• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.523-530
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• 2016

Most classical control charts assume that processes are serially independent, and autocorrelation among variables makes them unreliable. To address this issue, a variety of statistical approaches has been employed to estimate the serial structure of the process. In this paper, we propose a multioutput least squares support vector regression and apply it to construct a residual multivariate cumulative sum control chart for detecting changes in the process mean vector. Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed multioutput least squares support vector regression based control chart provides more satisfying results in detecting small shifts in the process mean vector.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.105-112
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• 2002

In this paper we establish bivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts for autocorrelated processes using residual vectors. We first derive the residual vectors, their expectation, variance-covariance matrix, then evaluate the control chart based on the average run length (ARL).

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.50-60
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• 1998

This paper is concerned with the design of two residual control charts for real-time monitoring of the continuous flow processes. Two different control charts are designed under the situation that observations are correlated each other. Kalman-Filter based model estimation is employed when the process model is known. A black-box approach, based on Back-Propagation Neural Network, is also applied for the design of control chart when there is no prior information of process model. Performance of the designed control charts and traditional control charts is evaluated. Average run length(ARL) is adopted as a criterion for comparison. Experimental results show that the designed control chart using the Neural Network's modeling has shorter ARL than that of the other control charts when process mean is shifted. This means that the designed control chart detects the out-of-control state of the process faster than the others. The designed control chart using the Kalman-Filter based model estimation also has better performance than traditional control chart when process is out-of-control state.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.289-296
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• 2001

This paper proposes multivariate control chart for autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase in the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a vector autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and therefore the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1996.04a
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• pp.11-14
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• 1996

Performance of the group cumulative sum(CUSUM) control scheme using multiple univariate CUSUM charts is more sensitive to the change of quality control(QC) characteristics than the control chart scheme based on the Hotelling statistics. We examine three group charts for multivariate normal data sets simulated with various correlation structures and shift directions in the mean vector. These group schemes apply the orginal measurement vectors, the scaled residual vectors from the regression of each variable on all others and the principal component vectors respectively to calculating the CUSUM statistics. They are also compared to the multivariate QC charts based on the Hotelling statistic by estimating average run lengths, coefficients of variation of run length and ranks in signaling order. On the basis of simulation results, we suggest a control chart scheme appropriate for specific quality control environment.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.51-71
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• 1999

Performance of the group cumulative sum (CUSUM) control scheme using multiple univariate CUSUM charts is more sensitive to the change of quality control (QC) characteristics than the control chart schemes based on the Hotelling statistic We vexamine three group charts for multivariate normal data sets simulated with various correlation structures and shift directions in the mean vector. These group schemes apply the original measurement vectors, the scaled residual vectors from the re-gression of each variable on all others and the principal component vectors respectively to calculat-ing the CUSUM statistics. They are also compared to the multivariate QC charts based on the Ho-telling statistic by estimating average run lengths, coefficients of variation of run length and ranks in signaling order. On the basis of simulation results, we suggest a control chart scheme appropriate for specific quality control environment.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.52-61
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• 2012

The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.289-301
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• 2003

In this paper, we propose Shewhart control chart and EWMA control chart using the autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.1025-1034
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• 2015

Traditional Shewhart control charts assume that the observations are independent over time. Current progress in measurement and data collection technology lead to the presence of autocorrelated process data that may affect poor performance in statistical process control. One of the most popular charts for autocorrelated data is to model a correlative structure with an appropriate time series model and apply control chart to the sequence of residuals. Model parameters are estimated by an in-control Phase I reference sample since they are usually unknown in practice. This paper deals with the effects of parameter estimation on Phase II control limits to monitor autocorrelated data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.155-167
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• 2007

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as an AR(1) process plus an additional random error. The performance of the proposed MLE is compared to the performance of the built-in estimator when they are used in EWMA charts based on the residuals. The results show that the proposed MLE provides good performance in terms of both accuracy and precision of the estimator.