• Title/Summary/Keyword: random factor

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Partial safety factors for retaining walls and slopes: A reliability based approach

  • GuhaRay, Anasua;Baidya, Dilip Kumar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2014
  • Uncertainties in design variables and design equations have a significant impact on the safety of geotechnical structures like retaining walls and slopes. This paper presents a possible framework for obtaining the partial safety factors based on reliability approach for different random variables affecting the stability of a reinforced concrete cantilever retaining wall and a slope under static loading conditions. Reliability analysis is carried out by Mean First Order Second Moment Method, Point Estimate Method, Monte Carlo Simulation and Response Surface Methodology. A target reliability index ${\beta}$ = 3 is set and partial safety factors for each random variable are calculated based on different coefficient of variations of the random variables. The study shows that although deterministic analysis reveals a safety factor greater than 1.5 which is considered to be safe in conventional approach, reliability analysis indicates quite high failure probability due to variation of soil properties. The results also reveal that a higher factor of safety is required for internal friction angle ${\varphi}$, while almost negligible values of safety factors are required for soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ in case of cantilever retaining wall and soil unit weight ${\gamma}$ and cohesion c in case of slope. Importance of partial safety factors is shown by analyzing two simple geotechnical structures. However, it can be applied for any complex system to achieve economization.

Probabilistic bearing capacity of circular footing on spatially variable undrained clay

  • Kouseya Choudhuri;Debarghya Chakraborty
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2024
  • The present paper investigates the spatial variability effect of soil property on the three-dimensional probabilistic characteristics of the bearing capacity factor (i.e., mean and coefficient of variation) of a circular footing resting on clayey soil where both mean and standard deviation of undrained shear strength increases with depth, keeping the coefficient of variation constant. The mean trend of undrained shear strength is defined by introducing the dimensionless strength gradient parameter. The finite difference method along with the random field and Monte Carlo simulation technique, is used to execute the numerical analyses. The lognormal distribution is chosen to generate random fields of the undrained shear strength. In the study, the potential failure of the structure is represented through the failure probability. The influences of different vertical scales of fluctuation, dimensionless strength gradient parameters, and coefficient of variation of undrained shear strength on the probabilistic characteristics of the bearing capacity factor and failure probability of the footing, along with the probability and cumulative density functions, are explored in this study. The variations of failure probability for different factors of safety corresponding to different parameters are also illustrated. The results are presented in non-dimensional form as they might be helpful to the practicing engineers dealing with this type of problem.

An Empirical Study on the Determinants of Repurchase Intention in Mobile Internet Services (무선인터넷서비스 이용 결정 요인에 관한 연구 - 재구매 의도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 중심으로)

  • 최선미;박명철
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.92-109
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    • 2003
  • To launch effective mobile Internet marketing strategies, firms need to understand mobile Internet user behavior. Thus in this study we investigated factors that affect on the repurchase intention of mobile Internet users. A random sample of 501 users was surveyed. Overall satisfaction (mediating factor), flow and interactivity factors (initial factor) were found to have the most significant impact on the reuse intention and discrepancy factor is not significant to the reuse intention.

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Predicting tissue-specific expressions based on sequence characteristics

  • Paik, Hyo-Jung;Ryu, Tae-Woo;Heo, Hyoung-Sam;Seo, Seung-Won;Lee, Do-Heon;Hur, Cheol-Goo
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2011
  • In multicellular organisms, including humans, understanding expression specificity at the tissue level is essential for interpreting protein function, such as tissue differentiation. We developed a prediction approach via generated sequence features from overrepresented patterns in housekeeping (HK) and tissue-specific (TS) genes to classify TS expression in humans. Using TS domains and transcriptional factor binding sites (TFBSs), sequence characteristics were used as indices of expressed tissues in a Random Forest algorithm by scoring exclusive patterns considering the biological intuition; TFBSs regulate gene expression, and the domains reflect the functional specificity of a TS gene. Our proposed approach displayed better performance than previous attempts and was validated using computational and experimental methods.

A Bayesian Outlier Detection in Random Effects Model (변량모형 자료에서의 베이지안 이상점검출)

  • 정윤식;이상진
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2000
  • 이 논문에서는 평균-이동모형(mean-shift model)을 이상점을 위한 대립모형으로 사용하여 변량모형(random effect model)에서의 이상점 검출을 위한 베이즈인자(Bayes factor)를 제시한다. 그러나 가능한 사전 정보가 없어서 무정보사전분포(noninformative prior distribution)가 사용되어야만 할 때, 대부분의 무정보사전분포는 부적절분포(improper distribution)이기 때문에 베이즌 인자에는 사전분포로부터 나온 미지의 상수가 포함되어 잇다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 이 논문에서는 Berger와 Pericchi (1996)가 제시한 내재베이즈인자(the intrinsic Bayes factor;IBF)를 사용한다. 또한 이 베이즈인자를 계산상 어려움을 해결하기 위해 Verdinellidh Wasserman(1995)의 일반화 세비디지키 밀도비를 이용하여 수정하고 이것을 이용하여 이상점을 검출하는 방법을 제시한다. 마지막으로 인위적으로 이상점을 포함하고 있는 데이터를 만들고 제시된 방법으로 가상실험을 하고 또한 실제 데이터에서 제시한 방법으로 이상점을 찾아보았다.

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A Study on Export Korean Firm into China : by 31 region (우리나라의 대중국 수출 영향요인 분석 - 중국 31개 지역에 대하여 -)

  • Baek, Eun-Mi
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.439-460
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to study on export factor of Korean into China by 31 Province and City. Using the panel data on Korean export factor in China for the years 1998-2005, we examined the factors determinants of import in China(by region)from Korean firms. This study based on Gravity Model to extend and fixed & random effect Model. The result of analysis is as follows : The effect of significant on Import from Korean is FDI from Korea, export into world, import from world, population in region. But per GRDP, consumption, FDI into world variable is statistically insignificant. Also coastal region variable is not a clear.

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What's the consideration attribute on purchasing the HMR? (가정식가 대용식(HMR) 선택 속성 분석)

  • Chung, Ra-Na;Yang, Il-Sun;Lee, Hae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.315-322
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the factors consumers seriously considered when purchasing HMRs and the difference among the factors according to their demographic characteristics. The subjects were adults in their twenties or older who had used HMRs and lived in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province in Korea. Random sampling picked 550 of them, who were distributed a questionnaire from March 12 to 30, 2005. Total 451 questionnaires were returned(the return rates were 82%). The validity of the 27 features was examined by factor analysis. There were seven factors identified, and they were labeled considering the meaning of their items as follows: 'Factor 1. food quality,' 'Factor 2. appearance and packaging,' 'Factor 3. convenience and reliability,' 'Factor 4. access,' 'Factor 5. familiarity,' 'Factor 6. positive experiences,' and 'Factor 7. practicality.

Probability of Failure of Armor Units on Rubble-mound Breakwater with Safety Factor (안전계수에 따른 경사제 피복재의 파괴확률)

  • 이철응;안성모
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2001
  • A probability of failure of armor units on rubbJe-mound breakwater are evaluated by using the direct method for reliability analysis, which is represented as a function of safety factor that has been extensively used in practical design. The reliability function is fonnulated based on Hudson formula suggested for designing the stable size of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater. Several kinds of stability coefficient are applied separately to calculate the probability of failure with respect to the type of armor units, breaking/nonbreaking and the correlation coefficients between random variables. [n addition, the sensitivity analyses are carried out to investigate quantitatively into the effects of each random variable in the reliability function on the probability of failure.

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Numerical and random simulation procedure for preliminary local site characterization and site factor assessing

  • Beneldjouzi, Mohamed;Laouami, Nasser;Slimani, Abdennasser
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2017
  • Seismic analysis of local site conditions is fundamental for a reliable site seismic hazard assessment. It plays a major role in mitigation of seismic damage potential through the prediction of surface ground motion in terms of amplitude, frequency content and duration. Such analysis requires the determination of the transfer function, which is a simple tool for characterizing a soil profile by estimating its vibration frequencies and its amplification potential. In this study, numerical simulations are carried out and are then combined with a statistical study to allow the characterization of design sites classified by the Algerian Building Seismic Code (RPA99, ver 2003), by average transfer functions. The mean transfer functions are thereafter used to compute RPA99 average site factors. In this regard, coming up seismic fields are simulated based on Power Spectral Density Functions (PSDF) defined at the rock basement. Results are also used to compute average site factor where, actual and synthetic time histories are introduced. In absence of measurement data, it is found that the proposed approach can be used for a better soil characterization.

Hyper-Geometric Distribution Software Reliability Growth Model : Generalizatio, Estimation and Prediction (초기하분포 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델 : 일반화, 추정과 예측)

  • Park, Jung-Yang;Yu, Chang-Yeol;Park, Jae-Hong
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.9
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    • pp.2343-2349
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    • 1999
  • The hyper-geometric distribution software reliability growth model (HGDM) was recently developed and successfully applied to real data sets. The HGDM considers the sensitivity factor as a parameter to be estimated. In order to reflect the random behavior of the test-and-debug process, this paper generalizes the HGDM by assuming that the sensitivity factor is a binomial random variable. Such a generalization enables us to easily understand the statistical characteristics of the HGDM. It is shown that the least squares method produces the identical results for both the HGDM and the generalized HGDM. Methods for computing the maximum likelihood estimates and predicting the future outcomes are also presented.

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