• 제목/요약/키워드: risk assessment model

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GIS에 의한 댐 유역 수질오염사고 평가 (The Assessment of Water Pollution Accident on Dam Watershed using GIS)

  • 명광현;정종철
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.489-496
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    • 2011
  • The water pollution such as oil spill from stream and river because of car accidents have been frequent cases in the watershed of Dam. However we don't have any simulation methods about flow modeling on the watershed and stream tree. In this study aims to analyze water pollution accidents area on impact range for ANDONG-Dam. The focused watershed and the risk range of path analysis model was designed by GIS database. The frequency of transportation accidents which may occur from road accidents in the level of quantitative and qualitative analysis to map flow analysis using ArcHydro Model and Open Geospatial Consortium(OGC) API. and the path way from the accident point to the reservoir stayed on the path was simulated. The area of risk accessment index was displayed with cell and grid of dam area.

Non-chemical Risk Assessment for Lifting and Low Back Pain Based on Bayesian Threshold Models

  • Pandalai, Sudha P.;Wheeler, Matthew W.;Lu, Ming-Lun
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2017
  • Background: Self-reported low back pain (LBP) has been evaluated in relation to material handling lifting tasks, but little research has focused on relating quantifiable stressors to LBP at the individual level. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) Composite Lifting Index (CLI) has been used to quantify stressors for lifting tasks. A chemical exposure can be readily used as an exposure metric or stressor for chemical risk assessment (RA). Defining and quantifying lifting nonchemical stressors and related adverse responses is more difficult. Stressor-response models appropriate for CLI and LBP associations do not easily fit in common chemical RA modeling techniques (e.g., Benchmark Dose methods), so different approaches were tried. Methods: This work used prospective data from 138 manufacturing workers to consider the linkage of the occupational stressor of material lifting to LBP. The final model used a Bayesian random threshold approach to estimate the probability of an increase in LBP as a threshold step function. Results: Using maximal and mean CLI values, a significant increase in the probability of LBP for values above 1.5 was found. Conclusion: A risk of LBP associated with CLI values > 1.5 existed in this worker population. The relevance for other populations requires further study.

Banding the World Together; The Global Growth of Control Banding and Qualitative Occupational Risk Management

  • Zalk, David M.;Heussen, Ga Henri
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.375-379
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    • 2011
  • Control Banding (CB) strategies to prevent work-related illness and injury for 2.5 billion workers without access to health and safety professionals has grown exponentially this last decade. CB originates from the pharmaceutical industry to control active pharmaceutical ingredients without a complete toxicological basis and therefore no occupational exposure limits. CB applications have broadened into chemicals in general - including new emerging risks like nanomaterials and recently into ergonomics and injury prevention. CB is an action-oriented qualitative risk assessment strategy offering solutions and control measures to users through "toolkits". Chemical CB toolkits are user-friendly approaches used to achieve workplace controls in the absence of firm toxicological and quantitative exposure information. The model (technical) validation of these toolkits is well described, however firm operational analyses (implementation aspects) are lacking. Consequentially, it is often not known if toolkit use leads to successful interventions at individual workplaces. This might lead to virtual safe workplaces without knowing if workers are truly protected. Upcoming international strategies from the World Health Organization Collaborating Centers request assistance in developing and evaluating action-oriented procedures for workplace risk assessment and control. It is expected that to fulfill this strategy's goals, CB approaches will continue its important growth in protecting workers.

Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 Asia Navigation Conference
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

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터널공사에서의 안전영향평가의 적용 (The Application of Safety Impact Assessment to Tunnel Construction)

  • 김병식;최봉준;서종원
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.545-548
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the concept of safety impact assessment to achieve 'Design-for-Safety' in design phase is introduced. For this purpose, safety impact assessment model was devised and a methodology using the risk-based safety impact assessment approach for NATM of tunnel projects is suggested. The suggested methodology includes safety information survey, classification of safety impact factors caused by design and construction, and quantitative estimation of magnitude and frequency of safety impact factors. A real-world case study on the safety impact assessment of a tunnel construction project is also provided in the paper.

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공격 결과 기반의 웹 취약점 위험도 평가 모델 연구: 사이버 킬체인 중심으로 (A Study on Web Vulnerability Risk Assessment Model Based on Attack Results: Focused on Cyber Kill Chain)

  • 진희훈;김휘강
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.779-791
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    • 2021
  • 보통의 웹 서비스는 불특정 다수에게 허용을 해야하는 접근 통제 정책으로 인하여, 지속적으로 해커들의 공격 대상이 되어 왔다. 이러한 상황에 대응하고자 기업들은 주기적으로 웹 취약점 점검을 실시하고, 발견된 취약점의 위험도에 따라 조치를 취하고 있다. 이러한 웹 취약점 위험도는 국내외 유관기관의 사전 통계 및 자체적인 평가를 통해 산정되어 있다. 하지만 웹 취약점 점검은 보안설정 및 소스코드 등의 정적 진단과는 달리 동적 진단으로 이루어진다. 동일한 취약점 항목일지라도 다양한 공격 결과를 도출할 수 있으며, 진단 대상 및 환경에 따라 위험도가 달라질 수 있다. 이러한 점에서 사전 정의된 위험도는 실제 존재하는 취약점의 위험도와는 상이할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 점을 개선하고자 사이버 킬체인 중심으로 공격 결과 기반의 웹 취약점 위험도 평가 모델을 제시한다.

배출량산정모델과 다중매질모델링을 이용한 환경오염물질의 노출평가 및 위해도 평가 (Prediction of Exposure and Risks of Environmental Pollutants via Emission Assessment and Multimedia Transport Modeling)

  • 김종호;곽병규;신치범;전원진;이종협
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.248-257
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 배출량산정모델과 다중매질모델을 활용하여 환경오염물질의 노출도를 예측하였으며 위해도를 평가하였다. 연구대상 화학물질로써 8종(아세트알데히드(acetaldehyde), 아크릴로니트릴(acrylonitrile), 아닐린(aniline), 벤젠(benzene), 사염화탄소(carbon tetrachloride), 디클로로메탄(dichloromethane), 포름알데히드(formaldehyde), 염화비닐(vinyl chloride))의 물질을 선택하였으며, 대상지역은 공단지역을 포함하는 도심 지역을 선택하였다. 배출량은 지리지형정보를 활용하여 점배출원과 비점배출원을 동시에 고려하여 산정하였으며, 다중매질모델은 지역적 특성을 반영할 수 있는 모델을 선택하였다. 유해성 자료는 미국 환경청의 IRIS(Integrated Risk Information System) 유해성 데이터베이스를 활용하였다. 모델링 자료와 유해성 자료를 이용하여 위해성을 평가한 결과, 물질별로 위해도가 높은 지역을 발견할 수 있었으며 우선적으로 관리해야 할 물질을 선별할 수 있었다.

봉쇄와 보안장비 수준 기반 정보보호 위험관리 수준 측정 연구 (A study for Cybersecurity Risk Management by Blockade and Defense Level Analysis)

  • 한충희;한창희
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.1261-1266
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    • 2021
  • 기존의 정보보호 위험평가 방법은 정보자산의 취약성을 평가하는데 중점을 둔다. 그러나 정보자산의 형태가 바뀌고 새로운 유형의 정보자산이 나오면 그에 대한 평가기준도 추가하거나 삭제하는 등의 보완을 거쳐야 하는 한계가 있다. 기존 방법들은 사이버 위협이 유입되는 경로에 연구가 미흡하다. 특히, 공인 IP를 가지고 있는 웹기반 정보시스템을 대상으로 유입되는 유입경로의 봉쇄를 위한 연구가 매우 부족한 상황이다. 이에 본 논문에서는 BDLA (Blockade and Defense Level Analysis) 기반 정보보호 위험평가 모델의 주요 연구내용을 소개 한다. 또한, BDLA기반 정보보호 위험평가 모델을 적용하여 17개 공공기관의 봉쇄수준과 보안장비 수준 측정을 통하여 정보보호 위험 수준을 연구하였다.

선박운항자 해상교통위험도 모형 개발에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Development of Marine Traffic Risk Model for Mariners)

  • 허태영;박영수;김종성
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2012
  • 최근 우리나라 연안 해역에서는 선박 간의 빈번한 조우 상황, 선박 교통량 증대 및 대형화로 인해 해양사고의 잠재 위험이 증가하고 있지만 이러한 통항 선박의 위험도를 평가할 수 있는 모형은 개발되어 있지 않는 실정이다. 또한 개정된 해상교통안전법에서는 해상교통 환경평가를 실시하도록 요구하고 있지만 이 진단 또한 외국평가모델에 의해 평가를 하고 있어 실제 우리나라 연안 해역 특성 및 선박운항자의 위험도 인식이 반영된 모델이 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 설문분석을 통해 선박운항자가 운항 중 처해 있는 상황에 대하여 선박운항자가 느끼는 주관적 위험도 인식에 대한 모형을 개발하고 해상위험도 표출시스템에 이식하기 위한 연구이다. 다양한 요인들에 대해 분산 분석과 다중비교 분석을 통해 주관적 위험도에 대한 요인들의 영향력을 통계적으로 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 분석결과를 토대로 해상교통위험도를 측정할 수 있는 모형을 개발하고, 이를 통해 지리정보시스템 기반의 해상 위험도 표출 시스템에 적용하여 운항중인 선박에 대한 위험정도를 화면상에 표출하여 선박운항자들로 하여금 미리 위험을 회피하고자 하는데 활용될 수 있다.

Development of flood hazard and risk maps in Bosnia and Herzegovina, key study of the Zujevina River

  • Emina, Hadzic;Giuseppe Tito, Aronica;Hata, Milisic;Suvada, Suvalija;Slobodanka, Kljucanin;Ammar, Saric;Suada, Sulejmanovic;Fehad, Mujic
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.505-524
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    • 2022
  • Floods represent extreme hydrological phenomena that affect populations, environment, social, political, and ecological systems. After the catastrophic floods that have hit Europe and the World in recent decades, the flood problem has become more current. At the EU level, a legal framework has been put in place with the entry into force of Directive 2007/60/EC on Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive). Two years after the entry into force of the Floods Directive, Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), has adopted a Regulation on the types and content of water protection plans, which takes key steps and activities under the Floods Directive. The "Methodology for developing flood hazard and risk maps" (Methodology) was developed for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, following the methodology used in the majority of EU member states, but with certain modifications to the country's characteristics. Accordingly, activities for the preparation of the Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment for each river basin district were completed in 2015 for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Activities on the production of hazard maps and flood risk maps are in progress. The results of probable climate change impact model forecasts should be included in the preparation of the Flood Risk Management Plans, which is the subsequent phase of implementing the Flood Directive. By the foregoing, the paper will give an example of the development of the hydrodynamic model of the Zujevina River, as well as the development of hazard and risk maps. Hazard and risk maps have been prepared for medium probability floods of 1/100 as well as for high probability floods of 1/20. The results of LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) recording were used to create a digital terrain model (DMR). It was noticed that there are big differences between the flood maps obtained by recording LiDAR techniques in relation to the previous flood maps obtained using georeferenced topographic maps. Particular attention is given to explaining the Methodology applied in Bosnia and Herzegovina.