• 제목/요약/키워드: risk scenario

검색결과 466건 처리시간 0.028초

가연성물질 저장설비의 사고시 사업장외에 미치는 영향평가 (Offsite Risk Assessment on Flammable Hazard Site)

  • 이동훈;박교식;김태옥;신동민;신서윤
    • 한국위험물학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2015
  • Since the HF release in 2012 in Korea, it became one of the most significant to evaluate consequence to the vicinity of industry facilities handling hazardous materials. BTX plant is selected to assess off-site risk to check whether the facility satisfies the Chemical Control Law by Korea Government. Accident scenarios were listed using process safety information. The scenarios having effect to the off-site were selected and assessed further according to guideline provided by Korea government. Worst case and alternative scenarios including other interested scenarios were evaluated using ALOHA. Each evaluated scenario was assessed further considering countermeasures. The results showed that the facility handling chloric acid is safe enough and needed no further protections at the moment.

DEVELOPMENT OF A FRAMEWORK FOR ASSESSING RADIATION SOURCE TERMS IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • Jae, Moo-Sung;Park, Shane;Kang, Kyung-Min;Jeun, Gyoo-Dong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.197-201
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    • 2001
  • A risk analysis consists of a triplet, , where Si is the scenario identification; Pi is the probability of each scenario; and Xi is the consequences of each scenario. A new computing framework, OMAM (ORIGEN-MAAP4-MMCS), has been developed and applied for assessing the risk of a reference plant as well as radiation source terms using the concept of risk triplet. The result of this study using the OMAM framework presented in this paper, can contribute to producing domestic nuclear power plant's risk data base as well as to establishing severe accident management plans.

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화재안전설비 작동 시나리오에 따른 화재위험분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Fire Risk according to the Operation Scenario of Fire Safety Equipment)

  • 진승현;구인혁;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 가을 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.139-140
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to present basic data for fire risk assessment. In the existing fire risk assessment, the operation of fire safety facilities is not considered. In addition, there is a lack of data on the fire growth rate to predict the spread of fire. Therefore, this study intends to build a fire scenario using fire statistics data. In addition, the fire growth rate is to be derived in consideration of the floor area of burnout and the cause of fire.

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A review of the features, events, and processes and scenario development for Korean risk assessment of a deep geological repository for high-level radioactive waste

  • Kibeom Son;Karyoung Choi;Jaehyeon Yang;Haeram Jeong;Hyungdae Kim;Kunok Chang;Gyunyoung Heo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권11호
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    • pp.4083-4095
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    • 2023
  • Currently, various research institutes in Korea are conducting research to develop a safety case for deep geological repository for high-level radioactive waste (HLW). In the past, low and intermediate-level waste (LILW) was approved by a regulatory body by performing a post-closure safety assessment, but HLW has different disposal characteristics and safety objectives are different. Therefore, in the case of HLW, safety assessment should be performed based on these changed conditions, and specific procedures are also under development. In this paper, the regulatory status of prior research institutes, feature, event and process (FEP) and scenario development cases were investigated for well-organized FEP and scenario development methodologies. In addition, through the results of these surveys, the requirements and procedures necessary for the FEP and scenario development stage during the safety assessment of repository for HLW were presented. These review results are expected to be used to identify the overall status of previous studies in conducting post-closure risk assessment for HLW repository, starting with identifying regulatory requirements, the most basic element.

AHP 분석을 이용한 금융기관 운영리스크 측정 (Operational Risk Measurement of Financial Institutions via AHP)

  • 최승일
    • 경영과학
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • Basel II advanced measurement approaches for operational risk need to estimate the frequency and severity distribution of operational losses. Due to lack of internal loss data, the estimation is impossible in many cases and so external loss data might be used by scaling on asset or gross income. To get around lack of loss data, scenario analysis combined with loss distribution approach can be useful in calculating the capital charge of operational risk. However, scenario based loss distribution approach requires much time and effort. Instead we may apply the analytic hierarchy process to measure operational risk of financial institutions. The analytic hierarchy process combined with loss distribution approach is to estimate the capital charge of operational risk in other areas based on the operational VaR in an area with sufficient loss data. AHP provides a tool for timely measurement of operational risk in this rapidly changing global environment.

염산취급시설의 사고시 사업장외에 미치는 영향평가 (Offsite Risk Assessment on Chloric Acid Release)

  • 박교식
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.781-785
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    • 2016
  • 위험물인 염산을 취급하는 사업장에서 발생할 수 있는 사고를 알아내고 사고시 인근에 미치는 영향을 평가하여 어느 정도 위험이 있는지 알아보며 이에 대한 대비책을 적용하고자 하였다. 취급 화학물질 정보와 공정정보로부터 사고 시나리오를 선정하고 염산 누출시 사업장외로 영향을 미치는 사고 시나리오를 선정하여 환경부의 지침에 따라서 ALOHA를 활용하여서 평가하였다. 최악의 사고 시나리오를 비롯한 사고 시나리오를 평가하였으며 이들의 사고시 피해완화대책도 살펴보았다. 평가결과 염산생산시설은 현재의 안전조치가 충분하여서 추가의 개선대책이 필요하지 않은 것으로 판명되었다.

반도체 산업설비의 사고시 사업장외에 미치는 영향평가 (Offsite Risk Assessment of Incidents in a Semiconductor Facility)

  • 윤여홍;박교식;김태옥;신동민
    • 한국위험물학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2015
  • Semiconductor industry has large number of chemical inventory and is easily exposed to chemical release incidents. Toxic release is one of the most interested area in evaluating consequence to the vicinity of industry facilities handling hazardous materials. Hydrofluoric acid is one of the typical chemical used in semiconductor facility and is selected and toxic release is evaluated to assess the risk impacted to its off-site. Accident scenarios were listed using process safety information. The scenarios having effect to the off-site were selected and assessed further according to guideline provided by Korea government. Worst case and alternative scenarios including other interested scenarios were evaluated using ALOHA. Each evaluated scenario was assessed further considering countermeasures. The results showed that the facility handling hydroflooric acid is safe enough and needed no further protections at the moment.

위험 판단에 대한 실시간 정보전송 연구 (A study of real-time information transmission to the risk decision)

  • 박상준;이종찬
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2019년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.173-174
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 위험상황 인지에 대해 실시간 정보전송에 대한 방안을 연구한다. 이동 객체의 위험상황 시나리오에 대한 분석을 통하여 위험상황이 인지되면 이에 대한 신속한 정보 제공이 관리 시스템에 이루어져야 하며, 상황발생 결과를 모니터링할 수 잇도록 유도한다.

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Development of a human reliability analysis (HRA) guide for qualitative analysis with emphasis on narratives and models for tasks in extreme conditions

  • Kirimoto, Yukihiro;Hirotsu, Yuko;Nonose, Kohei;Sasou, Kunihide
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.376-385
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    • 2021
  • Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has improved its elemental technologies used for assessing external events since the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Accident in 2011. HRA needs to be improved for analyzing tasks performed under extreme conditions (e.g., different actors responding to external events or performing operations using portable mitigation equipment). To make these improvements, it is essential to understand plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance. The Nuclear Risk Research Center (NRRC) of the Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) has developed an HRA guide that compiles qualitative analysis methods for collecting plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance into "narratives," reflecting the latest research trends, and models for analysis of tasks under extreme conditions.

계절별 기상조건에 따른 사고시나리오 모델링 발전방안 - 염소 누출사고를 중심으로 - (Development Plan of Accident Scenario Modeling Based on Seasonal Weather Conditions - Focus on Chlorine Leakage Accident -)

  • 김현섭;전병한
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제18권10호
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    • pp.733-738
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 여러 사업장에서 많이 사용되는 대표적 독성 물질인 염소를 누출 물질로 선정하여 화학사고 통계자료에 따라 사고 발생 빈도가 높은 여름철 기상조건을 인자로 한 대안의 시나리오와 기존의 시행방법인 연평균 기상조건을 인자로 한 대안의 시나리오 비교분석을 통해 개선방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 2014년 1월부터 2016년 12월까지 발생한 총 296건의 화학 사고를 분석한 결과 사계절 중 여름에 가장 많은 사고가 발생하는 것으로 조사되었으며 전체 사고 발생건수의 35.81%를 차지하였다. 실제 염소를 취급하는 사업장을 대상으로 위험성 평가 결과 2016년의 경우 연평균 기상조건하에서 산출된 영향범위는 발생원으로부터 반경 712.4 m, 영향범위 내 주민 수는 20,090 명이였으며, 여름철 평균 기상조건하에서 산출된 영향범위는 발생원으로부터 반경 796.2 m, 영향범위 내 주민 수는 27,143 명으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 결과는 특정 조건하에서 현 대안의 시나리오 상의 영향범위가 포괄할 수 없는 부분이 존재함을 의미한다. 따라서 화학 물질별 특성을 고려한 Case Risk Assessment가 이루어져야 한다는 위험성 평가 제도의 발전방향을 제시한다.