• Title/Summary/Keyword: random variable

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Homogenized limit analysis of masonry structures with random input properties: polynomial Response Surface approximation and Monte Carlo simulations

  • Milani, G.;Benasciutti, D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.417-447
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    • 2010
  • The uncertainty often observed in experimental strengths of masonry constituents makes critical the selection of the appropriate inputs in finite element analysis of complex masonry buildings, as well as requires modelling the building ultimate load as a random variable. On the other hand, the utilization of expensive Monte Carlo simulations to estimate collapse load probability distributions may become computationally impractical when a single analysis of a complex building requires hours of computer calculations. To reduce the computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations, direct computer calculations can be replaced with inexpensive Response Surface (RS) models. This work investigates the use of RS models in Monte Carlo analysis of complex masonry buildings with random input parameters. The accuracy of the estimated RS models, as well as the good estimations of the collapse load cumulative distributions obtained via polynomial RS models, show how the proposed approach could be a useful tool in problems of technical interest.

Stochastic finite element analysis of composite plates considering spatial randomness of material properties and their correlations

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.115-130
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    • 2011
  • Considering the randomness of material parameters in the laminated composite plate, a scheme of stochastic finite element method to analyze the displacement response variability is suggested. In the formulation we adopted the concept of the weighted integral where the random variable is defined as integration of stochastic field function multiplied by a deterministic function over a finite element. In general the elastic modulus of composite materials has distinct value along an individual axis. Accordingly, we need to assume 5 material parameters as random. The correlations between these random parameters are modeled by means of correlation functions, and the degree of correlation is defined in terms of correlation coefficients. For the verification of the proposed scheme, we employ an independent analysis of Monte Carlo simulation with which statistical results can be obtained. Comparison is made between the proposed scheme and Monte Carlo simulation.

ON ALMOST SURE CONVERGENCE FOR WEIGHTED SUMS OF LNQD RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Choi, Jeong-Yeol;Kim, So-Youn;Baek, Jong-Il
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2012
  • Let $\{X_{ni},\;1{\leq}i{\leq}n,\;n{\geq}1\}$ be a sequence of LNQD which are dominated randomly by another random variable X. We obtain the complete convergence and almost sure convergence of weighted sums ${\sum}^n_{i=1}a_{ni}X_{ni}$ for LNQD by using a new exponential inequality, where $\{a_{ni},\;1{\leq}i{\leq}n,\;n{\geq}1\}$ is an array of constants. As corollary, the results of some authors are extended from i.i.d. case to not necessarily identically LNQD case.

STRONG LAWS OF LARGE NUMBERS FOR LINEAR PROCESSES GENERATED BY ASSOCIATED RANDOM VARIABLES IN A HILBERT SPACE

  • Ko, Mi-Hwa
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.703-711
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    • 2008
  • Let ${{\xi}_k,k{\in}{\mathbb{Z}}}$ be an associated H-valued random variables with $E{\xi}_k$ = 0, $E{\parallel}{\xi}_k{\parallel}$ < ${\infty}$ and $E{\parallel}{\xi}_k{\parallel}^2$ < ${\infty}$ and {$a_k,k{\in}{\mathbb{Z}}$} a sequence of bounded linear operators such that ${\sum}^{\infty}_{j=0}j{\parallel}a_j{\parallel}_{L(H)}$ < ${\infty}$. We define the sationary Hilbert space process $X_k={\sum}^{\infty}_{j=0}a_j{\xi}_{k-j}$ and prove that $n^{-1}{\sum}^n_{k=1}X_k$ converges to zero.

A Berry-Esseen Type Bound in Kernel Density Estimation for a Random Left-Truncation Model

  • Asghari, P.;Fakoor, V.;Sarmad, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we derive a Berry-Esseen type bound for the kernel density estimator of a random left truncated model, in which each datum (Y) is randomly left truncated and is sampled if $Y{\geq}T$, where T is the truncation random variable with an unknown distribution. This unknown distribution is estimated with the Lynden-Bell estimator. In particular the normal approximation rate, by choice of the bandwidth, is shown to be close to $n^{-1/6}$ modulo logarithmic term. We have also investigated this normal approximation rate via a simulation study.

A Stochastic Analysis of Crack Propagation Life under Constant Amplitude Loading (균일진폭 하중하에서의 확률론적 균열진전 수명해석)

  • 윤한용;양영순;윤장호
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.1691-1699
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    • 1992
  • The experimental results of fatigue crack propagation under constant amplitude loading show that intra-and inter-specimen variability exist. In this paper, a stochastic model for the estimation of mean and variance of crack propagation life is presented To take into account the intra-specimen variability, the material resistance against crack propagation is treated as an 1-dimensional spatial stochastic process, i. e. random field, varying along the propagation path. For the inter-specimen variability, C in paris equation is assumed to be a random variable. Compared with experimental results reported, the present method well estimate the variation in fatigue crack propagation life. And it is confirmed that the thicker the specimen thickness is, the less the variation of propagation life is.

Tree size determination for classification ensemble

  • Choi, Sung Hoon;Kim, Hyunjoong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2016
  • Classification is a predictive modeling for a categorical target variable. Various classification ensemble methods, which predict with better accuracy by combining multiple classifiers, became a powerful machine learning and data mining paradigm. Well-known methodologies of classification ensemble are boosting, bagging and random forest. In this article, we assume that decision trees are used as classifiers in the ensemble. Further, we hypothesized that tree size affects classification accuracy. To study how the tree size in uences accuracy, we performed experiments using twenty-eight data sets. Then we compare the performances of ensemble algorithms; bagging, double-bagging, boosting and random forest, with different tree sizes in the experiment.

Joint HGLM approach for repeated measures and survival data

  • Ha, Il Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1083-1090
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    • 2016
  • In clinical studies, different types of outcomes (e.g. repeated measures data and time-to-event data) for the same subject tend to be observed, and these data can be correlated. For example, a response variable of interest can be measured repeatedly over time on the same subject and at the same time, an event time representing a terminating event is also obtained. Joint modelling using a shared random effect is useful for analyzing these data. Inferences based on marginal likelihood may involve the evaluation of analytically intractable integrations over the random-effect distributions. In this paper we propose a joint HGLM approach for analyzing such outcomes using the HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model) method based on h-likelihood (i.e. hierarchical likelihood), which avoids these integration itself. The proposed method has been demonstrated using various numerical studies.

Design Sensitivity Analysis of the Second Order Perturbed Eigenproblems for Random Structural System (불확정 구조계 고유치에 관한 이차 민감도 해석)

  • 임오강;이병우
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 1994
  • Design sensitivity analysis of the second order perturbed eigenproblems for random structural system is presented. Dynamic response of random system including uncertainties for the design variable is calculated with the first order and second order perturbation method to original governing equation. In optimal design methods, there is fundamental requirement for design gradients. A method for calculating the sensitivity coefficients is developed using the direct differentiation method for the governing equation and first order and second order perturbed equation.

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Conditional Probability of a 'Choseong', a 'Jungseong', and a 'Jongseong' Between Syllables in Multi-Syllable Korean Words (한국어 다음절 단어의 초성, 중성, 종성단위의 음절간 조건부 확률)

  • 이재홍;이재학
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.28B no.9
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    • pp.692-703
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    • 1991
  • A Korean word is composed of syllables. A Korean syllable is regarded as a random variable according to its probabilistic property in occurrence. A Korean syllable is divided into 'choseong', 'jungseong', and 'jongseong' which are regarded as random variables. We can consider teh conditional probatility of syllable as an index which represents the occurrence correlation between syllables in Korean words. Since the number of syllables is enormous, we use the conditional probability of a' choseong', a 'jungseong', and a 'jongseong' between syllables as an index which represents the occurrence correlation between syllables in Korean words. The length distribution of Korean woeds is computed according to frequency and to kind. Form the cumulative frequency of a Korean syllable computed from multi-syllable Korean woeds, all probabilities and conditiona probabilities are computed for the three random variables. The conditional probabilities of 'choseong'- 'choseong', 'jungseong'- 'jungseong', 'jongseong'-'jongseong', 'jongseong'-'choseong' between adjacent syllables in multi-syllable Korean woeds are computed.

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