• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk evaluation techniques

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Seismic Performance Evaluation Methodology for Nuclear Power Plants (원전 구조물의 내진성능 평가 방법론 고찰)

  • Ann, Hojune;Kim, Yousok;Kong, Jung Sik;Choi, Youngjin;Choi, Se Woon;Lee, Min Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2018
  • Since 2000, the frequency of earthquakes beyond the 5.0 magnitude quake has been increasing in the Korean peninsula. For instance, the 5.0-magnitude earthquake in Baekryong-do in 2003 has occurred, and recent earthquake with Gyeongju(2016) and Pohang(2017) measured respectively magnitude of 5.2 and 5.8 on the Richter scale. As results, the public concern and anxiety about earthquakes are increasing, and therefore it is necessarily required for social infrastructure to reinforce seismic design and energy production facilities directly related to the national economy and security. This study represents the analysis of seismic performance evaluation methodology such as Seismic Margin Assessment (SMA), Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (SPRA), High Confidence Low Probability Failure (HCLPF) in nuclear power plants in order to develop optimal seismic performance improvement. Current methodologies to evaluate nuclear power plants are also addressed. Through review of the nuclear structure evaluation past and current trend, it contributes to be the basis for the improvement of evaluation techniques on the next generation of nuclear power plants.

Decision Methods for Evaluation of Alternatives (대안 평가를 위한 의사결정 기법)

  • Nam, Kie-Chang;Hong, Sang-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2000
  • For any particular development project or environmental regulations, decision-making criteria is required and conflicts among criteria should be resolved. It is necessary to investigate criteria that government agencies employ in making decisions that influence the environment. The evaluation of alternative development proposals and regulatory measures involves much more than environmental issues. Economic, technical, and social factors should be considered along with environmental impacts when making evaluations. Evaluation should be based on values of all individuals who may be affected by public or private decisions. There are many evaluation methods for determining how individuals and groups value alternative public actions. Numerous weighting-scaling methodologies can be used in such evaluations. These methodologies represent adaptations of multiple-criteria or multiple-attribute decision-making techniques. Environmental risk assessment which accounts for uncertainties in choosing among alternative policies and projects is increasingly used.

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Influence of the root canal filling technique on the success rate of primary endodontic treatments: a systematic review

  • Daniel Feijolo Marconi ;Giovana Siocheta da Silva ;Theodoro Weissheimer;Isadora Ames Silva ;Gabriel Barcelos So;Leonardo Thomasi Jahnke ;Jovito Adiel Skupien ; Marcus Vinicius Reis So ; Ricardo Abreu da Rosa
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.40.1-40.18
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the influence of different obturation techniques compared to cold lateral compaction on the success rate of primary non-surgical endodontic treatments. Materials and Methods: Systematic searches were performed for studies published up to May 17th, 2022 in MEDLINE/PubMed, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, EMBASE, and Grey Literature Reports. Randomized clinical trials and nonrandomized (nonrandomized clinical trials, prospective or retrospective) studies that evaluated the success rate of primary non-surgical endodontic treatments obturated with the cold lateral compaction (control) and other obturation techniques were included. The revised Cochrane risk of bias tools for randomized trials (RoB 2) and nonrandomized studies of interventions (ROBINS-I) were used to evaluate the risk of bias. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) tool was used to evaluate the certainty of evidence. Results: Eleven studies (4 randomized clinical trials (RCTs), 4 prospective, and 3 retrospectives) were included. Two RCTs were classified as having some concerns risk of bias and 2 as a low risk of bias. Two nonrandomized studies were classified as having a critical risk of bias and 5 as having a moderate risk of bias. The GRADE analysis demonstrated a very low to moderate certainty of evidence. Conclusions: This systematic review generally evidenced no differences in the success rate of primary non-surgical endodontic treatments when the cold lateral compaction technique and other obturation techniques are performed. Further well-designed studies are still necessary.

Partial Discharge Detection of High Voltage Switchgear Using a Ultra High Frequency Sensor

  • Shin, Jong-Yeol;Lee, Young-Sang;Hong, Jin-Woong
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.211-215
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    • 2013
  • Partial discharge diagnosis techniques using ultra high frequencies do not affect load movement, because there is no interruption of power. Consequently, these techniques are popular among the prevention diagnosis methods. For the first time, this measurement technique has been applied to the GIS, and has been tested by applying an extra high voltage switchboard. This particular technique makes it easy to measure in the live state, and is not affected by the noise generated by analyzing the causes of faults ? thereby making risk analysis possible. It is reported that the analysis data and the evaluation of the risk level are improved, especially for poor location, and that the measurement of Ultra high frequency (UHF) partial discharge of the real live wire in industrial switchgear is spectacular. Partial discharge diagnosis techniques by using the Ultra High Frequency sensor have been recently highlighted, and it is verified by applying them to the GIS. This has become one of the new and various power equipment techniques. Diagnosis using a UHF sensor is easy to measure, and waveform analysis is already standardized, due to numerous past case experiments. This technique is currently active in research and development, and commercialization is becoming a reality. Another aspect of this technique is that it can determine the occurrences and types of partial discharge, by the application diagnosis for live wire of ultra high voltage switchgear. Measured data by using the UHF partial discharge techniques for ultra high voltage switchgear was obtained from 200 places in Gumi, Yeosu, Taiwan and China's semiconductor plants, and also the partial discharge signals at 15 other places were found. It was confirmed that the partial discharge signal was destroyed by improving the work of junction bolt tightening check, and the cable head reinforcement insulation at 8 places with a possibility for preventing the interruption of service. Also, it was confirmed that the UHF partial discharge measurement techniques are also a prevention diagnosis method in actual industrial sites. The measured field data and the usage of the research for risk assessment techniques of the live wire status of power equipment make a valuable database for future improvements.

Software Testing/Evaluation Strategy and Plan for the Military Information Systems (군용정보시스템의 소프트웨어 시험평가 전략 및 계획 - “차세대 한국형 워게임 모델”중심으로 -)

  • 김화수
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.57-74
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    • 1998
  • This paper is aimed to propose an testing and evaluation strategy and plan in Military Information Systems, especially focusing on development an“New-generation Wargame Model”. Through this research, we concluded that the effective and efficient testing/evaluation strategy/plan can aid the productivity, maintainability, availability, etc., of the Militray Information Systems. Highlights of the proposed testing and evaluation strategy and plan for Military Information Systems are as follows. First, in the unit and module integration testing phase, hybrid of black-box and white-box testing techniques are available for Military Information Systems and progressive approach for module integration phase should be considered because of the complexity. Second, in the system testing phase, integrated module should be tested with respect to the function and performance that should be satisfied with the user requirements, specifications, risk analysis, etc., Third, in the acceptance testing phase, reliability, interoperability, maintainability, availability, integrity, etc., must be considered in the actual or mini-operational environments for testing efficiently and effectively.

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A Study on the Development of a Case-Based Credit Risk Management System of Korean Commercial Banks-Object-Oriented Approch (국내 금융기관의 사례기반 신용위험관리시스템의 개발에 관한 연구 - 객체지향적 접근)

  • 정철용
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 1998
  • We proposed a framework for computer-supported credit evaluation systems for the effective management of credit risks in Korean commercial banks. Especially for medium and small sized companies, credit evaluators used to depend much on past experience rather than formalized principles and rules. Therefore, we applied case-based reasoning. The credit grade of a company is roughly determined by searching for alreadygraded similar companies in terms of usually accepted evaluation items. And then the grade is refined and adjusted by considering additional information about exceptional facts or by reflecting other evaluation results from different methods or techniques. Booch's object-oriented analysis and design method, Visual Basic 5.0 and MS Access 97 are used for the development of this prototype system.

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The Optimal Tracking Error of Active Stock Fund by Smart Beta Strategy (스마트 베타 전략에 따른 액티브 주식형 펀드의 최적 추적오차)

  • Jae-Hyun Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study introduces a methodology for finding the optimal tracking error of active stock funds. Tracking error is commonly used in risk budgeting techniques as a concept of cost for alpha creation. Design/methodology/approach - This study uses a post-optimal smart beta portfolio that maximizes alpha under the given tracking error constraint. Findings - As a result of the analysis, the smart beta strategy that maximized alpha under the constraint of 0.15% daily tracking error shows the highest IR. This means the maximum theoretically achievable efficiency. In this regard, a fixed-effect panel regression analysis is conducted to evaluate the active efficiency of domestic stock funds. In addition to control variables based on previous studies, the effect of tracking error on alpha is analyzed. The alpha used in this model is calculated using the smart beta portfolio according to the size of the constraint of the tracking error as a benchmark. Contrary to theoretical estimates, in Korea, the alpha performance is maximized under a daily tracking error of 0.1%. This indicates that the active efficiency of domestic equity funds is lower than the theoretical maximum. Research implications or Originality - Based on this study, it is expected that it can be used for active risk management of pension funds and performance evaluation of active strategies.

Evaluation and Prediction of Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure Using Imaging Techniques: Value of Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging

  • Keitaro Sofue;Ryuji Shimada;Eisuke Ueshima;Shohei Komatsu;Takeru Yamaguchi;Shinji Yabe;Yoshiko Ueno;Masatoshi Hori;Takamichi Murakami
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2024
  • Despite improvements in operative techniques and perioperative care, post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains the most serious cause of morbidity and mortality after surgery, and several risk factors have been identified to predict PHLF. Although volumetric assessment using imaging contributes to surgical simulation by estimating the function of future liver remnants in predicting PHLF, liver function is assumed to be homogeneous throughout the liver. The combination of volumetric and functional analyses may be more useful for an accurate evaluation of liver function and prediction of PHLF than only volumetric analysis. Gadoxetic acid is a hepatocyte-specific magnetic resonance (MR) contrast agent that is taken up by hepatocytes via the OATP1 transporter after intravenous administration. Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MR imaging (MRI) offers information regarding both global and regional functions, leading to a more precise evaluation even in cases with heterogeneous liver function. Various indices, including signal intensity-based methods and MR relaxometry, have been proposed for the estimation of liver function and prediction of PHLF using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI. Recent developments in MR techniques, including high-resolution hepatobiliary phase images using deep learning image reconstruction and whole-liver T1 map acquisition, have enabled a more detailed and accurate estimation of liver function in gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI.

Current Practices of the Customer-Oriented Web Site Development Methodologies and their Evaluation (고객지향적 웹 사이트 개발 방법론의 현황과 평가)

  • 이선로;김기영
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.15-37
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    • 2004
  • This study attempts to investigate the industrial practices of the web site development methodologies and their impacts on the web site development project performance. Most of Korean web site development firms currently use customized component-based development(CBD) methodologies that have been internally developed. The methodologies generally being accepted by web site developers, however, did not emerge yet. In addition, this study shows that indiscreet applications of various methodologies and techniques might cause negative impacts on the project performance since the web site development projects are also exposed to most of the risk factors identified in the traditional systems development.

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Deep Learning-based Delinquent Taxpayer Prediction: A Scientific Administrative Approach

  • YongHyun Lee;Eunchan Kim
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.30-45
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    • 2024
  • This study introduces an effective method for predicting individual local tax delinquencies using prevalent machine learning and deep learning algorithms. The evaluation of credit risk holds great significance in the financial realm, impacting both companies and individuals. While credit risk prediction has been explored using statistical and machine learning techniques, their application to tax arrears prediction remains underexplored. We forecast individual local tax defaults in Republic of Korea using machine and deep learning algorithms, including convolutional neural networks (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq). Our model incorporates diverse credit and public information like loan history, delinquency records, credit card usage, and public taxation data, offering richer insights than prior studies. The results highlight the superior predictive accuracy of the CNN model. Anticipating local tax arrears more effectively could lead to efficient allocation of administrative resources. By leveraging advanced machine learning, this research offers a promising avenue for refining tax collection strategies and resource management.