• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk assessment model

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The Assessment of Water Pollution Accident on Dam Watershed using GIS (GIS에 의한 댐 유역 수질오염사고 평가)

  • Myeong, Gwang Hyeun;Jeong, Jong Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.489-496
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    • 2011
  • The water pollution such as oil spill from stream and river because of car accidents have been frequent cases in the watershed of Dam. However we don't have any simulation methods about flow modeling on the watershed and stream tree. In this study aims to analyze water pollution accidents area on impact range for ANDONG-Dam. The focused watershed and the risk range of path analysis model was designed by GIS database. The frequency of transportation accidents which may occur from road accidents in the level of quantitative and qualitative analysis to map flow analysis using ArcHydro Model and Open Geospatial Consortium(OGC) API. and the path way from the accident point to the reservoir stayed on the path was simulated. The area of risk accessment index was displayed with cell and grid of dam area.

Non-chemical Risk Assessment for Lifting and Low Back Pain Based on Bayesian Threshold Models

  • Pandalai, Sudha P.;Wheeler, Matthew W.;Lu, Ming-Lun
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2017
  • Background: Self-reported low back pain (LBP) has been evaluated in relation to material handling lifting tasks, but little research has focused on relating quantifiable stressors to LBP at the individual level. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) Composite Lifting Index (CLI) has been used to quantify stressors for lifting tasks. A chemical exposure can be readily used as an exposure metric or stressor for chemical risk assessment (RA). Defining and quantifying lifting nonchemical stressors and related adverse responses is more difficult. Stressor-response models appropriate for CLI and LBP associations do not easily fit in common chemical RA modeling techniques (e.g., Benchmark Dose methods), so different approaches were tried. Methods: This work used prospective data from 138 manufacturing workers to consider the linkage of the occupational stressor of material lifting to LBP. The final model used a Bayesian random threshold approach to estimate the probability of an increase in LBP as a threshold step function. Results: Using maximal and mean CLI values, a significant increase in the probability of LBP for values above 1.5 was found. Conclusion: A risk of LBP associated with CLI values > 1.5 existed in this worker population. The relevance for other populations requires further study.

Banding the World Together; The Global Growth of Control Banding and Qualitative Occupational Risk Management

  • Zalk, David M.;Heussen, Ga Henri
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.375-379
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    • 2011
  • Control Banding (CB) strategies to prevent work-related illness and injury for 2.5 billion workers without access to health and safety professionals has grown exponentially this last decade. CB originates from the pharmaceutical industry to control active pharmaceutical ingredients without a complete toxicological basis and therefore no occupational exposure limits. CB applications have broadened into chemicals in general - including new emerging risks like nanomaterials and recently into ergonomics and injury prevention. CB is an action-oriented qualitative risk assessment strategy offering solutions and control measures to users through "toolkits". Chemical CB toolkits are user-friendly approaches used to achieve workplace controls in the absence of firm toxicological and quantitative exposure information. The model (technical) validation of these toolkits is well described, however firm operational analyses (implementation aspects) are lacking. Consequentially, it is often not known if toolkit use leads to successful interventions at individual workplaces. This might lead to virtual safe workplaces without knowing if workers are truly protected. Upcoming international strategies from the World Health Organization Collaborating Centers request assistance in developing and evaluating action-oriented procedures for workplace risk assessment and control. It is expected that to fulfill this strategy's goals, CB approaches will continue its important growth in protecting workers.

Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

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The Application of Safety Impact Assessment to Tunnel Construction (터널공사에서의 안전영향평가의 적용)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Choi, Bong-Joon;Seo, Jong-Won
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.545-548
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the concept of safety impact assessment to achieve 'Design-for-Safety' in design phase is introduced. For this purpose, safety impact assessment model was devised and a methodology using the risk-based safety impact assessment approach for NATM of tunnel projects is suggested. The suggested methodology includes safety information survey, classification of safety impact factors caused by design and construction, and quantitative estimation of magnitude and frequency of safety impact factors. A real-world case study on the safety impact assessment of a tunnel construction project is also provided in the paper.

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A Study on Web Vulnerability Risk Assessment Model Based on Attack Results: Focused on Cyber Kill Chain (공격 결과 기반의 웹 취약점 위험도 평가 모델 연구: 사이버 킬체인 중심으로)

  • Jin, Hui Hun;Kim, Huy Kang
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.779-791
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    • 2021
  • Common web services have been continuously targeted by hackers due to an access control policy that must be allowed to an unspecified number of people. In order to cope with this situation, companies regularly check web vulnerabilities and take measures according to the risk of discovered vulnerabilities. The risk of these web vulnerabilities is calculated through preliminary statistics and self-evaluation of domestic and foreign related organizations. However, unlike static diagnosis such as security setting and source code, web vulnerability check is performed through dynamic diagnosis. Even with the same vulnerability item, various attack results can be derived, and the degree of risk may vary depending on the subject of diagnosis and the environment. In this respect, the predefined risk level may be different from that of the actual vulnerability. In this paper, to improve this point, we present a web vulnerability risk assessment model based on the attack result centering on the cyber kill chain.

Prediction of Exposure and Risks of Environmental Pollutants via Emission Assessment and Multimedia Transport Modeling (배출량산정모델과 다중매질모델링을 이용한 환경오염물질의 노출평가 및 위해도 평가)

  • Kim, Jong Ho;Kwak, Byoung Kyu;Shin, Chee Burm;Jeon, Won Jin;Yi, Jongheop
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.248-257
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, human exposure and risk of environmental pollutants were predicted using an emission assessment model and multimedia fate model. Eight environmental pollutants, acetaldehyde, acrylonitrile, aniline, benzene, carbon tetrachloride, dichloromethane, formaldehyde and vinyl chloride, were selected for the risk assessment in an urban and industrial area in Korea. The emission rate of target pollutants were estimated after considering a variety of point and non-point emission sources including geographical information. A spatially refined multimedia fate model was applied to predict the environmental concentration and fate of pollutants. Hazard data of target materials were obtained from the IRIS(Integrated Risk Information System) database. Using the modeling results with hazard data, the human risks were assessed. Modeling results demonstrate that the considerable risks were observed for several pollutants.

A study for Cybersecurity Risk Management by Blockade and Defense Level Analysis (봉쇄와 보안장비 수준 기반 정보보호 위험관리 수준 측정 연구)

  • Han, Choong-Hee;Han, ChangHee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.1261-1266
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    • 2021
  • Existing information security risk assessment methods focus on evaluating the vulnerability of information assets. However, when the form of information assets changes and new types of information assets emerge, there is a limitation in that the evaluation standards for them are also added or deleted. Existing methods have insufficient research on the path through which cyber threats are introduced. In particular, there is very little research on blocking the inflow path for web-based information systems with public IPs. Therefore, this paper introduces the main research contents of the BDLA (Blockade and Defense Level Analysis)-based information security risk assessment model. In addition, by applying the BDLA-based information security risk assessment model, the information security risk level was studied by measuring the blockade level and security equipment level of 17 public institutions.

A Study on the Development of Marine Traffic Risk Model for Mariners (선박운항자 해상교통위험도 모형 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2012
  • Although Korea's coastal areas increasingly experience marine accident due to frequent ship encounters, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is a no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk for the given situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended marine traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now evaluated by foreign models. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic model catering to and reflecting the characteristics of Korea's costal areas as well as those of vessel navigator's risk. We can evaluate subjective risks using this model, and can establish the model output as maritime risk exposure assessment system. We have performed analyses of variance and multiple comparison to identify the factor affecting subjective risks. As a result, measurable subjective risks of maritime traffic accident based on our suggested model can be expressed using the maritime risk exposure assessment system with geographic information system.

Development of flood hazard and risk maps in Bosnia and Herzegovina, key study of the Zujevina River

  • Emina, Hadzic;Giuseppe Tito, Aronica;Hata, Milisic;Suvada, Suvalija;Slobodanka, Kljucanin;Ammar, Saric;Suada, Sulejmanovic;Fehad, Mujic
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.505-524
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    • 2022
  • Floods represent extreme hydrological phenomena that affect populations, environment, social, political, and ecological systems. After the catastrophic floods that have hit Europe and the World in recent decades, the flood problem has become more current. At the EU level, a legal framework has been put in place with the entry into force of Directive 2007/60/EC on Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive). Two years after the entry into force of the Floods Directive, Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), has adopted a Regulation on the types and content of water protection plans, which takes key steps and activities under the Floods Directive. The "Methodology for developing flood hazard and risk maps" (Methodology) was developed for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, following the methodology used in the majority of EU member states, but with certain modifications to the country's characteristics. Accordingly, activities for the preparation of the Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment for each river basin district were completed in 2015 for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Activities on the production of hazard maps and flood risk maps are in progress. The results of probable climate change impact model forecasts should be included in the preparation of the Flood Risk Management Plans, which is the subsequent phase of implementing the Flood Directive. By the foregoing, the paper will give an example of the development of the hydrodynamic model of the Zujevina River, as well as the development of hazard and risk maps. Hazard and risk maps have been prepared for medium probability floods of 1/100 as well as for high probability floods of 1/20. The results of LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) recording were used to create a digital terrain model (DMR). It was noticed that there are big differences between the flood maps obtained by recording LiDAR techniques in relation to the previous flood maps obtained using georeferenced topographic maps. Particular attention is given to explaining the Methodology applied in Bosnia and Herzegovina.