• Title/Summary/Keyword: random parameter

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A Development of Traffic Accident Model by Random Parameter : Focus on Capital Area and Busan 4-legs Signalized Intersections (확률모수를 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발 -수도권 및 부산광역시 4지 교차로를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Geun-Hee;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2015
  • This study intends to build a traffic accident predictive model considering road geometrics, traffic and enviromental characteristics and identify the relationship of 4-legs intersection accidents in Seoul and Busan metropolitan area. The RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) model shows improvement over the fixed NB(Negative Binomial) and out of 53 variables, 10 variables (main road number of lane, main road vehicle traffic volume(left), minor road vehicle traffic volume(right), main road drive restriction, minor road sight distance, minor road median strip, minor road speed limit, minor road speed restriction) showed to have significant variables affecting traffic accident occurrences in 4-legs signilized intersections. Also, among 10 significant variables, 2 variables(minor road sight distance, minor road speed restriction) found to be random parameters.

A Self-Adaptive Agorithm for Optimizing Random Early Detection(RED) Dynamics (라우터 버퍼 관리 기반 체증 제어 방식의 최적화를 위한 자체 적응 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Seok-Won;Yu, Yeong-Seok
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.3097-3107
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    • 1999
  • Recently many studies have been done on the Random Early Detection(RED) algorithm as an active queue management and congestion avoidance scheme in the Internet. In this paper we first overview the characteristics of RED and the modified RED algorithms in order to understand the current status of these studies. Then we analyze the RED dynamics by investigating how RED parameters affect router queue behavior. We show the cases when RED fails since it cannot react to queue state changes aggressively due to the deterministic use of its parameters. Based on the RED parameter analysis, we propose a self-adaptive algorithm to cope with this RED weakness. In this algorithm we make two parameters be adjusted themselves depending on the queue states. One parameter is the maximum probability to drop or mark the packet at the congestion state. This parameter can be adjusted to react the long burst of traffic, consequently reducing the congestion disaster. The other parameter is the queue weight which is also adjusted aggressively in order for the average queue size to catch up with the current queue size when the queue moves from the congestion state to the stable state.

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Innovation and FDI: Applying Random Parameters Methods to KIS Data (기술혁신과 FDI)

  • Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.513-537
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    • 2010
  • According to the "FDI-as-market-discipline" hypothesis, inward FDI acts as a mechanism of change in market structure affecting innovative activities of domestic firms. We used panel KIS data for testing this hypothesis. Binary probit estimation shows that, in contrast to the German case of Bertschek (1995), FDI is insignificant in Korean case for explaining product innovation. 1his result maybe comes from the fact that the industries in Korea are more monopolistic or oligopolistic than those of Germany. Using panel data, we tried random parameter estimation using matrix weighted average of GLS and OLS. The result shows different estimates from cross-section outcome and panel estimation with parameter homogeneity, so we can infer large parameter heterogeneity across firms. But, interpretation for FDI variable is similar across panel and cross-section estimation.

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Force limited vibration testing: an evaluation of the computation of C2 for real load and probabilistic source

  • Wijker, J.J.;de Boer, A.;Ellenbroek, M.H.M.
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.217-232
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    • 2015
  • To prevent over-testing of the test-item during random vibration testing Scharton proposed and discussed the force limited random vibration testing (FLVT) in a number of publications. Besides the random vibration specification, the total mass and the turn-over frequency of the load (test item), $C^2$ is a very important parameter for FLVT. A number of computational methods to estimate $C^2$ are described in the literature, i.e., the simple and the complex two degrees of freedom system, STDFS and CTDFS, respectively. The motivation of this work is to evaluate the method for the computation of a realistic value of $C^2$ to perform a representative random vibration test based on force limitation, when the adjacent structure (source) description is more or less unknown. Marchand discussed the formal description of getting $C^2$, using the maximum PSD of the acceleration and maximum PSD of the force, both at the interface between load and source. Stevens presented the coupled systems modal approach (CSMA), where simplified asparagus patch models (parallel-oscillator representation) of load and source are connected, consisting of modal effective masses and the spring stiffness's associated with the natural frequencies. When the random acceleration vibration specification is given the CSMA method is suitable to compute the value of the parameter $C^2$. When no mathematical model of the source can be made available, estimations of the value $C^2$ can be find in literature. In this paper a probabilistic mathematical representation of the unknown source is proposed, such that the asparagus patch model of the source can be approximated. The chosen probabilistic design parameters have a uniform distribution. The computation of the value $C^2$ can be done in conjunction with the CSMA method, knowing the apparent mass of the load and the random acceleration specification at the interface between load and source, respectively. Data of two cases available from literature have been analyzed and discussed to get more knowledge about the applicability of the probabilistic method.

The consistency estimation in nonlinear regression models with noncompact parameter space

  • Park, Seung-Hoe;Kim, Hae-Kyung;Jang, Sook-Hee
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.377-383
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    • 1996
  • We consider in this paper the following nonlinear regression model $$ (1.1) y_t = f(x_t, \theta_o) + \in_t, t = 1, \ldots, n, $$ where $y_t$ is the tth response, $x_t$ is m-vector imput variable, $\theta_o$ is a p-vector of unknown parameter belong to a parameter space $\Theta, f:R^m \times \Theta \ to R^1$ is a nonlinear known function, and $\in_t$ are independent unobservable random errors with finite second moment.

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Application of Regularization Method to Angle-resolved XPS Data (각분해X-선광전자분광법 데이터 분석을 위한 regularization 방법의 응용)

  • 노철언
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 1996
  • Two types of regularization method (singular system and HMP approaches) for generating depth-concentration profiles from angle-resolved XPS data were evaluated. Both approaches showed qualitatively similar results although they employed different numerical algorithms. The application of the regularization method to simulated data demonhstrates its excellent utility for the complex depth profile system . It includes the stable restoration of depth-concentration profiles from the data with considerable random error and the self choice of smoothing parameter that is imperative for the successful application of the regularization method. The self choice of smoothing parameter is based on generalized cross-validation method which lets the data themselves choose the optimal value of the parameter.

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Transient Response Analysis of Linear Dynamic System with Random Properties (확률론적 특성을 갖는 선형 동적계의 과도응답 해석)

  • 김인학;독고욱
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 1996
  • Most dynamic systems have various random properties in excitation and system parameters. In this paper, a procedure fur response analysis is proposed for the linear dynamic system with random properties in both excitation and system parameters. The system parameter and response with random properties are modeled by perturbation technique, aand then response analysis is formulated by probabilistic and vibration theories. And probabilistic FEM is also used for the calculation of mean response which is difficult by the proposed response model. As an application example, the transient response is calculated for a sdof system with random mass and spring constant subjected to stationary white-noise excitation and the results are compared to those of numerical simulation.

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Three-Dimensional Finite Element Analysis for Compression Molding of Step-Type Random/Unidirectional Polymer Composite Laminates (단부형상을 갖는 무배향/일방향 복합적층판의 압축성형에 있어서 3차원 유한요소해석)

  • 송강석;채경철;김이곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 1999
  • Fiber reinforced plastic composites is widely used to make be lightening of aircraft and automotive owing to having high specific strength and specific modulus. And it is very important to know a charge shape in order to have good products in the compression molding. In particular, the product such as a bumper beam is composed of the random and unidirectional composite mats. Its deformation and charge shape are very different by stack type of random and unidirectional mats. In this paper, the characteristics of flow fronts such as a bulging phenomenon for step-type random/unidirectional composite mats and slip parameters are studied numerically. And the effects of viscosity ratio and stack type on the mold filling parameters are also discussed.

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Parameter Sensitivity Study on Fatigue Crack Propagation Life Under Random Loadings (Random하중하의 피로크랙 진전수명에 대한 파라미터의 영향도평가)

  • 윤한용
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.46-50
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    • 1993
  • The sensitivity study to evaluate the effects of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the constant loadings is executed in the previous study of the authors. It is shown that the effect of the crack opening ratio is large comparatively. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the random loadings. A new method of evaluation of the effective stress under the random loadings is developed. The sensitivity study of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the random loadings is executed by using it.

Multivariate Poisson Distribution Generated via Reduction from Independent Poisson Variates

  • Kim, Dae-Hak;Jeong, Heong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.953-961
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    • 2006
  • Let's say that we are given a k number of random variables following Poisson distribution that are individually dependent and which forms multivariate Poisson distribution. We particularly dealt with a method of creating random numbers that satisfies the covariance matrix, where the elements of covariance matrix are parameters forming a multivariate Poisson distribution. To create such random numbers, we propose a new algorithm based on the method reducing the number of parameter set and deal with its relationship to the Park et al.(1996) algorithm used in creating multivariate Bernoulli random numbers.

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