• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk evaluation criteria

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Seismic induced damageability evaluation of steel buildings: a Fuzzy-TOPSIS method

  • Shahriar, Anjuman;Modirzadeh, Mehdi;Sadiq, Rehan;Tesfamariam, Solomon
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.695-717
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    • 2012
  • Seismic resiliency of new buildings has improved over the years due to better seismic codes and design practices. However, there is still large number of vulnerable and seismically deficient buildings. It is not economically feasible to retrofit and upgrade all vulnerable buildings, thus there is a need for rapid screening tool. Many factors contribute to the damageability of buildings; this makes seismic evaluation a complex multi-criteria decision making problem. Many of these factors are noncommensurable and involve subjectivity in evaluation that highlights the use of fuzzy-based method. In this paper, a risk-based framework earlier proposed by Tesfamariam and Saatcioglu (2008a) is extended using Fuzzy-TOPSIS method and applied to develop an evaluation and ranking scheme for steel buildings. The ranking is based on damageability that can help decision makers interpret the results and take appropriate decision actions. Finally, the application of conceptual model is demonstrated through a case study of 1994 Northridge earthquake data on seismic damage of steel buildings.

Plan for the Development of a Standardized Dummy for Persons in Need of Rescue in a Confined Space (밀폐공간 구조 요구자를 위한 더미 표준화 개발 방안)

  • Choi, Seo-Yeon;Rie, Dong-Ho;Kim, Hyung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to develop a dummy in an environment similar to the human body, to prepare a standard for evaluation and to present the process of the production in order to evaluate the performance of the robot that can detect the persons needing rescue in a confined space, who are difficult for fire-fighting officials to rescue in case of fire and disaster. As a result, a standard for evaluation was developed and standardized into four parts 'Normal,' 'Risk Stage 1,' 'Risk Stage 2' and 'Risk Stage 3'based on the number of breath cycles, carbon dioxide concentration, core temperature and criteria for hearing to recognize the voice. In addition, in order to produce a dummy, fever, breathing capacity and voice output function were compared and analyzed. This study has significance that it built up basic data of the method of producing the actual dummy, by presenting characteristics and controlling methods using the waterproof insulation heating coil for the function, solenoid valve for the consecutive output of breathing capacity and USB program sound board for voice output.

A Study on the Effectiveness of Risk Assessment for School Food Service Workers (학교 급식종사자를 대상으로 한 위험성평가의 실효성에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Guy-Sun;Yi, Dae-Ho;Jun, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2021
  • Since 2017, the Occupational Safety and Health Act has been fully applied to school food services, and risk assessments have been implemented since 2019. The introduction was slow compared to other industries and was evaluated by non-professional nutritionists, so there was a limit to establishing the system. All schools under the Seoul Metropolitan Office of Education apply the KRAS every year in accordance with the OSH Act for school foodservice and a notice from the Ministry of Employment and Labor. A risk assessment is applied according to legal regulations. On the other hand, the effectiveness of risk assessment has been questioned because the frequency and intensity criteria of the risk are qualitative and subjective. Based on the accident statistics of catering workers, the frequency and intensity criteria of risk were presented quantitatively and objectively, and a risk assessment was conducted by applying a new calculation standard for some work during the catering service and compared with current risk assessment results. The risk was increased, and the improved effectiveness was confirmed by the specific suggestions for improvement. Thus, the pilot evaluation for the entire food service should be expanded, and the feasibility confirmed. The pilot evaluation should be applied to all schools to enhance the effectiveness and operability of the risk assessment.

Evaluation of Inundation Risk Ranking for Urban Sewer Systems using PROMETHEE (PROMETHEE를 이용한 도시 하수관거시스템 침수위험순위 평가)

  • Song, Yang-Ho;Lee, Jung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.388-398
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    • 2012
  • In this study, Entropy method and PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods are applied to estimate the relative inundation risk ranking of the urban sewer systems. Then, the evaluation factors were selected considering two main items to estimate the inundation risk using Entropy and PROMETHEE. In the first item considering topographical and environmental factor, average elevation, average slope, width of area, population, density of conduit were selected as the detailed factors of first item which have influence of the overflow occurrence and damage scale in urban sewer system. And, the relative reliability of sewer network was considered as the second item which can quantify the inundation appearance. Then, the reliability is estimated considering the number of overflow nodes and overflow volume simultaneously. Therefore, the suggested inundation risk evaluation method can be used as the evaluation index for sewer networks and contribute to decision making for the sewer rehabilitation policy.

Differences in Prevalence and Risk Factors of the Metabolic Syndrome by Gender in Type 2 Diabetic Patients (제 2형 당뇨병환자 성별 대사증후군 유병률과 위험요인 차이)

  • Kim, Hee-Seung;Jung, Sun-Ha
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.3-9
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to assess the difference between prevalence and risk factors of the metabolic syndrome(MS) by gender in type2 diabetic patients. Method: 108 participants(males 69, females 39) were recruited from the endocrinology outpatient department of a tertiary care hospital in an urban city. MS was defined by a third report of the national cholesterol education program (NCEP) expert panel on detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood cholesterol in adults(Adult Treatment Panel III)(ATP III), and abdominal obesity was determined by Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference. Results: The prevalence of MS by definition of NCEP-ATP III and the Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference was 39.3% in males and 66.7% in females type2 diabetic patients. The abdominal obesity prevalence was seen in 44.9% of males and in 79.5% of females patients. The prevalence of low HDL-cholesterolemia in serum was 26.2% in male, 52.8% in female type2 diabetic patients. Conclusion: These results show that nurses should focus on female diabetic patients for preventing MS.

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Analysis of Metabolic Syndrome Risk Factors among the Menopausal Women in Her Fifties (50대 폐경 여성의 대사증후군 위험인자 분석)

  • Shim, Hye-Sun;Kim, Hee-Seung;Kim, Joo-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.58-62
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to assess the difference of metabolic syndrome (MS) risk factors according to the MS diagnosis in the age of fifties women. Methods: Forty-two subjects (non metabolic syndrome 30, metabolic syndrome 12) were recruited from the health promotion center of a tertiary care hospital in an urban city. MS was defined by third report of the national cholesterol education program (NCEP) expert panel on detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood cholesterol in adults (Adult Treatment Panel III) (ATP III), and abdominal obesity was determined by Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference. Results: The prevalence of MS by definition of NCEP-ATP III and Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference was 28.6% in the age of fifties women. The educational level and the median HDL-cholesterol were significantly lower in the MS patient group than in the Non-MS group. The median of weight, triglyceride, and fasting glucose were significantly higher in the MS patient group than in the Non-MS group. Conclusion: These results indicate that the nursing care should be focused on weight, triglyceride, HDL-cholesterol, and fasting glucose of the MS patients in the fifties women.

Estimating Cumulative Distribution Functions with Maximum Likelihood to Sample Data Sets of a Sea Floater Model (해상 부유체 모델의 표본 데이터에 대해서 최대우도를 갖는 누적분포함수 추정)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin;Yang, Won-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 2013
  • This paper describes evaluation procedures and experimental results for the estimation of Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDF) giving best-fit to the sample data in the Probability based risk Evaluation Techniques (PET) which is to assess the risks of a small-sized sea floater. The CDF in the PET is to provide the reference values of risk acceptance criteria which are to evaluate the risk level of the floater and, it can be estimated from sample data sets of motion response functions such as Roll, Pitch and Heave in the floater model. Using Maximum Likelihood Estimates and with the eight kinds of regulated distribution functions, the evaluation tests for the CDF having maximum likelihood to the sample data are carried out in this work. Throughout goodness-of-fit tests to the distribution functions, it is shown that the Beta distribution is best-fit to the Roll and Pitch sample data with smallest averaged probability errors $\bar{\delta}(0{\leq}\bar{\delta}{\leq}1.0)$ of 0.024 and 0.022, respectively and, Gamma distribution is best-fit to the Heave sample data with smallest $\bar{\delta}$ of 0.027. The proposed method in this paper can be expected to adopt in various application areas estimating best-fit distributions to the sample data.

Validation of Ultrasound and Computed Tomography-Based Risk Stratification System and Biopsy Criteria for Cervical Lymph Nodes in Preoperative Patients With Thyroid Cancer

  • Young Hun Jeon;Ji Ye Lee;Roh-Eul Yoo;Jung Hyo Rhim;Kyung Hoon Lee;Kyu Sung Choi;Inpyeong Hwang;Koung Mi Kang;Ji-hoon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.912-923
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    • 2023
  • Objective: This study aimed to validate the risk stratification system (RSS) and biopsy criteria for cervical lymph nodes (LNs) proposed by the Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR). Materials and Methods: This retrospective study included a consecutive series of preoperative patients with thyroid cancer who underwent LN biopsy, ultrasound (US), and computed tomography (CT) between December 2006 and June 2015. LNs were categorized as probably benign, indeterminate, or suspicious according to the current US- and CT-based RSS and the size thresholds for cervical LN biopsy as suggested by the KSThR. The diagnostic performance and unnecessary biopsy rates were calculated. Results: A total of 277 LNs (53.1% metastatic) in 228 patients (mean age ± standard deviation, 47.4 years ± 14) were analyzed. In US, the malignancy risks were significantly different among the three categories (all P < 0.001); however, CT-detected probably benign and indeterminate LNs showed similarly low malignancy risks (P = 0.468). The combined US + CT criteria stratified the malignancy risks among the three categories (all P < 0.001) and reduced the proportion of indeterminate LNs (from 20.6% to 14.4%) and the malignancy risk in the indeterminate LNs (from 31.6% to 12.5%) compared with US alone. In all image-based classifications, nodal size did not affect the malignancy risks (short diameter [SD] ≤ 5 mm LNs vs. SD > 5 mm LNs, P ≥ 0.177). The criteria covering only suspicious LNs showed higher specificity and lower unnecessary biopsy rates than the current criteria, while maintaining sensitivity in all imaging modalities. Conclusion: Integrative evaluation of US and CT helps in reducing the proportion of indeterminate LNs and the malignancy risk among them. Nodal size did not affect the malignancy risk of LNs, and the addition of indeterminate LNs to biopsy candidates did not have an advantage in detecting LN metastases in all imaging modalities.

Evaluation of Inland Inundation Risk in Urban Area using Fuzzy AHP (Fuzzy AHP 기법을 이용한 도시지역의 내수침수위험도 평가)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Park, Yei Jun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2014
  • This study presented how to evaluate the inland inundation risk considering the characteristics of inland flood. Fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), which can deal with the uncertainty or ambiguousness of the decision-making process, was used to estimate the inundation risk. The criteria used for inland inundation risk include the physical index, social index and inland flood. Each index contains three detailed indicators then total nine indicators were employed in this study. The inundation risk evaluation was carried out for each node (manhole) within the drainage system, not to the administrative extent, which enabled us to point out nodes with high risk. The proposed Fuzzy AHP was applied to Geoje district in Busan. The results indicated that the junction of Oncheoncheon and Geojecheon has high risk which is consistent with the fact that this junction has already experienced floods in the past. The proposed method can be used for evaluating inland inundation risk and preparing flood prevention plans in inland flood-prone urban areas.

Risk Assessment of the Accident Place Types Considering the Coastal Activity Time (연안활동시간을 고려한 장소유형별 위험도 평가)

  • Seo, Heui Jung;Park, Seon Jung;Park, Seol Hwa;Park, Seung Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2022
  • The Korea Coast Guard evaluates the risk of major coastal activity places to prevent coastal accidents, and patrols and manages them based on that, but it is not responding properly to the continuously increasing number of coastal accidents. The reason for this is that, despite the gradual expansion of coastal activity places, there is a lack of manpower to manage and supervise them, resulting in blind spots in coastal accident safety management. Therefore, in order to solve this problem, it is necessary to prepare more efficient and effective measures that check and supplement the current coastal safety management system. Coastal accidents show different characteristics of accident causes and places due to differences in the activity characteristics of users according to time. As a result of analyzing coastal accident data (2017~2021), the frequency of daytime accidents is high in the case of sea rock, beach, and offshore, where family leisure activities are frequent. In the case of wharf, tidal flat and bridge, where accidents due to drinking, disorientation, and suicide mainly occur, the frequency of accidents at night is high. In addition, there were more accidents on weekends when the number of users increased compared to weekdays. This trend indicates that the user's temporal activity characteristics must be reflected in the risk assessment of coastal activity places. Therefore, in this study, based on the case of coastal accidents, the characteristics of accidents at coastal activity places according to time were identified, and the criteria were presented for risk evaluation by grading them. It is expected that it will be possible to lay the foundation for reducing coastal accidents by efficiently managing and supervising coastal activity places over time using the presented evaluation criteria.