스템이 저주파에서 구현되었고, 이는 실험으로 성능이 검증되었으며, 제안된 가상잡음 레이더 시스템의 개념도 증명되었다.

자오면 형상을 고려한 원심압축기 임펠러 최적설계 (Design Optimization of a Centrifugal Compressor Impeller Considering the Meridional Plane)

  • 김진혁;최재호;김광용
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, shape optimization based on three-dimensional flow analysis has been performed for impeller design of centrifugal compressor. To evaluate the objective function of an isentropic efficiency, Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations are solved with SST (Shear Stress Transport) turbulence model. The governing equations are discretized by finite volume approximations. The optimization techniques based on the radial basis neural network method are used for the optimization. Latin hypercube sampling as design of experiments is used to generate thirty design points within design space. Sequential quadratic programming is used to search the optimal point based on the radial basis neural network model. Four geometrical variables concerning impeller shape are selected as design variables. The results show that the isentropic efficiency is enhanced effectively from the shape optimization by the radial basis neural network method.

동적임계값을 이용한 인덱싱 알고리즘 (Indexing Algorithm Using Dynamic Threshold)

  • 이문우;박종운;장종환
    • 한국컴퓨터산업학회논문지
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.389-396
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    • 2001
  • 압축된 동영상에서 인덱싱을 위한 장면전환 검출기법에서 기존의 방법들은 실험에 의한 고정 임계값을 설정하여 임계값 보다 크면 장면전환이라고 판단해왔다. 기존의 고정 임계값을 적용시켰을 때는 플래쉬나 카메라 움직임 등에 의한 오검출이 많은 문제점이 있었다. 본 논문에서는 장면 전환 검출을 위한 임계값을 동영상 특성 중, 장면전환점간격을 이용하여 임계값을 동적으로 변화시키는 방법이며, 고정 임계값을 사용하는 경우보다 오검출을 줄이는 향상된 장면전환 검출기법을 제안한다. 실험에서는 동영상 특성을 통계적으로 분석하여, 기존의 고정임계값과 제안한 동적임계값을 사용한 결과 값을 비교분석 하였다. 제안한 방법은 기존의 방법보다 30%정도 오검출이 줄었다.

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망간단괴광상의 매장량평가를 위한 SIS (Sequential Indicator Simulation)의 응용 (The Application of SIS (Sequential Indicator Simulation) for the Manganese Nodule Fields)

  • 박찬영;강정극;전효택
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.493-498
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to develop geostatistical model for evaluating the abundance of deep-sea manganese nodule. The abundance data used in this study were obtained from the KODOS (Korea Deep Ocean Study) area. The variation of nodule abundance was very high within short distance, while sampling methods was very limited. As the distribution of nodule abundance showed non-gaussian, indicator simulation method was used instead of conditional simulation method and/or ordinary kriging. The abundance data were encoded into a series of indicators with 6 cutoff values. They were used to estimate the conditional probability distribution function (cpdf) of the nodule abundance at any unsampled location. The standardized indicator variogram models were obtained according to variogram analysis. This SIS method had the advantage over other traditional techniques such as the turning bands method and ordinary kriging. The estimating values by indicator conditional simulation near high abundance area were more detailed than by ordinary kriging and indicator kriging. They also showed better spatial characteristics of distribution of nodule abundance.

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감귤원에서 가을철 귤응애 성충의 공간분포와 표본조사 (Spatial Dispersion and Sampling of Adults of Citrus Red Mite, Panonychus citri(McGregor) (Acari: Tetranychidae) in Citrus Orchard in Autumn Season)

  • 송정흡;김수남;류기중
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2003
  • 귤응애 성충의 표본추출법을 개발하기 위하여 2개년(2001-2002년)동안 8월부터 11월까지 잎과 열매에 대해 각 조사일에 평균밀도를 조사하였다. 잎과 열매에서 귤응애 성충 밀도의 관계를 시기별로 비교하였으며, Taylor's power law (TPL)와 Iwao's patchiness regression (IPR)을 이용하여 분산지수를 비교하였다. 잎(X)과 열매(Y)에서 귤응애 성충 밀도의 관계는 ln(Y+l)=1.029 ln(X+l)($r^2$=0.80)의 직선적인 관계가 있었으며, 열매가 성숙될수록 잎보다 열매에서 귤응애 밀도가 높아지는 경향이었다. 잎과 열매의 표본조사에서 TPL이 IPR보다 평균-분산 관계를 더 잘 나타내었으며, TPL의 기울기와 절편은 두 표본단위간, 연도간에 차이가 없었다. 정착도 0.25일 때 요방제밀도 2.0, 2.5와 3.0에서의 의사결정을 위한 표본추출조사법을 개발하였으며, 조사에 필요한 최대조사나무수(고정표본크기에서 필요 나무수)는 각각 19, 16과 15주였으며, 이 때의 의사결정임 계값 $T_{critical}$은 각각 554,609와 659였다.,609와 659였다.

휴대폰용 카메라 모듈의 렌즈 시스템에 대한 공차 해석 및 설계 개선에 관한 연구 (Tolerance Analysis and Design Improvement of a Lens System for Mobile Phone Camera)

  • 정상진;최병렬;최동훈;김주호
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1063-1068
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    • 2008
  • A lens system of a camera module for mobile phones is comprised of the composition and design of various shapes of lens. To improve responses such as the modular transfer function (MTF), a lens system should always be constructed by considering uncertainty that can be caused by manufacturing and assembly error. In this study, tolerance optimization using the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) technique is performed. In order to reduce the computational burden of the tolerance optimization process and decrease the influence from numerical noise effectively, we use the Progressive Quadratic Response Surface Modeling (PQRSM), which is one of Sequential Approximate Optimization (SAO) techniques. Using this method, we achieved optimal tolerance for each lens and obtained reliability for satisfying user‘s requirements. In addition, through the design process the manufacturing and assembly cost of a lens system was reduced.

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