• Title/Summary/Keyword: region transition probability

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Transition Rates in a Bistable System Driven by Singular External Forces

  • Cheol-Ju Kim;Dong Jae Lee
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 1993
  • A noise-induced transition is presented for a bistable system subjected to a multiplicative random force, which is singular at the unstable state. The stationary probability distribution is obtained from the Fokker-Planck equation and the effects of the singularity is analyzed. On the basis of noise-induced phase transition with Gaussian white noise, the relaxation time and the transition rate of the system are evaluated up to the first order correction of D. In the parameter region v < l, the transition rates decrease as the exponent v goes to 1 and as the coefficient of the linear term of the kinetic equation increases.

An Experimental Study About The Intermittent Flow Field in The Transition Region of a Turbulent Round Jet (발달하는 원형제트의 간헐적 유동에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • 김숭기;조지룡;정명균
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.230-240
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    • 1990
  • An exprimental research has been carried out to find the intermittent flow pattern in the transition region of a turbulent round jet in order to elucidate detailed turbulence structure and to accumulate basic data necessary for computational turbulence modelling. Turbulent signals were processed digitally to obtain conventional or conditional velocity components. The high-order conditional correlations obtained in this study showed similar trends as those of other free shear flows. It was found that the non-turbulent fluid contributes negligibly to the turbulent kinetic energy production and its diffusive transport and that the diffusion by bulk convection has the same order of magnitude as the gradient diffusion in the free boundary region. The statistical analyses such as flatness factor, skewness factor and probability density functions of turbulent and non-turbulent zone durations have also been performed.

Analysis on the Transition and Determinants of Long-Term Care Service for the Elderly in the Internet of Things era (융합의 시대에(사물인터넷시대에)한국 노인의 장기요양 서비스 이용 상태 전환과 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Jang-Won
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2020
  • This study intends to the estimate the determinants and state dependence of long-term care services in Korea. For this purpose, we analyzed the transition patterns among three states of long-term care service utilization over time by using the Korea Welfare Panel Study data with the random effect multinomial logit model. It is found that the result showed a strong state dependence in long-term care service utilization. Especially, long-term care insurance for the elderly showed a strong state dependence among others. Among the individual demographic characteristics, the higher the age, the higher the probability of using long-term care insurance for the elderly, while the lower the probability when married. The characteristics of the residential region showed that the residents of the urban-rural integrated region had a significantly higher probability of using long-term care insurance than the reference region. The results of this study suggest that the long-term care service users have a strong state dependence, which means that it is important to take into account the increase in the utilization period of existing users in future demand forecasting.

Analysis of Land Conversion Characteristics in Process of Farmland Loss and Urbanization by Distance from Center of City Using Detailed Digital Land Use - With Representative Big Cities and Their Fringe Areas in Japan - (정밀수치정보를 이용한 도시중심에서 거리별 농지손실 및 도시화과정의 토지전용 특성 분석 - 일본의 대표적 도시주변지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.9 no.1 s.18
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2003
  • As a pre-step research to make land-use planning in the region level, this study aims to analyze some probability pattern representing transition probabilities from farmland to others using the sequential detailed digital land-use maps. Kinki and Chubu regions of Japan, which have Osaka and Nagoya cities as their center places respectively, were selected as test regions in this study. The 10m grid land-use maps for four time series at every 5 year from 1977 to 1992 were used. In this study, the regions were divided into three sub-areas 10km, 20km, and 30km according to distance from center cities, respectively. The correlation coefficient (CC) between sub-areas with same distance in the two regions was calculated to analyze whether or not the two regions have common points in the pattern of land-use conversion probability from farmland to other types. The probability distribution of the converted areas which were moved to the urbanized area (residential, commercial, industrial, road, park and public facility areas) was about $40{\sim}70%$ for both all periods and sub-areas. According to distance from city centers, the probability moved to the urbanized area was about 60% at 10km area, and 40% at the 30km area, which means that the values we decreased gradually, while in the case moved to the forest and the etc areas, the values were increased slightly. The CC analysis from the paddy field and the dry field to the others separately showed that there is high correlation in the probability pattern between the two regions.

Prediction for the Spatial Distribution of Occupational Employment by Applying Markov Chain Model (마르코프 체인 모형을 이용한 직종별 취업자의 공간적 분포 변화 예측)

  • Park, So Hyun;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.525-539
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    • 2016
  • This study attempts to predict the changes in the spatial distribution of occupational employment in Korea by applying Markov Chain Model. For the purpose we analyze the job-related migration pattern and estimate the transition probability with the last six years job-related migration data. By applying the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the spatial distribution of occupational employment for the next ten years. The result reveals that the employment of professional jobs is predicted to increase at every city and region except Seoul, while the employment of elementary labor jobs is predicted to increase slightly in Seoul. In particular, Gangwon-do and Chuncheongdo are predicted to increase in the employment of all occupational jobs.

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Korean Word Recognition using the Transition Matrix of VQ-Code and DHMM (VQ코드의 천이 행렬과 이산 HMM을 이용한 한국어 단어인식)

  • Chung, Kwang-Woo;Hong, Kwang-Seok;Park, Byung-Chul
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, we propose methods for improving the performance of word recognition system. The ray stratey of the first method is to apply the inertia to the feature vector sequences of speech signal to stabilize the transitions between VQ cdoes. The second method is generating the new observation probabilities using the transition matrix of VQ codes as weights at the observation probability of the output symbol, so as to take into account the time relation between neighboring frames in DHMM. By applying the inertia to the feature vector sequences, we can reduce the overlapping of probability distribution of the response paths for each word and stabilize state transitions in the HMM. By using the transition matrix of VQ codes as weights in conventional DHMM. we can divide the probability distribution of feature vectors more and more, and restrict the feature distribution to a suitable region so that the performance of recognition system can improve. To evaluate the performance of the proposed methods, we carried out experiments for 50 DDD area names. As a result, the proposed methods improved the recognition rate by $4.2\%$ in the speaker-dependent test and $12.45\%$ in the speaker-independent test, respectively, compared with the conventional DHMM.

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Prediction of the Real Estate Market by Region Reflecting the Changes in the Number of Houses and Population (주택수와 인구증가 변화를 반영한 지역별 부동산 시장 예측)

  • Bae, Young-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2021
  • There has been a lot of research on the real estate market, but a lack of research on the supply and demand of housing supply in each region, reflecting the changes in population growth and supply. It is calculated as the transition probability of the Markov chain model by reflecting the data on the number of houses per 1,000 people in the past 35 years and the forecast data for population change by region, in terms of supply (housing) to demand (population) for factors on the real estate market. According to the calculation results of the real estate market by region, the housing supply to the metropolitan area such as Gyeong-gi, Incheon, and Seoul is expected to be insufficient for a considerable period of time, considering the population changes by region. To stabilize the real estate market, it was confirmed that it was necessary to actively apply the differentiation of housing supply by region. It is meaningful in terms of verifying long term trends in the real estate market by region that reflect the prediction of population change, and it is expected that the methods used in this study will be practical through the analysis results using the historical data.

Numerical Analysis of Transitional Flow in a Stenosed Carotid Artery (협착된 경동맥내 천이 유동 수치 해석)

  • Kim, Dongmin;Hwang, Jinyul;Min, Too-Jae;Jo, Won-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.52-63
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    • 2022
  • Direct numerical simulation of blood flow in a stenosed, patient-specific carotid artery was conducted to explore the transient behavior of blood flow with special emphasis on the wall-shear stress distribution over the transition region. We assumed the blood as an incompressible Newtonian fluid, and the vessel was treated as a solid wall. The pulsatile boundary condition was applied at the inlet of the carotid. The Reynolds number is 884 based on the inlet diameter, and the maximum flow rate and the corresponding Womersley number is approximately 5.9. We found the transitional behavior during the acceleration and deceleration phases. In order to quantitatively examine the wall-shear stress distribution over the transition region, the probability density function of the wall-shear stress was computed. It showed that the negative wall-shear stress events frequently occur near peak systole. In addition, the oscillatory shear stress index was used to further analyze the relationship with the negative wall-shear stress appearing in the systolic phase.

The Performance analysis of DS/SS Acquisition System over Rician Fading Channels (라이시안 페이딩 채널에서의 DS/SS 초기 동기 시스템의 성능 분석)

  • 홍인기;이종성;황금찬
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, the performance of DS/SS acquisition system over frequency nonselective Rician fading channel is analyzed by means of packet loss probability. The power ratio of the fading component to the specular compnent. seccessive constant fadong chips k. and correlation coefficient among k chipe are taken for channel parameters. The false alarm probabilities and detection probabilities are derived, and packet loss probability is evaluated in terms of these probablities in the stats transition diagram. From the results of the performance test, these exists the region of packet loss probability in crease because of autocorrelation sidelobe. As k increases, the packet loss probabolotoes decrease.

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T-START: Time, Status and Region Aware Taxi Mobility Model for Metropolis

  • Wang, Haiquan;Lei, Shuo;Wu, Binglin;Li, Yilin;Du, Bowen
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.3018-3040
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    • 2018
  • The mobility model is one of the most important factors that impacts the evaluation of any transportation vehicular networking protocols via simulations. However, to obtain a realistic mobility model in the dynamic urban environment is a very challenging task. Several studies extract mobility models from large-scale real data sets (mostly taxi GPS data) in recent years, but they do not consider the statuses of taxi, which is an important factor affected taxi's mobility. In this paper, we discover three simple observations related to the taxi statuses via mining of real taxi trajectories: (1) the behavior of taxi will be influenced by the statuses, (2) the macroscopic movement is related with different geographic features in corresponding status, and (3) the taxi load/drop events are varied with time period. Based on these three observations, a novel taxi mobility model (T-START) is proposed with respect to taxi statuses, geographic region and time period. The simulation results illustrate that proposed mobility model has a good approximation with reality in trajectory samples and distribution of nodes in four typical time periods.