• Title/Summary/Keyword: recession analysis

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A Study on Detection Technique of Anomaly Signal for Financial Loan Fraud Based on Social Network Analysis (소셜 네트워크 분석 기반의 금융회사 불법대출 이상징후 탐지기법에 관한 연구)

  • Wi, Choong-Ki;Kim, Hyoung-Joong;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.851-868
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    • 2012
  • After the financial crisis in 2008, the financial market still seems to be unstable with expanding the insolvency of the financial companies' real estate project financing loan in the aftermath of the lasted real estate recession. Especially after the illegal actions of people's financial institutions disclosed, while increased the anxiety of economic subjects about financial markets and weighted in the confusion of financial markets, the potential risk for the overall national economy is increasing. Thus as economic recession prolongs, the people's financial institutions having a weak profit structure and financing ability commit illegal acts in a variety of ways in order to conceal insolvent assets. Especially it is hard to find the loans of shareholder and the same borrower sharing credit risk in advance because most of them usually use a third-party's name bank account. Therefore, in order to effectively detect the fraud under other's name, it is necessary to analyze by clustering the borrowers high-related to a particular borrower through an analysis of association between the whole borrowers. In this paper, we introduce Analysis Techniques for detecting financial loan frauds in advance through an analysis of association between the whole borrowers by extending SNA(social network analysis) which is being studied by focused on sociology recently to the forensic accounting field of the financial frauds. Also this technique introduced in this pager will be very useful to regulatory authorities or law enforcement agencies at the field inspection or investigation.

A Priority Analysis on Influential Factors for Software Bid Evaluation in Public Sectors based on Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) (AHP 기법을 활용한 소프트웨어 제안평가요인의 상대적 중요도에 관한 연구 : 발주자와 수주자 비교를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hong Jin;Jo, Dong Hyuk;Ahn, Tae Ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2017
  • Recently, due to the economic recession and increase of ITO (IT Outsourcing), bidding in software industry has been recognized as more competitive and the importance of software bid evaluation for corporate selection is being increased. This study aims to analyze and prioritize influential factors in the software bid evaluation criteria which is adopted as the main evaluation model of national software businesses by Ministry of Science. The priority was developed by AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) through pair-wise comparison. For the analysis, this study developed analysis model for AHP and conducted survey of experts who have work experience for more than 10 years in the IT industry. As the result of analysis, weighted factors in the evaluation criteria were deduced and differences of priority factors between purchaser and bidder were investigated. The analysis showed differences of view point in the bidding process. With these results, this study suggests how to write a proposal strategically and effectively in perspective of the purchaser. It is expected that priority factors will be adopted in strategic proposals in both bidder and purchaser. For purchaser, the priority will be adopted to select reliable bidder. So, we expect that the priority factors will be used to get more values for both bidder and purchaser in their business atmosphere.

Development of Feasibility Analysis Model for Developer-requested Housing Projects (공동주택 개발사업 참여결정을 위한 사업타당성 분석모델 개발)

  • Kim, Ki-Shin;Lee, Joong-Seok;Huh, Young-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2009
  • With construction industry recession, many construction companies are increasingly conducting the development projects by themselves. However, housing projects requested by developers still stand large portion. Although many studies on feasibility analysis were released, they mainly focused on economic feasibility and lacked research on factors and criterions of overall project. Also, because previous studies overly break downed factors related to project, they rarely used in practice. Therefore, this study developed the feasibility analysis model of housing development projects to help main contractors to easily and effectively decide if it is feasible enough to promote the projects requested by developers, and verified the reliability of the model. In this study, thirty one driving factors were identified under seven different categories and the criterion of each factor was also developed. The survey on important index of each factor found 'salability', 'economic feasibility', 'site location' and 'method of raising fund' significant. 12 projects were tested by the model and its results showed resonable reliability.

A Study on Policy Alternatives to the Development of Urban Regeneration Project Using AHP Analysis (AHP분석을 이용한 도시재생사업의 발전에 대한 정책적 대안에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Sam-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.6_3
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    • pp.1303-1313
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    • 2022
  • Modern cities need to revitalize the downtown area, which is declining due to population decline, economic recession, and deterioration of the residential environment, economically, socially, and physically by introducing and creating new functions. In addition, the hollowing out of the existing city center is getting worse due to the development of the outskirts of the city. Therefore, the discussion for the development of urban regeneration is the core task of modern cities. This study analyzed based on a basic understanding of urban regeneration projects, and through this, the problems of domestic urban regeneration projects were derived. In addition, the problem factors and major improvement plans of the urban regeneration project were analyzed from the expert's point of view using the AHP analysis technique. Based on this, the purpose is to present policy alternatives for the future development of urban regeneration projects. The problems derived to present the policy alternatives and improvement directions of the urban regeneration project were classified into problems related to goal achievement, problems related to the business itself, and problems related to project results. It was subdivided into sub-categories. This study analyzed the problem factors and major improvements from the expert's point of view by using the AHP analysis technique for the problems of the urban regeneration project. Based on the AHP analysis results and experts' opinions, five policy alternatives for the development of urban regeneration projects were presented.

A Study on the Consumer Perception and Keyword Analysis of Meal-kit Using Big Data

  • Jung, Sunmi;Ryu, Gihwan;Lim, Jeongsook;Kim, Heeyoung
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2022
  • As the level of consumption is improved and cultural life is pursued, the consumer's consciousness structure is rapidly changing, and the demand for product selection level, variety, and quality is becoming more diverse. The restaurant economy is falling due to the prolonged COVID-19, the economic recession, income decline, and changes in population structure and lifestyle, but the Meal- kit market is growing rapidly. This study aims to identify the consumer perception of Meal-kit, which is rapidly growing as an alternative to existing meals in the fields of dining out, food, and distribution due to the development of technology and social environment using big data. As a result of the analysis, the keywords with the highest frequency of appearance were in the order of Meal-kit, Cooking, Product, Launching, and Market and were divided into 8 groups through the CONCOR analysis. We want to identify consumer trends related to the key keywords of Meal-kit, present effective data related to Meal-kit demand for Meal-kit specialized companies, and provide implications for establishing marketing strategies for differentiated competitive advantage.

Qualitative Content Analysis: Solutions for Tourism Industry to Overcome the Crisis in a Post-Covid 19 era

  • LEE, Soo-Hee
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The coronavirus pandemic has affected the tourism industry in a big way. The travel industry suffered intense damage from the pandemic and procedures acquainted to containing its spread because the pandemic outbreak has led to a decline in the number of tourists and a change in their behavior. At this point, this research is to investigate adequate solutions for tourism industry to overcome the crisis in a post-Covid 19 era. Research design, data and methodology: The current author gathered data from each included study to analyze and summarize the evidence when conducting a literature analysis. This stage involves gathering and reviewing intricate texts databases for the meta-analysis. Results: The current author found total five solutions from numerous literature contents, suggesting how to overcome the crisis in a post-Covid era for tourism industry. Solutions as follows, (1) Drawing beginning illustrations, (2) Introducing Government Backing Programs, (3) Increasing Promotion of Tourism Destinations, (4) Enhancing Safety and Security Measures, and (5) Improving Infrastructure and Facilities. Conclusions: This research suggests that although the global economic recession leads to reduced demand and intense competition from other sectors, the tourism industry will be well positioned to weather these challenges if practitioners of tourism organizations follow five solutions of this research.

Efficient Uncertainty Analysis of TOPMODEL Using Particle Swarm Optimization (입자군집최적화 알고리듬을 이용한 효율적인 TOPMODEL의 불확실도 분석)

  • Cho, Huidae;Kim, Dongkyun;Lee, Kanghee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2014
  • We applied the ISPSO-GLUE method, which integrates the Isolated-Speciation-based Particle Swarm Optimization (ISPSO) with the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method, to the uncertainty analysis of the Topography Model (TOPMODEL) and compared its performance with that of the GLUE method. When we performed the same number of model runs for the both methods, we were able to identify the point where the performance of ISPSO-GLUE exceeded that of GLUE, after which ISPSOGLUE kept improving its performance steadily while GLUE did not. When we compared the 95% uncertainty bounds of the two methods, their general shapes and trends were very similar, but those of ISPSO-GLUE enclosed about 5.4 times more observed values than those of GLUE did. What it means is that ISPSOGLUE requires much less number of parameter samples to generate better performing uncertainty bounds. When compared to ISPSO-GLUE, GLUE overestimated uncertainty in the recession limb following the maximum peak streamflow. For this recession period, GLUE requires to find more behavioral models to reduce the uncertainty. ISPSO-GLUE can be a promising alternative to GLUE because the uncertainty bounds of the method were quantitatively superior to those of GLUE and, especially, computationally expensive hydrologic models are expected to greatly take advantage of the feature.

A Study on the Safety Consciousness Survey of Old Workers (노령근로자의 안전의식 설문조사에 관한 연구)

  • Paik, Shinwon;Bae, Meeseon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.99-103
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    • 2014
  • Recently unemployed construction workers are increasing because of construction recession. But the lack of manpower occurs at the same time, in construction sites. So, the excess of workforce supply and demand exists in construction sites. Construction companies have a difficulty in seeking young skilled workers due to this problem. In this study, construction accidents reported by Korean Occupational Safety and Health Agency from 2007 to 2010 were analyzed. It has shown that 50-54, 45-49 and 55-59 year old workers formed 22%, 18% and 17% respectively. This means that old workers becomes a real problem in construction. This research has shown that old workers didn't have much more accidents than young workers, construction accidents related to the employment period of workers.

Estimation of Groundwater Recharge Ratio Using Cumulative Precipitation and Water-level Change (누적 강수량과 지하수위 곡선을 이용한 지하수 함양률 추정 기법)

  • 문상기;우남칠
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2001
  • A calculation technique which estimates natural recharge using groundwater level change was proposed and prepared with the existing techniques using groundwater recession curve during dry days. As a part of estimating natural groundwater recharge nation wide, the reliable data from the national groundwater monitoring network were used and the methodology was applied to the three sites which have enough data (Chungju, Jinju and Kwangju). For this study, seasonal variation of groundwater level change, an analysis of lagging time on groundwater level and cumulative precipitation, and a comparative study for groundwater recharge were conducted.

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실물옵션을 이용한 코스닥 벤처기업의 가치평가

  • 김선경;이정동;김태유
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.297-311
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    • 2000
  • Since 1996 when Kosdaq market was set up, serious doubt has been raised regarding the efficiency of the market. The most important question is whether this market can reflect the real value of the venture company quoted on it. In order to answer this question, this study aimed to evaluate venture companies in Kosdaq market adopting the concept of real option theory. From the results of empirical analysis, we found that in the early 2000, there was serious over-valuation problem. On the contrary, in the recent period of economic recession, under-valuation problem is quite prevalent. We also present our methodology and empirical results confirm the conjecture that option premium outweighs the DCF valor for the newly born and high-technology intensive venture companies. We hope that the empirical results shed some light on the policy prescription to improve the efficiency of Kosdaq market.

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