• Title/Summary/Keyword: reasoning model

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Backward Reasoning in Fuzzy Petri - net Representation for Fuzzy Production Rules (퍼지생성규칙을 위한 퍼지페트리네트표현에서 후진추론)

  • Cho, Sang-Yeop
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.951-958
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a backward reasoning algorithm which can be utilized in the fuzzy Petri-net representation representing fuzzy production rules. The fuzzy Petri-net representation can be used to model a approximate reasoning system and implement a fuzzy inference engine. The proposed algorithm, which uses the proper belief evaluation functions according to fuzzy concepts in antecedentes and consequents of fuzzy production rules, is more closer to human intuition and reasoning than other methods. This algorithm generates the backward reasoning path from the goal to the initial nodes and evaluates the belief value of the goal node using belief evaluation functions.

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BDI Architecture Based on XML for Intelligent Multi-Agent Systems

  • Lee, Sang-wook;Yun, Ji-hyun;Kim, Il-kon;Hune Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2001.01a
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    • pp.511-515
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    • 2001
  • Many intelligent agent systems are known to incorporate BDI architecture for cognitive reasoning. Since this architecture contains all the knowledge of world model and reasoning rule, it is very complex and difficult to handle. This paper describes a methodology to design and implement BDI architecture, BDIAXml based on XML for multi-agent systems. This XML-based BDI architecture is smaller than any other BDI architecture because it separates knowledge for reasoning from domain knowledge and enables knowledge sharing using XML technology. Knowledge for BDI mental state and reasoning is composed of specific XML files and these XML files are stored into a specific knowledge server. Most systems using BDIAxml architecture can access knowledge from this server. We apply this BDIAXml system to domain of Hospital Information System and show that this architecture performs more efficiently than other BDI architecture system in terms of knowledge sharing, system size, and ease of use.

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Enhanced reasoning with multilevel flow modeling based on time-to-detect and time-to-effect concepts

  • Kim, Seung Geun;Seong, Poong Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.553-561
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    • 2018
  • To easily understand and systematically express the behaviors of the industrial systems, various system modeling techniques have been developed. Particularly, the importance of system modeling has been greatly emphasized in recent years since modern industrial systems have become larger and more complex. Multilevel flow modeling (MFM) is one of the qualitative modeling techniques, applied for the representation and reasoning of target system characteristics and phenomena. MFM can be applied to industrial systems without additional domain-specific assumptions or detailed knowledge, and qualitative reasoning regarding event causes and consequences can be conducted with high speed and fidelity. However, current MFM techniques have a limitation, i.e., the dynamic features of a target system are not considered because time-related concepts are not involved. The applicability of MFM has been restricted since time-related information is essential for the modeling of dynamic systems. Specifically, the results from the reasoning processes include relatively less information because they did not utilize time-related data. In this article, the concepts of time-to-detect and time-to-effect were adopted from the system failure model to incorporate time-related issues into MFM, and a methodology for enhancing MFM-based reasoning with time-series data was suggested.

A Study on Developing Dynamic Forecasting Model for Periodic Expenditures of Residential Building Projects using Case-Based Reasoning Logics (사례기반 기법을 이용한 공동주택 월간비용 예측모델 개발)

  • Yi, June-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2004
  • Dynamic and fragmented characteristics ale two of the most significant factors that distinguish the construction industry from other industries. Previous forecasting techniques have failed to solve the problems derived from the above characteristics and do not provide considerable support. This paper deals with providing a more precise forecasting by applying Case-based Reasoning (CBR). The newly developed model in this study enables project managers to forecast monthly expenditures with less time and effort by retrieving and referring only projects of a similar nature, while filtering out irrelevant cases included in database. For the purpose of accurate forecasting. the choice of the numbers of referring projects was investigated. it is concluded that selecting similar projects at $5\~6\;\%$ out of the whole database will produce a more precise forecasting. The new forecasting model. which suggests the predicted values based on previous projects, is more than just a forecasting methodology it provides a bridge that enables current data collection techniques to be used within the context of the accumulated information. This will eventually help all the participants in the construction industry to build up the know ledge derived from invaluable experience.

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Fuzzy Indexing and Retrieval in CBR with Weight Optimization Learning for Credit Evaluation

  • Park, Cheol-Soo;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.491-501
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    • 2002
  • Case-based reasoning is emerging as a leading methodology for the application of artificial intelligence. CBR is a reasoning methodology that exploits similar experienced solutions, in the form of past cases, to solve new problems. Hybrid model achieves some convergence of the wide proliferation of credit evaluation modeling. As a result, Hybrid model showed that proposed methodology classify more accurately than any of techniques individually do. It is confirmed that proposed methodology predicts significantly better than individual techniques and the other combining methodologies. The objective of the proposed approach is to determines a set of weighting values that can best formalize the match between the input case and the previously stored cases and integrates fuzzy sit concepts into the case indexing and retrieval process. The GA is used to search for the best set of weighting values that are able to promote the association consistency among the cases. The fitness value in this study is defined as the number of old cases whose solutions match the input cases solution. In order to obtain the fitness value, many procedures have to be executed beforehand. Also this study tries to transform financial values into category ones using fuzzy logic approach fur performance of credit evaluation. Fuzzy set theory allows numerical features to be converted into fuzzy terms to simplify the matching process, and allows greater flexibility in the retrieval of candidate cases. Our proposed model is to apply an intelligent system for bankruptcy prediction.

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Approximate Estimating Model Using the Case Based Reasoning - PSC BEAM Bridge - (사례기반추론을 이용한 개략공사비 산정모델 개발 - PSC BEAM교를 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Chan-Sung;Lee, Geon-Hee;Kim, Kyoung-Min;Kim, Kyong-Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.445-448
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    • 2008
  • This study attempts to estimate approximate cost on construction of PSC BEAM Bridge using Case-Based Reasoning and suggests approximate estimation model at the planning and design stage. This paper suggests phased influence factors on construction cost and approximate estimation model for integrated project cost management.

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System Trading using Case-based Reasoning based on Absolute Similarity Threshold and Genetic Algorithm (절대 유사 임계값 기반 사례기반추론과 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 시스템 트레이딩)

  • Han, Hyun-Woong;Ahn, Hyun-Chul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.63-90
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    • 2017
  • Purpose This study proposes a novel system trading model using case-based reasoning (CBR) based on absolute similarity threshold. The proposed model is designed to optimize the absolute similarity threshold, feature selection, and instance selection of CBR by using genetic algorithm (GA). With these mechanisms, it enables us to yield higher returns from stock market trading. Design/Methodology/Approach The proposed CBR model uses the absolute similarity threshold varying from 0 to 1, which serves as a criterion for selecting appropriate neighbors in the nearest neighbor (NN) algorithm. Since it determines the nearest neighbors on an absolute basis, it fails to select the appropriate neighbors from time to time. In system trading, it is interpreted as the signal of 'hold'. That is, the system trading model proposed in this study makes trading decisions such as 'buy' or 'sell' only if the model produces a clear signal for stock market prediction. Also, in order to improve the prediction accuracy and the rate of return, the proposed model adopts optimal feature selection and instance selection, which are known to be very effective in enhancing the performance of CBR. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we applied it to the index trading of KOSPI200 from 2009 to 2016. Findings Experimental results showed that the proposed model with optimal feature or instance selection could yield higher returns compared to the benchmark as well as the various comparison models (including logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, artificial neural network, support vector machine, and traditional CBR). In particular, the proposed model with optimal instance selection showed the best rate of return among all the models. This implies that the application of CBR with the absolute similarity threshold as well as the optimal instance selection may be effective in system trading from the perspective of returns.

The Roles and Importance of Critical Evidence (CE) and Critical Resource Models (CRMs) in Abductive Reasoning for Earth Scientific Problem Solving (지구과학 문제 해결을 위한 귀추적 추론에서 결정적 증거와 결정적 자원 모델의 역할과 중요성)

  • Oh, Phil Seok
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.426-446
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze undergraduate students' reasoning for solving a problem about a rock and investigate the roles and importance of critical evidence (CE) and critical resource models (CRMs) in abductive reasoning. Participants were 20 senior undergraduate students enrolled in a science major course in a university of education. They were asked to abductively infer geologic processes of sedimentary rocks having a lot of holes and represent them with models. Their reasoning were analyzed according to a scheme for modeling-based abductive reasoning. As a result, successful student reasoning was characterized by using a diversity of grains and lots of holes as CE, activating the sedimentary rock formation and weathering as CRMs, and combining the CRMs into a scientifically sound explanatory model (SSEM). By contrast, in the reasoning unsuccessful in proposing a SSEM, students activated the igneous rock (basalt) formation and deposition as resource models (RMs) based on the evidence of the holes in the rocks and diverse grains, respectively, and used the RMs to construct their own explanatory models (EMs). It was suggested that to construct SSEMs to solve earth scientific problems about rocks, students need to know what could be CE in a particular problem situation, take an integrative or systemic approach to a rock problem, use multiple RMs, and evaluate RMs or EMs in light of evidence.

Development of Digestion Gas Production and Dewatering Cake Management in WWTP by Using Data Mining Technology (데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용한 하수처리장 소화가스 예측 및 탈수 케이크 관리 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Dongkwan;Kim, Hyosoo;Kim, Yejin;Kim, Minsoo;Piao, Wenhua;Kim, Changwon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the effective operation method by developing prediction model for the gas production rate, an indicator of the effectiveness of anaerobic digestion tank, using data mining. At the result, gas production estimate model is developed by using ANN within 10% error. It is expected to help operation of anaerobic digestion by suggesting selected parameter. Meanwhile case based reasoning is applied to develop dewatering cake management technology. Case based reasoning uses the most similar examples of past when a new problem occurs, therefore in this study, management measures are developed that proposes dewatering cake minimization with the minimum change by applying the case based reasoning to sludge disposal process.

Interval-valued Fuzzy Set Reasoning Using Fuzzy Petri Nets (퍼지 페트리네트를 이용한 구간간 퍼지집합 추론)

  • 조경달;조상엽
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.625-631
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    • 2004
  • In general, the certainty factors of the fuzzy production rules and the certainty factors of fuzzy Propositions appearing in the rules are represented by real values between zero and one. If it can allow the certainty factors of the fuzzy production rules and the certainty factors of fuzzy propositions to be represented by interval-valued fuzzy sets, then it can allow the reasoning of rule-based systems to perform fuzzy reasoning in more flexible manner(15). This paper presents a fuzzy Petri nets and proposes an interval-valued fuzzy reasoning algorithm for rule-based systems based on fuzzy Petri nets. Fuzzy Petri nets model the fuzzy production rules in the knowledge base of a rule-based system, where the certainty factors of the fuzzy Propositions appearing in the furry production rules and the certainty factors of the rules are represented by interval-valued fuzzy sets. The proposed interval-valued fuzzy set reasoning algorithm can allow the rule-based systems to perform fuzzy reasoning in a more flexible manner.